Previews & Reviews (April 25 2022)

Quick review of Saturday's post. 

As I mentioned In my last post I had two trackers in the 13.45 at Ripon and in the end I did Honour Your Dreams each way at 5s, some people may not agree that 5s is a each way bet but it works for me. The early favourite was drifting which is always a good sign and Honour Your Dreams was backed into 7/2, I watched the race on the way home in a taxi from shopping, one day I might be able to relax and watch it from my own home, of course the driver was waffling on as they always do while I'm looking at my phone thinking shut up for a minute. Honour Your Dreams broke well today, quick off the mark this time and up with the pace, going well and took it up a furlong to go, despite hanging a bit he bagged the rail, cmon my son but The Twilight Lady come out the pack and won by a short head, nothing lost so it was good to get my stake back. ✅

Newfoundland was the next tracker at Navan, a no bet because who knows what horse will turn up, a good decision as stablemate Arbutus beat Newfoundland on his debut race, say no more.

Previews.

16.30 Ayr 25 April 

Ten 3yos declared here in what looks a formality for the William Haggas trained Post Impressionist after a good second at Nottingham a few weeks ago. Mark Johnston has the Golden Horn colt Dubai Leader who could be nice. I'm going to try a speculative small each way on Celestial Star for Keith Dalgleish who won this race last year with Summa Peto. It's a long shot and a half after finishing eighth last year at this course. The Ribchester filly was up with the pace going well but faded pretty quickly when the going got tough. I mean it wasn't the best run and wouldn't surprise me if she headed to handicaps this season but I'm willing to take a chance she can grab a place here, currently around 33s.

18:45 Naas 25 April

A race I won't be getting involved in but I do have the Aidan O'Brien filly Emily Dickinson as a tracker. I'm sure regular readers know by now that these O'Brien horses could be anything. Emily has had a couple of nice runs to date and I'm hopeful she will put her best foot forward today because I have the Dubawi filly as a outside bet for the Oaks, I mean I need a good performance here to be honest or the slip goes well and truly in the bin. A few nice types in this race including the other O'Brien runner Champagne, currently around 6/4 for Emily Dickinson. 

19.25 Ayr April 26

Breaking Light for the Karl Burke team runs here after finishing second over this course and distance last August, the Dabirsim filly was unfancied on debut but still managed a decent run. Well regarded by Karl Burke last year so interested to see how this 182,000 euro purchase gets on here against the likely favourite Espresso. A possible bet if I can get an each way price which is probably a bit optimistic of me. 

Thanks for reading.

Saturday's Previews & Reviews (23rd April)

Quick review of my last post and bets.

First off was the Eve Johnson Houghton colt Blatant who had one run already in the Brocklesby when finishing down the field after being a touch keen. I managed to grab 3s early in the morning and was pleased to see the money come.

The favourites flip flopped as the Gay Kelleway runner who won on debut drited like a leg had fell off. Ocean Cloud with the experience was quickly out the blocks, Blatant looked more experienced himself today following behind but even with the penalty Ocean Cloud looked like never stopping as Blatant finished second, could be useful this winner. ❎

Next bet was the David Evans runner Soleil Blanc, another win bet, the confidence is shot at this point as the search for a winner continued, it was another race nothing went right, one was withdrawn then Soleil Blanc didn't want to go in the stalls, ah I was thinking of just cashing out at this stage as I knew my fate, Soleil Blanc reared up leaving the stalls and lost a few lengths so game over as she never got involved at all ❎

Now for the one we've all been waiting for Graceland's Girl who I had as a tracker last year for Tim Easterby, lots of negatives before the race, the trainers fto record, the price of course, fuck it you have to be in it to win it I thought so the night before I had a small each way at 50/1 and went to bed dreaming about the Iffraaj filly winning (actually true story).

Next morning I was watching the betting and thought I would see some support but no she drifted out, that's it I thought no chance, next I seen was 80s, then I checked again and into 33s, mmm interesting hey so I went in again, anyway before the race she went off 66s.

