8th May - Hamilton

Bets:

16.15 Thursday 05 May 

Chester

I thought I was onto a winner when I saw Self Praise at 5/2 then noticed three non runners, even though a rule 4 was coming it gave me more confidence the Hugo Palmer colt could take this, I'd played it out in my head, either Explicit or Blatant would set the pace and James Doyle would come with a late rattle down the outside to just get up on the line, wishful thinking as the David Evans trained Democracy Dilemma with the help of a first time visor set a blistering pace and never stopped, Self Praise did come out the pack and finished second never threatening the winner, yep rule 4 so small loss after looking good at 5s the night before. 

Next bet was Saturday, you can tell I'm not confident at the minute as I did Redemption Time each way at 9/2 in the nice looking Ascot race. The Clive Cox trained 2yo looked awkward and was still looking green as he pulled any chance away, the Appleby winner Noble Style looked decent as Redemption Time finished third. Had a small each way on Kinrarra a never nearer fifth at Nottingham. My 100/1 Oaks ante-post bet on Emily Dickinson looks well and truly over after a lacklustre run in the Oaks trial at Lingfield.

15.50 Sunday 07 May 

Hamilton 

Eight two-year-olds go to post in a pretty open looking race. Kind Spirit is the early favourite for Charlie & Mark Johnston. The Outstrip colt was pretty strong in the market on debut in a five runner race, the winner Daytona Lady won well, a decent enough debut by Kind Spirit, if strong in the betting has good claims. 

Kevin Ryan colt Pride Of Yorkshire another who was popular on debut after fading to finish fourth to Fix You who looks pretty decent for Alice Haynes. Pride Of Yorkshire was quickly away and knew his job until tiring that day, should come on for the run and a bold show from the front is expected. Northcliff finished fifth in that race and another who should be better for the run.

Legend Of Xanadu has placed both runs so far and another with a chance, Sprezzatura finished behind Legend Of Xanadu last timeout and should be close between them again.

Can't rule out a Karl Burke two-year-old and 23,000 gns yearling Unitarian makes his debut here. Interested to see the betting come race time which should give us a clue to his chances.

I'm going to take a chance on JM Jungle for John Quinn who unleashed impressive winner Breege at Wetherby recently. The £46,000 yearling is related to a couple of winners. Looking at the stats, May is John's best month with two-year-olds. The Bungleinthejungle colt was slowly away at Pontefract in a four runner field, early days but the winner Yahsat looked alright for Karl Burke. JM Jungle joined the pack after the slightly slow start and was tucked in behind, ridden along two furlongs to go; the 5/1 shot finished third of the four runners but was never near the impressive winner, with the betting being so open I've had an each way at 13/2. If taking a drift in the betting it would be a negative and I might take a small loss and cash out.

Other trackers: (no bets for me)

14.15 Cherub (Aidan O'Brien)

15.00 Waterville (Aidan O'Brien) & First Emperor ( Donnacha O'Brien) 

Thanks for reading.

Reviews And Previews (6th April)

I know some people don't follow the market but for me it's a must if you want to keep ahead in this game, especially certain trainers, the stats don't lie. That takes me on nicely to a few trackers I had running this weekend, it looks disappointing but all the well regarded Aidan O'Brien horses I mentioned all drifted and all beat soundly, they will have their day so I'm not worrying to much as I didn't bet on any after watching them drift out in the betting. 

Bets 

As it's early days in the 2-year-old season and still gathering data and watching replays I haven't had one bet on 2yos yet which is very surprising for me as I'm normally trying to unravel these newcomer races. One tracker I did have from last year was the Joseph O'Brien trained Osraige who was well thought of last season. The problem was could I get an each way price, simple answer was no, I hate win bets because I hate losing money. I waited to see what was happening with the O'Brien pair, I could see they had drifted throughout the day, good sign for my filly who I felt quietly confident about, Osraige drifted to 3s, right I'm on a win bet, feeling confident as the fav My Eyes Adore You I thought was weak and Osraige definitely had the beating of her. I was actually out when the race was on and on the train. The race started Osraige going nicely, cruising along, Princess Olly took the lead an outsider, favourite beaten yessss sure Olly will tire cmon, next minute underground we go, shit no signal fuck sake, soon as I got off put the replay on and Princess Olly didn't tire at all and done enough to beat Osraige, bloody Amo Racing can't get away from them, I actually had one of their 3yos Malex the other week so fairs fair. I actually added it on the blog about 30 minutes before the race. ❎ 

Trackers. 

17:30 Kempton 

Landed a nice touch with the Mick Channon trained Ingra Tor a few weeks back, nice Churchill colt this, can he win with a penalty is a different matter against some potential nice types, hope so like. 

1pt EW 16/1 2nd (Rule 4 20p in pound) +1.76pts 

14:30 Leopardstown 

Oooh this could go to a few here but I have one tracker, the Dubawi filly Emily Dickinson, I have noticed Moore is on Thoughts Of June who also looks alright. Emily Dickinson, Above The Curve and Thoughts Of June all met last timeout with Emily a fair way back making late headway under an easy ride(trying to convince myself) . I would feel confident if Moore had chosen her but I'm chancing a small speculative bet here on Emily Dickinson. Just going to mention Star Angel owned by Amo Racing in this race. 

1pt EW 15/2  5th -2pts

15:05 Leopardstown 

A few trackers going against each here so no bet, First Emperor for Donnacha Aidan O'Brien, Newfoundland for Aidan, interesting Moore is on this newcomer and Vega Magnifico for Joseph O'Brien. No bet here but hopefully a decent race. 

Thanks for reading and remember it's early days yet so I'm not going mad.