Monday, 18 January 2021

Kingman 2yo's To Follow (2021)

As always I like to see if I can find a few nice 2-year-olds to look out for the up and coming flat season. I will be updating trainers and horse names when I can. 

KINGMAX Kingman (GB) / Baino Hope (FR) 

Purchased at the September 2020 Orby Sales for £120,000 and trained by Roger Varian. Bainoi Hope didn’t set foot on the racecourse till three and was trained by Jean-Claude Rouget in what was an impressive career winning the Group 2 Shadwell Prix De Pomone in her penultimate race in France. Nice pedigree hopefully this Kingman bay colt can make a name for himself this season. 

AKHU NAJLA KIngman (GB) / Galicuix (GB) 

Purchased at the October Yearling Sales for 2,700,000 gns. The Kingman colt is another trained by Roger Varian and comes from a lovely family with plenty of winners. Galileo Gold trained by Hugo Palmer being the most notable who had an amazing career winning the Vintage Stakes at two and then going on to win the 2000 Guineas in 2016. Roger Varian also has 3-year-old Dubawi Sands by mare Galicuix who was never involved on debut and one to keep an eye out for this season. 

ASSESSMENT Kingman (GB) / Clinical (GB) 

Half-brother to Lockheed who was trained by William Haggas and won his maiden at Goodwood then went on to finish third in the Acomb Stakes and the Vincent O’Brien Stakes. As a three-year-old Lockheed finished second in the German 2000 Guineas before moving to Hong Kong. This Sir Michael Stoute trained Kingman colt is also a full-brother Clinician also trained by Sir Michael Stoute. Dam Clinical was a nice type for Sir Mark Prescott winning the Princess Elizabeth Stakes back in 2012. 

SUPER CHIEF KIngman (GB) / Eastern Belle (GB) 

Dam Eastern Belle was a lovely type for trainer John Gosden. Eastern Belle won a Listed race at Newbury back in 2014 before going on to race in America at a decent level. Super Chief is a full-brother to another nice John Gosden colt called Megallan who won on debut at Newmarket last August and not disgracing himself in better company, another who should be followed this season. Trainer unknown at the minute but possibly with Gosden or William Haggas. 

MATOURY Kingman (GB) / Sinnamary (IRE) 

Dam Sinnamary was lightly raced in France winning on debut before placing a few times in what was a short but decent enough career for trainer Mikel Delzangles. One nice offspring she has produced is the John Gosden trained Golden Rules who didn’t make the racecourse till three and won at Chelmsford last October and one to follow. 

UNNAMED Kingman (GB) / Monami (GER) 

Purchased for 340,000 Guineas. Dam Monami had a decent career in Germany for owner Gestut Etzean winning a couple of nice prizes and group races back in 2011/12 including the Group 2 Diana-Trial Rennen Mit Super-Dreierwette for 32,000 euros. Monami has produced a nice offspring already by Sea The Stars called Miss Yoda for trainer John Gosden who won her debut in style then went on to finish second in the Group 3 Zetland Stakes before going on to win the German Oaks last year. 

UNNAMED Kingman (GB) / Stage Presence (IRE) 

A full-sister to the John Gosden trained King Of Comedy who came second in the St James’s Palace Stakes in 2019 when just failing to catch Circus Maximus in what was a great performance. Dam Stage Presence has produced many nice offspring over the years including King Of Comedy, Star Of Seville and Star Of Bengal all trained by Gosden. The Kingman bay filly could be a nice one for the second half of the season. 

UNNAMED Kingman (GB) / Archangel Gabriel (USA) 

Purchased at the October Yearling Sales for 350,000 gns and trained Kevin Ryan. Dam Archangel Gabriel was unraced for trainer Roger Charlton but was a sister to Prince Arch who was a decent sort for trainer Kenneth McPeek in America. Archangel Gabriel has two offspring to date and both look nice types for Karl Burke and Sir Michael Stoute. The Karl Burke trained Angel Of The Glen won first timeout at Thirsk as 3-year-old and the Michael Stoute 2-year-old Ville De Grace also won first timeout at Kempton this time. Hopefully the Kevin Ryan trained Kingman colt can make it another winner for Archangel Gabriel's offspring. Thanks for reading and stay safe.

Friday, 8 January 2021

Future Stars For Godolphin (8th January)

UNNAMED Dubawi (IRE) / Cushion (GB) 

Consignor Floors Stud. Purchased by Godolphin at the October Yearling Sales for 2,100,000 gns. Dam Cushion started her career with John Gosden back in 2012 being placed twice then went on to win her maiden at three and placed in a couple of Listed races. First foal was Bright Idea for Joseph Patrick O'Brien who ran his best race to date when coming second last June at Curragh. 

UNNAMED Frankel (GB) / Fleche d'Or (GB) 

Consignor Norelands Stud. Purchased by Godolphin at the October Yearling Sales for 2,000,000 gns. Dam Fleche D’or was unraced but make no mistake the 14-year-old mares offspring have been exceptional with the brilliant John Gosden Golden Horn being one of them. The unnamed Frankel is a full-brother to one of my Godolphin horses to follow last year Dhahabi who was very well-thought of by Charlie Appleby last season and looks a future star. Dhahabi won first timeout at Newmarket then went onto finish second in the Denford Stakes before running a cracking race to finish third in the Group 3 Autumn Stakes at Newmarket and one I will be looking forward to watching as a 3-year-old along with this Godolphin newcomer. 

UNNAMED Kingman (GB) / Sante (IRE)

Consignor Lynn Lodge Stud. Purchased by Godolphin at the October Yearling Sales for 1,450,000 gns. Trained by Charlie Appleby. First foal for dam Sante who ran at a decent enough level for Charlie Hills before making a move to France. 

UNNAMED Frankel (GB) / Attraction (GB) 

Consignor Floors Stud. Purchased by Godolphin at the October Yearling Sales for 1,100,000 gns. Trained by Charlie Appleby. The Attraction bay colt comes from an excellent family and is a full -brother to the smart Elarqam who won his only two races as a 2-year-old most notably his second start when winning the Group 3 Somerville Stakes at Newmarket for trainer Mark Johnston, plenty of group success followed and finished his racing career in style winning the Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup Stakes at Newbury. Elarqam is a first season sire and stands stud at Haras de Saint Arnoult. Other offspring to note are Fountain Of Youth and Maydanny who both ran at decent levels. 

UNNAMED Dubawi (IRE) / Intricately (IRE) 

Consignor Highclere Stud. Purchased by Godolphin at the October Yearling Sales for 1,100,000 gns. First foal for dam Intricately who was sold at the 2017 December Breeding Stock Sale for 1,700,000 gns and had a decent career for trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien. Intricately won first timeout at Gowran Park when going off a 33/1 shot in what was a great debut season for the Fastnet Rock mare, the pinnacle being the brilliant performance she put in to win the Group 1 Moyglare Stud Stakes. Intricately never got another win to her name in her second season but still ran to a decent level in pattern races before retiring in 2017. 

