Craig's Betting Blog - 2YO Horse Racing Tips

2YO BETTING BLOG

Thursday 23 November 2023

Thursday's Racing Tips (23rd November)

Wolverhampton - 

5:30 - Looks quite competitive. Not much value unless something drifts to the extreme. Sunny Street would have fair stats at 13/2 and less sp. Not overly keen and no value. Interesting if Zipster comes back after disappointing last time out when a high stat horse. Stepping up in distance. Could show better today. Pitney was another decent stat horse last time and was running on. Tricky looking race. Would consider Pitney and Zipster most interesting but funny looking race and I doubt there will be any value. I would need one of these two to get to double figures to even think about it. 

6:00 - 

Rosa Applause is short priced and may get even shorter. Could give a little bit of value to something. See You Tonight may have half a hope if priced 5/1 – 10/1. I’d need this to drift to a giant price and return in betting guide to give any hope. Even then Fanshawe doesn’t fill me with any confidence although owner Peter Harris does. There may be a chance if you get this at big odds. Alabama Belle would have decent ew claims if priced 11/1 – 14/1. The strength is the place. I would need it to drift to 20+ and be backed down. I can’t see the place on Betfair ever being anything so looks a pointless exercise unless something remarkable happens. 

6:00 - 

Mrs Morrell looks very short and no value. Havana Bell has decent stats at 13/2 and less sp. Unlikely to be any value. Moonfire is another of the trio at short odds and no value. The others in the field are the only hope of value. Passamezzo is a decent looking horse and very keen on debut. Should appreciate stepping back in trip. Not the easiest to assess. Kevin Ryan has never had a sto over 20/1 so that may be some guide. I imagine it will be shorter. Could have a hope but not the easiest to assess. A similar story for Stars Away. Bought out of Balding’s stable and with Fion McSharry. This grey filly showed good pace on debut and will appreciate a drop in distance. Looks a lively sort and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see it have half a hope at big odds. If available at decent ew odds may have a chance although taking a chance. Being with an unfashionable trainer may be bigger odds.

Author: Jason 

Friday 17 November 2023

Friday's Racing Tips (17th November)

Today’s races:

2:30 Newcastle – Looks competitive. Assailant is a high stat but no value. Meydaan would be a high stat horse if 11/4 and less sp. Mr Hampstead has a group entry and half fancied in the betting. Tokyo Boy has fair stats if 13/2 and less sp. Will keep an eye on the betting but can’t see much value and if a few are in best betting guides will be hard to beat.

4:15 Newcastle - I thought Involvement looked very good on debut and very fast. No value and short odds but I really can’t see much beating this horse especially if a debutante. May be value with something at bigger odds but unlikely. Note about Daarkom, Haggas has never had a sto winner over 20/1.

4:50 Newcastle – Ten Dimes would be very high stats if 6/4 and less sp. No value but would be hard to stop although Gosden still seems to be on the back foot this season. Welcome Dream is a decent horse and will run well. Keen Interest was very keen on debut and didn’t achieve a great deal but a costly purchase and a good-looking gelding. Has been some money for this horse. I will let the betting settle and see how it look. Can’t see much happening.

5:30 Wolverhampton – Timeless Charm won very easily on debut. Own Burrow’s Ehtiram make a quick return after being badly hampered on debut when favourite. Would be a high stat horse if 13/2 and less sp but unlikely to be a price (35% win and 70% place).

Will let the betting settle and take another look.

Author: Jason Coote

Wednesday 1 November 2023

Wednesday's Racing Tips (1st November)

General thoughts on the day: 

1:00 Lingfield – Majed is a high stat horse if fancied in the betting. Alacrity would be a fair stat horse if 9/1. Opec would be high stat if backed to single figure odds. Doesn’t look fancied. Most look unfancied. Majed is a lovely looking colt and a nice physical specimen. No value.

2:05 Lingfield – Interesting to see how Teraab goes on its fourth start. No value. Favourite looks a fair standard. Can’t see much happening here other than see how Fellowe’s horse goes. 

4:05 Kempton – Timeless Charm is a short price for this Banded race. Boughey can go well on debut at short odds although on stats he is poor at bigger odds. Nothing To Fear ran ok last time out when a big price. The form of that race has been franked. The step up to 1m may help. Not giving anything away but may have each-way claims if prices allow. The betting should tell the story for most. Pratigya would need to be backed to hold strong claims. I’d definitely let the betting settle down unless taking a pre emptive bet.

5:15 Kempton – Wellborn is a high stat horse. Get The Music On has drifted in the betting and ran what looked to be a decent race last time out on testing going. I need to assess the race more to come to a conclusion. 

5:45 Kempton – Topanga ran well on debut. Good chance but no value. Expected Arrival has a class 2 entry. Zelma was backed on debut but struggled in very testing ground. May be capable of better but difficult to assess. If backed, would give greater hope. Probably best to let the betting settle.

Main hopes (no value):

1:00 Lingfield - Majed
5:15 Kempton - Wellborn
5:45 Kempotn - Topanga 

Tuesday 31 October 2023

Owen Johnson's Ten to follow for the season 2023

A chance to look back on Owen's Ten to follow. 

Really pleased to have Owen back again this season after some nice winners last year with his 10 to follow.

Native Trail ran a few crackers last season including winning the Craven Stakes and the Irish 2000 Guineas also finishing second in the English 2000 Guineas at Newmarket.


