Day 3-Royal Ascot Daily Trixie 2019

Day 2 Royal Ascot Trixie Review:

I couldn't believe it when Ickworth didn’t come out the stalls and to make it worse Betfred won't be refunding me. Anyway, I did mention Mark Johnstons Raffle Prize in my review yesterday, she ran a great race and held on well from the American challenger Kimari but that's no consolation to me after another disappointing selection. Aaron’s selection Pretty Baby disappointed in thirteenth place and Sam’s selection Raising Sands finished well to grab third. It’s proving a difficult meeting so far but I will stay positive and hopefully the next two days will be better. 

Day 3. 14:30 Ascot 21 Jun 2019 Norfolk Stakes

Craig: SUNDAY SOVEREIGN is one of the more experienced runners in the field and with an RPR of 103. A winner already twice on soft ground so the forecast good to soft ground shouldn't be a problem. He put himself firmly in the Royal Ascot picture when beating the O’Brien trained Coventry Stakes winner Arizona by three lengths. Sunday Sovereign made some impression that day as owners King Power Racing purchased him, and he will be the first Irish based horse to run in their silks. I will stick with a short one today after a disastrous few days. Expressionist has only run once but has course and distance form to his name already plus he has run on good to soft. This Charlie Appleby Night of Thunder colt won readily on his debut in May and has an RPR of 89. Ventura Rebel I imagine will have to be a bit quicker out of the gates against this top class field saying that he has run on strong and won two out of two for Richard Fahey. King Neptune comes here at the top of his game. He looks the second string with Ryan riding the unexposed colt Mount Fuji but as I mentioned in an older post sometimes the jockey bookings count for nothing in the O’Brien yard. King Neptune has put in some solid efforts when getting beat by the highly rated Siskin and Ickworth. He does like to front run which does put me off a bit against a few that will be running on at the finish. 

15:05 Ascot 20 Jun 2019 Hampton Court Stakes

Aaron: Cape Of Good Hope comes into this race after a good on fourth in the Prix du Jockey Club in France. Fox Chairman comes here after a good third at Chester where he got caught in traffic but he clearly has potential. SANGARIUS, comes here for the inform Frankie Dettori and Sir Michael Stoute, his comeback at Sandown was a decent effort and looks like he would improve for the run. The step up in trip is an unknown but shouldn’t be a problem and is my selection at 8/1. A couple of others that could enter calculations are Kick On who will prefer the softer ground and King Ottokar, who travelled well before not staying out the trip in the Chester Vase should appreciate the drop in distance. 

17:35 Ascot 20 Jun 2019 King George V Stakes 

Sam: Constantinople looks like he will relish the step up to 1m4 and has shown marked improvement on every outing. Sir Ron Priestley is definitely a horse on the up and should he handle the 8lb rise he will defo go close but my preference is for SINJAARI, he came home with a rattle when just losing out to a short head to Headman ok it’s the previous outing. I don’t think the 8lb rise will stop him this time and the step up in trip is a massive positive. Timeform Early Declaration Alert: 18:20 Goodwood 21 Jun 2019: Flash Henry 18:10 Newmarket 21 Jun 2019: Electrical Storm Thanks for reading and good luck.

Second Season Sires to Look Out for in 2019

Trying to find a money spinner can take a long time but hopefully, these statistics can at least make a small profit. I looked through the first season sires for the 2018 season to see if I can get any statistics to keep one step ahead for the 2019 season. 

It’s no surprise that No Nay Never leads the way in 2018 sires list with the superb Ten Sovereigns unbeaten, winning a Group 1 and 3 in his first season. I have had a good look at the statistics but can’t find much interest to make a profit. I found four very interesting sires to keep in mind in the following months, especially Charm Spirit. 

Australia has a few interesting statistics, if we look at the results of the sire’s progeny in 2018 it was a decent season but backing each horse would have left you a few quid down. As always we can narrow that down a bit so as the saying goes horses for courses. 

Kempton seems a course the fillies thrive on, with the slower all-weather surface being a hit. The offspring statistics read in 2018, 5 runners with 4 winning in maiden or novice races, giving an 80.0 per cent win strike rate with a 475.0 per cent win return at starting price, with two first time out winners and two second timeout winners. Beyond reason being his top performer with a rating of 107, let's hope it continues into the new Flat season. 

Kingman (pictured) offspring performed very well in two-year-old novice races last season in all types of ground and distances would have seen 30 runners with 11 wins giving a 36.7 win strike rate and 214.3 per cent win return at starting price. 

Sangarius looks an exciting prospect for the 2019 season, this Kingman colt already has a rating of 109 after finishing fourth to the mighty To Darn Hot in the Group 1 Dewhurst stakes in October. 

Charm Spirit is another sire worth following, the French-trained colt ran twice only as a two-year-old, before strengthening up over the winter and coming back even better. On his reappearance, he won the Group 3 Paul de Moussac, and better was to follow later in the season with three Group 1s in a row, highlight being a great win in Queen Elizabeth 11 Stakes at Ascot. 

Charm Spirit seemed to enjoy the soft going but looking at the statistics of the offspring tells a different story so I will be concentrating on maiden races, good and good to firm going only and priced under 15/2. The profit looks good, with 20 runs and 9 wins giving a 45.0 per cent win strike rate and a 206.0 per cent win return at starting price with Yourtimeisnow, a useful prospect for the 2019 season. 

Kuroshio could be an outsider to pop out a winner or two, his progeny have been average but with 4 wins from 12 bets giving a 33.3 per cent win strike rate and a 142.7 per cent win return at starting price in novice company, it’s worth keeping an eye out for this Australian sprinter’s offspring in the months ahead. 

So, as always no guaranteed winners but enough statistics to help along the way.