Saturday, 4 December 2021

4:30 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (4th December)

A quick post. 

Like most of these races, the majority of two-year-olds are priced with little chance of winning. The chance of most horses winning when priced 25/1+ is slim. In general, debutantes have an equal chance of winning at big odds as those with race experience. However, it is surprising how this success varies markedly from trainer to trainer. In that I mean, certain horse trainers simply do not win when priced at big odds. You may think the smaller trainers have more opportunity to slip past the bookmakers but it is very individual and the only real understanding is by observing the data from one trainer to another. 

This is a lengthy introduction to detail that this is likely to be a four-horse race. 

The four favourites. 

Last Ammo is a rare candidate for Charlie Appleby being in the ownership of Sultan Ali, rather than in the Godolphin silks. To be honest, I'm not sure what connection he may be to Sheikh Mohammed Al Maktoum. This son of Teofilo wasn't too fancied on debut when priced 10/1, finishing fourth at Kempton racing over 1m. This colt was second string that day but ran well and this step up to 1m 1 1/2f should see a bold show. From a statistical point of view, this chestnut colt has very good claims, although probably no better than price to chance.  

Charlie Appleby has Wild Crusade making his debut. This son of Dubawi is out of a Listed winner and she has been the mare to a couple of exceptional talents in Yabir and Wild Illusion, both won over a million. This colt could hold claims, especially if priced 11/4 and less sp. Few win when priced over 8/1+. 

Yummylicious has raced twice for John & Thady Gosden although has a wide draw, which may not be a problem over this trip but never ideal on a turning track. In addition, is one of three fillies against a field of colts. Even with a sex allowance, it is always a slight negative for a filly to race against bigger, stronger foe. This daughter of Dubawi steps up in distance after a debut of 7f and a bigger second start when stepping up to 1m 1/2f. A fair hope although the draw and a filly against the colts is a negative. 

John Gosden fields two debutantes in the Cheveley Park Stud owned Homeric and Mariinsky in the Godolphin silks. He is a trainer who can win with debutantes at bigger odds.

Simon Crisford's Benzine can go well on debut at a price although they are more likely to be placed than win.   

Other horses to consider are Rendition & Maytree Respite

Summary: An interesting race. Last Ammo deserves respect but no price, although the stats suggests a leading chance. Wild Crusade may have claims, especially if strongly backed. Yummylicious has hopes although a filly against the colts is a concern for me. John Gosden is no stranger to a second or third string winning so Homeric and Mariinsky hold some interest. Could an outsider win? Rendition & Maytree Respite are worth a closer look. As is Benzine who has each way claims. Last Ammo has the best chance but no price and I wouldn't be betting. 

A watching brief. 

Note: At the time of writing Last Ammo was 1/1. At biggest, touched 4/1 on the exchanges. The reason why trying to write a post is so difficult considering this was post late in the day, which just proves the point.

Result: 


Source: Racing Post

Tuesday, 30 November 2021

Revisiting the 2021 Brocklesby Conditions Stakes (30th November)

Let's go back to the beginning. 

Revisiting the 2021 Brocklesby Stakes. The first race of the turf season, for two-year-olds colts and fillies. 

This race has seen some exceptional winners over the years including Hearts Of Fire, Mind Games, The Last Lion. It's a very special race for me as it is like the first piece of the jigsaw puzzle. To be fair, the Brocklesby has had its highs and lows. Many runnings have come and gone without any start turn. However, when the horses are lined up I'm always hopeful there will be a sparkling winner or juveniles which progress to show they are exceptions to the rule. 

The 2021 Brocklesby Stakes didn't disappoint. 

That made my year. 


Source: Racing Post

What a brilliant winner we had in Eve Johnson-Houghton's Chipotle. A decisive winner taking the Brocklesby in style and so much more. 

Chipotle form: 

Total earnings: £139,714 

Vintage Clarets Form: 

Total earnings: £26,868 

Other winners include:

Total earnings: £14,198

Total earnings: £7,488

Total earnings: £14,381

Source: Racing Post 

Thursday, 25 November 2021

Soft Going: Should I Bet or Not?

Each to their own.

I don't know about you, but I always feel a touch uneasy about betting on horses on testing ground. 

Perhaps a touch of soft in good ground isn't too much of a problem but when it's soft or heavy what do you think?

Betting on the two-year-olds, you can be at the mercy of the ground because even if your horse has breeding to cope it doesn't mean that will be the case. 

I noticed a couple of two-year-old horse races at Newmarket and the field was strung out like it was a two-mile chase. 

Winners pulling clear by five or six lengths, while those at the back of the field were in a different county. 

