Tuesday, 17 May 2022

Wednesday (18th May)

Wow what a day Saturday was, emotional, ups, downs, alcohol, bets, winners, losers, celebrations.


I wrote this part Sunday morning with a slight hangover shall we say, yes I'm pretty sure you know I'm a Liverpool fan by now and enjoyed a cracking day watching the mighty reds lift the FA Cup, that's enough football. 


Bets

 

My main bet of the day was Flying Barty at Thirsk, I was confident the Kevin Ryan filly would run well here so put a few quid on at 7/2, Flying Barty ended up 15/8 favourite which led me to believe it was a formality, well things didn't turn out that way as Flying Barty ran no sort of race and faded to finish fifth in what was a puzzling run, back to the drawing board with her 


The other two bets I put on the night before had nice little cash outs but I let them both ride, Princess D'Or was the biggest as I took 6s and she ended up 15/8 joint favourite for Charlie Appleby. It was a bit of a gamble as her only run last season was awful but felt confident with the money that came in but as with Barty another no show, this horse cost 2 million quid unbelievable! 


Next up was Double O, had a few drinks by this time and I guess chasing my losses, stupid I know but that's what drinking and betting does, did make a profit here abeit a small one as took 6s and the David Loughnane filly ran well to finish second beaten by a 20/1 shot though. 


Mawj is a tracker for Saeed bin Suroor, I did check the stats and place strike rate was pretty good to be honest but ignored that and left the Exceed And Excel filly alone. It was one of them watching the race wanting her to do well because it's a tracker but also hoping she didn't win and I could back her next time out, the writing was on the wall though as Mawj travelled like a dream and showed an impressive turn of foot to scoot away, looks the business to be fair. 


Onto Sunday and the race at Ripon which I previewed in my last post. I think I got it pretty spot on apart from Royal Mariner running an absolute stinker. The James Tate runner has decent stats below 7s, I took 16s and waited to see if the gamble came, it did late on but stopped at 9s, another in hindsight I should have made money on.


Another one of my Three-Year-Olds to follow Galleria Borghese won after making all at Naas but as I've said before it's hard to catch a O'Brien horse right so of course I didn't back him. All in all it could have been a great weekend but I ended up losing. 


If you follow me on twitter you will know I've had a few winners including Panama 9/4 and the Roger Charlton trained Garner who stayed on to win well at Nottingham yesterday 13/2. A bit of a rush job this post as I don't get much time with working the early shift this week so I do apologise for it being all over the place. 


19.00 Kempton 18 May 2022


I had a quick look at this race about five o'clock yesterday and when I say quick it was quick. Land Of Summer won well for Richard Hannon on debut and has a penalty to overcome here.


I'm pretty sure the connections of Poppy Field were disappointed with her debut at Bath. The Eve Johnson Houghton filly was keen and didn't look to be given a hard time once the winner had flown, the type to do well if backed.


Another of the early market leaders is the Michael Bell trained Mont Champs who was beaten by the Marygate Stakes fourth Beautiful Eyes last timeout. Reproducing that form should see her involved again. 


Time is getting on so I'm going to cut to the chase. 


I've had a speculative bet here on the Kevin Philippart De Foy trained Mai Alward I say speculative as when I put the bet on the Havana Grey filly was 12s but has been backed since. If you look at the write up of her last race you would be thinking is he mad (could be to be honest). I watched the race back and she was given a pretty considerate ride by the apprentice Benoit D L Sayette. The grey was slow out the stalls at Brighton last month and pretty much detached for most of the race. It wasn't until the last couple of furlongs she made up ground, all things considered wasn't beaten that far. Daniel Muscutt is riding today and has a great second timeout strike rate on De Foys 2-year-olds. I could be a mile off but just thought was worth taking a chance at the price. 


Tracker:


17.40 Sandown 19 May 2022 


I'm not the biggest fan of Pat Dobbs but he's back on board my tracker Amaretti Virginia for Richard Hannon after finishing fourth of four on debut at Lingfield. A bunch finish and another I think has more in the locker. Hopefully an each way price.


Good luck and thanks for reading. 