UNNAMED Dubawi (IRE) / Jacqueline Quest (IRE) 

Consignor New England Stud. Purchased by Godolphin at the October Yearling Sales for 525,000 gns. The Dubawi Chestnut colt comes from a beautiful family and another Dubawi that could be worth following this season. A half-brother to the Charlie Appleby trained Line Of Duty who went on to win the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Grade 1 at Churchill Downs, also half-brother to another Appleby colt called Act Of Wisdom who won three times last season and could be a force to be reckoned with again this year. 

UNNAMED Frankel (GB) / Calare (IRE) 

Owned by Godolphin and trained by Charlie Appleby. The Frankel bay colt is a bit of an unknown but comes with a nice looking pedigree being out of the Godolphin bred Calare. The Dubawi mare started a hot favourite for her debut at Doncaster back in Doncaster June 2016 and the result was never in doubt winning easily and then went on to win a Listed race in Ireland. 

WITH THE MOONLIGHT 

FRANKEL (GB) / SAND VIXEN ( GB) 

Owned by Godolphin and trained by Charlie Appleby. Frankel makes the list here again and hopefully this bay filly can make her mark this season and in the future for the all conquering boys in blue. With The Moonlight is a full-sister to the Saeed bin Suroor trained Dream Castle who has an illustrious career. The seven-year-old had an amazing time at Meydan in 2019 winning three group races on the bounce and showed no sign of slowing down last year when finishing second in the Group 3 Darley Stakes at Newmarket. 

UNNAMED Frankel (GB) / Tulips (IRE)  

Owned by Godolphin and trained by Charlie Appleby. A half-sister to a couple of nice types for Godolphin. Ottoman Court was an early one for Charlie when making his debut in May 2019 when looking a little green to do himself justice, finally getting his win at the end of the season at Chelmsford. Swift Rose on the other hand made her debut at the end of 2019 winning first timeout. 

UNNAMED Lope de Vega (IRE) / Moi Meme (GB) 

Consignor Hillwood Stud. Purchased by Godolphin at the October Yearling Sales for 900,000 gns. A full-brother to the Andrew Balding King Vega who was placed twice before going onto run below par in the Group 1 Futurity Stakes but not one to give up on yet. 

UNNAMED Dubawi (IRE) x Nightime (IRE) 

Consignor The Castlebridge Consignment. Purchased by Godolphin at the November Foal Sale 2019 for €1,200,000. A full-brother to beautifully bred Ghaiyyath who was only beaten four times in what was a brilliant career winning group one after group one and was rated the best horse in the world in 2020. Retired from racing and now stands stud at Kildangan Stud.

Thanks for reading and stay safe.

Monday, 4 January 2021

Three-Year-Olds To Follow (2021)

1: FLYIN' HIGH is by Siyouni (FR) out of Zee Zee Top (GB), trained by Andrew Balding and owned by Castle Down Racing High. Purchased at the Tattersalls 2019 October Yearling Sales for 150,000 Guineas. The Siyouni Bay colt comes from a lovely family most notably the John Gosden mare Izzy Top who ran at group level for most of what was an outstanding career winning the Group 1 Prix Jean Romanet along the way. Flyin’ High made his debut at Sandown back in July last year in what turned out to be a pretty hot race with the winner Etonian winning the Group 3 Solario Stakes a month later. Despite a slow start and several lengths down Flyin’ High did well to finish so close to Etonian and with an early entry for the Derby a step up in trip looks on the cards this year. 

2: MUTARABES is by Dark Angel (IRE) out of Relation Alexander (IRE), trained by Charlie Hills and owned by Mr Hamdan Al Maktoum. Purchased at the Goffs 2019 Premier Yearling Sale for £145,000. Mutarabes is a full-brother to the Godolphin colt Future King who also looks a nice prospect for the season ahead. Mutarabes started off in another hot race at Newmarket in June when a relatively unfancied 14/1 shot, the fourth, fifth and six all winning nice races since. Jim Crowley gave Mutarabes a nice educational ride that day without being too hard on the Dark Angel colt who looks to have a nice turn of foot and will hopefully progress this season. 

3: HMS SEAHORSE is by Galileo (IRE) out of After (IRE), trained by A P O'Brien and owned by M.Tabor/D.Smith/Mme J. Magnier. I have to say if Hms Seahorse can’t win his maiden at least I will show my ass! Only kidding, not a sight to see. The Galileo colt is another who comes from a nice family being a full-brother to Armory who had a smart career winning over £800,000 in prize money. It’s tough trying to pick out an Aidan O'Brien 3-year-old to follow with the amount of firepower and lovely pedigrees they have at the Ballydoyle yard but I thought it was a pleasing debut finishing fourth in what wasn’t to bad of a race considering the winner Mac Swiney went onto win the Group 1 Vertem Futurity Trophy Stakes at Doncaster. Hms Seahorse remains with promise and one to consider this season. 

4: THIRD REALM is by Sea The Stars (IRE) out of Reem Three (GB), trained by Roger Varian and owned by Sheikh Mohammed Obaid Al Maktoum. The Sea The Stars colt was well-supported for his debut at Kempton in November, not really sure about the form of the race but the Beckett winner Lord Protector certainly won well with Third Realm finishing a never nearer fifth. Third Realm is a half-brother to Cape Byron, another Varian runner who got better with age and won the Group 1 July Stakes at Newmarket last year. The Derby entry is worth checking out this season and can hopefully get a win sooner rather than later. 

5: CATCH UP EFFECT is by Oasis Dream (GB) out of Daana Qatar (GB), trained by Ralph Beckett and owned by Sheikh Mohammed Bin Khalifa Al Tha. The Oasis Dream colt made his debut in a hot race back in June at Haydock Park and hasn’t been seen since. Pretty weak in the market that day going off a 16/1 shot. Catch Up Effect will have learned plenty from that experience and stayed on one pace to the line but with the winter behind him hopefully he has grown into a nice type for the season ahead.

6: EVALUATION is by Dubawi (IRE) out of Estimate (IRE), trained by Sir Michael Stoute and owned by The Queen. Hopefully Her Majesty has a nice one here and it’s pretty obvious to see the Bay colt needs a bit further than his two previous outings, well I say plain to see actually his latest run at Kempton I couldn’t see a thing with the fog. Evaluation is a full-brother to Calculation who took a few runs to get going before winning three handicaps on the bounce as a 3-year-old so I will be keeping an eye on how he progresses.