Eldar Eldarov won three times including the Queen's Vase and the St Leger at Donny. 


Brayden Star and Nobel both won.


Thesis was a 14/1 winner in a valuable Handicap at Ascot in June.


Westover is another success which includes winning the Classic Trial and the Irish Derby.


Without further ado let's look at Owen's ten this year.


For the full list please DM Owen via his Twitter account, below.


Visit his Twitter profile: @owenJohnson4 or Instagram: owenjhull10


Comments Owen Johnson 


1: Liberty Lane -Trainer: Karl Burke  Owner: Sheikh Mohammed Obaid


Nottingham maidens, especially at the back end often throw up a nice  newcomer, and this son of Teofilo certainly fitted into that category. After always being prominent throughout Liberty Lane's jockey Clifford Lee wasted no time in asking what his horse had underneath him, and he responded by  surging clear in the style of a pattern performer. The form you could argue was let down when the second Mr Buster was third at Kempton on his next start. But that looked like a warm race at the Sunbury track. And afterwards it was revealed by Liberty Lane's trainer Karl Burke that the Dante stakes could come under consideration this year which is as good a hint as any that Liberty Lane is destined for great things this season.


2: Coppice - Trainer: John & Thady Gosden  Owner: Juddmonte


Anyone who read my list last year will know that I think Kempton is a great breeding ground for inexperienced two year olds. But of all of all the two year olds that raced just the once last year she alongside Liberty Lane stood out to me. Despite being green which is natural, especially for a Gosden newcomer she easily was in control at the end of the contest when not fully extended to beat next-time out winner Whispering Dream by a length and three quarters. Coppice herself is a sister to the brilliant 2018 Coventry Stakes winner Calyx, and having already proven herself over seven furlongs she looks an exciting prospect for this season with the likelihood of a 1000 Guineas trial on the cards in which I also backed her personally for the filles classic at 33/1 after her debut.


3: Glenfinnan - Trainer: Andrew Balding  Owner: Mick & Jane Mariscotti


This colt by Harry Angel came to my attention before he even ran as a two year old. As I saw him as a yearling at the prestigious tattersalls book 1 sale in Newmarket, in which I actually wanted a friend of mine to buy him as I loved his pedigree and him as a model. I then took particular interest in his debut in which he finished fourth in a Newbury maiden, in which he wasn't knocked about and to my mind was on the wrong part of the track so was worth upgrading. It was interesting then therefore, that his trainer felt he was good enough to run in the prestigious convivial maiden. Before the race I bumped into Andrew Balding (his trainer) and asked him his opinion on his two runners and his words were: ' I'm surprised to see Glenfinnan at 40/1 as he works better than our other horse (Lahab)'. Indeed Balding was proved right as Glenfinnan only found Desert Order too good by half a length. After missing an engagement at Doncaster Glenfinnan then made all in a small field at Yarmouth under Ryan Moore and looked like he could get further than a mile, but I'd imagine connections will start off over that distance before plotting his path in 2023.


4: Imperial Emperor - Trainer: Charlie Appleby  Owner: Godolphin


This Dubawi colt beat only five rivals when making a winning debut at Newmarket in early october but he created a big impression. After travelling strongly he made takingly smooth progress throughout the mid-part of the race, but found himself in front over two out still going easily. Some two year olds can lose a race at Newmarket by being too green and encountering the infamous dip at the rowley mile. And despite being green he ran out an easy winner, and was only really getting going towards the end of the race. The second home Attaj was third at Wolves on his next run and was gelded after that so you could argue what did he beat? But I'd wager that longer trips will bring about more improvement, as both Imperial Emperor's sire and dam won at Group 1 level and his dam being a sister to Ghaiyyath (also by Dubawi). All I can say is he looks another exciting prospect amongst many for his trainer and a derby trial looks the obvious starting point in the spring 


5: Royal Rhyme - Trainer: Karl Burke  Owner: Sheikh Mohammed Obaid


It was always going to be difficult for me to leave this Lope De Vega colt out. One Lope De Vega is my favourite stallion and two he's out of a sister to Dubawi and looks every inch a three year old based on appearances as well as pedigree, as I was fortunate to see him make his winning debut at Thirsk. Backed just before the off Royal Rhyme was pushed along early, but up the straight kept responding to pressure from Clifford Lee and just grabbed the front runner In These Shoes who won at Redcar on his next start. Afterwards his trainer Karl Burke revealed: 'It's his first time he's galloped on grass to be honest but he's a very exciting horse for next year'. Given that Royal Rhyme started over seven furlongs and needed every yard of it. You'd imagine a mile would be his starting point rip wise this season as it will be fascinating to see how Karl campaigns him this season.


6: Trust The Stars -  Trainer: Ralph Beckett Owner: Valmont


Many of you will know that Ralph Beckett is a nap hand with fillies and I believe this gorgeous daughter of Sea The Stars is exactly the horse he can do well with this season. Bought for 140,000 Euros from the Arqana yearling sales in 2021. Trust The Stars made her debut in mid-September at Newmarket and was backed as if a good run was expected, and despite being slowly away she was always doing enough in the closing stages. Therefore she could look a shrewd buy by bloodstock agent Alex Elliot, who personally nominated Trust The Stars as a horse to follow when saying: ' Hopefully she could be an Oaks type. That's the three-year-old profile me and Ralph are looking for and hopefully she can develop into a classic type'. Put it this way, given connections I wouldn't bet against Trust The Stars doing just that and I'm looking forward to seeing her reappear in an Oaks trail in the spring.