Saturday, 14 May 2022

Preview & Reviews (14th May)

Friday 13th May York 

We all knew the date but I'm not superstitious at all and was in fact feeling lucky as my bet on Yahsat in the Listed Marygate Stakes at York was on. I did manage to get 8/1 each way on Thursday which I thought was a great price. The Karl Burke 2yo brought good form to the table, the yard was in tremendous form and that was good enough for me. The market didn't change throughout the day until Fix You was taken out, fuck a rule 4 straight off, the bad luck had started. I don't normally bet on this sort of race but felt surprisingly confident about Yahsat and come race time the filly was backed into 7/2, the favourite Miami Girl was a solid 9/4 chance for Richard Hannon and the other Karl Burke runner Pillow Talk had also been backed into fives, I wasn't really worried about Pillow Talk to be honest, big mistake.


A solid start by Yahsat who was out of the stalls well, up with the pace and tanking along, as the race was unfolding many of the fancied runners where under pressure and still Yahsat was going well enough, come on I shouted at the television, I was confident of a place at least and Clifford Lee had yet to ask her a question, I've got this I thought as he pushed the button on Yahsat and the Dandy Man's response was immediate as she quickened up in the style of a nice horse but Pillow Talk was also moving well and keeping up with Yahsat as they went head to head, toe to toe, both unwilling to give an inch until Pillow Talk finally stuck her neck out on the line and prevailed in an Impressive renewal of the Marygate Stakes with Karl Burke having the first and second, both look Royal Ascot bound and take nothing away from Yahsat here as this was a cracking run. A place at eights with a rule 4 is better than a kick in the crown jewels but what could have been but for Friday the 13th, unlucky for some! 


Eye-catchers


16.45 York Thursday 12th May 


Decent race this with Queen Olly a good winner for the David Loughnane team, could be a few future winners from this race but one that looked in need of the experience is the Andrew Balding and Qatar Racing owned Roaring Lion colt Thunder Cat who was backed into 9/2 at the off. The first runner for first season sire Roaring Lion was very slow away and had to play catch up for most of the race, Cieren Fallon certainly earned his money as he pushed Thunder Cat from the start to the finish as he passed beaten horses to eventually finish fifth. One to watch out for next timeout, especially as money came in late.


14.40 Sun 15 May Ripon


This is a race I'm not sure who I will bet on until nearer the time as a few of the top trainers with newcomers turn up, I will be looking at the market for clues, I mean Alice Haynes and Amo Racing aren't here for the day out, it's hard to get much of an angle with Alice as she's a new kid on the block with not many stats to get stuck into but hey what potential she has. Ti Amo Sempre is an 85,000 gns yearling and comes here with a nice pedigree. 


Tim Easterby has an acclamation colt Common Acclaim who cost 150,000 gns, pretty expensive but as I've mentioned before, not the best first out trainer, any market move could be significant.


Karl Burke is in fine form and runs Smooth Daddy colt Prince Nabeel, another market check with him. 


Richard Hannon turns up with the Middleham Park Racing owned Shouldvebeenaring who was strong in the market on debut at 4s, slowly away at Goodwood and plum last before making strong late headway towards the finish and should come on plenty here. 


Dukono for Richard Fahey was fifth on debut at Thirsk when sent off 9/1, the 52,000 gns yearling should improve here and Richard's last 2yos have both won when strong in the market. Does have a pretty decent record here so will be keeping a close eye on the Expert Eye colt.


Royal Mariner for James Tate, another who could improve for his debut race at Newmarket, that race had a bit of quality about it and with the winner Tajalla looking a decent sort for the Varian stable and the second Fragrance going on to score at Catterick, Royal Mariner should be winning himself soon. The No Nay Never colt was slowly away at Newmarket and outpaced but stuck to his guns, despite being beaten a few lengths, the jocking booking of James Doyle was a positive that day. James Tate has a decent record here with his second timeout 2yos and any support would also be a positive. Very interesting runner. 


One horse I have as a tracker is Gulmarg for trainer Simon Woods who was second to Yahsat in a race that has worked out very well with the third and fourth winning recently and Yahsat narrowly beaten in the Marygate yesterday in a pulsating finish with Pillow Talk. Gulmarg was quick into stride at Pontefract on debut and looked professional in his job, coming around the Pontefract bend Yahsat put the race to bed quickening up, all credit to Gulmarg who battled on to finish second. This could be more his company and can hopefully get his head in front. It's a tough one as I like Royal Mariner and Gulmarg, I'm leaning towards Gulmarg here and can hopefully get an each way bet on, if I have time I will update the blog tomorrow.


Thanks for reading and good luck. 