7: FIREWORKS is by Kingman (GB) out of Miss Plimsoll (USA , trained by William Haggas and owned by Mrs Fiona Carmichael. Pretty sure the Kingman colt will be a short price when next seen but as I was thinking shall I put him in my selections or not some fireworks came on the film I had on tv so if that's not a sign I don’t know what is! In all fairness Fireworks debut run at Newcastle in December looked promising when finishing third behind a nice Palmer horse called Oz Legend, well-supported in the market that day Fireworks was a touch green but finished well. The 850,000 euro purchase looks to be one to keep on the right side of this season. 

8: GEORGE PEABODY is by Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) out of Swordhalf (GB), trained by George Scott and owned by W J And T C O Gredley. Purchased for 90,000 gns at the 2019 October Yearling Sales. George Peabody is a half-brother to a nice type in Germany named Satomi who has done very well winning the Group 2 Grosser Hansa-Preis. George Peabody ran a great race at Kempton when in with a chance a furlong out before being squeezed up and losing all momentum, if you looked at the race report in the Racing Post it says no extra but I’m not having that so I will be checking out this geldings next run for sure. 

9: GOOD AND PROPER is by Dansili (GB) out of Grace And Glory (IRE), trained by William Haggas and owned by Mr Nicholas Jones. J Haggas. I will be very surprised if this Dansili filly doest go onto better things this season after two decent efforts last year. A half-sister to the Haggas trained Give And Take who wasn’t too bad herself winning the Group 3 Musidora Stakes at York. Good And Proper stepped up to a mile last timeout and despite being a touch keen stayed on steadily to finish a close up fourth to Love Is You who won the Radley Stakes next timeout at Newbury. 

10: MAYTAL is by Sea The Stars (IRE) out of Midsummer (GB), trained by Sir Michael Stoute and owned by Mr K Abdullah. I'm pretty sure Maytali will be losing her maiden tag before long after a pleasing debut when unfancied at Kempton back in November. The Sea The Stars hombred will have learnt plenty from that experience when a never nearer third after running about a bit the last furlong. Maytal is a half-sister to the top class Midday who was trained by the legend Sir Henry Cecil of course. A step up in trip will hopefully bring further improvement to Maytal and another to keep on the right side of this season. 

Thanks for reading and stay safe.

Saturday, 2 January 2021

Three-year-olds To Follow (2021)

Seven horses I put in my tracker last season. A bit of a mixed bag really with a couple that could be short prices next timeout and a few I will give another chance after disappointing. 

1: CASUARINA is by Sea The Moon (GER) out of Caribana (GB), trained by Ralph Beckett and owned by Miss K Rausing. Dam Caribana started her career with Michael Jarvis only racing four times winning a Wolverhampton maiden in 2008. Casuarina is related to a couple of nice types, the most successful being the Selkirk mare Cubanita also trained by Beckett and owned by Miss Rausing. Cubanita got better the older she got, winning a couple of group races along the way including the John Porter in 2014. Casuarina made her debut at Leicester last September when well-supported from 10s into 5/1. It was pretty obvious this trip was on the short side and Casuarina had to be ridden rigorously by Harry Bentley for most part of the race and in the end Casuarina plugged on to finish third. Interested to see Casuarina when she takes a step up in trip this season. 

2: DANVILLE is by Muhaarar (GB) out of Faustinatheyounger (IRE), trained by Eve Johnson Houghton and owned by Viscount Astor. A 30,000 gns purchase at the 2019 October Yearling Sales. Eve has had a tremendous season with her 2yos but the Muhaarar gelding hasn’t been seen since running a cracking race back in August at Goodwood. That race was a class 2 so obviously Danville is well-thought of despite going off a 40/1 shot. The form of that race has worked out pretty well with plenty of winners coming out that race. Danville was held up by Charlie Bishop that day and then when making his run he was blocked in before running on well the closing stages. Been gelded since so interested to see how he performs next time out after being off the track since August. 

3: GOLD WING is by Golden Horn (GB) out of Aviacion (BRZ), trained by Saeed Bin Suroor and owned by Godolphin. A half-sister to another Saeed runner called Promising Run who won the Rockfel Stakes back in 2015 and went on to have a decent career winning a couple of nice races at Meydan in 2018. Looking at the bare result you would probably be disappointed. Gold Wing was pretty steady in the market and made favourite for this novice race at Kempton back in July. Personally, I thought she was given an easy time and when tapped for toe a couple of furlongs out Murphy just cruised home. I will be keeping an eye out to see if this Golden Horn filly steps up on trip this season. 

 4: HANDE is by Prioneerof The Nile (USA) out of Party Starter (USA), trained by A P O'Brien and owned by Handel form is available here. Owned byMme.J. Magnier/M. Tabor/D.Smith. This American born bay colt could be anything after finishing stone last on his debut back in July at Leopardstown. That run doesn’t inspire confidence I agree but I will be interested to see the betting next timeout and hopefully give Hande another chance.

5: MORAWETH is by Speightstown (USA) out of Istiraaha (USA), trained by Charlie Hills and owned by Mr Hamdan Al Maktoum. Moraweth never really got into the race when making his debut at Newcastle back in October but travelled well enough and wasn’t asked any questions by jockey Murphy that day. One I will be taking caution with and the betting will be the key when Moraweth is back out again. 

6: SNOW LANTERN is by Frankel (GB) out of Sky Lantern (IRE), trained by Richard Hannon and owned by Rockcliffe Stud. Now I’m pretty sure Snow Lantern went into many notebooks after her debut at Ascot in July and I’m pretty sure she will be a short price when reappearing this year but sometimes it’s not all about betting sometimes I just like to see a nice horse to be honest. Snow Lantern is a half-sister to the excellent Sky Lantern who had a tremendous career for Richard Hannon Snr winning group races left right and centre including the 1,000 Guineas to just name one. Talking of Guineas, Snow Lantern is actually a 33/1 shot for this year's Guineas. Pretty sure she will be stepped up to a mile this season and look forward to seeing out again. 

7: MARTINIQUE is by Le Havre (IRE) out of Phiz (GER), trained by A P O'brien and owned by Mrs John Magnier & Michael Rabor & Derrick Smith. Pretty expensive purchase for 825,000 Guineas at the October Yearling Sales in 2019. I could be barking up the wrong tree here after what looks like a couple of disappointing performances but I’m willing to take a chance that Martinque can improve if stepped up in trip. The Le Havre filly might just be a slow burner after looking to being knowhere one minute at Curragh last timeout to rallying and staying on again the last furlong. 

Thanks for reading and stay safe.

Thursday, 31 December 2020

Unraced Three-Year-Olds To Follow (2021)

It seems a bit weird writing about my 3-year-olds to follow for 2021 when we still have a few 2-year-old horses filtering through, but with plenty to write about in the coming weeks and months I thought It was best to start early. 

