Wednesday, 11 February 2026

50 TO FOLLOW FOR THE FLAT 2026

We would like to thank Owen Johnson for kindly forwarding 10 of his 50 To Follow for the Flat 2026. We have seen the exceptional work and results so this is just a taster of what he has to offer. If you want to work closer with Owen then you can learn more here:  Patreon.com/OwenJohnsonRacing  

1) Pierre Bonnard - Trainer: Aidan O'Brien

As with many Aidan O'Brien debutants Pierre Bonard was in need of his first run when fourth and outpaced at Leopardstown. Interestingly the third that day Montreal (also trained by O'Brien) won by eight lengths on his next start at Leopardstown. Pierre Bonard then got off mark comfortably at Dundalk, then he came over for the Zetland Stakes at Newmarket in which he won readily under Christophe Soumillion. However, what impressed me here was the steady nature of the race shouldn't have suited him and therefore may have hid his superiority over his rivals. O'Brien then sent Pierre Bonard to the Criterium de Saint-Cloud in which he asserted well after being shaken up to beat A Boy Named Suzie by two lengths. This Camelot colt looks every inch a Derby horse to me and hopefully my 16/1 bet for that contest looks good come June.

2) Publish - Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

As promised it's time to talk about this son of Kingman who was unlucky not to make a winning start after he ran into trouble on a couple of occasions under Colin Keane, and would certainly have won had he not met interference. Publish though made no mistake back at the Esher track when winning the Martin Densham Novice a race Juddmonte have tended to run their better two year olds in. Then just before the Juddmonte International I bumped into Juddmonte's Racing Manager Simon Mockridge, and asked him for a two-year old to follow. His answer was: 'Our best two year old is Publish by some distance'. Given that Juddmonte have some other nice two year olds this was a strong statement to make. However, as aforementioned he got beat by Bow Echo in the Ascendant Stakes. William Buick I'm sure on reflection would like that ride back as he gave Publish a lot to do but when asked he quickened smartly but that burst may have paid late on as he hung his chance away to give Bow Echo the victory. Shayem who was a further one and three quarter lengths behind then won his next two starts beating a nice of Andrew Baldings in Alfaraz, and then won the Listed Silver Tankard at Pontefract easily. Just to add another chapter to Publish I was on the gallops with Thady Gosden in October and asked him about Publish with his response being: 'He's got plenty of talent and will be even better next year'. With all that said the 20/1 about Publish for the 2000 Guineas may look better value than the 10/1 about Bow Echo given the regard he's held and there may be more improvement to come in his three year old year.

3) Turty Tree - Trainer: Andrew Balding

This New Bay like colt like most Andrew Balding newcomers was in need of the run on its debut, but it didn't stop him running an eye-catching race. With two furlongs to go Turty Tree was pushed along by PJ McDonald but rallied strongly up the hill gaining on the winner all the way to the line, under hands and heels to be only beaten one and three quarter lengths. Put away after that I would be surprised if Balding can't find a race for Turty Tree to win in the spring before going onto better things this year.

4) My Ophelia - Trainer: William Haggas

Another horse who really caught my eye at Book 1 in 2024 was this Wootton Bassett filly who was put forward by professional gambler Patrick Veitch to another professional gambler in Tony Bloom who alongside Ian McAleavy paid 1.7 million for her. Despite the hefty price tag My Ophelia won without turning a hair on debut at Newbury when always in control to win by two lengths. Before she made her debut I caught up with a member of the Haggas team on Warren Hill and asked him about My Ophelia in which he replied: 'Yeah she's a nice filly will probably be one for next year'. A couple of days later after Binaheer had won at York I also asked Haggas assistant trainer about My Ophelia and he said: ' I ride her every day and she's lovely. She'll be better next year but I like her'. Then if you didn't need anymore My Ophelia quotes Tom Marquand was interviewed in the Weekender newspaper by Georgia Cox and when asked for a horse to follow Marquand said: 'My Ophelia was one that really impressed me. She's a beautiful, rangy filly, and it felt like coming into this year was when we'd start to see her step up to her best physically'. Then asked about her family he continued by saying:' They've all been talented and they've all had their own characters. In her own way, I thought she's got quite a good mind. She probably has a bit more speed and zip than the others, so hopefully that'll be the bridge to her being top class'. With all this you'd say it's not a given that My Ophelia will be an Oaks filly and therefore the 1000 Guineas could potentially be on her agenda in which she is a 25/1 shot.

5) My Love Is King - Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

This Kingman colt came to my attention before he made his debut, as when I was in Newmarket for the sales in October I went to the bottom of Warren Hill and chatted to one of the Gosden's assistant trainers, and he was kind enough to run me through their string. Without asking he said: 'This is a nice two year old here by Kingman out of Fallen In Love, he'll be worth following'. Therefore, it was no surprise that My Love Is King was a hot favourite for his debut at Newcastle. Despite being ridden early on by his jockey Luke Catton, the penny dropped and the Kingman colt ran out a ready winner by one and three quarter lengths from Ilraawi who was a rare all weather runner for his owner Sheikh Ahmed Al Maktoum. Given the comments from Gosden's assistant and what he did on debut, I'm looking forward to seeing what My Love Is King does this season. A mile to a mile and a quarter would look to be best for him.

6) Venetian Prince - Trainer: Andrew Balding

The last horse to talk about from that Newmarket maiden won by Distant Storm is this St Mark's Basilica colt. he was quietly fancied to run well in that sed maiden at Newmarket, but despite travelling well he hung left and weakened a furlong out looking like he needed the run. On his next start at Newbury Venetian Prince was hammered to get off the mark, however it nearly went wrong before he made the racetrack as he seemed to get an allergic reaction to something on his short journey to Newbury, and as a result had snot pouring from his nostrils. Thankfully, it cleared up and he was allowed to run and rewarded his backers by beating subsequent winner Wechaad by a length. Venetian Prince was given a long break after that but was out early in 2026 when hot favorite for a novice at Southwell. However, disaster struck late on when the reins broke late on and Venetian Prince hung left as a result and in the process costing him certain victory. This could be a blessing in disguise however as Venetian Prince is now rated eighty seven which looks lenient to me, with a tilt at all weather finals day on the cards for this Kingsclere inmate.

7) Item - Trainer: Andrew Balding

As promised this Frankel colt gets his turn now and I'm very excited about his prospects this year. He was liked before making his debut when beating Ya Karim and co but the way he did it from a bad draw in stall eleven marked him out as a smart horse. In addition the second Devon Island has won twice subsequently in Meydan and was second in the UAE 2000 Guineas on his latest start. Item, then went to Bath for his next run which was a small field, but readily dealt with the Clive Cox trained Blue Courvoisier, who before that had broken the two year old track record at Leicester, and was well backed to beat Item on the day but could only get within three and half lengths of him. Afterwards Item's jockey Rob Hornby said: 'He felt like he had a big engine there and he'd only been on the grass once at home but he got a beautiful big stride on him he's one to look forward to'. Item was then due to run the Vertem Futurity at Doncaster but swerved that due to the ground. I have backed Item at 50/1 for the Derby and I'm more than hopeful he can become a serious contender come June.

8) Ya Karim - Trainer: Harry Charlton

This son of Ghaiyyath made an encouraging start at Kempton as he was slowly away but then made stylish headway to finish third after being backed before the off under Finley Marsh. The winner Item (more on him later) won again since, and Ya Karim himself made no mistakes on his second start when winning comfortably by a length at Yarmouth, and taking the majority of the back straight to pull up, which is always a good sign. However, given the stable's liking for the London Gold Handicap at Newbury in May it will be interesting to see what race Charlton chooses for Ya Karim when he reappears, but I can see the handicap in May being an early season target a race last won by the stable with King's Gambit who carries the same colours as Ya Karim.

9) Miss Scott - Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

This filly by Night Of Thunder was one of my top picks from Book 1 in 2024, and so far she hasn't let me down being unbeaten one from one so far in her career. At Leicester she beat some horses with experience and did it coming nearest the unfavoured stands rail. After running a bit green in the early stages, Miss Scott got the message and ran out a nice winner by one and a quarter lengths from Sydney Rock who had finished second twice before that. Reported to have done well over the winter, it will be interesting to see if the Gosdens run her in a guineas or oaks trail in the spring as she looks exciting on the track as well as off it having gone 650,000 guineas as a yearling.