7: Sisyphus Strength - Trainer: Andrew Balding Owner: Victorious Racing


Once again we go back to that Kempton Novice which Luckin Brew won as Sisyphus Strength ran a promising fourth in that race on debut. She was slowly under Hollie Doyle and made good headway from two furlongs out, furthermore it was a positive sign that there was some late money for this Sea The Stars filly as Andrew Balding's newcomers tend to need their first run. Sisyphus Strength made no mistake on her next outing at Nottingham in which David Egan took over in the saddle and when he moved her out to get a run she answered his calling by drawing away to win by a length and three quarters. Connections then decided to go for some black-type in the Montrose Stakes at Newmarket, however she was a touch slowly away like she was on debut but was coming with a run two out and was denied a clear run, and the racing post noted that she 'did well in the circumstances'. A big imposing filly it's no surprise she made 575,000 euros as a yearling and I'm looking forward to seeing what she can do as a three-year-old especially if she's grown into her frame.


8: Greek Order - Trainer: Harry & Roger Charlton Owner: Juddmonte


I was lucky enough to go round the Charlton stable during my weekend at Newbury in mid-September and this guy was nominated by a couple of people within the yard as their best two-year-old. Greek Order made his debut a couple of weeks later at Salisbury in which he was a heavily backed favourite after yours truly got 5/1 the night before, Greek Order went off 6/4, but couldn't justify the market support. He too was slowly away and niggled along to make progress three out, however it looked like he was going to make a winning move but he only kept on without really unleashing a turn of foot and had to settle for third spot. Then as aforementioned Greek Order finished second to Regal Honour, he was a touch keen that day and when he was left in front possibly a shade early he edged right and had he kept straight he may well have won such are the fine margins in racing. However, not all is lost and it wouldn't surprise me if he was given a run for more experience before possibly being aimed at the London Gold Handicap on Lockinge day at Newbury a race in which Roger Charlton in particular has a phenomenal record in.


9: Irregular Warfare - Trainer: Roger Varian  Owner: H H SH Nasser Bin Hamad Al Khalifa


This imposing son of Saxon Warrior made his debut at Yarmouth in late September under David Egan who could have ridden Knight as he's retained jockey to KHK Racing. Therefore he would have been a bit miffed that Knight won with Irregular Warfare back in second who picked up well after Knight quickened clear first the pair were under four lengths clear of market leader Rajasthan so it looked like a good race. Knight then gave the form an almighty boost by taking the Group Three Horris Hill Stakes comfortably on his next outing. Irregular Warfare was then understandably a short price favourite for a Wolverhampton maiden in which he won easily by over five lengths and what was good about that is that the second has since finished second and then won on his third run. Therefore Irregular Warfare is one to keep on side and looks a colt of immense potential.


10: Salt Bay - Trainer: Ralph Beckett  Owner: Valmont


I also saw this son of Farhh in Book 1 and at the time I thought he had fetched too much (350,000 Guineas) however he may be worth it and here's why. He made his debut in late September at Haydock and like Balding's newcomers I like the fact there was some late money for him. During most of the race Salt Bay was travelling well within himself before just over a furlong out he jumped in the air  which any Triumph Hurdle prospect would have been proud of, this was due to the path which he clearly took a disliking too. This would put paid to most horses' chances let alone a newcomer but Salt Bay soon recovered and ended up running out an easy winner by two lengths . Then Beckett felt him worthy a big step up in grade which was the Group One Criterium International at Saint-Cloud, as per usual the race was run on heavy ground and Salt Bay was unable to match the pace of first and second who both had had more experience than Salt Bay, so for me he emerged with plenty of credit. I'd imagine it will be a Derby Trail for him in the spring which maybe at Sandown given that's the race Westover won to kick off his campaign last year.


Thanks Owen.

Friday 20 October 2023

Frankel's Legacy: A Stallion's Ascension and Changing Stud Fees

Frankel, the legendary Thoroughbred racehorse, has transcended the realms of the racetrack to become a prolific and highly sought-after stallion in the world of horse breeding. Since retiring from racing and beginning his stud career, Frankel's impact on the horse racing industry has been nothing short of spectacular. His journey from the racetrack to the breeding shed has been marked by ever-increasing stud fees that reflect his status as one of the greatest sires in the sport.

Frankel's racing career was nothing short of astonishing. Undefeated in all 14 of his races, he achieved legendary status as one of the greatest racehorses of all time. This pristine record, combined with his impeccable pedigree, made him a highly coveted stallion prospect. In 2012, Frankel retired to Juddmonte Farms, owned by his breeder, Prince Khalid Abdullah, and thus began his career as a stallion.

When Frankel first entered the breeding scene, his stud fee was set at a staggering £125,000 (approximately $195,000) per mare. This exorbitant fee was a testament to the high expectations and excitement surrounding the offspring of a horse that had achieved perfection on the racetrack. Horse breeders and owners from around the world were eager to have their mares covered by the legendary Frankel, hoping to produce the next generation of champions.

The initial stud fee was just the beginning of the financial transformation that Frankel would bring to Juddmonte Farms. His first foals started to arrive in 2014, and as they began to showcase their potential on the track, his stud fee began to skyrocket. The success of his progeny made him an even more attractive option for breeders, and his fee reflected that demand. By 2015, his stud fee had already surged to £125,000 (approximately $165,000) for the privilege of breeding with him.