I had a distinctly uneasy feeling and it wasn't just from the sodden ground under my size nines.

Perhaps you don't think about the ground or just chance your luck the horse you backed will be favoured rather than literally stuck in the mud. 

With limited form to know for sure whether your horse will be at home on testing ground you have to take a double gambler. Not only does it have enough ability to win but it will enjoy the ground. Or, at least, it won't be falling out the back of the telly. 

So what do we do?

I must admit, I am very careful. It is one of those things that makes you feel you can only lose. You don't bet and the horse wins. You do bet, and it comes home last eating a potato it found in the mud. 

Sometime, if you get a price, you just have to go with the flow and hope it is your lucky day. 

It doesn't inspire confidence. 

What do you think?

Guest post: Jason Coote 

Sunday, 14 November 2021

Trainers Who Have Impressed this 2021 Turf Season - Kevin Philippart de Foy

It's only when you look at old horse racing annuals you realise how many trainers come and go. 

Very few exceed their wildest ambitions. So often those early days of excitement turn to dust. 

I always remember a few years back one trainer saying they had the investment for a couple of years. Basically, if they didn't hit the ground running it would be a short-lived experience. The said trainer had a very good first season, sadly the next was pretty much winless and the hammer came down on all those hopes and ambitions. 

It's the world we live. 

However, I can't see that happening to rookie trainer Kevin Philippart de Foy.

What a first season.

That's why it's always good to give those new trainers some promotion and appreciate their success. 

Two-year-old horse racing is the natural starting place for many rookie trainers. Think back to Archie Watson showing the best how it was done. 

I guess we all have our favourites. 

For me, one trainer made an impressive start to training: 

Kevin Philippart de Foy

The latest edition to Newmarket: Machell Place Stables, Old Station Road. 

It's hardly surprising this young trainer has a touch of class considering his mother was a jockey and trainer in France. To gain further experience, he has worked with John Oxx, Criquette Head & Christopher Clement. Geographically, that's Ireland, France and the United States. 

However, reputation means little if it isn't backed up. In the world of horse racing, that currency is measured in winners. 

To be fair, most of the time, I don't hear about the new kids on the blog until I see them pop up on the race card. 

20th April, Great Yarmouth

A rather inauspicious start to proceedings, Pokhara. 

''Who is this Philippart de Foy?''

However, it was only at matter of time before the winners started to flow. 

We saw 18 two-year-olds this Flat turf season. 

They made their debuts, Chronologically: 

Pokhara 

Smooth Talking

Rock Melody 

Giawont

Mehmentum 

Baileysgutfeeling 

New Pursuit 

Unexpected Arrival 

Torvi 

Scot's Grace 

Pearl Glory 

Rose Burton 

Chiqueador 

Kerensa 

Brown Mouse 

Without Delay 

Edward Jenner 

Nicholas George 

Debut winners highlighted in yellow. 

Read more...



Review: As I said, I really didn't pay much attention to Kevin Philippart de Foy until Rock Melody hit the ground running. An impressive victory at Redcar, winning by three-and-three-quarter lengths. An easy 16/1 poke. 



July saw New Pursuit make a superb effort at Epsom, winning by over two-and-a-half lengths at odds of 11/2.    

Later that month, two fillies made their mark showing Philippart de Foy was no one-trick pony. 



Scot's Grace, a daughter of Mehmas, strode clear of the field at Kempton over 6f.  An inspired breeze-up purchase by Universal Stud at £15,000, later in the ownership of Bernard Havern. She would dip her toe into pattern class on the next two starts when a luckless fifth in the Sirenia Stakes (Group 3), and sixth in the Firth of Clyde Fillies' Stakes (Group 3). Both defeats no more than four-lengths behind. 


Pearl Glory, a daughter of Cotai Glory out of the dam Oatmeal, another excellent purchase at £12,000 (breeze-up) by Philippart de Foy.  A very good, battling, victory when beating another classy type in Outside World, trained by Mark Johnston. A similarly gutsy display when beating The Organiser, by a head, under a penalty. Sold by The Three Wise Men Syndicate to Team Valor Llc & Gary Barber. A return to Salisbury saw a strong performance when runner-up to Romantic Times in the Dick Poole Fillies' (Group 3), losing by a length. 

Summary: Kevin Philippart de Foy has been a surprise package and went from a trainer most punters knew little about to someone who is respected with his juveniles, a man who can win on debut, which is no easy feat. These four two-year-olds proved the point with victories and gallant efforts at pattern class, if not a touch unlucky not to have achieved such ambitions. I for one will be looking at Philippart de Foy in a different light this new season. In fact, he has achieved success most established trainers could only dream. 

