Showing posts with label Kemble. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Kemble. Show all posts

Saturday, 18 May 2019

Keep the (Sea Of Faith ) (Plus Reviews, Previews and Tips)


Only one week to go until I run my marathon, it’s time to rest and review a few 2-year-old races and hopefully, find a couple of future winners. As I have said before my 2-year-old betting season is like a marathon, start off easy and finish strong. As the flat season starts, trainers and owners are dreaming of Royal Ascot and it’s really difficult finding winners with all the top yards sending out what they think could be future stars, so take a step back enjoy the racing and wait for the right moment, hopefully a few of my trackers will help me unearth a winner or two in the weeks and months ahead. 


Timeform Early Declaration Alert Reviews

Before I start to preview a great days racing and a few interesting horses am really looking forward to seeing I will take a minute to mention a couple of winning trackers that I noted in my last post and could turn out to be really nice horses to follow this season. 

Richard Hannon trained Kemble was on my radar after receiving an early Class 2 entry but didn't run, he was fancied on his first run when opened up 9/2 and backed into 7/2 on the off, and ran a satisfactory debut to finish third, forward on to Monday in what looked a nice race he was 7/2 and fancied again but with only seven running it was a disappointment for me as I would have done a each way bet at 4/1. Kemble put in a much-improved run when demolishing what looked a decent enough field with the well-fancied Illusionist 5-lengths behind and looks like he could be aimed towards Royal Ascot. 

Another tracker was the Archie Watson trained Execlusive who was backed from 5/2 into 13/8 favourite and punters were counting their winnings over one furlong out. Execlusive looks another who will be aimed at better class races this season, that’s an incredible eight first time-out winners for Archie Watson this season compared with only two first time-out winners he had in April/May 2018. 

Last but not least was a tracker that I didn’t have in my last post as it hadn’t come through at that time, but I was keeping a close eye on Good Vibes, (Pictured) the David Evans trained 2-year-old who was being nibbled at throughout the morning and I must admit I can’t take all the credit for backing this Due Diligence filly as I saw Jason give her a good write up on his Group Horse Daily page, so I had an each way at 11/1, and she ran on very well and looks a horse going places this season. 

Previews 

14:05 Newmarket 18 May 2019 

Al Hilalee had two runs last season and two wins. Last season he was entered to run in numerous group races including the Group 2 Champagne Stakes, Group 2 Royal Lodge Stakes, Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes, Group 3 Acomb Stakes and the Listed Dragon Stakes, so as you can see he was definitely well-thought of and beat a few experienced group performers in France. I fancied him to run well in the 2000 Guineas but was never involved, needs to bounce back after a poor showing last time out. 

13.50 Newbury 18 May 2019 

Khaadem looks a nice prospect after making his debut in a hot Novice race back in June last season and finishing third to the exciting Calyx. Winning his next two races he looks to be a horse going places. He was entered in two decent Group races as a 2-year-old, Group 2 Mill Reef Stakes was the first and the Group 1 Middle Stakes was the next but never ran in both. I will be interested to see if he can step up another level this season against some decent Group performers. 

16.50 Newbury 18 May 2019 

Sea Of Faith must of went into plenty of notebooks after an eye-catching debut last month. This William Haggas trained Sea the Stars filly was backed late on from 8/1 to 4/1 and ran a great race, despite a very slow start and looking green she came with a late rattle to finish fourth to Sparkle Roll in what was an encouraging first run. This looks a decent race but William will be hoping to repeat winning this race again after the excellent Sea Of Class won last year. 

Timeform Early Declaration Alert 

15:50 Newmarket 18 May 2019: Willa had an early entry for a Class 2 race in April but never ran. 

14:10 Thirsk 18 May 2019: Jaunty had an early entry for a Class 2 race in April but never ran. 

14:00 Ripon 19 May 2019 : Don’t Joke ran in a Class 2 at Bath. 

14:00 Ripon 19 May 2019: Misty Grey had an early entry for the Class 2 Lilly Agnes at Chester but never ran also another Class 2 race at Chester and also missed that. 

14:00 Ripon 19 May 2019: Oso Rapido had an early entry for a Class 2 at York but never ran. 