10) Haaderr - Trainer: Ed Bethell

This gorgeous Mohather colt was the first horse Ed Bethell had trained for Sheik Ahmed Al Maktoumn who went too 175,000 guineas to secure him and is also related to last year's fifty to follow entrant Le Botte. Haaderr was unlucky not to get off the mark at the first time of asking at Haydock, when he ran into trouble in the run and then hung left at a vital stage, and was still only beaten a head. It looked Haaderr had a straightforward task on his second start at Thirsk, but for my money Callum Rodriguez rode him with too much confidence and as a result failed to beat his main market rival Hasbro Market. Nothing was left to chance on his third run however when Rodriguez made all on him at Southwell to win eased down by one and three quarter lengths. In doing so he beat Nova Centauri, who finished behind Spyce and Lightning Thunder previously at Yarmouth, and on debut was third to Venetian Prince. So Haaderr treated him with contempt which marks him out as a smart horse, and a rating of eighty six looks lenient to me, and could he make up for Le Botte's misfortunate, and go one better in the Britannia this year?

Friday, 9 January 2026

Why Irish Racing Still Feels Like the Soul of the Sport

There is something about Irish racing that feels untouched.

Not untouched by time — Ireland’s racecourses evolve, adapt, and modernise — but untouched by excess. The sport here still breathes. It still belongs to the land, the people, and the horses that shape it.

You notice it the moment you arrive. Whether it’s a quiet weekday meeting or a packed summer festival, Irish racing feels personal.

Tradition Without Stagnation

Despite its deep roots, Irish racing hasn’t resisted change.

On-course bookmakers still shout prices. Racecards still rustle in the wind. But phones are out now too. Punters compare odds, track late money, and use online platforms alongside traditional betting.

Resources such as IrishFreeBets.org reflect how modern Irish racing fans blend old habits with new opportunities — not chasing shortcuts, but making informed decisions in a changing betting landscape.

The past and present sit comfortably together here.

The Land Shapes the Racing

Irish racecourses are rarely forced into existence. They emerge naturally from the landscape.

Rolling plains. Rising hills. Coastal winds. Soft ground that turns testing overnight. Tracks like the Curragh, Navan, and Galway don’t flatter horses — they expose them. Balance matters. Stamina matters. Courage matters.

This is why Irish-trained horses so often excel abroad. They are raised and tested on courses that ask real questions. Racing here is not about perfection. It’s about resilience.

The People Make the Difference

Irish racing thrives on connection.

Owners stand beside trainers. Trainers speak openly to racegoers. Jockeys are accessible. Conversations flow easily — in the paddock, by the rail, or over a pint after racing.

At smaller tracks especially, you’ll see generations attending together. Children leaning on railings. Old friends discussing form they’ve followed for decades. Racing isn’t a spectacle here. It’s a shared habit.

That sense of belonging is impossible to manufacture.

Festival Racing That Feels Earned

Irish festivals don’t overwhelm. They build.

Galway grows steadily through the week. Punchestown unfolds like a celebration of the jumps season. Listowel, Ballinrobe, and Killarney bring towns alive rather than shutting them down.

These festivals are part of local rhythm. Shops stay open late. Music drifts across car parks. Racing becomes the backdrop to something bigger — a gathering rather than a takeover.

It’s why visitors often return year after year.

Horses Still Come First

Perhaps the most important thing about Irish racing is this: the horses still feel central.

Paddocks matter. Conditions matter. Trainers are cautious rather than reckless. Owners often keep horses longer, allowing them to develop instead of rushing careers.

There’s respect in how Irish racing treats its animals. Even in defeat, there’s dignity. Even in victory, there’s restraint.

That balance is rare in modern sport.

Why It Endures

Irish racing endures because it doesn’t pretend to be something it’s not.

It doesn’t chase spectacle at the expense of substance. It doesn’t sacrifice character for convenience. It understands that racing, at its best, is about patience — in breeding, in training, and in watching.

For those who love the sport deeply, Ireland offers something increasingly scarce: authenticity.

And once you feel it — standing beside a rail, wind on your face, horses moving quietly in the paddock — you realise why Irish racing still feels like the soul of the game.


Friday, 14 November 2025

50 To Follow - 2025 Flat Season

50 To Follow - 2025 Flat Season

 

50 To Follow – 2025 Flat Season

by Owen Johnson


I would like to thank Owen for forwarding his 50 To Follow - 2025 Flat Season. He was good enough to forward an impressive list of winners last year In fact, it was one of the most post popular posts on the blog with several thousand page views. 

If you want to keep up to date, I would suggest you follow him on X @OwenJohnson4. Owen has a growing following and I can personally recommend his information and tips. The best way to appreciate someone's worth is by following them.     

Kalpana - Trainer: Andrew Balding

As is tradition with my fifty to follow, I like to get my 'obvious' horses out of the way to begin with. However, I had no hesitation in putting this Study Of Man filly in as she progressed throughout last season culminating in her win on Champions Day at Ascot in the Fillies & Mares. Kalapana was somewhat of a surprise package last season as she unexpectedly routed a field of decent handicappers at the Craven meeting by ten lengths, including Align The Stars who went on to win at Glorious Goodwood. It then seemed as if defeat was out of the question when she was extremely strong in the market to win the Pretty Polly back at Newmarket, in which she came off second best to Friendly Soul in a protracted duel on the Rowley Mile. But there was no shame in that, as despite Friendly Soul's disappointing run in the Musidora, she bounced back to remain unbeaten throughout the rest of her campaign in taking a Group 3, Group 2 and the prestigious Group 1 Prix De L'Opera on Arc Day. Kalapana herself then found the ground too quick at Royal Ascot when third in the Ribblesdale, but nearly a month later easily secured the Glasgow stakes at Hamilton Park. Given a freshen up after that she easily dismissed her rivals in the September Stakes by four and three quarter lengths, the fifth home that day Hamish went on to boost the form by winning a listed race at the Curragh by five lengths. As aforementioned Kalpana's season ended with victory in the Fillies & Mares on Champions Day. This showed for sure that she can cope with testing ground and with that in mind she should hopefully handle the likely testing conditions in the Arc De Triomphe, as that is her main aim this year. She is currently 20/1 with Betfair for the Arc which I think is a good price as she will likely take a similar route to last year's winner Bluestocking and given that currently Lake Victoria is heading the market with some firms for the Arc she could well be worth an interest now as I think I've got more chance of winning the Tour De France than Lake Victoria staying the Arc distance!

The Lion In Winter - Trainer: Aidan O'Brien

This lad came to my attention before he even made his debut at the Curragh as I was informed by a well-known bloodstock judge that this Sea The Stars colt was an impressive type and lots of the big players were looking at him. However, it was a surprise to see M V Magnier buy him for the Coolmore partners as Aidan O'Brien said after he won the Acomb: 'He's the only Sea The Stars we have'. Therefore he must have impressed the team as he had my friend for them to go to 375,000 Euros at the 2023 Goffs Orby Sale. Anyway The Lion In Winter made his debut on Irish Oaks Day and if you ever want to see a horse learning on the job in a maiden he would be it. As he ended up winning going away from Currawood, who was beaten subsequently at odds on next time at Naas, the third Ides Of March (also trained by Aiden O'Brien) won a maiden at the Curragh and then went back to win the Group three Round Tower Stakes. I then got to see The Lion In Winter in the flesh in the aforementioned Acomb Stakes at York and he didn't disappoint. Despite many pundits saying the quick seven furlongs at York would be too sharp for him, Ryan Moore was always up there in the van and from three out led all the way to the line in convincing fashion. The second that day Wimbledon Hawkeye went on to win the Royal Lodge on his next start before then finishing third on really deep ground in the Futurity. It was a shame that we didn't get to see The Lion In Winter after that as I'm sure he would have stamped himself as the champion two year old. However, after two runs I've seen enough to suggest he's a star in the making and I'm also sure he'll appreciate a step up in trip this year which is hopefully the case as I've got a nice 16/1 voucher for the Derby.