In subsequent years, Frankel's stud fee continued its upward trajectory, reflecting the consistent success of his offspring on the racetrack. Year after year, his foals showcased their talent, regularly featuring in prestigious races and winning top-level competitions. As a result, his fee reached an astounding peak of £175,000 (approximately $230,000) in 2017, a figure that would have been unimaginable for any other stallion.

The year 2017 marked an important milestone in Frankel's stud career, as his first-born son, Cracksman, emerged as a rising star in the racing world. Cracksman's performances in major races, including the Champion Stakes at Ascot, solidified Frankel's reputation as a sire of exceptional talent. Breeders eagerly sought his services, and his stud fee reflected his newfound status.

In the following years, Frankel's stud fee remained at an elite level, showcasing his continued appeal to breeders. The demand for his bloodlines, which combined his own exceptional abilities with his top-class mares, created a winning formula that continued to produce top-quality racehorses.

In 2022 the stallion fee was raised to £200,000 and amazingly 2023 saw the fee rise to £275,000 which must be one of the most expensive stallions in the world.  

Frankel's journey from undefeated racehorse to record-breaking stallion is a testament to his extraordinary talent and the lasting legacy he leaves in the horse racing world. His changing stud fees reflect not only his exceptional qualities as a racehorse but also the undeniable impact he has had on the future of Thoroughbred racing. Whether or not Frankel's stud fee has continued to rise or has stabilized, there's no doubt that his influence will be felt for generations to come, as his descendants continue to grace the racetracks and make their mark on the sport.

Thursday 12 October 2023

The Crucial Role of Discipline in Gambling and Life

The Crucial Role of Discipline in Gambling and Life
Introduction

Discipline, often associated with restraint and self-control, plays a pivotal role not only in the world of gambling but in every aspect of life. It is the cornerstone upon which success is built, providing a sturdy foundation for individuals to achieve their goals, make informed decisions, and navigate the complex maze of existence. In this article, we delve into why discipline is not only important in gambling but also in the broader context of life.

Managing Risk in Gambling

Gambling is inherently risky, and the absence of discipline can lead to financial ruin. A disciplined gambler sets strict limits on how much they are willing to wager and sticks to them religiously. This approach ensures that they do not bet more than they can afford to lose, safeguarding their financial stability. Without discipline, gamblers are prone to chasing losses, escalating bets recklessly, and spiraling into a cycle of debt.

Emotion Control

Discipline involves mastering one's emotions, which is crucial in both gambling and life. In gambling, emotions like greed, frustration, and overconfidence can lead to poor decision-making. A disciplined gambler maintains composure, preventing emotions from clouding their judgment. Similarly, in life, emotional intelligence and self-control enable individuals to navigate relationships, career challenges, and personal growth with finesse.

Long-Term Perspective

Discipline encourages a long-term perspective, emphasizing the importance of delayed gratification. In gambling, this means resisting the urge to bet impulsively and instead focusing on consistent, sustainable strategies. In life, discipline encourages setting and working towards long-term goals, whether it's saving for retirement, pursuing higher education, or building a fulfilling career.

Risk Assessment

Discipline compels individuals to evaluate risks meticulously. In gambling, disciplined players study the odds, analyze strategies, and make informed decisions based on probability rather than intuition. In life, this translates to making calculated choices, whether it's investing in a business venture, choosing a life partner, or making a career change..

Developing Good Habits

Discipline is synonymous with cultivating good habits. In gambling, disciplined players adhere to responsible gambling practices, such as setting time limits, tracking wins and losses, and seeking help if gambling becomes a problem. In life, discipline helps establish routines that foster personal growth, like regular exercise, healthy eating, and consistent learning.

Adaptability

Discipline is not synonymous with rigidity; it involves adaptability and learning from mistakes. In gambling, a disciplined player can adjust their strategy when faced with unfavorable outcomes, avoiding the sunk-cost fallacy. In life, disciplined individuals are open to change and willing to adjust their plans when circumstances demand it.

Self-Improvement

Discipline is a catalyst for self-improvement. In gambling, disciplined players constantly refine their skills and strategies, aiming to become more proficient over time. In life, discipline drives individuals to seek knowledge, acquire new skills, and strive for personal growth, resulting in a more fulfilling and successful existence.

Conclusion

In both gambling and life, discipline is the linchpin that holds everything together. It serves as a safeguard against impulsivity, emotional turmoil, and poor decision-making. By instilling discipline in our actions and choices, we pave the way for responsible gambling practices and lead more purposeful and successful lives. Whether it's managing risk, controlling emotions, or fostering good habits, discipline is the compass that guides us toward a brighter future. So, remember, the next time you're faced with a tough decision, be it at the casino table or in the broader context of life, discipline will be your greatest ally on the journey to success.

Photo: Pixabay (free) 

Sunday 1 October 2023

Leveraging AI: Empowering Punters to Outsmart Bookmakers

Leveraging AI: Empowering Punters to Outsmart Bookmakers
Introduction Sports betting has been a popular pastime for centuries, with punters trying to gain an edge against bookmakers to maximize their winnings. In recent years, the emergence of Artificial Intelligence (AI) has revolutionized various industries, and the world of sports betting is no exception. AI's ability to analyze vast amounts of data, identify patterns, and make informed predictions has allowed punters to make smarter bets and potentially beat the bookmakers at their own game.