Looking back at last season's 3-year-olds to follow list it didn’t turn out too bad with Tomouh, Throne Hall, Top Class Angel, Magical Morning, Man Of Promise, Sparkling Olly, Cosmic Princess, Frankenstella and Lord Campari all getting a win or two on the board. No excuses but I feel this season has been different with the 2yos starting late and one of my usual angles I use all over the place but even so I have still noted a few down for the coming season starting with a few unraced 3-year-olds I have my eye on. I’m pretty sure most have talent but price wise could be short. As with all debutantes it could be best to watch first timeout and of course check the market. I have added a few unnamed at the bottom and will try to add the names when I can but if anybody has information feel free to get in touch. 

1: CARLO LANDOLFI (IRE) is by Galileo (IRE) out of unraced mare Along The Beach (USA), trained by Aidan O’Brien and owned by Michael Tabor/Derrick Smith/MrsJMagnier. Nothing needs to be said about super sire Galileo. Along The Beach was out of sire War Front and out of Dam Wading whose offspring included the excellent O’Brien pair Just Wonderful who ran in group races throughout her career and Lost Treasure another group performer for the Ballydoyle team. 

2: DRUMMER GIRL (IRE) is by Galileo (IRE) out of Quiet Oasis (IRE), trained by Aidan O’Brien and owned by Westerberg & Mrs J Magnier & Michael Tabor & Derrick Smith. Drummer Girl was purchased for 2,100,000 Guineas at the Tattersalls Yearling Sales. A full-sister Lancaster House who was the first foal for dam Quiet Oasis. Lancaster House won his first three races including a Listed event at Listowel and won the Group 3 Coolmore Calyx Gladness Stakes this year. 

3: EMPRESS JOSEPHINE (IRE) is by Galileo (IRE) out of Lillie Langtry (IRE), trained by Aidan O’Brien and owned by Mrs John Magnier, Mr M.Tabor & Mr D.Smith. Dam Lillie Langtry was a top class performer for Aidan winning plenty of group races including the Group 1 Coronation Stakes at Ascot in 2010. Empress Josephine comes from a lovely family which include Minding and Kissed By Angels. 

4: HATHLOOL (IRE) is by Awtaad (IRE) out of Majestic Jasmine (IRE), trained by Kevin Prendergast and owned by Mr Hamdan Al Maktoum. Dam Majestic Jasmine ran to a decent level winning three times for John Oxx. Hathlool was purchased for 220,000 Guineas at the 2019 October Yearling Sales by Shadwell Estate Company. 

5: NEW KINGDOM (IRE) is by Dubawi (IRE) out of Nightime (IRE), trained by Charlie Appleby and owned by Godolphin. The 700,000 gns purchase could be a nice 3-year-old for the boys in blue this season. The Chestnut colt is a full-brother to the Charlie Appleby superstar Ghaiyyath who has a Racing Post Rating of 131 after a series of group wins throughout an amazing career in which he has earned over £800,000. 

6: RIVER EDEN (IRE) is by Invincible Spirit (IRE) out of Lady Heidi (GB), trained by David Simcock and owned and bred by Sun Kingdom Pty Ltd. A half-sister to the Roger Varian gelding Look Closely who took a few runs to hit top speed and won his novice race fourth timeout as a three-year-old then at four won a couple of nice handicaps at Ascot. Dam Lady Heidi won the Listed Silver Tankard Stakes at Pontefract back in 2013 for Philip Kirby. 

7: ULSTER BLACKWATER (IRE) is by Camelot (GB) out of Silver Rain (FR), trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien and owned by Sun Bloodstock Sarl. A very well-thought of bay filly for Joseph who is related to a couple of nice types from the André Fabre yard. Dam Silver Rain had a nice career in France winning numerous times for trainer Trainer Mme C. Head and one I’m looking forward to next season. 

8: MOHJATTY is by Awtaad out of Ezima, trained by John Gosden and owned by Mr Hamdan Al Maktoum. Lovely pedigree and a half-sister to the John Gosden trained Taghrooda who won the Oaks, Pretty Polly Stakes and the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes. Interested to see what trip she starts out as will need a trip for sure. 

9: ESPANIA (IRE) is by Galileo (IRE) out of Green Room (USA), trained by Aidan O’Brien and owned by Westerberg, Magnier, Tabor, Smith. Bought at the October Orby Sale for €3,000,000. The Galileo filly comes from a lovely family that includes Together Forever and Forever Together. 

10: MAGIC HOUR is by Galileo (IRE) out of Aleagueoftheirown (IRE) , trained by Andre Fabre and purchased by Westerberg at the 2019 October Orby Sale for €2,200,000. A full-sister to the 122 rated Alice Springs who had a tremendous career for trainer Aidan O’Brien. 

11: VALIANT PRINCE - Dubawi (IRE) / Chachamaidee (IRE) B.C. (IRE) Redgate Bloodstock Ltd.Godolphin 200,000 at the October Yearling Sales. A half-brother to the 300,000 Yearling filly Klassique who won the Group 3 Pinnacle Stakes at Haydock and a full-brother to the George Scott trained Narak. 

12: SYMBOLIC GESTURE - New Approach (IRE) / Token of Love (GB) B.C. (GB) Hascombe & Valiant Stud Ltd. Godolphin 320,000 at the October Yearling Sales. Dam Token of Love was rated 107 and only raced on good/firm or firm ground for William Haggas, the highlight of her short career was winning the Dick Hern Fillies Stakes at Haydock before moving to America. 

13: PEACE ARCH - Dubawi (IRE) / Ghurra (USA) B.F. (IRE) 

Castlefarm Stud, Ireland (Agent) Godolphin 700,000 at the October Yearling Sales. A half-sister to the 123 rated John Gosden colt Shalaa who had an outstanding career winning the Darley Prix Morny Group 1 to name just one of her group wins. Dam Ghurra never really hit the heights that were expected and moved to America in 2006. 

14: FANCIFUL TALE - Dark Angel (IRE) / Beatrix Potter (IRE) 2018 Filly Baroda Stud Godolphin €1,000,000 A full-sister to Harry Angel and a half-sister to Pierre Lapin. Harry Angel was a £44,000 yearling and had an official rating of 131. One of the many highlights being winning the Duke of York Stakes at York in 2018. 

Thanks for reading and look out for my next 3-year-olds to follow coming soon. It’s been a challenging year to say the least so stay safe and have a Happy New Year from all the team.

Monday, 28 December 2020

Armando Duarte With His Plans For 2021

Craigsbettingblog has gone from strength to strength since it began a few years back, and I am hoping next year won’t be any different with plenty of trainers and guest posts lined up to keep readers engaged in the sport we all love. First off Bloodstock Agent Armando Duarte has kindly given me an update on his plans for this year. 