The race started as I watched on the bus home from work, I was still weirdly optimistic that she could grab a place. Graceland's Girl started alright to be fair, even though at the back was actually travelling well for a debutante, no signs of being keen but just relaxed, the favourite was serving it up to the field and getting a nice lead, Fentiman started to move up on Graceland's Girl taking them one by one, c'mon you beauty as she started to stay on well, next minute she was making giant strides but the line was coming, c'mon grab a place I thought, yes she moved into third and in fact I'm no jockey but an early move would have seen her win here but I was well pleased and got a few quid back in what has been a terrible month ✅

Just a few trackers tomorrow and no time to write much.

13.45 Ripon 

We have a hot favourite at the time of writing, Insolente ran well on debut in a race that's turning out well. Jaxta was favourite on debut for O'Meara but faded quickly, interesting that he was favourite and needs a market check tomorrow. Two trackers I have are Kings Crown and Honour Your Dreams who came second and third last time to a nice Alice Haynes horse called Fix You. I've taken 5s each way but possible cash out of drifting, both are interesting, maybe I should have done a split stake or I might still.

17.55 Navan 

Not going near this tracker to be honest I'm done with Aidan O'Brien horses, actually I would love to see Newfoundland win here but my money stays in my pocket, the 9/4 could be a great price after the race. 

Early entry

19.25 Ayr April 26

Breaking Light for Karl Burke, short I imagine but well regarded last season.

Thanks for reading. 

Reviews And Previews (6th April)

I know some people don't follow the market but for me it's a must if you want to keep ahead in this game, especially certain trainers, the stats don't lie. That takes me on nicely to a few trackers I had running this weekend, it looks disappointing but all the well regarded Aidan O'Brien horses I mentioned all drifted and all beat soundly, they will have their day so I'm not worrying to much as I didn't bet on any after watching them drift out in the betting. 

Bets 

As it's early days in the 2-year-old season and still gathering data and watching replays I haven't had one bet on 2yos yet which is very surprising for me as I'm normally trying to unravel these newcomer races. One tracker I did have from last year was the Joseph O'Brien trained Osraige who was well thought of last season. The problem was could I get an each way price, simple answer was no, I hate win bets because I hate losing money. I waited to see what was happening with the O'Brien pair, I could see they had drifted throughout the day, good sign for my filly who I felt quietly confident about, Osraige drifted to 3s, right I'm on a win bet, feeling confident as the fav My Eyes Adore You I thought was weak and Osraige definitely had the beating of her. I was actually out when the race was on and on the train. The race started Osraige going nicely, cruising along, Princess Olly took the lead an outsider, favourite beaten yessss sure Olly will tire cmon, next minute underground we go, shit no signal fuck sake, soon as I got off put the replay on and Princess Olly didn't tire at all and done enough to beat Osraige, bloody Amo Racing can't get away from them, I actually had one of their 3yos Malex the other week so fairs fair. I actually added it on the blog about 30 minutes before the race. ❎ 

Trackers. 

17:30 Kempton 

Landed a nice touch with the Mick Channon trained Ingra Tor a few weeks back, nice Churchill colt this, can he win with a penalty is a different matter against some potential nice types, hope so like. 

1pt EW 16/1 2nd (Rule 4 20p in pound) +1.76pts 

14:30 Leopardstown 

Oooh this could go to a few here but I have one tracker, the Dubawi filly Emily Dickinson, I have noticed Moore is on Thoughts Of June who also looks alright. Emily Dickinson, Above The Curve and Thoughts Of June all met last timeout with Emily a fair way back making late headway under an easy ride(trying to convince myself) . I would feel confident if Moore had chosen her but I'm chancing a small speculative bet here on Emily Dickinson. Just going to mention Star Angel owned by Amo Racing in this race. 

1pt EW 15/2  5th -2pts

15:05 Leopardstown 

A few trackers going against each here so no bet, First Emperor for Donnacha Aidan O'Brien, Newfoundland for Aidan, interesting Moore is on this newcomer and Vega Magnifico for Joseph O'Brien. No bet here but hopefully a decent race. 