Friday, 13 May 2022

Previews & Reviews (13th May)

Ramazan gave the blog another winner this week at Beverley, next year I'm going to wait until I get a bit of an idea of the form instead of thinking I'm a pedigree expert and betting on debutantes. 


As I mentioned in my last post I'd bet each way on Ramazan at 5s and also done a small speculative each way on the Robert Cowell runner Miss Mai Tai, I was hoping she would attract serious money,  the money did come and she went off 10/1, in hindsight I should have cashed out but I always worry about making wrong decision like I have in the past, anyway I left it and her effort faded out when the going got tough. 


Ramazan was quicker away this time and raced prominent, with Hanagan in the hot seat I was pretty sure I would get a run for my money, still a touch green he was ridden two furlongs out to take up the running and did so when meeting the rising ground, Ramazan did have a battle but was always doing enough, get the fuck in! 


York 11 May 2022 


One I mentioned on twitter was Thunder Moor who was very well supported on debut and looked the likely winner until fading in the last furlong, the support that day made me think connections would have been disappointed Thunder Moor didn't win. That's what you have to look out for, strong support on debut and add to that a decent second timeout record. Thank God for best odds as Thunder Moor won easily and drifted to sevens, happy days!


Eye-catchers.


14:10 Beverley May 10 2022 


The one that caught my eye and probably everyone else's was the Kevin Ryan Kodiac colt Professor Pesca who was actually the overnight market leader at 7/2 until drifting the following morning. Drawn in 10 Professor Pesca jinked to the left coming out the stalls and lost ground, Kevin Stott gradually gained ground and once he met the rising ground was finishing best of all but all too late in the day. Pretty sure a win won't be long coming.


13:45 Musselburgh May 9 2022 


Not sure how good the race is yet but Karl Burke does rate the winner Cathy Come Home, the one that caught my eye was the Ian Jardine colt Finn Russell who was slightly slowly away on his debut, blocked in and struggling for a gap two furlongs out until switching inside and running on very well, definitely has a small race in him. 


13.45 Lingfield May 3 2022


Lingfield isn't the easiest place and especially when 2-year-olds are making their debut, The Queens colt Garner looks one to keep on the right side of in what was an eye-catching debut at the track. Pretty steady in the market at 3s, the son of Recorder was half asleep coming out  the stalls and was bustled along by Ryan Moore, in contrast the eventual winner Lucy Lightfoot had flown and never getting caught, it was all about a learning experience for Garner as Ryan tried to educate him around the bends, once he hit the last furlong the penny dropped and he found another gear but all to late.


(Just to note about my eye-catchers I won't be backing them blind, other things like the opposition, ground conditions, you know what I mean).


York 13.50 Friday 13 May 


This looks a great race with plenty of potentially nice horses for the future, it would take forever going through and times getting on. Definitely not the sort of race I would bet in, my style is to find a winner at a smaller meeting then leave them alone, but I can't leave Yahsat here as the Karl Burke two-year-old has done me plenty of favours just through her form line. The Dandy Man filly beat JM Jungle and Ramazan last timeout and both have gone on to score for me, even her debut race is one with a couple of winners when she was beaten by Richard Hannon's Powerdress at Newmarket last month with Lost Angel and Lucy Lightfoot both winning since. The forms decent but who knows against this field. I'm no time specialist so I wouldn't really know about that either. 


I'm not going mad here so a small each way at 8s and hope for the best with Yahsat. 


The early favourite is Miami Girl who also looks a nice type for Richard Hannon and could be anything really but given a good rating and sectionals by some better judges than me.


14:20 Thirsk May 2022 


A few nice looking newcomers in this plus a few with experience. Bryan Smart sent out Cotai Pearl at Musselburgh last month and was only beaten by the odds on Jungle Time who runs in the Marygate today. That was a nice run and will be up there at the business end of the race I'm sure. 


I'm hoping for an each way price on the Kevin Ryan trained Flying Barty, I'm probably asking a bit much here but you never know. It's been a bit of a slow start for Kevin's 2yos but Thunder Moor winning the other day and Catch The Paddy coming second yesterday he's hitting form at the right time. Flying Barty was pretty well fancied going off 5/1 at Newmarket for her debut, Kevin Stott held her up but she seemed to struggle handing the dip before staying on again, the form looks decent and I'm hoping for a big run here. Doesn't have the best strike rate at the course and over 10s would be a negative. 