Well done to the team. 

Visit Kevin Philippart de Foy's Website

Graphics: Racing Post 

Credit: Photo Kevin Philippart de Foy 

Author: Jason Coote 

Sunday, 7 November 2021

2yo Unraced Hidden Gems for the Future

As the 2-year-old season draws ever closer to the end I still have a few unraced gems who could be potentially nice types for the backend of the season or with the winter behind them could be worth keeping and eye out for next season. I will mention a few in no particular order.

1: Ralph Beckett has had a few nice 2-year-olds this season including Prosperous Voyage, Angel Bleu and not forgetting Hello You now trained by David Loughnane who is owned by Amo Racing. Ralph Beckett and owners Amo Racing still have a Kodiac colt called MALEX who has yet to set foot on the racecourse but is well-regarded at Kimpton Down Stables. Dam Trois Lunes was a nice type for trainer Francois Rohaut winning a Group 3 at Longchamp back in 2012. 

2: Another trained by Ralph Beckett is DAIQUIRI DREAM and runs in the familiar colours of owner Mr J.C.Smith, I’m pretty certain this Dubawi filly has ability and hopefully will set foot on the racecourse soon. Dam Cocktail Queen was owned by Smith and another who won group races as a 3-year-old in France. Another well-regarded at Kimpton Down Stables. 

3: Been on the radar for a while this one, in fact DENIM SHORTS had an early entry for the Brocklesby way back in March but didn’t run. Trainer George Boughey has been in fine form this season banging in plenty of winners and I’m sure this Ontoawinner Galileo Gold filly was a nice filly who was showing some early speed for George and the team. Not too sure what’s happened to the 11,000 gns purchase so a word of caution when we see her on the track. 

4: Richard Hughes and owners Clarke and Waters have had a few winners in the past including Glendevon, Lady Madison, two I can think of off the top of my head. They have another potentially nice type in the name of ZERO CARBON who is another one I will be keeping an eye out for. Dam Clotilde seemed to improve with age so hopefully with the winter behind the Acclamation colt we will see a nice sort for Richard Hughes. 

5: It wouldn’t be a list without Charlie Appleby 2-year-olds and the next one that could be nice is the Kingman colt KING OF TIME who is a half-brother to the Ed Walker trained Agrotera who won a few nice races including the Snowdrop Listed race back in 2019 at Kempton. 

6: Next Charlie Appleby 2-year-old to look out for is the Ribchester filly PEARL BORDER who is well-thought of by the boys in Blue. Dam Firth Of Lorne has certainly been busy and produced a couple of nice types for Charlie already including Master Of The Seas who won his first two races as a 2-year-old and withdrawn in the Breeders Cup Mile on Saturday. Pearl Border is a half-sister to Latharnach who also ran to a decent level for Appleby. Nice pedigree this one and one I’m keen on seeing when making her racecourse debut. 

7: Next one for Charlie Appleby has an early entry for Kempton on Wednesday. MAKKARI I imagine will be all the rage for this so it could be time to just watch and see if the hype is right. Dam Sobetsu was a high class filly for Charlie winning a couple of group races in Deauville back in 2017. Makkari has been giving the right signals at home but the Galileo filly needs to produce it on the track to show how good she is. 

8: PURE DIGNITY could be special for the Roger Varian team and another who can’t wait to see it hit the racecourse. A half-sister to multiple group winner Sottsass who has gone from strength to strength and won the L’arc De Triomphe in October. I really hope Pure Dignity is an exciting prospect for the Varian team. 

Time is getting on so I will add a few more below with no write-ups. 

PRINCESS OLLY, Richard Hannon and Amo Racing. 

TASHKENT, Richard Hannon and Al Shaqab Racing. 

Thanks for reading and good luck.

Monday, 1 November 2021

Do Two-Year-Old (2yo) Debutantes win at Odds-On?

''Without objective testing theories are only guesses however good.'' 

Those words stuck in my brain. 

They were considered years ago when I studied Psychology for an Hons Degree BSc. In fact, I uttered those words in a lesson at Anglia Polytechnic University. 

Now Anglia Cambridge Ruskin University. 

We're talking East Anglia. The driest and flattest part of the United Kingdom. 

Home.  

My adventure to university was short lived - just over two weeks. After deferring for a year,  time moved too fast. I turned up to academia with little enthusiasm. 

I pretty much decided it was time to leave before I arrived. A halfhearted conversation with a laid back gentleman couldn't convince me to stay. To be honest, I don't think it was a loss on either side. 

It felt good to escape. 

Far from being a disappointment to myself (although perhaps to others) I new exactly what I would do...

I enrolled with The Open University. 