Armando Duarte says: 

Regarding MMSTABLES we had a great season last year. I hope it continues for 2021. We sold a few last year, but we still have some unraced 3-year-olds to go to war with in 2021. We also bought only one yearling this year, it was thought this year to buy the right one as it is every year but it wasn't for the lack of trying because we try hard to buy even more for expensive ones but no luck. We bought a Camacho for 77 grand, a half-brother to two stakes horses at book 1 tatts. He is not named or decided which trainer he goes to, but he looks very nice at the moment and doing everything easy. I hope he can become a Royal Ascot horse. 

Regarding the 3-year-olds I am very excited by ALENQUER, he ran twice last year and won his Maiden at Newbury and then finished second at Haydock in a Listed race, rated 99, so he could be anything this year with any improvement. He is back at William Haggas so let’s hope he progresses well. Also, Landing System, ran twice last year and showed enough ability to compete this year. He is a massive raw horse with plenty of improvement left in him, and he will go back to Andrew Balding in March. Also a 3-year-old by Starspangledbanner colt unraced and in training with William Haggas. He was too weak to run last year, and he liked him enough to persevere. He could be anything. I also have a Vadamos colt unraced, he showed ability at Andrew Baldings in his work but was on the weak side to run him. Andrew Balding liked him enough to keep going with him too. He will go back to him in March, so let’s hope he can do something before the end of the season. I also have to mention the horses I bought private and at Tattersalls horses in training for Australia In conjunction with a good friend of mine and a good bloodstock agent in Paul Moroney, we bought Dashing Willoughby private to race in Australia, he ran this year in the Melbourne Cup but didn’t acclimatize well-enough to run well. Also I bought three horses at tatts, Keats for 200 grand, Emissary for 350 grand and English King for 925 grand. I hope these horses will be lucky for the connections at Ballymore Stables in Australia, and I am sure they can compete at the highest level and win races. Thanks to Armando Duarte for kindly giving his time. 

Thanks for reading, stay safe and have a Happy New Year. 

Thursday, 24 December 2020

Merry Christmas You Filthy Animals!

Over the next few weeks I will take a look back at a few posts from earlier this year to keep the brain ticking over until the new flat season starts. 

I wrote a post back in May this year about a few expensive purchases made at the Tattersalls’ Premier Yearling Sales so thought it would be worthwhile checking if they actually made the grade or just disappointed. 

BLUE PLANET was the first and was purchased for 1,800,000 Guineas. A nice pedigree, expensive purchase and trained by the master Aidan O’Brien himself. The Kingman colt Blue Planet made his debut at Dundalk towards the end of October when starting 9/1. That was a pretty satisfactory debut when finishing third so it will be interesting to see what plans Aidan has next year. 

MAGIC HOUR and ESPANIA are still to make their debuts so the next was ST MARK’S BASILICA another for the O’Brien team who had a tremendous 2020 despite taking a few runs to get off the mark. St Mark’s was purchased for 1,300,000 Guineas. The Siyouni colt is a half-brother to Magna Grecia and won his maiden third time of asking before going on to finish third in the National Stakes and then went on to win the Group 1 Dewhurst at Newmarket in October at odds of 10/1. 

A different story for the next two 1,000,000 Guineas purchases who have both disappointed to date. The first MANASSAS comes from a nice family and has only ran once so far but finished stone last for the Kevin Ryan team. Next up is the John Gosden Dubawi colt MAHOMES who has looked pretty average to say the least in all three races this season. DRUMMER GIRL another who has yet to set foot on the racecourse. 

Next up a few Godolphin horses I marked down as 2-year-olds to follow back in May. NOBLE DYNASTY won second timeout at Kempton at odds on and looks a nice prospect for Charlie Appleby. DHAHABI got off the mark at Newmarket on debut and has run to a decent level in his last two races. ACT OF WISDOM was unplaced on debut but the Galileo colt has won three on the bounce including a couple of nice handicaps. Last one to mention is CREATIVE FORCE who won on debut but was soundly beaten next timeout in the Coventry Stakes back in June at Ascot. Creative Force hasn't been seen since, so I wouldn't be giving up just yet on this €400,000 Dubawi gelding. 

Keep an eye out for more of the same this season when I will add a few more Godolphin newcomers and a few expensive purchases to keep a track of for the 2021 season. 

Rewind back to January and I identified a few unraced Michael Stoute and owner Cheveley Park horses to keep an eye out for and out of the three that have ran POTAPOVA looks a star for next season after a demolition job at Chelmsford when winning by over 6-lengths in what was an impressive debut.

I will continue looking back at a few more horses in my next post but one bit of exciting news for next season is that all being well I will be previewing a few unraced 2-year-olds from the Roger Varian team which I am so excited about and I have been also invited to go down to have a look around the Carlburg Stables in the heart of Newmarket which is just brilliant and hopefully all being well I make the long trip from Liverpool some time in 2021. 

Time to get back to watching Home Alone with the family so stay safe and have a Merry Christmas.

Tuesday, 22 December 2020

1:15 Lingfield Racing Tips (22nd December)

A quick post. 

A 7f Novice Stakes on Standard going. Nine two-year-olds take part, a mix of trainers and form horses verses debutantes. 

If the betting is to be believed, it is a four-horse race. 

Top of the tree is Campeao, whose raced twice for David Simcock, partnered this third time by Jamie Spencer. This son of Acclamation has been placed on his last two starts and sets a fair standard. A wide draw isn't ideal for this odds-on shot, but it's very likely he will get to the rail and lead. 

Definitely the one to beat but there may be some opposition from Roger Varian's debutante, La Tihaty

This March foal is a son of New Bay, out of a French-raced mare. This £60,000 yearling purchase is in the ownership of H H Shaikh Nasser Al Khalifa & Partner, who is no stranger to talented horses [Dark Lion et al]. The betting will help assess the chances of this juvenile. If priced 11/4 and less, it would give additional hope this colt is fancied to be a real challenger to the favourite. I would be surprised if this youngster was that short in the betting, but time will tell. 

Irish raider Darwell Lion heads this way from Ballyhale, County Kilkenny under the care of trainer Miss Ellmarie Holden. This bay colt is sired by The Last Lion out of an unraced mare [Darwell]. I have no idea of the trainer and the betting is the best guide to this one's chances. 

David Evans has had a horrendous year with his two-year-olds. Literally no winners from a vast number of runners. It's A Love Thing wasn't overly fancied on debut and ran on to finish seventh, beaten just under five lengths. This bay gelding, a son of Intrinsic, out of a twice-winning sprint mare. It would be a positive if there was money for this horse although the stable can win at any odds second time out. 

Sylvester Kirk is one of those trainers who pops up every-so-often with a big priced winner, especially on debut. Vina Bay was a 150/1 shot on debut and showed little at Kempton over one mile. Can win at speculative odds but probably best watched. 

The other competitors are priced 50/1+. They are unlikely to figure. 