Data Analysis and Pattern Recognition.

One of the key strengths of AI lies in its capability to process enormous volumes of data in real-time. Sports betting requires punters to consider multiple factors, such as team performance, player statistics, weather conditions, historical results, and more. Manually analyzing this data can be overwhelming, time-consuming, and prone to human bias. AI, on the other hand, can sift through this data swiftly and identify hidden patterns and trends that might not be evident to human observers.

Advanced Algorithms and Predictive Models

AI-powered predictive models are the heart of how AI helps punters beat the bookmakers. Machine learning algorithms can assess historical data and outcomes, adjusting their predictions based on new information. These models can calculate probabilities more accurately and assess the relative strengths of competing teams or players...... 

With the ability to continuously learn and improve, AI algorithms can adjust to changing circumstances, injuries, or other variables that can influence the outcome of a sporting event. Punters can leverage these predictive models to make more informed and data-driven decisions.

Real-Time Odds Comparison

Bookmakers continuously adjust the odds they offer based on various factors like team performance, player injuries, and public sentiment. For punters, keeping track of these odds in real-time is essential to find the best opportunities for maximizing potential winnings.

AI-powered tools can monitor and compare odds from various bookmakers, identifying the best deals and potential value bets. This advantage allows punters to make quick decisions and capitalize on favorable odds before they change.

Sentiment Analysis and Social Media Data

Social media has become a powerful platform for fans to express their opinions, emotions, and predictions about sporting events. AI can conduct sentiment analysis on social media data to gauge public sentiment towards a particular team or player. Understanding public sentiment can provide valuable insights, as it may not always align with the odds set by bookmakers.

Managing Risk with AI

Betting inherently carries risk, but AI can assist punters in managing it more effectively. Through sophisticated risk management algorithms, AI can suggest bet sizes based on the punter's overall bankroll, the confidence level of a prediction, and the potential return on investment. This approach helps punters avoid overly risky bets and maintain a sustainable betting strategy.

Live Betting and In-Play Decisions

Live betting or in-play betting is gaining popularity, allowing punters to place wagers during the course of a sporting event. AI-powered tools can analyze the unfolding game in real-time, adjusting predictions and providing valuable insights for live betting decisions. This dynamic approach to betting can give punters a significant advantage over bookmakers, who may not always be able to adjust odds quickly enough to reflect the current game situation accurately.

Conclusion

AI has brought a new level of sophistication to sports betting, empowering punters with data-driven insights, advanced predictive models, and real-time analysis. While beating bookmakers is never a guarantee, AI can significantly improve punters' chances of making profitable decisions. However, it's essential to remember that betting should always be done responsibly, and AI should serve as a tool to enhance the betting experience rather than replace sound judgment and responsible gambling practices. With AI's continual advancements, punters have an exciting future ahead as they explore new ways to stay ahead of the game in the world of sports betting.

Photo: Pixabay (free) 

Sunday 24 September 2023

The Ethical Debate: Racing Two-Year-Old Thoroughbred Horses

The Ethical Debate: Racing Two-Year-Old Thoroughbred Horses
Introduction

The world of horse racing has long been a source of excitement and controversy. Among the many issues that provoke passionate debate within this industry is the practice of racing two-year-old Thoroughbred horses. Some argue that it's an essential part of the sport, while others question its ethics. In this article, we will explore the pros and cons of racing these young equine athletes, shedding light on the complex ethical considerations surrounding the sport.

Pros of Racing Two-Year-Old Thoroughbreds.

Early Development: Proponents argue that racing two-year-olds allows trainers to evaluate a horse's potential and development at an early age. It provides valuable experience for young horses to learn the ropes of racing, which can prepare them for successful careers in the future.

Economic Benefits: Two-year-old races are popular among bettors and fans, attracting significant attention and revenue. The excitement generated by these races can boost the overall financial health of the horse racing industry, including breeding and training operations.

Breed Improvement: Racing two-year-olds can help identify the most promising bloodlines and breeding combinations. This can contribute to the continued improvement of the Thoroughbred breed, as only the fittest and fastest individuals go on to successful careers as older horses.

Tradition: Racing two-year-olds is deeply rooted in the tradition of horse racing. Many prestigious races for juveniles, like the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, have become integral parts of the sport's heritage and allure.

Cons of Racing Two-Year-Old Thoroughbreds.

Physical Immaturity: One of the primary ethical concerns surrounding racing two-year-olds is their physical immaturity. The equine skeleton typically continues to develop until the age of four, and racing young horses can put undue stress on their still-growing bodies, increasing the risk of injuries.

Mental Stress: Young horses may not possess the emotional maturity needed to cope with the stress of racing. The noise, crowds, and competition can be overwhelming, potentially causing anxiety and behavioral issues.

Overtraining: To prepare two-year-olds for racing, trainers may push them too hard too soon. Overtraining can lead to injuries, exhaustion, and burnout, affecting a horse's long-term career prospects and overall well-being.

Short Careers: Racing two-year-olds often leads to shorter racing careers. Many juveniles retire early due to injuries or a decline in performance, raising concerns about the ethical treatment of animals bred and raised for the sport.

Public Perception: The public's perception of horse racing has become increasingly sensitive to animal welfare concerns. The sight of young horses being pushed to their limits may tarnish the image of the sport and lead to public backlash.