Desert Flower - Trainer: Charlie Appleby

This Night Of Thunder filly was another case of learning on the job when on debut and still managed to be impressive. Despite missing the break slightly and running green early on, she also won going away devouring the uphill rise to the line on Newmarket's July course. The second that day Flight made no mistake in winning a fillies maiden at Sandown next time by four lengths, before then having to see Desert Flower's backside again in the May Hill at Doncaster in which I was present. After seeing Desert Flower in the paddock, her calm demeanour really stood out and to boot she has large ears which the late great Sir Henry Cecil always looked for in his Fillies. It was therefore no surprise to see her comfortably land the contest by one and a half lengths. As is also tradition with May Hill winners their next port of call is the Fillies Mile at Newmarket and Desert Flower was devastating winning by five and a half lengths from January (a four length improvement on that of the May Hill) where despite edging right she once again powered away. It does seem that Desert Flower has an affinity with Newmarket and for my money she's the most likely winner of the 1,000 Guineas at this stage albeit Lake Victoria will not be an easy nut to crack.

Verse Of Love - Trainer - Charlie Appleby

On the same day that Desert Flower won the Fillies Mile this Siyouni filly also made her debut and it was a striking one. Despite running green and having to be pushed along inside the final furlong, it was a case of how far for Verse Of Love who had everyone signing her praises afterwards, to the extent that she is now 16/1 for the 1,000 Guineas. From what I was told, she is a lengthy and imposing filly which would be in contrast to her then stable companion Wild Angel, who finished second to her that day and on her next start was third to a filly Ralph Beckett told me: ' Could be special'. More on her in a minute but from what Verse of Love showed on debut I'd be more than hopeful she can enhance her claims further in either a Guineas trial or possibly something later down the line if she wasn’t to come to hand in the spring but she is a winner in waiting.

Bright Times Ahead - Trainer: Ralph Beckett

No prizes for guessing that this is the filly Ralph Beckett told me: 'Could be Special'. I chatted to him after he had just won the November Handicap with Lord Melbourne. Given time to mature and strengthen as a two year old we didn't see Bright Times Ahead until the second of November, but it was worth the wait! She travelled strongly and in the last furlong it was a case of when Hector Crouch was going to press the button. The response was pretty immediate and she won impressively by three and a half lengths. What was striking that day was the market confidence behind her, as late on the market couldn't keep as she was sent off the 13/8 favourite but a Betfair SP of 2.62 so the money certainly had kept coming in for her (which is always a positive given who owns her). Indeed Doreen Tabor had to go to 460,000 Euros at the 2023 Arqana August Yearling Sale with Bloodstock agent of the year Alex Elliott signing the ticket for her. It may have been a big price tag but from what we saw on debut and what Ralph Beckett told me everything suggests that there certainly are Bright Times Ahead for this Lope De Vega filly.

Banyan - Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

Given what I said about Bright Times Ahead the horses in behind were always going to be of interest despite the third's somewhat limited ability. But Banyan was also making her racecourse debut and ran like her pedigree suggests that she just wanted further. Weak in the market and seemingly the stable's second string on the day to Swiss Lightning, Banyan just took the eye in how she stayed on and although she was no match for the winner, it would be no surprise to see her break her maiden in a Newmarket or Newbury maiden come the spring over more of a test of stamina.

Cosmic Year - Trainer: Harry Charlton

Of all the horses in this list this fellow is the one I'm looking forward to seeing the most for a couple reasons. Firstly, the performance he put up at Sandown on debut was that of a top class performer in the making, as he bolted up by six and a half lengths. Secondly, the form of the race is starting to work out well as the second Rock d'Oro had already given the future Champagne Stakes winner Bay City Roller plenty to think about on his debut before being switched to America to join Jorge Delgardo's stable and quickly made an impact by breaking his maiden impressively at Tampa Bay Downs, albeit on the synthetic. Furthermore, the third from Sandown Quai De Bethune only this week came out and won easily at Kempton in what admittedly looked a weak race, however his trainer Andrew Balding said: ' he had been working well and that the Kentucky Derby Trail was the plan for his horse'. Despite all of this, what alerted to me to the fact that Cosmic Year could be a talented horse was the fact that Harry initially had wanted to run him in a seven furlong maiden at Newbury, a race that like his father Roger sent out their best two year old in. However it was too warm to risk him that day and even Harry said when interviewed after he won: ‘He lost quite a bit of weight coming back from the races that day so it was probably the right decision’. To boot Cosmic Year has a big pedigree being a full brother to Tempus and half-brother to Time Test and out of the classy mare Passage Of Time. I expect great things of this son of Kingman and I hope my 33/1 wager for the 2,000 Guineas is still alive after he takes in classic trail in the spring.

Windlord - Trainer: Andrew Balding   

Another Juddmonte owned colt with classic aspirations is this Dubawi colt. Always highly thought of, it was clear that he needed his first run when a promising fourth at Sandown before he went back to the Esher track when he had to give second best to Anno Domini who was given a 25/1 quote for the 2,000 Guineas immediately afterwards. Windlord then got off the mark in a class two novice at York by five and a half lengths and the second Shah had been second in the valuable Convivial maiden at York before that before winning decisively after getting put in his place by Windlord. Jockey Tom Marquand said : 'He didn't handle the ground that well'. It was off to Ireland for the Beresford next for Windlord in which he was very well supported in the market going off the 2/1 joint favourite with Hotazhell, who ended up taking the contest by three quarters of a length before then going onto win the Group 1 Futurity at Doncaster. The second that day Tennessee Stud also went onto win the Group One Criterium De Saint Cloud. However, I feel when he ran in Ireland the Irish did a bit of a job on Windlord and I think in a less tactical affair he can be seen to better effect in higher company. He is likely to head to a Derby trail in the spring with the Dante mooted as a possibility.

Regal Ulixes - Trainer: Andrew Balding

Another who could be heading for a Derby Trial from the Balding stable is this Ulysses colt. He was an eye-catcher on debut in the Peter Willett at Goodwood in September having been carried left at the start and then squeezed for room at the finish. He returned later the same month in the prestigious Haynes Hanson & Clark Stakes at Newbury, where he made light work of the opposition winning comfortably under Oisin Murphy. Out of the Group three winner Regal Realm he was bought for 70,000 guineas at the 2023 Book 2 Tattersalls sale in Newmarket and from what we've seen so far that may look a bargain.

Centigrade - Trainer: Ralph Beckett

Ralph Beckett's horses will be featuring plenty in this list and this Too Darn Hot colt could be the most promising of the males. Out of a half-sister to crack two-year-old Sergei Prokofiev. He was second on debut to the smart Jonquil (now with Andrew Balding) on his debut in the summer at Sandown and after a break made all to score by five and a half lengths at Newbury in October. Beckett said: ' He's a nice horse for next year and we should have plenty of fun with him'. Bought at the Arqana Breeze-Up sale by Highclere and their members have a lot to look forward to with this lad.

That's Amore - Trainer: Ralph Beckett

Another late-season winner this time on debut for Beckett was this New Bay filly out of the Lope De Vega mare Rubira whose progeny include the smart handicapper Persica. That's Amore's connections however will be hoping that she can reach greater heights as she shone on debut when clearly well fancied going off the 11/10 favourite and winning impressively by six lengths. You could say it wasn't a strong race that That's Amore won which at the moment is borne out by what some of those in behind have done since. However the second Celestial Pearl was thought good enough to start in the Newmarket maiden which was won by Verse Of Love. Celestial Pearl certainly stepped up from her debut as at one point she threatened to give That's Amore a race but once Hector Crouch asked her to go it was a case of name the distance. Interestingly since her debut Lady Bamford has purchased That's Amore privately and she could be looking at an Oaks Trial come the spring where hopefully we are all bursting into song!