Conclusion: The favourite [Campeao] has the experience and talent to make this a winning return to racing. Turning courses suit experienced horses over debutantes and this could well be the advantage over La Tihaty, who comes from an exceptional trainer who delivers debut winners on a regular basis. Money would be a positive, and weakness may well be a weakness. However, this horse is likely to be the major opponent. Darwell Lion could be the dark horse of the race. My lack of understanding regarding this trainer is a stumbling block. 

Good luck to all. 

Guest post: Jason Coote

Friday, 11 December 2020

From the Horses (Trainers) Mouth the Two-Year-Old Success Stories of 2020

2020 has certainly been an interesting season for flat racing, with the late start and of course no spectators for most of it. It was a challenge to say the least trying to unravel the 2-year-old scene! One positive to come out of the season was the flat trainers 2-year-olds, which have produced plenty of winners throughout this time. Some of the winners that were highlighted this season on craigsbettingblog are as follows: 

CHARLIE FELLOWES was the first trainer to kindly give his early thoughts on a few of his future stars before they even set foot on the racecourse. 

First Prophet the New Bay colt made his debut at Newbury and with James Doyle on board. First Prophet quickened to win easily and returned 18/5. 

Charlies’s view: ''An attractive colt from the first crop of New Bay. Along with the Night of Thunder he has been catching my eye the most. He should be a mid-season 2yr old type and looks nice at this stage.” 

Vadream the Brazen Beau filly made her debut at Newcastle in November and was well-supported into 6/1. Vadream travelled beautifully and she won with plenty in hand. 

Charlie’s View: ''Probably be my first 2yo runner if everything goes to plan. Strong, well-made filly with lots of quality. She is as quick as any 2yr old filly I have ever had (wouldn't be a long list!).'' 

Next up was trainer GEORGE SCOTT who didn’t disappoint either and also gave a couple of winners for the blog. 

Great Vibes looks a nice Showcasing filly for familiar owners W. J. and T. C. O. Gredley. After a couple of decent efforts in class 2 races Great Vibes stepped up a level to win a valuable class 2 Handicap at Newmarket (8/1). 

George’s view: “She's very athletic, tall and leggy and finds life relatively easy at this stage. I’m looking forward to galloping with her in six weeks. She goes very well.” 

Simulation Theory was another who needed a couple of runs to be seen at his best when the Starbanngledbanner gelding won a Yarmouth Handicap (13/2). 

George’s view: “I’ve been very pleased with his progress and he's an enormous horse and going to be a monster one day and a very easy-moving horse with a good attitude. He won't be ready until later in the summer but I think he's going to be a nice fast horse who will progress over the next year or so.” 

If you have been reading my blog since the start you know KARL BURKE is one of my favourite trainers especially when it comes to 2-year-olds, so I was really pleased Karl agreed to forward information for my blog, and he was another who didn’t disappoint. 

Inhaler is an Elzaam colt and made his debut at Pontefract in June. Inhaler started 100/30 and was driven out to win with a bit in hand under Ben Curtis and then went onto win a class 4 Handicap at Hamilton in August. 

Karl’s view: “This £32,000 yearling purchase is a sharp early 2-year-old and had racing been taking place then I am sure this fellow would have made his mark already. Hopefully, he will be out soon after resumption.” 

Intrusive is no longer with Karl but before he changed stables the Fountain Of Youth colt put a win on the board when winning third timeout at Ayr, starting price 8/1. Karl’s view “This homebred colt who has plenty of scope, he looks like a colt who will make his mark in the second half of the season.” 

Tipperary Tiger came from the clouds to win first time out at Doncaster, well I say clouds it was in fact fog as the visibility that day was awful. The Mayson gelding was available at 14/1 and won at 10s in the end. 

Karl’s view: ”Typical of his sire, we have had some really good Mayson's and I expect this colt to make up into a nice type in the second half of the year.”

EVE JOHNSON HOUGHTON has had a great season and forwarded some nice 2-year-olds to the blog this season. 

Enduring was the first of them and won second timeout at Kempton in June under a fine ride from Charlie Bishop (5/2). 

Eve’s view: “He was Lot 1 at the Ascot Yearling Sales, so the first yearling I bought last year. He has shown up well on the gallops and will be one of the earliest out. He has grown a huge amount and looks like a lovely horse now.” 

Jumby won pretty nicely at Ascot on debut(5/1) and certainly looks a nice one for next season. 

Eve’s view:  “A gorgeous horse who takes the eye every time you see him. Moves well and looks the part. Will be one for later on.” 

Bhubezi another second timeout winner for Eve when scoring at Chepstow in August (11/4).

Eve’s view: “A good moving son of Starspangledbanner who does everything easily. I would imagine him being out late June time.” 

Soldier Lions kept the winners coming when confirming his debut promise and finally getting his head in front last timeout at Bath (9/4). 

Eve’s view: “A lovely horse who works very well, I would anticipate him being one of the earliest on the track and can see a bright future for him.”  

Dark Illusion won the third time of asking for familiar owners The Kimber Family in August at Bath(13/8). 

Eve’s view: “Very pleased with this boy, who moves well and impressed in his early work. Should be out at the end of June.” 

JAMES TATE forwarded ten 2-year-olds to follow and Final Voyage (9/1), Hit The Heights (12/1), Risk Of Thunder (11/8) and Illustrator (5/2) added wins for the Newmarket trainer this season. 

ED DUNLOP was another who contributed to this season's blog and although many are still to race Tara Iti won a class 6 Handicap at Leicester(9/1). 

Ed’s view: ''Tara ITI is the son of St Leger winner Sixties Icon. He is a powerful looking colt with a good shoulder and hind end. He has taken to work well and should be ready fairly early.'' 

MARCO BOTTI gave four to follow and although none have managed a win Divine Magic came a close second last time out at Wolverhampton and will be winning sooner rather than later. 

Marco’s view:  “Like the rest of the family, she is not very big. She goes well but we haven’t done any serious work with her yet.” 

I would like to say a huge thank you to all the trainers involved who contributed to the blog this season and as 2021 will see many more trainers and even syndicates giving a few 2-year-olds to follow for the new season ahead, make sure that craigsbettingblog is your go to for two year olds to follow!

Wednesday, 9 December 2020

Wednesday: 3:50 Kempton (9th December)


The Try Our New Boosts At Unibet Novice Stakes. 

Quite an intriguing race over 6f. A field of eleven two-year-olds take part. 

Caribbean Sunset won on debut at Linfield when holding the late charge of Touchwood. This £55,000 yearling, in the ownership of Star Bloodstock Racing, trained by Simon & Ed Crisford, was fancied to go well on debut and made a perfect introduction when 'just holding on'. Under the burden of a 7lb win penalty, this will be a tougher battle to win and a wide draw isn't ideal. I can imagine James Doyle will do his best to get to the rail and try to lead. There should be improvement to come and although it's no easy task to give weight away the statistics suggest this April foal will run a big race. Whether you would want to take short odds is a matter of opinion. 