Conclusion.

The ethical debate surrounding racing two-year-old Thoroughbred horses is complex and multifaceted. While there are valid arguments in favor of this practice, such as early development and economic benefits, the potential for harm to young horses cannot be ignored. The physical and mental stress, risk of injuries, and shorter racing careers are compelling reasons to reevaluate the practice.

To address these ethical concerns, the horse racing industry must take steps to prioritize the well-being of the animals involved. This may include stricter regulations on training methods, increased veterinary oversight, and age-related restrictions on racing. By finding a balance between tradition and ethics, the industry can ensure the longevity and sustainability of horse racing while safeguarding the welfare of its equine athletes.

Photo: JC (All Rights Reserved) 

Wednesday 6 September 2023

Wednesday's 2YO Racing Tips (6th September)

2:40 Southwell - 

Doesn't look the easiest of race with a number of horses that may have a hope. Queen Of Atlantis has very good ew claims if 13/2 and less sp. Has a class 2 banded entry. Looks quite small. Perhaps worth taking on but Ferguson does very well on the place front and has winners. Caelan has ability and could well defy the penalty. A horse with size and scope. Gosden's get's into a banded race for a very good owner. Has much better stats this time of year and can win at a price if not a fair stats at shorter odds. Rogue State has a group entry and fair place stats at 10/1 and less sp. And very good win and place claims if 7/2 and less sp. Very interesting the group entry. He has winners in stable and it is definitely a live chance. Fast Society ran in class 2 and the form of that race is working out well. Would be high stat if 9/1 and less sp. I will be hoping it drifts out and then backed. Burke's was short last time and done little but has a couple of class 2 entries and may come back to life. A tricky race with a lot going on. I will mainly be looking at Balding's but it needs to be 9/1 and less sp and I think Clover's will run a race. If any others turn up it will be a competitive race for the grade and that is the worry.


3:05 Lingfield - 

Rainyniteingeorgia is the main hope here. I think it will either win or be unplaced so I won't be covering the place unless if drifts to such a price it makes no sense not to. Spencer doesn't ride many for Jarvis. In fact, I think he has only ridden one 2yo before and that won. It looked a very good performance on debut. Did nothing sto when disappointing. Has been given a Listed entry. Looks the type of race where it has a hope if returning to form. Jarvis can be hard work but he has done a little better this season and this horse looked decent on debut. At double-figure odds has a chance.

Author: JC 

Tuesday 29 August 2023

Navigating the Thriving Landscape of Asian Betting Markets: Accessibility and Mechanisms Unveiled

Navigating the Thriving Landscape of Asian Betting Markets: Accessibility and Mechanisms Unveiled
The realm of betting has undergone a seismic shift with the advent of online platforms, and nowhere is this transformation more evident than in the vibrant Asian betting markets. These markets, known for their diversity and dynamic nature, have attracted attention from around the world. This article delves into how Asian betting markets operate, their distinctive features, and the accessibility they offer to enthusiasts across the globe.

Understanding Asian Betting Markets 

Asian betting markets stand apart due to their unique betting options, structures, and odds formats. These markets encompass a wide array of sporting events, ranging from soccer and basketball to more niche sports like cricket and badminton. What sets them apart is the presence of handicaps and goal lines, which create a level playing field for both strong and weak teams.

One of the key differentiators of Asian betting markets is the concept of "handicapping." This mechanism provides bettors with more balanced odds by assigning a points advantage or disadvantage to each team. The objective is to equalize the chances of both sides winning, encouraging more competitive betting. Moreover, Asian markets often offer alternative bets beyond the typical win-lose scenarios, allowing bettors to explore varied options and expand their strategic horizons.

How Asian Betting Markets Work

Asian betting markets thrive on the principles of fluidity and innovation. Odds in these markets are subject to continuous adjustments based on various factors such as team form, player availability, and market demand. This dynamic nature creates opportunities for savvy bettors to capitalize on favorable odds before they shift.

One of the defining aspects of Asian betting markets is the concept of "in-play" or live betting. This feature enables bettors to place wagers during the course of a match, responding to unfolding events in real-time. This dynamic environment requires quick thinking and the ability to analyze rapidly changing scenarios, making it particularly appealing to those who relish the thrill of on-the-spot decision-making.

Accessibility to All

Asian betting markets have significantly expanded their reach through online platforms, making them accessible to enthusiasts from various corners of the globe. While the origins of these markets are rooted in Asia, their popularity has transcended geographical boundaries. Virtually anyone with an internet connection can participate, regardless of their location.

The accessibility of Asian betting markets is underpinned by user-friendly interfaces, multilingual support, and a plethora of payment options. These platforms often cater to a diverse international audience, offering odds in multiple formats, such as decimal, fractional, and American, to accommodate different preferences.

Challenges and Considerations

Despite their allure, participation in Asian betting markets does come with certain challenges and considerations. First and foremost, it's important to choose reputable and licensed platforms to ensure a safe and fair betting experience. As with any form of gambling, responsible betting practices are essential to prevent excessive losses and mitigate the risk of addiction.

Additionally, newcomers should take the time to understand the specific rules and nuances of Asian betting markets. Familiarizing oneself with handicaps, odds formats, and the mechanics of live betting can greatly enhance the overall experience and improve the chances of successful outcomes.