Alobayyah - Trainer: William Haggas

Another filly who could be looking at an Oaks Trial come springtime is this Ghaiyyath filly. Bought for 115,000 guineas at Tatts Book 2 in 2023, Alobayyah went some way to paying that back when scoring at Yarmouth over a mile in October, when beating the more experienced Karl Burke trained Royal Agenda. Bred to stay on both sides being by the aforementioned Ghaiyyath and of a Samum mare which means she comes from a stout staying German family, Samum did manage to win the Prix Miesque at two and is from the immediate family of Queen Mary winner Dramatised. However, I expect Alobayyah to take after her staying genes and is currently 25/1 for the Oaks itself.

Crown Of Oaks - Trainer: William Haggas

After talking about the Oaks it's now time to talk about Crown Of Oaks. Bought for 260,000 at the 2023 Tatts Book 1 Sale by William Haggas, though it was professional gambler Patrick Veitch who advised Crown Of Oaks’ owner Tony Bloom and Ian McAleavy, who are both also known for their punting exploits. Back to the horse who enters his three year old career as a maiden but he should have no problem shedding that tag based on what he did on the Rowley Mile on his debut. During the race his position of mid-division proved a disadvantage. As it developed, front runners had a distinct advantage (as is normally the case at Newmarket). But he ate up the ground in the last furlong to be a strong staying on third to Secret Theory and Spirit Of Summer who is now rated ninety. His finishing effort was not only striking, but he can be marked up on that based on where he was positioned. Likely to stay at least a mile and possibly further William Haggas should have another nice colt to go to war with this year.

Kibris - Trainer: Joseph O'Brien

Back over the Irish sea now and this son of Lope De Vega was another that my bloodstock friend liked when he saw Kibris as a yearling at the Goffs Orby Sale who is out of May Hill Stakes runner-up Dark Rose Angel. He was bought by Anthony Bromley of Highflyer for 155,000 Euros and judging by his debut win at the Curragh that could be money well spent. Well backed late on he took the scalp of no less than twenty-six rivals in the mile maiden at Irish Flat Racing HQ. Kibris’ jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle was full of praise saying:' He's a gorgeous big horse and the race set up lovely for him. He travelled well and was very professional', he continued. 'He picked up better than I thought he would. He has plenty about him and is one to look forward to'. All I say is Dylan let's hope so.

Almeric- Trainer: Andrew Balding

Back to the Balding’s now and another middle-distance prospect for them is by the same sire as Kalpana in Almeric, a Study Of Man half-brother to nine winners, including group three winner Alla Speranza and the dam of another Kingsclere favourite Shine So Bright. It's fair to say Balding knows the family well, and he decided to wait until mid-September to give the debut where he was a bit slow on the uptake as most of Balding’s newcomers are when the stalls opened, before finishing strongly to take fourth in a mile maiden at Sandown. Almeric was much more streetwise at York on his second start when getting the better of the well regarded Roger Varian trained Ride The Thunder in what was a prolonged battle on the Knavesmire. Hopefully he could be a group horse for his owner-breeder Kirsten Rausing.

Cathedral - Trainer: Ralph Beckett

The day before Almeric got off the mark at York, this Frankel filly was also on her second outing, but had to settle for second behind the Aidan O'Brien trained Merrily in the Oh So Sharp Stakes at Newmarket. However she got off the mark in sparkling fashion at Lingfield where according to the market, winning was a formality as she was sent off the 1/2 favourite having opening at 4/5 in the show and was bigger prices than that the night before. Cathedral certainly read the script and won by four and a quarter lengths without a moments worry. My thoughts on why she didn't win the Oh So Sharp was put simply as lack of experience. The winner Merrily had five previous starts before beating Cathedral where she had only had one, and on a difficult track such as Newmarket with all it's undulations I'm taking a positive view about her moving forward. Bought for 800,000 Euros for Amo Racing they will be hoping she can make an impact this year especially after the loss of their Convivial winner Angelo Buarranotti.

Thunder Run - Trainer: Karl Burke

Normally in this list I focus on the improving three year olds, but this time around I wanted to put some handicappers in who could potentially progress to something better and Thunder Run is the first of those. This Night Of Thunder gelding first came on my radar when easily disposing of The Reverend in a mile novice at Thirsk. After that he went onto to score comfortably at prohibitive odds at Hamilton Park. However, it was in the William Hill Summer Cup back at Thirsk where he caught my eye as he was heavily backed into 4/6 favourite but plenty went wrong as jockey Danny Tudhope dropped his whip inside the final furlong and then was tenderly handled after that, and finished third as a result. Thunder Run was on his game in the Clipper Handicap at York which his owner sponsors, so no doubt it was great to see him lead for the majority of the contest before getting on top close home to win by half a length from Mirsky. Thunder Run then went to the Balmoral Handicap on Champions Day but was disadvantaged when having to race away from the main group in the early stages, and when he eventually joined the main group he looked like he was going to play a serious hand in the finish. However those early exertions put paid to his chances as Carrytheone came over the top to win. What this showed though was that Thunder Run can cope with soft ground and with him being entered in the Lincoln I can see him been a serious player in that race if indeed he goes there and conditions are in his favour.

Mount Atlas - Trainer: Andrew Balding

The Kingsclere handler had a raft of nice middle-distance and staying three year old’s last year and one of them was this Masar gelding. Unraced at two, he had an inauspicious start to his career when unseating Will Carver at Windsor in April last year and was then very green at Nottingham in May, but he then won two of his next three starts, the latter being a handicap at Ascot over twelve furlongs. Mount Atlas then had a slight hold up before being beaten by the highly progressive Sun God in the Old Rowley Cup at Newmarket. He travelled supremely well that day and I personally believe that Oisin Murphy went for home too soon and although he wouldn't have beaten Sun God he rather played into his hands. Now gelded, he remains very lightly raced and could be a candidate for the Ebor this season.

Sun God - Trainer: Hughie Morrison

If I'm putting Mount Atlas in I have to also but Sun God in, a half-brother to group winner Sumo Sam. Before Sun God got the better of Mount Atlas at Newmarket he ran a very respectable fifth in the Melrose but didn't see the trip out in the final furlong. As always the Melrose looked a strong race and third home Master Builder since won impressively in a competitive handicap at Haydock before been undone in a small field tactical affair at York afterwards. However, down in trip he proved too good for Mount Atlas and drew clear in the style of a possible pattern performer. Even if I do think his winning margin slightly flattered him on the day there is no getting away from the fact that Sun God is a horse who will be worth following in those middle-distance staying handicaps this season.

King's Gambit - Trainer: Harry Charlton

Now this lad is far from a handicapper but he started as a three year old by routing his opposition in the London Gold Cup Handicap on Lockinge Day at Newbury. It's a race the Charlton's have done well in the past with the likes of Al Kazeem, Time Test, Imperial Aviator and Headman all winning the contest for the yard. King's Gambit indeed won by four lengths and Persica who finished fourth that day went on to enhance the form by winning three times subsequently. Royal Ascot then beckoned for the son of Saxon Warrior but unfortunately it all went wrong as William Buick had him too far back and then ran into trouble in the home straight and still only went down narrowly to ill-fated Jayarebe. I then saw King's Gambit for the first time in the flesh for the Sky Bet York Stakes, and I have to say I haven't seen many better looking horses in my time of following the sport as he has a beautiful long stride and just oozes class. However, unfortunately he was undone by a tactical affair there. He then came back to York for the Great Voltigeur which again was a small field and for my money he didn't stay, but he wasn't helped by Buick deciding that the middle of the track was a better place to be than nearer the far rail as Ryan Moore was on the winner Los Angeles. Charlton then rolled the dice with King's Gambit and put him in the Qipco Champion Stakes, now he may only have finished seventh but Oisin Murphy was full of praise for him afterwards saying:' We went too fast but for him to still keep on and to be only beaten six lengths in that field was extraordinary and he hated the ground'. It's fair to say not much has gone right for King's Gambit since Newbury but hopefully that will change this season and since his last run he's been purchased privately by Wathnan Racing and is likely to reappear soon to try and claim a big money pot out in Qatar.