Other trackers to note: 


19:10 Doncaster Sat 14 May 

Double O  trained by David Loughnane.


15:35 Newmarket Sat 14 May 

Mawj trained by Saeed Bin Suroor.


16:10 Newmarket Sat 14  May 

Princess D'Or trained by Charlie Appleby.


Thanks for reading. 

Tuesday, 10 May 2022

2:10 Beverley (10th May)

Looking back at Sunday's Hamilton 2yo race the bookmakers didn't know what to make of it with the market changing all the time, personally the market is key for me and my selection JM Jungle drifted from 13/2 to around 10s but I still had  hope the John Quinn two-year-old could be in with a chance of a place at least in this open looking race, the worry is if he drifted more it would be a negative. I kept an eye on the market through the day, not much happened to be honest, even close to race time it wasn't changing much, bit of support for the Karl Burke trained Unitarian and slight support for my selection into 8s, then he drifted again, should I cash out I thought as JM Jungle was 10s going into the stalls, fuck it let it ride.


The race started, decent enough start, Jason Hart had him covered nicely tanking along, Pride Of Yorkshire who I expected to lead was going backwards already in what turned out to be a run that looks too bad to be true, meanwhile a few were getting niggled and JM Jungle was going well enough. Come on! It looked like I had a place at least, all of a sudden no gap and Jason had to switch inside losing ground, coming to the last furlong Jason was getting a tune out of the Bungleinthejungle colt up the rail, Legend Of Xanadu took it up and looked to have it until one last thrust by Jason and JM Jungle at the line, I wasn't sure if he'd got up or not, yessss he had, get the fuck in, Jesus I needed that win. I mean it might sound dramatic but when you question yourself then pull one out the bag it's a relief. Betting bank looks good again plus points for the month back up, normal service resumed.


Trackers: 


19.00 Newcastle 10 May 


The three-year-old trackers have been hit and miss so the David Simcock trained Adjourn could be one I will sit out and watch. The 135,000 gns breeze up purchase has run twice already last season. The son of Postponed was second on his debut before stepping up on that effort when finishing fifth in a decent maiden at Newmarket last September. He still looked a bit green that day and still managed to stick to it and looks like one who will run better since being gelded. 


14.10 Beverley 10 May 

Trackers: Teatime Tipple and Ramazan.


I mean a tough race to take on here with a mix of everything, not much time so a quick one. 


Professor Pesca £60,000 yearling for Kevin Ryan, dam unraced. Trainer has a  15 percent win strike rate over the past five years with newcomers at Beverley. Market should be key, strong claims if positive and over 10s negative.


Sanks A Million for Loughnane, another with an unraced dam. Another if strong in betting first timeout a positive.


Treble Glory cost a few quid for Nigel Tinkler. 80,000 gns yearling who comes from a nice family. Doesn't get many fto winners, last year two out of twenty five runners. Can pop up with a big price winner. 


Alexa's Princess for Karl Burke. Had three fto winners already, both strong in the market. Has a good place strike rate here so it's interesting to see the market.


Ey Up Let's Go for Tony Coyle, winners in the family, one negative doesn't get many fto winners, did have one called That's A Surprise back in 2017 who was well supported.


Onto the experienced ones, Teatime Tipple sets the standard having already run twice, finished sixth in the Brocklesby, the form has worked out well and the Tony Coyle gelding finished second on his next start to another nice type in Star Of Lady M. Teatime Tipple still looked green at Ripon and needs to settle better. 


Miss Mai Tai for Robert Cowell, second timeout Prince Of Lir filly who made her debut at Nottingham last month. A 150/1 shot that day but was away quickly enough looking professional, didn't have the best draw that day, owners Cool Silk Partnership always seem to pop up with a nice one now and again, added to that Cowell does have decent strike rate here, if support for the Prince Of Lir filly comes it could be interesting. 


Signora Camacho for Quinn who of course gave me a much-needed winner with JM Jungle the other day. Signora was a bit slow away on debut and bumped, definitely outpaced which is a worry but did find her feet and was finishing well, wasn't beaten too far by the well thought of Jungle Time. As I said last time this is John Quinn's best month. 


Richard Fahey runner Ramazan is a tracker I like, same as Signora Camacho slowly away on debut in a four runner field and ridden to join the pack before staying on up the Pontefract hill without getting near the impressive winner Yahsat. Even though it was a four runner field I have a feeling they could be alright, JM Jungle finished third that day and a winner since. 