Impeach could go well today although there are a few question marks. Brian Meehan's son of No Nay Never has raced twice and we've seen a little bit of the same at Kempton and Chelmsford. I have little doubt Manton House Estate hold this chestnut colt in some regard but will he show more today? He was very well backed on debut (on the exchanges from 30 - 8) and started 6/1 with bookies. He looked inexperienced on debut, a bit bulky as if not fit, and always a touch outpaced although just about in contention. Impeach wandered about in the straight and took a good while to get organised. The form of that debut race looks fair. The second start Chelmsford when stepping up to 7f was disappointing. I'm pretty sure that had much to do with the colt being far too keen. Sometimes it is difficult to tell how hard a horse is pulling but it is most likely he ruined any hope. Clearly connections are concerned such exuberance may tell over further distances, so this drop back in trip may be the answer to the question. I was hoping to get big odds on this horse betting on the exchanges (it did touch 14) but at shorter odds I would probably take a watching brief. A plum draw (1) may be a good thing, although there is a slight concern he will be outpaced, similar to debut. A horse that could well go well here and if touching big odds may be worth a speculative bet. 

To add to the mix we have David Simcock's Ronan Accuser in the familiar silks of Colin Murfitt. This bay son of Sepoy hasn't been seen for a couple of months when relatively fancied on debut, racing over course and distance, however, at auction class. It was a muddling race and although beaten less than two lengths. This home bred looked bulky and in need of the run from a wide draw on debut. Instantly outpaced, he ran on from off the pace and ran creditably in the circumstances. The betting that day suggested this horse holds claims and I would be looking at the market this afternoon to make assessment. Very few of Simcock's two-year-old win on their second start if weak in the betting. However, if strong in the market I would be confident this colt would hold very strong each-way claims. I must admit, the booking of Luke Morris seems strange and may be a poor jockey booking. I can't understand why Jamie Spencer isn't riding. If weak in the market, with the jockey booking, I would have to take it as a negative. 

Tom Clover is a decent trainer and know his horses well. Rockett Man in the ownership of The Rogues Gallery. This is a significant patron of the stable. This chestnut son of Equiano cost just 15,000 guineas at the breeze-up sales. He was relatively fancied at 10/1 when racing at Wolverhampton over 6f, almost eight lengths behind Anatiya, trained by the Crisfords. An attractive colt, he was keen on debut and quite inexperienced. If priced 13/2 and less sp may come into the equation, although looks to need a good deal of improvement from what was seen on debut. 

It will be interesting to see how John Butler's Ivasecret goes after being half fancied on debut in testing going at Yarmouth. The jockey booking of Oisin Murphy may have been significant and this colt cost a few quid 56,000 euros. He showed nothing much on debut although that may have been due to the ground. Interesting to see how this goes.

Conclusion: It's a difficult if not complicated race to assess.The betting will be a decent guide and I would be waiting for this information. I'm pretty sure the favourite will go well but probably little value. Impeach is the main interest and if touching big odds on the exchanges may be worth a small each-way bet. I'm not keen on horses who disappoint although the stats for it on second start were very good so that does give hope for today. Ronan Accuser is a funny one to consider. The betting will tell the story. If priced 13/2 and less sp has decent each-way claims. The jockey booking looks strange to me which may be a negative.

Guest post: Jason Coote

Tuesday, 8 December 2020

3:35 Wolverhampton (8th December)


3:35 Wolverhampton

Quite an interesting race. From a statistical point of view, Bridesman and Shielded are most likely. 

Bridesman is a son of Exceed And Excel out of an unraced mare. This bay colt cost £90,000 at the yearling sales. John Gosden trains this March foal for Godolphin. From a betting point of view, the stable's debutantes have very high claims if priced 6/4 and less sp (not much meat on the boat) but can win at bigger odds. 

Certainly, Gosden can train a winner on their first time out but, additionally, they can be a touch hit and miss, with greater chance of being placed than winning (hardly surprising on general averages).

Shielded, trained by Simon Crisford, is the horse I would be looking at here. The stable do very well with their two-year-olds on their second start. In fact, most trainers have by far greater chances of winning second time out compared with debut. This son of Buratino, out of an unraced mare, was backed from 7/2 - 11/4 on debut when failing to shine, finishing in sixth place, although far from disgraced, beaten three lengths. 

Connections have stepped up in distance by a furlong and a half, which should help. I'm sure this colt will be wiser for the debut effort when, by my reckoning, it was in a significant betting guide. This factor gives added consideration for the chances today. 

Shielded has respectable each-way claims and of interest. 

Guest post: Jason Coote

Tuesday, 1 December 2020

A Boom For Zoom (13:05 Lingfield 02 Dec 2020)

It’s always worth looking into statistics if you get the time and as it showed in my last post as they proved spot on again when my Mark Johnston fancy RENBAWI who drifted like a leg had fallen off trailed in second to last. Mark Johnson’s record with second time out winning two-year-olds priced over 10s is pretty low so when drifting to 14s was a definite no bet for me. I have to say my newcomer to note didn’t do much at all on debut. The Haggas trained ALTO VOLANTE was backed like defeat was out the question and ended up 8/11 but ran no race at all, could be worth checking out next timeout and may even get a better price after that poor showing. 

13:05 Lingfield 02 Dec 2020 

Not sure how many 2-year-old races are left this season as my head is up the wall with getting ready for next season but hopefully I can get a much-needed winner before it does end. Hugo Palmer did have a nice winner at Newcastle today called Oz Legend, and he has another nice looking horse here called Ocean Road who I’m sure will be pretty well-supported after a decent debut when second to Noon Star last timeout. The Qatar Racing owned Australia filly should come on plenty but probably be a warm order here. I will be taking a chance on a Roger Varian filly called ZOOMA and hoping she can sneak a place at least. The Exceed and Excel filly cost 50,000 gns at the Tattersalls 2019 October Yearling Sales and has already run twice this season for a team in form. Zooma made her debut in a hot class 2 event at Goodwood back in July when easy to back. The 14/1 shot was actually pulled up soon after when something went amiss. Roger Varian gave her a break, and she was out again at the end of October at Kempton when kept towards the rear before staying on steadily but never threatening the leaders. Nibbled at that day from 13/2 into 11/2 at the off I’m hopeful the extra distance will see her in a better light tomorrow and if priced under 15/2 tomorrow Zooma has decent place claims. 