Field Of Gold - Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

Back to the three-year-olds now and this Kingman colt was bought for 530,000 euros as a foal from the Goffs November sale in 2022. Like most Gosden newcomers Field Of Gold was in need of his first run which was compounded by the fact that he got upset in the stalls and was slowly away. Despite all that Field Of Gold looked like he was going to make a serious challenge over a furlong out but when let down he was completely clueless, wandered around and in the end stuck on to be third beaten two and three quarter lengths by New Century, who since then went onto win the Listed Stonehenge Stakes at Salisbury and then won a big pot in a Grade One out in Canada at Woodbine. Field Of Gold himself then bolted up on the July Course and after the race one of his trainers John Gosden was full of praise saying: ' I loved that it's always a race we like bringing a nice horse to you know and say he's a best two year old as we stand here'. The second that day Starzintheireyes has remained unbeaten since including taking the Group Three Zetland Stakes at Newmarket. Gosden’s as is their custom bring their best colts to the Solorio Stakes in which he comfortably dealt with some smart types in Matauri Bay and Royal Playwright. His final run then came in the Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere but he was far too keen and given the really soft ground he was never going to see his race out. In fairness Field Of Gold's dam Princess De Lune was 'a bit of a hothead when I rode her' said jockey Kieran Shoemark. But I certainly won't be giving up on him this year and could he possibly break the Gosden hoodoo and finally win the 2,000 Guineas for them?

Chancellor - Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

As I said earlier most Gosden newcomers need their first run and that looked the case on debut for Chancellor as he dwelt when the stalls opened and then was a bit short of room, but after that everything else went fairly smoothly. As he made headway from over two out and then in the last hundred yards went away in the style of a promising horse. The son of Kingman then went to the Pat Eddery Stakes at Ascot but he once again got bumped at the start, lost a shoe and still managed third, only a length and a half behind New Century who was second to Al Qudra. Both those horses who finished in front of Chancellor went on to be first and second in the Grade 1 Summer Mile out in Woodbine with New Century turning the form around. Chancellor then stepped back into Novice company and won comfortably from Brave Mission who has won since. Unfortunately though Chancellor again encountered problems but this time of his own doing at Doncaster as he burst through the front of the stalls when favourite for the Champagne Stakes. According to reports he's done well over the winter to the extent that Rab Havlin put him up as a horse to follow when interviewed in the Weekender by former jockey Georgia Cox.

Falconer - Trainer: Andrew Balding

Nottingham maidens at the back end of the season are always worth noting and that certainly seems to be the case once again as this New Bay colt drew clear with the Ralph Beckett trained El Matador coming out on top by half a length. Again he wasn't fully wound up for his debut and he overcame inexperience under Callum Hutchinson, in traditionally a strong race (won by Adayar in 2020). A half-brother to three winners over nine to fourteen furlongs, Falconer looks sure to appreciate a step up in trip this season and could potentially be a cup horse in the future.

El Matador - Trainer: Ralph Beckett

As mentioned El Matador went down to Falconer on debut, however he disappointed punters going off the heavily backed 8/11 favourite and looked the winner two furlongs from home. However, he was carried left by Falconer a furlong out which may have caused him to become slightly unbalanced and despite keeping on to the line he could never get the past the stoutly bred Balding horse. Bought for 140,000 as a yearling by Alex Elliott on behalf of Valmont he's a real looker and I'm sure like many Ralph Beckett horses this season he can make his name felt amongst the better races this season.

Gulya - Trainer: Roger Varian

This Night Of Thunder filly was picked up as a foal on behalf of Nurlan Bizakov for 200,000 from the Goffs November foal sale in 2022. She was supposed to make her debut at Salisbury and was well backed before being withdrawn on the morning of the race. I then saw her in the flesh at Doncaster’s St Leger Meeting where she was well backed again but had to give second best to Whirl who before that had ran in the Convivial maiden at York and therefore was running against her own sex when accounting for Gulya. In addition Whirl then went onto win the Group Three Staffordstown Stakes at the Curragh. So the fact Gulya despite being keen under Silvestre De Sousa (surprise surprise) finished an eye-catching second to a now Group Three winner It can only be matter of time before she gets off the mark.

Janey Mackers - Trainer: David Menuisier

This well-bred daughter of New Bay surprisingly only cost her trainer 72,000 guineas at the Tatts December yearling sale in 2023. It was likely that Janey Mackers needed her debut at Yarmouth but still ran a respectable third to the promising Hot Flame and the second Bintjeddah had won at Haydock prior to that. But she made no mistake on her second start at Doncaster when always prominent and then going clear under champion jockey Oisin Murphy to win easily by five and a half lengths. Now the form of that race from those in behind may not be much to write home about, however it's clear that David Menuisier's horses improve as they get older and like they hold her in high regard hence her Irish Oaks entry.

Perfect Your Craft - Trainer: Ralph Beckett

If you wanted a horse that is going to stay the Oaks trip then Perfect Your Craft is that horse. By Mastercraftsman out of the Galileo mare Pandora it was a surprise that she only made 110,000 guineas as a yearling, as when I saw her she looked a lovely filly. Given her pedigree, it was no surprise to see her make her debut late in the season, which came at Salisbury. Heavily backed in the market late on, she ran green but when the penny dropped she managed to run down Whatcombe and win by a cosy neck. This performance certainly indicated that Perfect Your Craft will be better over further than a mile which would befit her pedigree and given that she has been given an Irish Oaks entry an Oaks Trial is once again looking on the cards for this Ralph Beckett inmate.

I Am I Said - Trainer: Ralph Beckett

Yes it's Ralph Beckett again! And this Almanzor colt looks a lovely middle-distance prospect in the making. He made his only start in the future stayers novice over a mile on Newmarket’s two year old day fixture. The race in question has been won in the past by the likes of Cracksman and Hurricane Lane. Now that maybe a bit to live up to but I Am I Said could do no more than win in decisive fashion and needing little encouragement to go away from two rivals who were rated in the mid-eighties. He maybe named after the Neil Diamond track but more importantly he's a half-brother to last year's John Smith's Cup winner Enfjaar and is sure to stay at least ten furlongs this season and therefore a Derby trial beckons.

Digub - Trainer: William Haggas

I was lucky to see this Sea The Stars filly as a yearling when she took my breath away at Tatts Book 1 sale of 2023 and it was no surprise that she made a fair whack of 360,000 guineas for the Thoroughbred Racing Corporation. Given her stamina ladened pedigree it was understandable that she didn't appear until late September over seven furlongs which looked on the sharp side for her, as after pulling quite hard and running green she kept on well under tender handling to be a promising fourth. The winner Saqqara Sands was second in a Listed Race on her next start, and the second, Texas Starlight won on her next start at Southwell before bumping into a nice sort at Lingfield when second after that. The third was indeed Wild Angel who set the standard. However, I'd expect Digub to improve markedly for that when seen in the spring and a maiden or a novice looks a sheer formality for her.

Sandtrap - Trainer: Ralph Beckett

I'm almost trying to stop putting so many Beckett horses in but this another filly who can't be ignored. Again I was fortunate to see this Lope De Vega filly as a yearling when bought for 450,000 guineas by Alex Elliott on behalf of Valmont. However, Ballylinch who consigned Sandtrap at the sales must have liked her as they retained a fifty percent share in the filly. Another one given time by her trainer the dogs were certainly barking her name when Sandtrap turned up for her debut at Salisbury and she didn't disappoint, winning comfortably by four and three quarter lengths from Jowddah, who had had a run before when second at Newmarket and then finished second subsequently at Yarmouth to Rhapsody (more on her shortly). However it was the comments afterwards that interested me with Beckett saying: 'There was a bit of pressure today as she had worked well ten days ago so it wasn't a surprise that she did that, she still has to grow into her frame but she's a nice filly and one to look forward to next year'. It was then decided that a trip to Deauville was in the offering for Sandtrap, and despite been well backed again I personally feel the deep ground was to blame as although she is by Lope De Vega who is a soft ground influence, she has an all American dam side to her pedigree and her sister Carl Spackler certainly enjoys top of the ground in America. Therefore back on a sounder surface this year she could be a dark horse that could end up being a top class mile to middle distance filly by the end of 2025.

Rhapsody - Trainer: William Haggas

I promised we'd talk about Rhapsody so here it goes, as mentioned she beat Jowddah on her debut at Yarmouth when seemingly an unfancied 14/1 shot. But she defied market expectations and kept on well to the line to win by half a length. This year though it's all going to be about the middle distance fillies races for Rhapsody and it will be interesting to see where Haggas pitches her as he's got a few staying three year old fillies to compare her too. By Ghaiyyath and out of a Motivator mare, surely an Oaks trial has to be under consideration given her pedigree being chocked full of stamina.