Conclusion: I would love to see Miss Mai Tai supported here as she didn't run like an 150/1 shot at Nottingham, no early support as yet. The market isn't changing much at the minute. I may well cash out if very weak in the betting. Ramazan cost 130,000 euros for Richard Fahey and is one I'm interested in here with the form working out well in his debut race. Hopefully he is quicker out the blocks today. As I said it's a tough race but I'm willing to do a few pennies on Ramazan each way 5s, if taking a big walk in the betting would be a worry. Newcomer Professor Pesca is the early market leader here and the yard won this with Aleezdancer last year who had already run once. I could be letting one slip here but Signora definitely needs to be a lot quicker out the stalls. I've had an ew bet on Miss Mai Tai at 22/1 but will cash out if no support.


Tracker update:


Couple of winners yesterday with Fragrance and Cathy Come Home which I noted on my twitter page. 


Thanks for reading and support as always.

Sunday, 8 May 2022

8th May - Hamilton

Bets:


16.15 Thursday 05 May 

Chester


I thought I was onto a winner when I saw Self Praise at 5/2 then noticed three non runners, even though a rule 4 was coming it gave me more confidence the Hugo Palmer colt could take this, I'd played it out in my head, either Explicit or Blatant would set the pace and James Doyle would come with a late rattle down the outside to just get up on the line, wishful thinking as the David Evans trained Democracy Dilemma with the help of a first time visor set a blistering pace and never stopped, Self Praise did come out the pack and finished second never threatening the winner, yep rule 4 so small loss after looking good at 5s the night before. 


Next bet was Saturday, you can tell I'm not confident at the minute as I did Redemption Time each way at 9/2 in the nice looking Ascot race. The Clive Cox trained 2yo looked awkward and was still looking green as he pulled any chance away, the Appleby winner Noble Style looked decent as Redemption Time finished third. Had a small each way on Kinrarra a never nearer fifth at Nottingham. My 100/1 Oaks ante-post bet on Emily Dickinson looks well and truly over after a lacklustre run in the Oaks trial at Lingfield.


15.50 Sunday 07 May 

Hamilton 


Eight two-year-olds go to post in a pretty open looking race. Kind Spirit is the early favourite for Charlie & Mark Johnston. The Outstrip colt was pretty strong in the market on debut in a five runner race, the winner Daytona Lady won well, a decent enough debut by Kind Spirit, if strong in the betting has good claims. 


Kevin Ryan colt Pride Of Yorkshire another who was popular on debut after fading to finish fourth to Fix You who looks pretty decent for Alice Haynes. Pride Of Yorkshire was quickly away and knew his job until tiring that day, should come on for the run and a bold show from the front is expected. Northcliff finished fifth in that race and another who should be better for the run.


Legend Of Xanadu has placed both runs so far and another with a chance, Sprezzatura finished behind Legend Of Xanadu last timeout and should be close between them again.


Can't rule out a Karl Burke two-year-old and 23,000 gns yearling Unitarian makes his debut here. Interested to see the betting come race time which should give us a clue to his chances.


I'm going to take a chance on JM Jungle for John Quinn who unleashed impressive winner Breege at Wetherby recently. The £46,000 yearling is related to a couple of winners. Looking at the stats, May is John's best month with two-year-olds. The Bungleinthejungle colt was slowly away at Pontefract in a four runner field, early days but the winner Yahsat looked alright for Karl Burke. JM Jungle joined the pack after the slightly slow start and was tucked in behind, ridden along two furlongs to go; the 5/1 shot finished third of the four runners but was never near the impressive winner, with the betting being so open I've had an each way at 13/2. If taking a drift in the betting it would be a negative and I might take a small loss and cash out.


Other trackers: (no bets for me)

14.15 Cherub (Aidan O'Brien)

15.00 Waterville (Aidan O'Brien) & First Emperor ( Donnacha O'Brien) 


Thanks for reading.