My studying started when I picked up the books and stopped when I put them down. Much more efficient. I saw a lecturer on one solitary day. I went as it was mandatory. It wasn't a bad day.

However, I decided to do it myself. A whole degree without any real interaction beyond the odd email, tutor-marked assignments and annual exam.  

Why? 

Because I wanted to prove that I didn't need anyone to get a degree. 

After failing miserably at school, qualifications not worth the paper they were written and teachers assessing my academic potential as zero I was pleased, if not proud, to stick two fingers up to those who I left behind. To be fair, I should have been looking back at my old self with similar contempt. 

A good few years later I had done it. 

That's a long introduction to learn something about two-year-old horse racing. To be fair, it may seem off topic. 

Everything is related in ways. 

What does a table and tiger have in common? 

They both have four legs.  

My deviation to education is that so few gamblers educate themselves.

This is a mistake. 

I applaud your behaviour because it keeps me ahead of the game. 

Every Flat turf season, I research lots of information. At times it seems a chore. At the end of each sitting, the data reveals something which makes me appreciate why I took the time to explore. 

A FEW GEMS OF WISDOM.

If I told you many basic facts about two-year-old horse racing you would be surprised. I have a lot of information that would amaze you. Here's the interesting point, everything I know, you could know too. In fact, you could know more...

It's waiting to be found. 

Scratch the surface, ask the right questions, do your homework, find the answers. 

For instance, how many two-year-olds start odds on for their debut and win?

Think of a number.

Unless you know the facts it's pointless imagining. 

What would that little piece of data tell you? 

Would it affect how you think or how you bet?

Would it make a difference to your profit or loss?

You never realised that one question could lead to so many questions and their respective answers.

Knowledge is power. 

You see, I know the exact number. In truth, whether it is few or many makes little difference. 

But it should make a difference to you. It should hold significance because it is one of a thousand things most gamblers don't know. 

You really should be concerned. 

Separate yourself from the crowd. Think. 

Do Two-Year-Old Debutantes win at Odds-On? 

Now, there's a question. 

Author: Jason Coote

Photo: Pixabay free for commercial use and no attribution but given

Monday, 25 October 2021

Monday's 2yo Racing Tips (25th October)

1:00 Redcar - 

A competitive race with a few interesting juveniles. Bailey's Accolade and Sezaam re-oppose after the latter won by a head and now carries a penalty. I though Bailey's Accolade went a stride too fast on that previous encounter and should have an advantage over Michael Dod's charge. Emperor Cradoc didn't achieve much on debut when racing over 6f at Carlisle. However, he did much better when returning at York, stepping up to 7f. That was a marked improvement and a bold front-running effort. I must admit, I have slight concerns about this son of Siyouni dropping back in distance. Generally, it is best to regard the trainer knows best (as they should do) so I will consider Bryan Smart feels this testing ground will be a positive and the trip adequate. Personally, I would rather him race over 7f. To add to the mix we have Richard Fahey's Superior Council who races in the familiar silks of Clipper Logisitics. This son of Kodiac out of a debut-winning mare cost 185,000G. Fahey can go well on debut and if starting favourite would be a good sign. 

Conclusion: A tricky race with a few live chances. 

2:50 Leicester - 

This looks a prime opportunity for Sacred Jewel, who could well start odds on. 

6:00 Newcastle - 

John Gosden's Antarah is fancied to go well on his debut. The stable have a healthy strike rate this month and his favourite take some beating. I must say, if Antarah is good enough to beat Savvy Victory on debut it will be a decent horse. Also, Kevin Ryan's Million Thanks isn't out of the picture. A watching race, but very interesting. 

Author: Jason Coote

Tuesday, 19 October 2021

Tuesday's 2YO Racing Tips (19th October)

Quick recap on Saturday’s selections. I had an each way bet on the Simon and Ed Crisford trained Philosophy at Catterick on Saturday and despite managing third I did hope she would be to good for this field, as for the Aidan O’Brien trained Ninja who finished last of eleven I don’t really know what to say as it was a very disappointing run. VIADELMORE finally confirmed why James Ferguson rates this son of Invincible Spirit after below par efforts in his first two races. I backed Viadelmore 40s the night before as I was surprised how big he was. I even checked not long before the race and saw 66/1, anyway as I watched I thought Viadelmore was going well but the Appleby was going better and won well. I was happy as Viadelmore finished second and surprised when I saw his starting price 18/1. It’s about time one tracker came good to be honest after a dreadful spell lately when nothings gone right. 