Tuscan Hills - Trainer: Raphael Freire

It's not often Thirsk is the breeding ground for top class horses but there were a couple of nice types that turned up at the Yorkshire venue last year and he's one of them. Even though he was slowly away he kept on well and went clear in the twinkle of an eye to win by two and three quarter lengths. The form may not have been anything special but the time was very good with Racing TV presenter Angus McNae highlighting him as a horse to keep on side on The Verdict. A step up in grade was therefore warranted for Tuscan Hills and it was the Listed Silver Tankard that was nominated. After looking the pick of the paddock by a country mile he eased to the front two furlongs from home and won comfortably four and three quarter lengths from Calla Lagoon who had won prior to that at Ascot, and the Silver Tankard is a race Beckett tends to run one of his nicer staying two year old types in (Westover was second in 2021). Well-bred by Night Of Thunder out of a Sea The Stars mare it's conceivable that Tuscan Hills will be even better on better ground this year and if he is, he could be a lively outsider for the Derby.

Chantez- Trainer: Ger Lyons

Back over to Ireland now and this filly could be the one to make a splash this season. I was drawn to this filly straight away as she is out of one of my favourite race mares as I remember seeing her win her last start in Britain for Timothy Jarvis at Newbury when taking a Listed Race by half a length. After that she went to race in America for William Mott and straight away won a Group Two at Gulfstream. Therefore, I was always going to be interested in her progeny and Chantez herself was picked up by Newtown Anner Stud as a yearling for 220,000 from Tatts Book 1 in 2023. On debut Chantez got upset in the stalls but ran a terrific race to be just headed on the line by Exactly with the pair pulling three and a quarter lengths clear of the third. Chantez made no mistake on her second start again at Leopardstown winning comfortably by three lengths from Indigo Dream. It was then on Irish Champions weekend where she could extract revenge on an Aidan O'Brien runner as she made smooth headway and after leading a furlong from home she jinked right but saw off Garden Of Eden to win by three quarters of a length. By Wootton Bassett, she is a half-sister to the King Edward VII Stakes winner Changingoftheguard, and having already emulated her dam as a Listed winner, she has bright prospects of stepping up further in grade on a sound surface.

Music Piece - Trainer: Andrew Balding

Another lovely prospect for Doreen Tabor and Andrew Balding is this Camelot filly. She was second on debut at Ascot in September to subsequent Group One placed Ballet Slippers. Music Piece then got off the mark at Haydock at the second time of asking, when winning nicely over a mile under David Probert. Sure to stay further - her dam was group placed over twelve and fourteen furlongs she is one to keep onside this season.

Consent - Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott

This was another nice horse who started out at Thirsk. It certainly was a long way to send her for Sir Mark Prescott but she did just that on debut and scored by two lengths from the more experienced Shining Pearl and looked a promising filly in the process. Consent only faced one rival when sent to Haydock for a fillies novice but despite going off the well backed 6/5 favourite she was outpaced and hung left two furlongs from home and had to give second best to none other than Music Piece. By Lope De Vega and out of a Galileo mare it's fair to assume she is going to improve as she gets older especially given who trains her. Bought for 260,000 euros as a yearling by Oliver St Lawrence she could be another exciting prospect for Denford Stud and could she even possibly develop into the next Alpinista?

Falling Snow - Trainer: Donnacha O'Brien

Now Ballet Slippers may have beaten Music Piece when she was making her debut, however she couldn't fend off Falling Snow on her debut as this Justify filly managed to get up by a neck to deny the odds on favourite. Out of the former 1,000 Guineas winner Winter, she could well be more of an Oaks filly based on her debut as she seemed to outstay Ballet Slippers at the Curragh. In addition her full-brother London City won over a mile and a half at least year's Dante Meeting so stamina could well be her forte this term and she is currently 20/1 for the Oaks.

Treble Tee - Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford

This good looking son of Persian King got off the mark on his sole start on Newmarket's Rowley Mile when a well backed 100/30 winner, which is never a bad thing from the Crisford stable. Always in a prominent position and despite edging left in the dip he soon went clear when he came out of it, winning nicely by two and a quarter lengths from Mudbir (more on him in a second). The third Humam was then second on his next start at Doncaster when bumping into So Darn Hot who on his last run bolted up in a class two handicap at Newcastle. Furthermore the fifth that day Pinhole has since comfortably won at Southwell so the form has a strong look to it and I'm hoping Treble Tee can impose himself in the colts division this season.

Mudbir - Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

As promised it's time to talk about this son of Kingman, owned by Shadwell, this horse came to my attention before having run at Newmarket as I managed to catch up with one of his trainers (Thady Gosden) and I asked him for a horse to follow and he nominated this lad saying:' He's a half-brother to Mostahdaf and he's coming along nicely he should be out later in the season'. Now Mudbir may have needed that run behind Treble Tee on debut but it was still a promising effort and if he can build on that then he can surely land a maiden or novice before going onto better things.

Bowmark - Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

Another exciting prospect for the Gosden's this term is also this son of Kingman who had to wait until December to make his debut. It was certainly worth it as he drew away in impressive fashion by four and a half lengths. A couple of weeks later jockey Kieran Shoemark was interviewed on Racing TV and was asked to nominate a horse to follow and he replied saying: 'Bowmark gave me a good feel the other day at Kempton and he looks a good horse hopefully for next year'. It also seems to be a slight change from the Gosden's that they were bringing more of the better two year old talent later on in the year on the all-weather and Bowmark could well be top of tree of the ones who are within the Clarehaven ranks.

Sand Gazelle - Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

This Frankel filly could well be another to keep the Gosden team warm over the winter period. Bought for 425,000 guineas at Tatts Book 1 in 2023 she looked lovely then and she still does now as despite been drawn in stall eleven round Kempton and running green she ended up running out a one and a quarter length winner, going away in the style of a promising filly. From a deep Juddmonte family Sand Gazelle may have to improve to get her herself into classic reckoning but rest assured she'll be worth keeping onside in 2025.

Seacruiser - Trainer: Ralph Beckett

This strapping son of Sea The Stars made his debut at Goodwood in the same race that Regal Ulixes did when finishing fifth after going off a well backed 5/2 favourite. However, he tried to make headway two furlongs out but then was short of room when coming with a challenge over a furlong out. Unfortunately he found nothing after that, but it was a different story when he made his second outing on the Rowley Mile as he was far more professional in making all and winning comfortably by a length and a quarter from Present Times, who came out and won on his third start at Lingfield. The third home Devil's Advocate then bolted up at short odds on his next start at Chelmsford so the form is there. But for me Seacruiser can go even further than a mile and a Derby Trial again has to come under consideration for this Kimpton Down inmate.

Devil's Advocate - Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

The aforementioned Devil's Advocate also makes the list and he's another who I saw when bought at Newmarket's Book 2 sale of 2023 when Godolphin bought him for 350,000 guineas. By Too Darn Hot out of the Nathaniel mare Precious Ramotswe, he ran like a typical Gosden newcomer when slowly away then looking clueless in the dip before staying on nicely when the penny dropped to be third. As I said he went to Chelmsford and dotted up but more is to come from this fellow I'm sure and it wouldn't surprise me if Gosden threw him into something like the conditions race at Newbury which Enable famously got beaten in by her stablemate Shutter Speed.

Shout - Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford

This good looking son of Advertise didn't enjoy the greatest start when blowing it many lengths at Windsor on his debut, and as well as that he ran green but with all that he still finished fifth beaten two and three quarter lengths and the winner Rajeko who later on was pitched into the Acomb Stakes, but could only finish eighth behind The Lion In Winter, after a break came out and won at Chelmsford. On Shout's second start he made all to win nicely under Oisin Murphy in the style of a nice horse. However, on his third run he was less straightforward racing awkwardly throughout  and to add to that Ryan Moore dropped his whip over a furlong out. Therefore you could forgive him that. It was then onto Doncaster where he beat the highly touted Artagnan who had previously finished second from a bad draw in a valuable nursery at York's Ebor meeting. As well as that Simon Crisford recently put him up as a horse to follow in the Weekender and they have also taken to the decision to geld him so he may need his first run but in time that operation may well be the making of him.