Wednesday, 4 May 2022

Thursday Chester (5th May)

It was a case of going with experience over debutantes in my last post as I sided with the David Evans trained Evolicatt over the newcomer Katey Kontent. Evolicatt drifted from 7/2 to 6s so I ended up doing an each way bet in the end after cashing out for a small loss. It didn't really matter in the end as Evolicatt finished fourth lacking the speed of the winner Katey Kontent who had plenty of it in her pedigree. Evolicatt looks to need six furlongs for me but I won't be waiting around to find out. ❎

Points -2 


Next bet was another big outsider, I can't let these go without a small each way just in case, but they are doing no good for my points total as Tashkent was a staying on 50/1 fourth for the Hannon yard. I'm pretty sure she is better than this but it's one of them how many times can you back a horse. ❎ 

Points -2 


I mean my page is starting to look like a game of family fortunes with all these letter X's. All I can do is stick at it. 


Total points -4 


At least Jason Coote has been mentioning a few winners, my guest post writer sure knows the time of day with these 2yos as he gave Lucy Lightfoot a positive mention and she duly obliged by winning at Lingfield. 



16.45 Chester 05 May 


Eleven go to post here in a tasty 2yo race at Chester with £12,885 up for grabs. It's a real shame my tracker SELF PRAISE runs here as I would have loved a lower grade class race than this class 2 at bloody Chester. I mean the 37,000 gns purchase is certainly up against it here, drawn wide, the son of Twilight Son fell out the stalls on his debut at Doncaster and needs to be a lot sharper here, if he's slow that's my bet down the pan. I do however feel this February foal is a nice type for Hugo Palmer and with James Doyle on board I'm really praying he's in a nice position to finish this race strong. Plenty of dangers here and It won't be plain sailing, I imagine a couple of the speedy types will try to bomb It and hold on. Explicit was certainly away quick at Musselburgh on debut so you know Franny Norton will be going all out here. Blatant is no slouch either and has a plum draw, plus a few newcomers make it a fascinating race. 1 point each way 5s. 



20.30 Cork 06 May 


A couple of trackers here, Frankel colt Malabu Drive for Ger Lyons who comes from a nice mare called Tates Creek. The other tracker is my cliff horse Paris Lights who I'm sure will get a win on the board soon. I hope I'm right because I've banged on about this Siyouni colt for a while now, slowly away last timeout and staying on without threatening against Wexford Native who has since finished second in a Listed race. Hopefully an each way price here. Possible 1 point each way if the price allows.


Thanks for reading.


Monday, 2 May 2022

1:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (3rd May)

A fascinating race. 

Just the six two-year-olds to consider. Five with racecourse experience, one making its fourth start. A restricted Novice Stakes over 5f 6y on Standard going. This turning course is likely to favour horses with experience and natural pace. 

These banded races are often lowly affairs. 

On first inspection (maybe last, too) these look a motley crew. A mix of trainers and owners, including Her Majesty The Queen. 

Lucy Lightfoot is one of those horses you both love and hate to bet. A small bay filly this daughter of Fast Company is out of a winning Irish-race mare who achieved a highest official rating of 99. 

Lucy Lightfoot was purchased by the trainer at the yearling sales for £20,000. This February foal made her debut at Newmarket in a competitive heat. The form has been franked and there will be more winners to come. Whether this filly is the next to taste victory is very dependent on her temperament. She clearly has ability but far too keen on both starts to date which sets the alarm bells ringing. She's like one of those dragster type toys you rev up and when you let go it storms off, sparks shooting from the exhaust (or tail in this vision) and as the dust settles you try to work out whether Miss Lightfoot has passed the line first or still running as you wipe sand from your eyes. 

If you love a little bit of danger when betting this could be your girl. 

To be fair, this speedster didn't have much go right when a beaten favourite at Brighton. An awkward start saw her out the back and making up for lost time. She was pulling with wild abandon and loomed up after being short of room, making headway but running on fumes.

She's a character. 

In truth, she wasn't disgraced, some two lengths behind Tom Clover's Jumbeau (a bigger, stronger-looking filly) finishing fourth. A flared nostril or three from second spot. 

Will she be any calmer today? 

That's the question! 

I wouldn't hold my breath. However, even considering her excitable nature, she may have a chance of winning on this third start. This turning course may just help her settle a fraction. Although saying that, I can see her trying to lead all the way. Crossing over from a wide draw (6). There's little doubt she has the pace to lead. I wouldn't be surprised if she goes clear of the field if they let her really go for it. The fear is that she will tire in the closing stages and be hanging on for grim death. 

Your classic love and hate bet. 