Conclusion

Asian betting markets have revolutionized the gambling landscape, offering a blend of diversity, innovation, and accessibility. Their unique handicapping system, dynamic odds adjustments, and in-play betting options create an electrifying environment for enthusiasts seeking strategic engagement. With online platforms breaking down geographical barriers, anyone with an interest in sports betting can now participate in the excitement of Asian betting markets.

However, as with any form of gambling, moderation and responsible practices are paramount. While Asian betting markets provide an enticing arena for strategic wagering, individuals must approach them with caution and a commitment to responsible betting. By doing so, enthusiasts can fully embrace the world of Asian betting markets, unlocking a world of sports-related excitement and strategic engagement.

Photo: Pixabay (free) 

Tuesday 15 August 2023

5 Two-year-olds to Follow in 2023

1: Richard Hannon has a few potentially nice 2-year-olds to look forward to and the first on my list is Serene Seraph for owners Barane Stud And Partners2. Dam Pacific Angel won a listed race in France back in 2016, nice type. The Blue Point filly made her debut at Doncaster in June in a decent fillies maiden, easy to back going off 11/2. Serene Seraph was away well enough but a touch keen, the favourite Carla's Way quickened clear a furlong out with the Godolphin filly Star Of Mystery going with her, Serene Seraph also quickened but was a bit all over the place, even so she ran on well and wasn't beaten far. First two are nice types and pretty sure the Hannon filly will be winning races soon enough.

2: Next up is 48,000 gns purchase Shimmering Moon for trainer Harry Eustace who is owned by Titanium Racing Club. Related to James Tates Shimmering Dawn who was a decent handicapper. Shimmering Moon made her debut last month and it was a promising debut finishing second to How's The Guvnor, slowly away at Doncaster and towards the rear the Kuroshio filly showed a decent turn of foot to stay on well and one to keep on side of next timeout.

3: An unraced Amo Racing colt is next for trainer Dominic Ffrench Davis. Mr Hampstead could be smart and one I'm particularly looking forward to seeing. Dam Daddys Lil Darling was a nice American filly with a top rating of a 109 so no surprise her first offspring the Aidan O'Brien filly Savethelastdance is also top class, fifth on debut at two but went on this year to come second in the English Oaks then win the Irish. Mr Hampstead has a lot to live up to being a full-brother to Savethelastdance but one for the notebook. 

4: Boiling Point for Roger Varian and owner Sheikh Mohammed Obaid Al Maktoum. The once raced Too Darn Hot colt could be useful after what was a nice debut at Newbury last month, not sure how good the form of that race is yet but the winner Cogitate for Hills is well-regarded. Boiling Point did look a bit green in the paddock but started well cantering along until pulled out for a run, the winner Cogitate quickened away well and Boiling Point had no answer but ran on well enough to suggest he's a nice one. A half-brother to the Roger Varian trained Resolute Man who won on debut at two but hasn't really progressed as a 3-year-old. I imagine a short price next timeout but worth following. 

5: Fool's Gold looks a future winner to me following his nice debut at Newmarket this month. Trained by Richard Spencer and owned by familiar owner Phil Cunningham and purchased for £170,000. The Galileo Gold colt is a half-brother to Richard Fahey's Prix de l'Abbaye Group 1 winner The Platinum Queen. Fool's Gold took a bit of a drift on debut at Newmarket from 4s out to 15/2, pretty keen but travelled well but couldn't quite challenge and finished sixth, maybe a drop in trip will see a certain win for this well-regarded colt.

Thanks for reading.

Monday 14 August 2023

Monday's 2YO Racing Tips (14th Aug)

A few races today, three of most interest.

3:00 Wolverhampton – 

Doesn’t look the easiest race. Bibendum has a couple of class 2 entries and ran ok on debut. Not seen for a while and stepping up in distance. Gosden has fair stats when 13/2 and less sp but his horses have been struggling for form and no value and probably best watched until the stable start to find winners. Zipster was in need of the run on debut and very slow away. Certainly wouldn’t want that happening today. Looks a nice horse physically. Very good stats and would be of interest if 13/2 and less sp. Stanley Spencer looks held. Media Shoot didn’t do much on debut and would have claims if 13/2 and less sp. Still has lots to prove. Amroon cost decent money and may have a hope. Would have fair ew claims if priced 13/2 and less. Korroor was short priced on debut and failed to show up. Would have claims if priced 11/1 and less.

Conclusion: A tricky race. Best to let the betting settle down. Main hope would be Zipster. Amroon may be worth a pre-emptive bet at big odds and hope is backed.

5:30 Windsor – 

Not much value at the top of the market. Both Gladly Ever After and Drama has entries and look capable. The later would be of interest if drifting in the betting but looks unlikely to happen. Invincible Aura ran well on debut when a touch keen. Has fair stats and looks capable but this looks a challenge. My main interest here, value wise, would be Ed Walker’s Tayala who has been given a class 2 stakes entry. Needed the run and was getting going all too late. From a stat point of view, would need to be backed to 13/2 and less but would have very good place claims if happening. A wide draw isn’t ideal and a pretty tough race so probably one to be careful with but not without hope.

6:40 Hamilton – 

Looks a low class race. Interesting that Camacho has given Arantes Nascimento a class 2 (banded) entry. She doesn’t have many winners on debut so can’t say I would rush out to bet on it but if available at big odds may be gambled. 