Thanks for reading and remember it's early days yet so I'm not going mad.

Unraced Three-year-olds To Follow (2022)

First of all I hope everybody had a wonderful Christmas and New Year. Personally it's been quiet and that is just how I like it, spending time with the family, drinking beer and trying to sort my trackers out. In total I have over one hundred and sixty three-year-olds to follow for this season which is a ridiculous amount, obviously I will narrow them down. Let’s take a quick look back at some of the highlights of last years three-year-olds to follow: 

EMPRESS JOSEPHINE was one of my unraced 3yos to follow and didn’t disappoint when winning first time out way back in March for Aidan O’Brien and then running at a decent level in pattern races for the the rest of the season. I would love to say I backed her for the 1000 Guineas but I never and the rest is history as the Galileo filly won by a short head at 16/1. Total earnings: £268,841. 

THIRD REALM went in the notebook as a 2yo with after a nice debut back in 2020. The Roger Varian colt got off the mark on his reappearance then went onto win the Listed Derby Trial at Lingfield at 14/1. Third Realm ran a great race in the Derby finishing fifth and another who ran to a decent level the rest of the season. Total earnings:£98,943. 

GEORGE PEABODY was a nice winner for the George Scott team when winning first time up as a 3yo last March at 11/1. It was nice to see him follow up with another win before finishing down the field in a nice race at Ascot. Total earnings:£5,724. 

SNOW LANTERN was in everybody's 3yos to follow and the Frankel filly didn’t disappoint when winning her maiden and going on to run some brilliant races last season in all the top races. I was pleased to see her win the Group one Falmouth Stakes at Newmarket when quickening up nicely to beat Mother Earth under a brilliant ride by Sean Levey. Hopefully Snow Lantern can bounce back as a 4yo after a lacklustre run in her final race of the season. Total Earnings:£356,236. 

Time to look at this season's 3yos to follow, I will start off with a few unraced 3yos who will hopefully make their mark in some of the top races. As always, the first time out you just never know so personally I will be taking a watching brief. 

1: EXPRESS WAY is by Dark Angel and out of Alluring Park, trained by Paddy Twomey. Dam Alluring Park has produced some great offspring, five out of the eight are all rated above 100 so the signs are good for the Dark Angel filly. Express Way is a half-sister to a few nice types including Aidan O'Brien's Was who won the Oaks in 2012. Well regarded by Paddy so hopefully Express can get a win on the board this season. 

2: FIORELLINA is by Galileo and out of Sapphire, trained by Dermot Weld who has had success with dam Sapphire before. Dam Sapphire was top class herself for Dermot winning plenty of nice races in a decent career including finishing her career in style winning the Group 2 Champion Fillies and Mares Stakes race at Ascot in 2012, offspring include full-sister Federica Sophia who ran some decent races for Dermot. 

3: WHISPERING ROMANCE is by Kingman out of Sante, trained by Charlie Appleby. Dam Sante wasn’t anything special winning once in her career but Appleby does rate this filly so I'm pretty sure she will get a win this season. 

4: NEWFOUNDLAND is by Deep Impact out of Best In The World, trained by Aidan O’Brien. Wow a full-brother to the brilliant Snowfall and one I will be really looking forward to seeing on the racetrack, I Imagine a few of these will be short prices but sometimes it's not all about betting for me. Interestingly Snowfall didn’t come into her own until tackling longer trips as a 3yo so I will be keeping that in mind. Another one is well regarded by the trainer. 

5: TASHKENT is by Acclamation out of Colour Blue, trained by Richard Hannon. Dam Colour Blue ran to a decent level in her three year career, her other offspring is the Simon and Ed Crisford trained Melancholy who came third on her debut at Lingfield in November and looks sure to improve. Tashkent is another who I will be looking out for this season. I have plenty more 3-year-olds to follow and will write another post soon. Hopefully these posts will keep a few people from going mad while the National Hunt season is in full swing. Thanks for reading and stay safe.

Read Part 2 Here