12:35 Lingfield 02 Dec 2020 

The early race looks a tough one and a newcomer to note is the Roger Charlton trained WANNABE SAFE who comes from a decent family and is half-sister to the useful Wannabe Yours and Wannabe Loved, I won’t be backing on debut but will have a small each way on what could be a speculative outsider in the name of BLUE ARTEMIS. I could be way of\f the mark here so that’s why I will keep it a small stake. Blue Artemis was a 72,000 gns purchase and trained by James Fanshawe and owned by Fred Archer Racing, I do like it when they team up, and they have had a few winners in the past. The stats don’t really give me much clue here as Fanshawe can win at speculative odds or short. The Showcasing filly was 66/1 on debut and never involved but stranger things have happened but as I say small stake for me here. 

Good luck and stay safe.

Thursday, 26 November 2020

Could Potapova Be Sir Michael Stoute's 1000 Guineas Horse?

You wouldn't normally get too excited about an EBF Novice Stakes at Chelmsford on cold Thursday afternoon. 

No one told Potapova, as this daughter of Invincible Spirit left her rivals some six-and-a-half lengths behind to take the spoils at 5/1. 

Racing in the familiar silks of Cheveley Park Stud, this home bred out of a four-times raced mare [Safina], was ridden to perfection by Ryan Moore. 

Although weak in the betting (drifting from 7/2 - 5/1), this May foal finished with verve to crush a six-strong field. 

Racing Post reporter, Steffan Edwards, commented:

'' POTAPOVA, a May foal, is a sister to 6f AW 2yo winner Panova (RPR 94) and half-sister to five other winners. She was weak in the betting but defied the negative vibes with a highly promising debut, travelling best throughout and quickening right away from a furlong out to win with ease. She could be smart.''

Racing Post Result:

''Tracked leaders, switched right home turn, led and going easily over 1f out, ridden 1f out, quickened and went well clear inside final furlong, ran on well, impressive (op 7/2 tchd 11/2).''

The signs were there. 

This bay filly had clearly been working well at home and it was a sign of interest that Sir Michael Stoute unveiled this horse so late in the season. Due to the late start to the Flat turf season, many trainers have struggled to get their better juveniles to the racecourse and a recent article in the Racing Post suggested next year's Classics, especially the 1,000 & 2,000 Guineas were likely to go to horses with no racecourse experience at two.

However, I suspect many of the big stables will be looking to introduced talented colts and fillies to get valuable experience for next year but also a sprinkling of pattern-class horses. 

There has been no mention of Potapova being targeted for next year's 1,000 Guineas at Newmarket. However, I suspect this is the plan for this horse. 

Take a look, below, to see what a sparkling debut it was.

Guest post: Jason Coote

Tuesday, 24 November 2020

Wednesday 2yo Previews Plus An Eye-Catcher To Follow

I have officially put myself on the cold list after a series of placed efforts and losers. The betting bank has taken a knock in recent weeks I can tell you but the only thing stopping me from crying is I’m still in profit from a few nice winners early on in the season. What am I doing differently? That's the question. The answer I can’t explain until the 2-year-old season finishes and I can take a look at things closely. One thing I will be adding next season is a few more unraced horses to follow as the season goes along, backing on debut is a risky business so could be worth watching and backing second time out if running well on debut. 

One debut runner I mentioned on Twitter last week was SEA LA ROSA for the William Haggas yard. The Sea The Stars filly was purchased for € 200,000 at the Arqana 2019 August Yearling Sales and is owned by Sunderland Holding Inc. I did have a small each way at 6s and had already written her off when she drifted to 12s about 45 minutes before the race but suddenly the money came and by race time Sea La Rosa was 7/2. Marquand kept her at the back for most of the race but when the penny dropped Sea La Rosa stayed on nicely towards the end of the race and managed to finish fourth. One to look out for next time but I Imagine not much of a price. 

NEWCOMER TO NOTE: ALTO VOLANTE 

14:35 Lingfield 25 Nov 2020 

I did have this Kingman colt down as a John Gosden horse to follow in a post I did back in February so not to sure what happened as William Haggas has him now, anyway owned by Mr A E Oppenheimer who also has a nice Kingman colt called MEGALLAN who won first timeout for John Gosden and ran at a decent level this season. Alto Volantes Dam Disco Volante has produced some nice offspring including the 112 rated Namibian and the Haggas trained Golden Horn filly Domino Darling who won first timeout. This looks a nice starting point here and whatever Alto Volante does I’m sure he will come on plenty for the run. 

15:10 Lingfield 25 Nov 2020 

The second division also looks a nice race and with no Appleby runner I could have a chance here of getting a place at least. The one I have my eye on is the Mark Johnston trained RENBAWI who I thought ran a decent race first timeout at Wolverhampton just over a week ago when finishing eighth. Renbawi was steady in the market that day opening up 5s and going off 9/2, despite being slowly away the Dubawi colt looked professional enough and knew his job. Silvestre De Sousa never gave Renbawi a hard time and despite coming wide on a couple of the bends it looked to me like he was eased down the last furlong when no chance of challenging. Renbawi is a half-brother to the Mark Johnston trained Meraas who ran at a decent level and a full-brother to the Godolphin trained Global Hero who won over this distance at Wolverhampton. Johnston has decent win and place claims with second timeout runners 9/2 and under so with a bit of look Renbawi can improve for his debut run, a negative if drifting over them odds. 

Thanks for reading and stay safe.

Saturday, 21 November 2020

Saturday's 2yo Racing News (21st November)

Just three maidens today - I've given up on nursery races. 

The main race of interest is the 6:30 Wolverhampton

Interesting to see how Beloved gets on today after a fair debut effort at Doncaster over one mile on soft ground. This daughter of Frankel was steady in the market that day (15/2) and a touch keen in the early stages before finishing sixth beaten five-and-a-half lengths. Ed Walker has been in decent form with his juveniles this season and, in general, they are much better prospects on their second start. The key factor for Beloved today, in my opinion, is the betting. Very few of the stable's two-year-olds win on their second start when priced in double figures and this would be a weakness if a big drifter in the betting (seen recently with Girl From Ipanema) and failed to shine. 

Beloved has very good each-way claims if priced 13/2 & less sp. 

The major opponents include Charlie Appleby's Mawenzi, who is a well-bred daughter of Dudawi out of an unraced mare. The stable have a very good strike rate when starting favourite and this yard never lacks for strength or depth in the juvenile ranks. 

Similarly John Gosden is a trainer who can unveil a talented two-year-old on debut and Kusnacht, in the ownership of Newsells Park Stud, has claims if priced 13/2 & less sp. The chances of winning on debut when outside this betting guide are much less and should be taken note. 

Other hopes, if backed, include Divine Magic, Gwenhwyvar & Sisu. 

My focus is Beloved is in the best betting guide. However, if weak I will take a watching brief. 

Other maidens on the day include:

1:45 Lingfield 

6:00 Wolverhampton 

Guest post: Jason Coote