I'm pretty sure connections fancied their chances at Brighton. Their downfall, bumping into a decent filly and things not quite panning out. 

If betting, I would go for the straight win (because this will be all or nothing) and if using the exchanges, I'd put up my stakes (at least) around even money (if not shorter) in case she looks like a certainty and the wheels fall off. 

She's a live wire Miss Lucy Lightfoot. 

All that work for just one horse. 

Five to go. 

George Boughey fields Rock Girl and Estehwadh. The stable revealed a better class horse with Malrescia who ran at Newmarket on the 29th April. However, most of the juveniles this season have run horrendously. I imagine they have been used to measure the string. 

Rock Girl hails from an owner who is making waves this season with umpteen winners and talented horses aplenty. Amo Racing Limited have been flying high with a mix of both cheap and expensive two-year-old purchases. 

This daughter of Profitable out of an unraced mare cost £23,000. She was fancied to go well on debut over course and distance but showed signs of inexperience, a touch outpaced, before running on to take second a good few lengths behind Richard Hughes' Knebworth, who looks a very good buy and a strong-looking colt. It was no poor effort finishing second to that potentially smart newcomer. She should be wiser for that effort and capable of going close. It wouldn't be a surprise to find she is outpaced by the likes of Lucy Lightfoot but could run on with gusto. 

Estehwadh was outpaced on debut and he will need to be much sharper on this second start to challenge the speed merchants. 

*Dazzling Gem is making her fourth start this season, racing in the second colours of Amo Racing Limited. This daughter of Dandy Man has been relatively fancied on all starts but not had the best of luck. She hung baldly on her second start at Kempton when behind Gay Kelleway's pocket rocket Ocean Cloud. And tried her damnedest at Brighton when leading for most, tiring in the closing stages to finish fifth. She was one place behind Lucy Lightfoot. Dazzling Gem has a decent draw here and is another horse who may well lead. This turning course could suit although you are left with the feeling she will be collared by someone in the last half furlong. 

Archie Watson isn't having the best of things this early season with his two-year-olds although Eddie's Boy tasted victory the other day (25th April). It's difficult to assess the merit of The Full Bronte who has the hood applied for the first time. This son of Brazen Beau ran in a stiff race on debut at Nottingham when behind Dare To Hope, while the second horse, Rocket Rodney, flew home at Goodwood on his second start last Friday (29th April). Although the Nottingham contest was a banded race (C and D) it was a fair contest. True Statesman ran well second start and Hugo Palmer's Glorious Angel is respected in the stable. The Full Bronte may have been a touch keen that day. It wasn't easy to assess what exactly he was doing (even though I reviewed the race about 20 times). He tired in the closing stages to finish seventh, beaten five-and-a-half lengths. Archie Watson features decent stats with fancied horses on their second start and it isn't beyond the realms to see this colt show more today in a race that could well be weaker than not. 

Just to add to the melee we have an early bird from Harry & Roger Charlton. Garner, a home bred, represents Her Majesty The Queen. This bay colt is a son of Recorder out of a thrice-run mare who didn't show a great deal. 

Ryan Moore takes the ride. 

It's very unusual to see one of Chartlon's two-year-olds out this time of the year (most successful debutantes are seen later season, predominantly October). Whether this is a good sign or not is a matter of opinion. The stable hasn't seen many debut winners in the month of May (going back a lot of years). Although a good number of these runners went on to prove successful on their second start. I would assess the chance of this colt by the betting. The vast majority of debut winners are strongly fancied and I would suspect if this February foal is going to win he will start favourite. Conversely, if he is weak in the betting, I'd take a watching brief. 

Summary: An intriguing if not difficult race to assess. As always, I rely on the betting to help answer a few questions so being dogmatic at the time of writing (21:05) leaves me slightly lacking. I am hopeful Lucy Lightfoot will run a race. But whether I would want to bet is all about the price and definitely putting my stake up in running (1/1) as a get out of jail free card. Even saying that, you/me/the world is pushing its luck by considering betting on a ''temperamental'' horse (perhaps that is a bit harsh but she's a keen sort unless she's a reformed character). If betting, I would go for a straight win. It will either be a smart victory or a ball of flames. To be fair, you may do yourself a favour simply watching. You will get some value from that. Rock Girl may pick up the pieces if William's filly fails to shine. Garner would be a real hope if starting favourite. While The Full Bronte may have a fighting chance if fancied in the betting. 