Jettie's Run - Trainer: Ralph Beckett

We had to get another Beckett horse in there and I'll explain why. On debut at Kempton she was drawn widest of all in stall ten but was only beaten a length and a half by Magic Trail who had the perfect trip from stall one. Jettie's Run was then sent off a fairly short price for her next start and despite not breaking well from the stalls she was pushed out to win readily under Rossa Ryan by half a length from Bermuda Longtail who won next time. Indeed the third Maissara also won on her next outing at Newcastle in a nursery. By Wootton Bassett and out of a Scat Daddy mare Jo Jo Air, maybe she will need top of the ground to be seen at her best but looks another exciting filly for the Beckett stable to go to war with this season.

Bermuda Longtail - Trainer: Andrew Balding

Of course you knew I was going to put this filly in as well, as like when Jettie's Run made her debut Bermuda Longtail was drawn widest of all in stall ten at Kempton but ran a race full of promise to be second. She made no mistake on her second start when getting the better of the Beckett trained Dash Of Azure by one and three quarter lengths but always looked in control and was going away at the line. Her trainer was quoted afterwards saying: 'she's a nice filly for next year'. It's likely she will go for another novice next time though will Bermuda Longtail before hopefully having her sights raised after that and she could well be a flagbearer for her exciting sire Hello Youmzain.

Boatswain - Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford

Gelded as a two year old we had to wait till Boatswain had turned three until we got to see him on a racecourse but by did he deliver. Hammered in the market late on he didn't let his backers down scoring by three and a quarter lengths from Chartwell Jock who won on his next start at Wolves. The third Thosewerethedays on his debut had finished seventh behind a certain Centigrade when needing the run, and he stepped up to run better here. However, he had no answer to Boatswain's charge. By New Bay and out of the Lope De Vega mare Bay Light, Rabbah Racing had to cough up 240,000 guineas for him as a yearling from Book 2 at Tattersalls. Afterwards it was mentioned that Boatswain could be a potential handicap project for Royal Ascot it would be interesting if he were but maybe connections may have higher aspirations for him than that.

The Watcher - Trainer: Karl Burke

Karl Burke's two year olds are always to be feared first time up and this Invincible Spirit colt certainly was feared by the bookmakers going off the even money favourite. He comfortably rained on Showering's parade who had won previously that month by a length and a half, with Clifford Lee looking around two furlongs out. The third home Rainbow Nebula also finished second to the Burke trained Rebel's Gamble on his next start and Rebel's Gamble himself nearly made this list so add him if you like as a brucey bonus! A solid stamp of a horse he looks a promising prospect for the Burke team and one we will certainly be watching in the months to come.

Glittering Surf - Trainer: Owen Burrows

Another impressive maiden winner in December was this Oasis Dream colt who sparkled on debut to win eased down by three and a quarter lengths from Pearl Of Hope who had a previous run at Newmarket. It was interesting that when Glittering Surf's trainer Owen Burrows spoke afterwards he said that the owner and his family were present to see 100,000 guineas purchase and based on what he did at Kempton that may well be money well spent.

Jockey To Follow - Jack Doughty

Something a bit different now but I always like putting a jockey forward for us to follow. If I'm being honest I hadn't seen much of Jack Doughty until I saw him win at Doncaster in the November Handicap on Lord Melbourne. He got the tactics spot on that day. However, it was the way he spoke to me afterwards that really impressed me as well as his happy demeanour. He couldn't land the Champion apprentice title last year but I'd expect that he'll make up for that this year and I'm sure he's a young lad going places.

Sire To Follow - Zarak

A bit like Jack Doughty I hadn't really taken much interest in Zarak's progeny, however it was interesting that quite a few good judges bought some of his stock at the Tattersalls Book 1 and 2 sales last year and one of his progeny Square D'Alboni looked an exciting horse for him when winning by four lengths in a Listed Race at Chantilly last season. At the Tattersalls sales at Book 1 the highest price paid for one of his progeny was the half-sister to Ottoman Fleet bought by Godolphin for 550,000 guineas. What I've also noticed is that his horses try very hard and always put their heads down and race. Therefore I'm intrigued to see how his two year olds fare this season given what prices some of them made at the sales.

Wednesday, 5 November 2025

CLAREHAVEN THIRTEEN - TO FOLLOW IN 2025

We would like to thanks David Pidduck for his hard work and forwarding his Lucky 13 to follow in 2025. David has been detailing his insight on our blog since 2022. Please take a moment to follow him on X @DarRemi
Firstly, a short recap of the 2024 list. We made a small profit (ROI 8.6%) thanks mainly to finding FRIENDLY SOUL and QUEEN OF THE PRIDE , with the group as a whole winning 16 times from 52 runs (30%) . 

The profit follows the 12.2% ROI profit from the 2023 list

So, the usual rules apply – 3yo ’ s can only have ran NO MORE THAN ONCE and 4yo ’ s that haven't ran more than twice, though I am breaking that rule this year! 

3yo’ s 

BANYAN (Lady Bamford) [Siyouni] 2/3/22 b f 2 - Her only start was over 7f on GS ground at Newmarket in early November and she finished a 3.5l second to a very promising Beckett filly, Bright Times Ahead, who already has two Classic entries . Her homework had been good before her debut and she will improve considerably for a step up in trip. From a family John & Thady know extremely well, her full sister Shiva Shakti ran with promise as a 2yo and was given an Oaks entry at three. Her classic season was blighted by injury, so her full potential wasn ’ t seen. I would be hopeful that BANYAN, with a clean injury free season, will be up to running in pattern races. 

BOWMARK (Lordship Stud) [Kingman] 13/3/22 b c 1 - The impressive winner of his only start as a juvenile, BOWMARK would have gone into plenty o f notebooks. With plenty of physical scope to improve upon over the winter, I hope he has grown and filled out, as he has the potential to be a Group class colt. He is laid back at home and does everything you ask of him without being flashy, which is normally a good sign. Ten furlongs will not be a problem and he already has a Prix du Jockey Club entry. 

CAJOLE (Cheveley Park) [Dubawi] 24/2/22 gr/ro f unraced at two. I was able to visit Clarehaven four times last year and on the final two visits, CAJOLE ’ s name was mentioned on more than one occasion as an unraced filly to follow. She is a lovely physical type with a good mind and is the fourth foal from the Group 1 winner, Persuasive, who won the QEII for John in 2017. I expect to see her start her career in April at either Newmarket or Newbury.

DAMYSUS (Wathnan Racing) [Frankel] 20/3/22 ch c 1 - An expensive Tatts Book 1 purchase, he was entered and declared for races in the summer but stiffness on the morning of his intended debut scuppered those plans. He did get a sole 2yo start in December though, which he won over 7Tap at Southwell by 2.5l and 6.5l. The second is a Godolphin gelding now rated 81 but the third has a mark of just 65. A step up in trip will most certainly suit and he has entries in two French Classics and the Betfred Derby. 

HOT FLAME (Sir Anthony) [Too Darn Hot] 30/4/22 b f 1 - I was alerted to her at the Clarehaven Open Day as ‘ a fighter ’ and I was not disappointed when she won her only start just over two weeks later. The second that day carried a 7lb penalty for a previous win and now has a mark of 84, whilst the third, another debutant, won well on her second start earning a RPR of 90, so the form is already looking to have some substance. Rab said afterwards that she has a lovely attitude and she will stay 10f no problem next season. I wonder if she could be a Pretty Polly ( listed) contender on 1,000 Guineas day. It’s a race John and Thady love to run one of our better fillies in. A further note was that her division was two seconds quicker than the one Zanzoun finished 3rd in 35 minutes later. 