19:00 Kempton 19 Oct 2021 

According to the early betting this is a two horse race. The early favourite Whoputfiftyinyou won on debut last month at Haydock Park and looks a nice type for trainer Clive Cox, if my tracker disappoints the Twilight Son colt could easily defy the winners penalty here and win again. My tracker ANTIPHON who is short in the market himself despite not being seen for 189 days. I’m not sure why the good looking Kodiac colt has been off the track but that is a worry to be honest. Antiphon is trained by Andrew Balding and is a half brother to another Balding horse called Firelight who won second time of asking here at Kempton back in 2018. Antiphon made his debut in the novice stakes race at Newmarket back in April and was sent off a 9/2 shot that day. Looking back at the debut that was an excellent run and despite not getting a clear run Antiphon put in an eye-catching debut against a few nice types including having a couple of Group winners behind him. I really hope Antiphon puts in a decent display here. 

13:23 Yarmouth 19 Oct 2021 

Trackers: David Simcock 2-year-old CROMARTY has had a couple of chances and disappointed. 

NEW YEAR HONOURS is interesting for Ralph Beckett who could improve after finishing sixth on debut at Nottingham. 

18:00 Kempton 20 Oct 2021 

Roger Varian’s 2-year-old’s have been in fine form of late and I hope tracker AL HUSN can keep the ball rolling here despite finishing seventh on her debut at Newmarket last month. The Dubawi filly attracted support on her debut when backed in from 6s to 7/2. Al Husn was towards the back at the early stages and looked a bit awkward when meeting the dip, I’m pretty sure Al Husn had more left in the tank that day and we haven’t seen the best of the Roger Varian 2-year-old and I will be hoping for an early each way price here. 

Thanks for reading and good luck.

Friday, 15 October 2021

Saturday's 2yo Info (16th October)

Friday was another one of those days when you think you're doing the right thing but in the end it’s the wrong decision. I did back Hooked On You the night before at 12s anticipating a gamble but when it didn’t come I pressed the cash out button only to see the Karl Burke trained filly stay on to finish third at 11/1. My other two trackers were disappointing but I made the right decision not to bet on them both in the end. Macchiavello is definitely better than today showing signs of greenness and Divine Jewel proved inexperienced. 

Right, tomorrow is a new day and I still have to believe one tracker will come good at least. 

13:20 Catterick 16 Oct 2021 

Ten go to post here and the favourite Bint Elmalek looks a nice Kingman filly for Charlie Hills after finishing third on debut. Easy to back that day when sent off 11/1 and ran a nice enough debut. My one tracker in this race is the Simon and Ed Crisford trained PHILOSOPHY. The Exceed And Excel filly was sent off favourite for her debut at Kempton 101 days ago, I expect connections were disappointed as Philosophy finished down the field in eighth place. The lay-off could mean Philosophy had some type of problem or just needed time. She was slowly away and caught for pace until making steady progress towards the finish. She has been fitted with a hood and tongue strap so I hope this will keep her mind on the job. Around 11/2 at the time of writing. I've had a small each way hoping Philosophy won’t drift as that would be a negative for me. 

14:05 Leopardstown (IRE) 16 Oct 2021 

My Irish trackers have been a bit hit and miss this season, well in fact most of my trackers have to be honest, but you have to believe you will turn a corner if you keep working hard. I do have a few in this, PURPLE DAWN, IMPERO, DOWNING STREET and NINJA who looks a nice Galileo colt for the all conquering Aidan O’Brien team. I have to say you never know how an Aidan 2-year-old will run, especially first timeout. Ninja was another who was easy to back on debut when sent off 17/2. The Galileo colt was towards the back for most of the race but slowly made up ground. Granted, Ninja never troubled the leaders but to me it looked like he was given an easy time towards the finish and had more left in the tank. Aidan does like this colt and hopefully he can be a bit more competitive here. Impero has a list of fancy entries and should no more today. Ninja opened up around 3s but is shortening up as I write this. 

8:00 Wolverhampton 16th October 2021

James Ferguson's VIADELMORE is a good-looking son of Invincible Spirit who hasn't show much in two starts to date but may be capable of better and worth a small each way bet at 40/1. There may be some value at those speculative odds. 

Thanks for reading and hopefully I can get a much needed win to gain more confidence going into the latter part of the season.

Friday's 2yo Racing Info (15th October)

Sixth Street was pretty disappointing to say the least on Wednesday when only managing fourth, I did have a small win bet. I did mention a few more trackers in my last post and to be honest they all ran pretty well. Clear Day ran well enough to finish third to what looks a nice Dubawi Roger Varian colt despite running green. As I mentioned I did have a small speculative each way on the Richard Hannon trained Kodias Sangarius who put in a much improved performance after being pulled up in both outings before. Last but not least was the Richard Hannon trained newcomer WINDSEEKER who took a drift in the market out to 16/1. The Aclaim colt broke well and was up with the pace throughout and one point I thought Windseeker could win, now I might be talking sour grapes here but Windseeker had the rail and was staying on until the eventual winner Qitaal cut across. I don’t think he would have won but could have got closer, anyway it was a decent debut all the same. 