Main hopes today: 

3:00 Wolverhampton: Zipster 
5:30 Windsor: Tayala (ew) (must be 13/2 and less sp)

Sunday 13 August 2023

Sunday's Racing Tips (13th Aug)

2:28 Leicester – 

Can’t see much value. The favourite looks decent and the only horse with some interest are Veer who was a high stat horse sto when doing little. It looks unlikely the horse will do anything but will be interesting if backed as may come to life. I get a feeling it ran its race last time. A similar story for Burke’s Strong Request. Ran ok last time and unlikely but the bookies and punters do seem to write off these horses far too easily. 

2:58 Leicester – 

Both Kingdom Of Riches and Cool Dividend look decent horses. No value. I would be surprised if anything can challenge this pair.

3:05 Windsor – 

Miss Mach One returns and steps up in distance. A small filly and no value. Bint Havana Grey ran well on debut and disappointed sto. Looks the type to go well if not regressed. No real value unless drifting to the extreme. Charles Hills always worth noting at Windsor and August is the best month for their debutantes. Difficult to pick between the lines on stats and can be hit and miss but may have claims. Activated has a class 2 banded entry and Bell has been in better form of late. Generally best 10/1 and less sp. No great opinion unless Bint Havana Grey drifted to about 10 on Betfair which isn’t likely to happen. 

3:35 Windsor – 

Class 2 race and a decent sized field. Looks competitive no value with the favourite. I can’t see too much happening here (opinion) but value wise Bell’s Empire Of Art would have decent stats if 13/2 and less sp. Stepping up in trip may help but a very tricky race. Would have been half interested in Bell’s at big odds but not so much now.

Photo: Jason C 

Wednesday 2 August 2023

Thursday Racing Tips (3rd August)

Thursday

Newcastle 19:45

Another short one. Al Waasl a pretty cheap purchase at 35,000 gns for trainer James Ferguson. The Showcasing colt made his debut in an average novice stakes race at Newbury when easy to back at 11s, definitely needed the run that day when given a quiet ride by Rob Havlin, well-regarded by the Ferguson yard and interesting to see how the short priced favourite gets on. Test Of Love is another tracker for Sir Mark Prescott who looked pretty useless until gaining a bit of ground towards the end on his debut at Chelmsford, needs to improve definitely.

18.20 Epsom  

Looks an interesting race this with a few trackers, I'm Puzzled for Harry & Roger Charlton, pretty sure I backed this Sea The Moon colt last timeout when finishing fourth at Ascot, decent run and the form stands up with the winner of the Ascot rave Al Musmak finishing second in a Listed race. Another tracker in the same race is PREPSCHOOL for the Michael Bell yard. Easy to back on debut when sent off 20/1 and looking very keen in the early stages, Saffie Osbourne couldn't find a gap and was closed every opportunity, coasted home with plenty to give, so it looked anyway. I'm going to see if I can get a big early price and hopefully the Camelot colt has settled down. Mullazem another tracker for Richard Hannon. 

Thanks for reading and good luck.

Sunday 23 July 2023

Monday's 2yo Horse Racing (24th July)

Had a few trackers on Saturday so here's an update. 


Doncaster 18.45


Queen's Guard: Michael Bells Havana Grey filly opened up 9/4 backed into 2/1 fav. Slowly away and travelled nicely until fading quickly to finish fourth. Betting should be the key and I am hopeful she has more to come.


Snafiya won pretty well for the Alice Haynes yard at 9/4.


Haydock 19:30 


Varden: Kevin Ryan colt was a 10/1 shot. Got pinballed at the start, kept on the same pace but couldn't trouble the leaders.


Newbury 13.15


Savvy Kingdom: I was pretty keen on the Simon Woods colt, opened 3s and went out to fours.

Looked to be going well but faded quickly, disappointing.


Newbury 16:10


Free Nation: Opened 3s out to 7/2. Thought the Siyouni colt would run well but finished ninth in another disappointing run.


Mr Wonderful: Had this down as a value bet when 12s the night before, at the golf all day so surprised to see backed into 3/1. Led for a bit but faded, Each way bet so can't grumble.


14:46 Ripon


Tropical Air and Mirroring both poor.


Monday


Few trackers in this that could be worth following.


Airman: Richard Fahey 25,000 euro purchase. Dam is related to Long Tradition who was a nice middle distance runner for Saeed Bin Suroor. Well-regarded and one to watch. 


Barnaby: Kevin Ryan Soldier's Call colt. Finished last in a class 2 race at York on debut back in May, was 28/1 that day. A 50,000 gns purchase. One interesting fact is another horse of Mrs Angie Baileys called Dark Moon Rising followed a simmer path as this, unplaced on debut in a class 2 at York in May then wasn't seen until Beverley in July when supported and winning, might be nothing but any support a positive here.


Tan Rapido: Charlie Fellows has a few nice 2yos this season and this Bated Breath colt could be another. Pretty easy to back on debut going off 16/1. Settled behind the leaders and travelled well until Markakol just got the better of him. Promising type and hopefully up to this. 


Mecca's Daughter: Nice looking Dods filly who finished fourth here last timeout. Another who has a race in her.


Conclusion: A few nice types here. Tan Rapido looks the likely winner but at 9/4 no price. I'm gonna try a speculative each way on Barnaby and hope some support comes or I'll know my fait. Doesn't get many winners over 10s so would have to be significant, plus the ground looks soft. Currently 16s I'll try to get a bit bigger and pray Barnaby is backed.