The Saturday Trixie: 

Week 4 If you haven’t seen any of my posts this is a bit of fun with a couple of my mates off social media to see who is the top tipster and at the minute Aaron leads the way. Aaron: Benie Des Dieux - 4:00 Auteuil, top class mare, would of won back to backs mares hurdles at Cheltenham barring a last flight fall, bounced back from that impressively winning by over 9 lengths at Punchestown, only worries would be if she stays out 3m having never been past 2m4f but if she does she will go close against a very good mare in De Bon Couer who won this race last year 

Kurious - 1:50 Newbury was staying on in a class 2 last time and Sandown when just failing. The step up in trip will suit and there should be plenty of improvement to come especially now back in handicap company. Adv 8/1 (bet365)

Craig: Sea of Faith - 4.50 Newbury. (reasons for selection above) 

Good luck and thanks for reading.

Monday, 13 May 2019

David O'Meara Makes a Blistering Start to 2019 Flat Season (Plus Previews and Reviews)


Even though it’s only May the trainer who’s really impressed me with his 2-year-old horses compared to recent seasons is David O Meara, yes I can talk about Archie Watson or Richard Fahey banging in the winners but looking at past seasons David’s statistics didn’t read to well, in 2017 he had only one winner out of eleven runs and 2018 was even worse with one win out of fifteen runs.2019 has seen a dramatic improvement with six wins out of fourteen runs giving him a 42.9 percent strike rate and whopping 394.6 percent win return at starting price.


Full Authority (pictured) looks a serious Kingman colt who was well-fancied on his debut at Chester and powered away to win by six-lengths, am also looking forward to seeing Great Dame, Infinite Grace and Ruby Wonder run again in the future. The future looks bright for David O’Meara and good luck to him for the rest of the season. 

After a couple of winners on my trackers last week it was back down to earth with a bang this week but I still take a few positives from a couple and will keep an eye out for the next time out. 

Birkenhead wasn’t a bet for me but ran his usual honest race and was placed again. 

Ocasio Cortez was also a no bet after drifting to 10/1 and even though it looked a decent race she looks no world beater. 

I did have a small win bet on Richard Hannon’s first time out Endowed, I took 6/1 early on and this son of Dark Angel was well-backed into 11/4 second-favourite, which was a positive move but weakened inside the final furlong. At first glance, it may seem disappointing but the fact that he was entered to run in a Class 2 also the fact he was well-supported gives me some encouragement and I will be keen to see if he’s supported again on his next run. 

Ohio State was steady at 11/8 for most of the day, so was no bet for me and his run was too bad to be true and dropped away tamely, I will be interested to see the market next run. 

Harpocrates drifted from 2/1 to 7/2 on the off which did worry me that he wasn't fully wound up, he did manage to finish second but was slowly away and ran green.I would imagine this son of Invincible Star will improve a lot and go onto better things down the line. 

No luck with the Saturday Trixie again this week and not even a winner between us but I did manage a second with my selection Harpocrates.We need to have a good week this Saturday as it’s eating into my betting bank. 

Timeform Early Declaration Alert 

13 May 5.50 Windsor: Making History was a horse I marked down as S Bin Suroor’s first runner of the season even though he kept missing his engagements, made a favourite for his debut he wasn’t involved, no bet for me. 

13 May 5.50 Windsor: Kemble had an early entry for a Class 2 race but never ran, fancied on debut and ran green, another no bet for me in what looks a difficult race. 

14 May 3.00 Chepstow: Audio also had a Class 2 entry but never ran, looks disappointing after two starts and I will be watching to see if any improvement after an 81-day break. 

14 May 1.50 Beverley: Richard R H B ran in the Brocklesby which normally shows the horse has some ability, I was worried when I didn’t back this tracker second-time out, and he put in a much-improved effort to finish third at 40/1, this looks a harder race and I will check the betting before I decide to bet or not. 

14 May 2.20 Beverley: Exclusive from the all-conquering Archie Watson stable was entered in a Class 2 race at Chester last week but didn’t run, keen to see the market for this Kodiac filly before I decide to bet and as always it’s a gamble betting on debut runners but Archie seems to have them fit and ready from the start. 

Thanks for reading and good luck.