I have a few trackers going today, a couple who I imagine will be short but I will mention them anyway. 

15:15 Redcar 15 Oct 2021 

Not a race I will be betting in but interested to see how the Roger Varian trained Frankel filly DIVINE JEWEL gets on after finishing second on her debut. Purchased for 300,000gns at the 2020 October Yearling Sales out of book 1 and owned by Mr Koji Maeda. Divine Jewel made her debut at Nottingham just over two weeks ago, she was easy to back that day and sent off a 9/2 shot, kept towards the back by David Egan and behind a wall of horses she was given an impossible task but still managed to grab second staying on late but the winner had first run on her. Looking forward to seeing if Divine Jewel can improve on that decent first run, around 6/4 at the time of writing. 

14:05 Redcar 15 Oct 2021 

Another short one here but MACCHIAVELLO comes here with a bit of a reputation. The Karl Burke trained No Nay Never colt is a £300,000gns 2-year-old and owned by Amo Racing & Michael Tabor. Not much to go on here and a no bet for me but I am interested to see what the hype is about. Karl has a decent record with debutants priced under 9/2 and with Macchiavello currently 6/4 the signs are good but not worth the risk first timeout for me. 

13:45 Haydock 15 Oct 2021 

A second timeout Karl Burke runner here so what can go wrong? HOOKED ON YOU is another who does have a nice reputation at Spigot Lodge. I was looking forward to the Starspangledbanners debut at Newcastle just over two weeks ago but she refused to settle and pulled away her chances early on. It’s hard to know what to think after that but the drop in trip should help and I will also be keeping a close eye on the betting, anything over 7s I would say is a negative. Mother Shipton is another who has a good chance if under 13/2 but I’m hoping I can have a each way on Hooked On You if the price is right. 

Thanks for reading and good luck.

Wednesday, 13 October 2021

Wednesday's 2YO Racing Info (13th October)

These backend two-year-old maidens are certainly putting a dent in the betting back but luckily enough I still have my head above water. FIORINA ran well enough to finish sixth but not what I wanted of course. I did mention CHING SHIH as a horse to look closely at and it was a lovely debut to be fair even though David Simcock filly could only manage third. I had a small each way at 8s and she was well-backed into 9/4 come race time. Ching Shih looks like a filly with a nice future ahead and one to follow I think. The favourite PERIPATETIC won with a bit in hand and 5/4 was a decent return in the end. 

Bath 3.05 EBF Novice Stakes 5f10y 

One tracker in this tough little 2yo race over the minimum distance. William Haggas does well with owners Clipper Logistics and he runs True Icon here who looks to be in with a chance to break her duck after a decent second last time out. Clive Cox and owner J C Smith are another owner combination I look out for and Rum Cocktail justified favouritism last time out at Newmarket when winning by a head, has a win penalty to make life more difficult here. Tracker SIXTH STREET comes here after what I thought was a decent debut at Wolverhampton three weeks ago. The 210,000gns Tornado Richard Hannon filly was stuck behind a wall of horses but managed to squeeze through and take it up a furlong out until being denied by the Clive Cox filly Benefit who incidentally won again yesterday to give the form a bit of substance. A drop down in trip here. Tough race but a small win bet at 100/30 for me. Coast is another who looks to be in the mix here. 

Nottingham 1.00 Maiden Stakes 1m75y 

Just the one tracker here who is the unraced Richard Hannon King Power colt WINDSEEKER. As we all know by now these unraced 2yos are a nightmare with not much to go on but Richard gave this 75,000gns Aclaim colt a few decent entries earlier in the season so hopefully he can show some promise here in what is yet another tough race with a mixture of promising unraced 2yos and a couple of potentially nice types who have already run including Qital for Mark Johnston who sets a fair standard after two runs this season. Windseeker is a 17/2 shot at the time of writing. In the next division at 1.30 I do have another unraced tracker called CLEAR DAY for the William Haggas and the Queen. A well-related colt who has attracted a little support already after opening up 11/2 last night. 

I can't go without mentioning a couple more trackers, first is WHOLE OF THE MOON in the 3.40 at Bath, The Richard Hughes Zoffany gelding ran well in debut finishing fourth in what was a promising run. Any older readers will know The Waterboy's sing the Whole Of The Moon and in fact I will be going to watch them at the end of the month so this has to be a sign right? 