KAIZEN (Qatar Racing, China, Howden & Newsells) [Kingman] 9/3/22 b c 6 - This colt was the subject of some glowing reports before his debut in late October and his 6th place finish at Southwell was underwhelming. He cost a lot and his pedigree is excellent, being a half - brother to the 2023 Fillies Mile winner Ylang Ylang. However, David Redvers and Oisin Murphy both suggested in separate interviews earlier in the year that this colt could be special and they are normally correct with their assessments. In addition, whilst talking to John in September, the initial thought was to run him in a mile maiden / novice either at Newmarket or Nottingham and although he was entered, he was never declared. So his run round a sharp seven at Southwell may well have been far too sharp for him and th e first three all have decent form to their names. For those reasons, he deserves to be on this list. 

KALEIDO (Prince A A Faisal) [Make Believe] 20/4/22 b c 2 - A full brother to MISHRIFF, this colt made a very promising debut in late October over 7S at Donny, chasing home a once raced Godolphin Dubawi colt called Music Of Time. He has been given two French Classic entries and a Derby entry so far and if he can progress anywhere close to what his full brother did at three (and four), then he will have an extremely bright future. He has also been given a 2,000 Guineas entry this week, and is the only one of our four that has yet to win a race. 

KENNETH (Normandie Stud) [Kingman] 2/3/22 b c (At Clarehaven 3/10/24) unraced as a juvenile Philippa Cooper (Normandie Stud) is one of my top three owners. Her interviews are always interesting and her passion for her horses shines through every time. Since her first big race win in 2002, she has had 12 Group winners and 15 listed winners. Incredibly, 11 of those Group winners have been trained by John (and latterly with Thady) and eight of the Listed wins have also been with the Gosden’s. All three top flight wins and all four Group 2’ s have been gained with John training her horses. Philippa has scaled down her st ring in recent years but she has kept the 2022 foal from her beloved Gretchen who entered training at Clarehaven in October last year. Her horses are always so well pre - schooled so the lateness isn’t a problem. Being a half - brother to Gregory and Lionel, who have won at Group 2 and Listed level respectively , the pedigree page is strong. Those pair were sired by Golden Horn and Lope De Vega, so I am extremely interested in seeing how this Kingman sired colt will go. In a Racing Post Weekender interview with Rab Havlin in mid - January, he was asked for an unraced 3yo to follow and Rab chose Kenneth. Rab will be riding him, as he does all of Philippa ’ s horses that are stabled at Clarehaven, so I would have expected him to have ridden him on more than one occasion before the interview. 

MUDBIR (Shadwell) [Kingman] 1/5/22 b c 2 - John and Thady know this Shadwell family extremely well and Mudbir ’ s top four siblings have all been trained at Clarehaven, all achieved a RPR of 99+ and the top pair, Mostahdaf and Nazeef won four Group 1’ s and two Royal Ascot races between them. Neither of them ran at two, so Mudbir ’ s encouraging performance at Newmarket ’ s traditional 2yo ’ s day meet in the latter part of October was another positive. The performances of the next three home behind Mudbir has strengthened the form of the race as well. Both Mostahdaf and Nazeef ’ s form rose to another level from September of their 3yo careers, through to the following season, so Mudbir may be a slow burner for the first half of the sea son. But I still expect him to be winning races in 2025. 

SAND GAZELLE (Thoroughbred Racing Corporation) [Frankel] 8/3/22 ch f 1 - The form of her only race, which was a winning one, doesn’t seem that strong and after opening at 9/2 24 hours before that race, she drifted alarmingly, all the way out to 20/1. But the positives for this filly more than outweigh those points in the previous paragraph. I spoke to John & Thady on separate visits last year and both liked Sand Gazelle back in July and September respectively. She is sired by Frankel and cost a fair bit. The 7f trip of her debut was on the short side for her and she will improve for a step up to a mile, even 10f. Finally, she has been given French Classic entries over a mile and 10.5f, suggesting she has talent and she has wintered well. 

TYCOON (Bjorn) [Kingman] 10/2/22 b c 3 - The form of his only start as a 2yo is good and the two that beat him that day are both well thought of. Finishing off his race well, a step up to a mile plus would be an obvious plus. In addition to those points, George Baker described him a lovely big type, “ takes your eye out ”, and he felt he would tighten up for the run, and was very much a 3yo, unlike the race winner. Although he got an entry in the 1m Doncaster maiden at the St Leger meeting, he didn’t run in the race, but John has always targeted that race with his most promising juveniles, so I still take that as a good sign. We still had a runner in that race, and he is the next horse on my list. Finally, Thady likes this colt a lot. I spoke to him at length at the Open Day about Tycoon and nothing he said to me then was anything but a positive. He was given a Group 1 Futurity entry, has a Prix du Jockey Club entry and is in the initial entries for the Betfred Derby. These last two suggest he has wintered well. 

VALEDICTORY (Godolphin) [Cracksman] 29/3/22 b c 3 - This colt was the chosen one for the Doncaster maiden that I mentioned in the Tycoon section. John has targeted this race for 25 years, going back to Theatre Script, who was our potential 2001 Derby horse before injuries took their toll. Our best horse to run in the race has been Nathaniel who finished second at Donny, but his career was a terrific one. From a family John and Thady know well, this colt was sold at Book 2 and Godolphin sent him to Clarehaven. Now the form of the race hasn’t worked out, but Valedictory finished his race off well after being second last at the three furlong pole. He has been given Prix du Jockey Club and Betfred Derby entries already this year, so I am pleased by those. 

4yo ’ s 

SARDINIAN WARRIOR (Marc Chan) [Saxon Warrior] 17/2/21 b c 2 - 111 - I make no apologies for having this colt on my To Follow list for the second year running, and for breaking my self - imposed “4 yo ’ s no more than twice raced rule ”, as we still haven’t seen the ceiling of his ability. Unfortunately, he is a little fragile, and he doesn’t get to the track as often as any of us would like, but when he does race, he progresses and improves by 10lb+ , according to RPR ’ s. He has an OR of 107, and personal best RPR of 113 and he has only ran in one handicap and not at all in a pattern race. 

Friday, 24 October 2025

Can You Lose Betting The Martingale System?

Have you ever used the Martingale system and won?
 
The Martingale betting system is a popular betting strategy among gamblers, especially in games that offer even odds. The system is simple: a player doubles their bet after each loss, with the aim of recouping all losses and making a profit when they eventually win. The idea behind the Martingale betting system is that, with enough bets and a long enough winning streak, the player will eventually win enough to cover all their previous losses and make a profit.

While the Martingale betting system can seem like a surefire way to make money, there are several reasons why it can actually result in significant losses.

First, the Martingale system requires a player to have an infinite bankroll. This is because, as losses pile up and the player doubles their bet each time, the amount they need to bet in order to recoup their losses quickly becomes astronomical. For example, if a player starts with a £1 bet and loses five times in a row, their sixth bet would need to be £32 in order to recoup their losses and make a profit of £1. However, if they lose again, their seventh bet would need to be £64, and so on. With just ten consecutive losses, the player would need to bet £1,024, and by the time they have suffered twenty consecutive losses, their required bet would be over £1 million.

The second reason why the Martingale betting system can result in significant losses is that it assumes an unlimited betting limit. Most casinos and betting establishments have a maximum bet limit, which means that players using the Martingale system will eventually hit the limit and be unable to double their bet any further. When this happens, the player has two options: either accept the loss and start over, or increase their bet by a smaller increment and hope to recoup their losses over a longer period of time. However, even with a smaller incremental increase, the player will still need an infinite bankroll in order to keep playing and eventually make a profit.

Finally, the Martingale betting system assumes that winning and losing streaks are random and evenly distributed. In reality, however, winning and losing streaks can last much longer than expected, and a prolonged losing streak can quickly wipe out a player's bankroll. Additionally, many games of chance are designed to favor the house, which means that even with a long winning streak, a player is likely to eventually lose all their gains and then some.

In conclusion, while the Martingale betting system can seem like an effective way to make money, it is ultimately a flawed strategy that can result in significant losses. The system requires an infinite bankroll, an unlimited betting limit, and assumes that winning and losing streaks are random and evenly distributed, which is not always the case in real-world gambling scenarios. As such, it is advisable to avoid using the Martingale betting system and instead rely on more sustainable betting strategies that prioritize responsible gambling and bankroll management.

Photo: Pixabay (free)