*NR

Author: Jason Coote 

Sunday, 1 May 2022

Welcome to May (1st May)

What a frustrating end to April that was, first was Chef De Partie for Roger Charlton and Richard Kingscote, no each way available so I took the 7/2 and had a few quid win. I was hoping he was quicker away and less keen today, Chef De Partie was away well so that was nice to see, helped by the rail he didn't hang as much but still a bit keen, this was more like it as Chef was in a perfect position to take the long time leader and favourite Frantanck who had made a bold bid to make all, it was only a matter of time I thought until the Frankel colt tired but no Frantanck was gutsy and wouldn't let Chef De Partie past for all he tried, I can't complain really it was a nice effort.❎


Next was Graceland's Girl who I had a few quid on each way at 9/2, I was pretty convinced she could finish in the first three, another who was slowly away last time out and I was hopeful it wouldn't happen again. Here we go as they went behind the stalls, I felt pretty confident at this point, ah fuck slowly away and playing catch up. David Allan got Graceland's Girl back in the back but used a little effort getting there, it was a copy of the Chef De Partie race as Lucia Joy made all and my fancy couldn't get past, a small loss. I feel with a bit of luck this month could have been alright but I've ended up with a small points loss. ❎



The first eye-catching performance that I will add to my trackers.


17.20 Doncaster 30 April 


Self Praise is trained by Hugo Palmer and made his debut on Saturday evening at Doncaster. The son of Twilight Son cost 37,000 gns and is a half-brother to the Richard Hannon trained Foden who's a two times winner. Early support for Self Praise saw his price drop to around 9/2. Ross Coakley was in the saddle and in what was a scrappy start to the race when Self Praise was slow out the stalls and in a bit of scrimmaging as they tried to sort themselves out, push come to shove a few furlongs out and the sprint was on, Self Praise was behind three of the six field as Ross made his move and went for a gap that wasn't really opening up to be honest then losing all momentum and playing catch up, I'm pretty sure Self Praise would have won with a clear passage. One I will be looking forward to next time out. 


15.17 Salisbury (Tracker Evolicatt)


Nine go to post here in this fillies Conditions Stakes


Tough little race with one 2yo with experience and the rest make their debut. I'm pretty sure the market will sort itself out come race time.


Evolicatt is the first of the David Evans runners here. The March foal ran well in the Brocklesby finishing fifth, next run saw her come second to Jiffy Boy at Leicester on soft going. The form looks decent and I'm hoping experience counts against the debutantes. 


Angelic Davis for Roger Teal, a capable 2yo trainer who can pop up with a big priced winner even though doesn't have many 2yos, not to be overlooked.


Baccarat Baby for Ralph Beckett. The 72,000 yearling out of mare Volunteer Point who won fto over six furlongs for Mick Channon. Ralph's Sunny Orange made a winning debut at Leicester last week. Decent fto strike rate at the course, if negative in the betting I would take a watching brief.


Cuban Miss for Rod Millman and the Middleham Park Racing team. Been some support for this daughter of Havana Grey. Half-sister to Triple Spear who won three times for Michael Appleby. Given a good write up in the blog and described as a very speedy filly. Trainer not known for fto 2yo winners. 


Durley Boy for Mick Channon. April foal who at the time of writing is weak in the market. Trainer had a great fto strike rate back in 2018 but poor since, did have a second on Friday with Desperate Hero 


Girlswannahavefun is David Evans second runner here. If supported could have an each way squeak.


Jilted, Brazen Beau filly for Richard Hannon. A 22,000 gns March foal. Trainers had 3/13 with debut winners this season, 12/1, 9/1 and 1/1, plus stable has won this race a few times in the past. The mare won on debut back in 2014.


Early favourite Katey Kontent for Clive Cox. Trainer no first time out 2yo winner yet but strong in the market this morning. A half-sister to the useful Karl Burke trained El Caballo who finished second on debut last season over five furlongs, pedigree looks spot on here and if backed to short odds should be there about.


Princess Naomi second runner for Rod Millman who is currently the outsider of the field.


Conclusion:

Katey Kontent makes plenty of appeal on pedigree and with a few if the big trainers sending one over its a tough one to be confident. I'm chancing a small win bet on Evolicatt hoping it's third time lucky and the experience counts. 1 point each way.


Other trackers:


17.02 Salisbury: Vaslad.


Thanks for reading.