The 5.30 at Bath is another tricky one and as far as trackers go this one is definitely last chance saloon. It will be minimum stakes and I mean really small as KODIAS SANGARIUS has pulled up on both starts. Sometimes it's worth a small speculation each way and at 66/1 a few pennies each way is worth a chance.

Saturday, 9 October 2021

3:50 York Racing Tips (9th October)

A big field for this Class 3. 

Not the easiest of races to have concrete thoughts but a few here which may have some hope.

Ed Walker's Speranzoso is a good-looking son of Siyouni out of a winning mare, who was placed at Group class. This March foal was sold for £100,000 at the breeze-up sales. He was pretty fancied on debut at Haydock over 6f. It wasn't a bad performance for a debutante although a touch keen. One thing you don't want is to be too keen over 7f which could be a concern here although I imagine this bay colt will settle better today. From a statistical point of view this horse has serious claims. However, they seem to win or unplaced so as they say buyer beware (bettor). 

From an entries point of view we should be singing the praises of Tim Easterby's Forgivable. This son of Iffraaj has raced three times and shown ability on three starts, beaten less than three lengths on each occasion. However, I'm sure connections (if not backers) have been disappointed not to see a win in this trio of efforts. Easterby does well at York and it does give hope they are trying for this grade. There is a concern that after three attempts the win is becoming less likely. It would be a worry for me because if the official rating of 73 is true you'd expect this race to go to a horse with more ability. Perhaps Forgivable will show more today. That's the gamble. I'd rather watch. It would bring more hope if seriously backed. 

Bryan Smart's Emperor Caradoc wasn't unfancied on debut at Carlise and may come here with half a hope. The main reason for this thought is that Smart gave this son of Siyouni a Convivial Stakes entry. Considering he's had a few half-talented two-year-olds this season, he should have some measure of ability. That debut over 6f was far too short and I imagine he was in need of the experience. Emperor Caradoc was always a touch outpaced and ran on with an element of hope although beaten many lengths. If betting today, you will be hoping for a transformation, which isn't beyond hope. Improvement is needed but odds of 25/1 may be enough to tempt a small each-way bet. After an absence of 44-days this colt could return a different horse. It would be a positive to see some money for this youngster. In truth, if betting, you are chancing your luck. 

Conclusion: In truth this is a difficult-looking race. For me it is a race where you can go for the favourite, Speranzoso, and be half hopeful of a run or stick your head on the chopping block and hope that Emperor Caradoc springs something of a surprise at odds. 

Good luck.

Thursday, 7 October 2021

Friday's Racing Tips (8th October)

A quick look at my last post. Newcomer Hooked On You looked to be going well at one point when tanking along in front but soon faded to finish out of the places. I won’t give up just yet on the Karl Burke trained filly. As for another newcomer I thought Three Diamonds ran a decent race for the David Simcock team. The Night Of Thunder colt was slowly away before staying on well towards the end. That’s the problem backing these first timeout 2-year-olds you just never know how things will pan out on debut. One to keep in the trackers. I don’t normally back short priced favourites but had a few quid on MR ALAN who proved too good at Ayr. 

13:15 Newmarket 08 Oct 2021 

Newmarket seems to be a nightmare for me, probably because so many nice horses turn up. I have to admit I missed the price on this next tracker which is unusual for me, hopefully she may drift out again. Trainer George Boughey has had an excellent season with his 2-year-olds and with his Saffron House Stables a stones throw away from Newmarket it’s no surprise to see him do well here. Already this season Forca Brasil and Cachet have both won here. FIORINA has already had one run but caught the eye at Kempton. The Showcasing filly was purchased for 140,000 gns at the October Sales from book 1. Easy to back on debut when going off a 16/1 shot and showing signs of inexperience when slow out the stalls before finding her feet just over a furlong out and powering up the inside rail to finish a never nearer seventh. I have had Fiorina as a tracker for a while as George does rate her but I would have been happy to see her turn up in an easier race than one with debut newcomers from top yards. Opened up at 10s with bet 365 and into 4s at the time of writing. I’ve had a little each way at 5s and hope with Murphy in the saddle Fiorina can improve for that debut run, if over 10s would be a negative for me. I do have one other tracker SALITEH for Richard Hannon who steps up in trip here after a couple of decent efforts. Not one to be wrote off by any means and added to the mix is plenty of nice newcomers. Definitely not a race to go mad on. 

17:20 Newcastle 08 Oct 2021 

A newcomer to note in this one. We have a hot favourite here in the name of PERIPATETIC who will take all the beating after a nice debut for Roger Varian. I will be watching closely to see how the David Simcock runner CHING SHIH shapes up on date. The Lope De Vega runs in the familiar colours of owner Miss K Rausing. A tough place to start but one to watch who will improve for the run and is well-thought by David. A tough day tomorrow but good luck and thanks for reading.

Author: Craig Newton 

Thursday's Racing Tips (7th October)

Just a quick post to fill a space. 

1:00 Ayr - 

This looks a race where most have been searching for a win. 

I'm always worried about any horse that doesn't win in its first three starts. Beltane has run well and should have a fighting chance here. You may say he needs more than a chance at even money. Monsieur Jumbo ran well last time out and if doing the same may have claims at 11/4. Not a race I will be betting. 

5:30 Chelmsford - 

High Velocity is a good-looking colt who ran well enough on debut. Dropping back to five-furlongs after being put in his place by Light Infantry. Has very good stat but with the original favourite, True Icon, being a non runner it looks a pointless exercise. I say that because Tate's horse in this category (I'm not saying anymore) either win or unplaced. I'd be pretty surprised if this grey colt loses but at relatively short odds there isn't much meat on the bone. 

6:30 Chelmsford - 

An intriguing race where the two favourites look the types to win. Flora Finch is my idea of the winner and probably a fair price to chance. If drifting to the extreme would be a good bet. Rae Guest's Mizzen You ran well on debut at Yarmouth and may well have won if a little more clued up. This grey filly should go well in this banded race although whether she will be good enough to beat the favourite is the gamble. A wide draw doesn't help, especially on a turning course. Even over seven furlong, which gives time, you don't want to be pushed wide because it is big problem. In addition, Guest's two-year-olds on their second start often struggle to win. It is a concern. On the stats, there is more chance of being placed and if drifting to the extreme may make a fair each way bet.

Author: Jason Coote

Monday, 27 September 2021

Monday's Racing Tips (27th September)

It’s been a while since my last post and it’s fair to say the trackers have could have done better lately to be honest, it’s funny because the same thing happened last season when I started off pretty strong but the last few months of the flat season was a disaster, definitely something for me to look into when the flat season finishes. 

I do still have trackers coming through as we still have a fair bit of 2-year-old racing left but I will be betting with caution after my recent hits to my betting bank. 

17:30 Newcastle 27 Sep 2021 

I do have a few trackers in this. I had a few quid on the William Haggas runner Persist last time out who ran a decent enough when coming third in a class 2 race at Salisbury at the beginning of the month. Persist was in a bit of a barging match at the business end of the race that day and came off third best to a nice looking horse of Ralph Beckett’s called Good American. I’m pretty sure the Cheveley Park Stud owned Frankel filly will have a win on the board soon enough and today could be the day, around 5/2 at the time of writing. Aunt Bethany actually came second that day and another who could be involved here. At the time of writing the Sir Michael Stoute trained Chichen Itza has been well-supported into favourite after a decent debut fourth at Leicester 20 days ago, could be anything really and not one to be ruled out. I keep saying I won’t back a newcomer ever again but it never happens and I’ve had a small each way on my next tracker HOOKED ON YOU who is a 130,000 gns yearling trained by one of my favourite 2-year-old trainers Karl Burke, I do normally like to back his runners second time out but I’m taking a chance on this Starspangledbanner filly who was bought at the December yearling sales and owned by John and Jess Dance. A half-sister to the superb Alcohol Free who won on debut and has since won plenty of group races for trainer Andrew Balding. Hooked On You has attracted a bit of support from 7s so it will be interesting looking at the market near race time. 

18:00 Newcastle 27 Sep 2021 

Not much of interest here apart from my only tracker THREE DIAMONDS for trainer David Simcock who makes his debut here. It’s been a pretty quiet season so far for David but he has still managed a couple of debut winners. Any support for the Night Of Thunder colt would be interesting here, if weak I would take it as a negative. Has a low draw to deal with. Around 5s at the time of writing. 

14:10 Ayr 28 Sep 2021 

A couple of trackers here. Mark Johnston trained CAPITAL THEORY who brings a decent level of form to the table here. Another is a bit of a dark horse called MR ALAN who hasn’t been seen since running a nice race back in May at Yarmouth. A £92,000 purchase and owned by Amo Racing and trained by George Boughey. The form of the race has worked out really well and if the long absence isn’t an issue hopefully Mr Alan can get his head in front here. 

13:15 Cork (IRE) 28 Sep 2021 

SCHOLAR is a very well-thought of No Nay Never Aidan O’Brien colt who could be a nice type for the future. I can never be sure how Aidan’s 2-year-olds run on debut so could be a watching brief. Thanks for reading and good luck.