Showing posts with label Celestial Star. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Celestial Star. Show all posts

Friday, 29 April 2022

A Quick Review Latest Trackers & Bets (30th April)

Quick review of latest trackers and bets. 


Celestial Star for Keith Dalgleish ran with credit at Ayr this week. On my radar as a 2yo after being given a significant entry last season. Not quite the same price as last week's 66/1 shot Graceland's Girl but 25s was good enough for me the night before. I thought she could sneak a place here in what looked like a four horse race with a few making up the numbers. I was right in the end just a shame Celestial Star could only manage fourth. ❎


I didn't have a bet on my next tracker Emily Dickinson over in Naas as the Aidan O'Brien filly was too short, I've been banging on about her for a while now as I have her as an ante-post bet for the Oaks. It's fair to say this ride was timed to perfection by Ryan Moore, he has his critics but never panicked and in the end I would say won a shade cosily. My 100/1 looks alright now as they have cut her odds to 25s, I'm not sure she will even run yet but I'm hopeful at least. ✅


I did have a win bet on the Karl Burke trained Breaking Light who I thought could give the favourite a run for her money at Ayr. A pretty disappointing performance to be honest as she faded quickly, it did say in the Racing Post she ran without a front shoe but I'm not sure I can use that as an excuse to be honest.❎


Jason Coote wrote an excellent guest post for the blog, if I could learn half the stuff he knows about 2yo racing I will be a happy man. One horse he gave a favourable mention to was the John Butler trained Confederation. I must admit I did review this race hoping to find a bet and checked Confederation out and gave him no hope after trailing in last in the Brocklesby. The 33/1 shot looked a different horse this time out when finishing second and would have been a lovely each way bet. It does show you that we should never underestimate how much these 2yos can improve after only one run. ✅


Another bet I had was Lost Angel for Clive Cox at Nottingham. I wasn't going to have a bet as it looked like a difficult race to get a positive angle on. It was a bit of an impulse bet really, I do like a second time out runners and Lost Angel ran a decent race on debut at Newmarket when third to Powerdress, watching the replay the Dark Angel filly was staying on but just tapped for toe the final furlong also Clive Cox has a decent strike rate at Nottingham. A price boost to 13/2 made my mind up and the each way bet was on. Liam Keniry gave her a lovely ride (always is when they win) and Lost Angel just did enough to win by half a length. It's been a frustrating April with too many win bets on debutantes but this keeps me close to level for the month, hopefully I can sneak a win tomorrow in a tough day's racing. ✅


Trackers:


14:10 Goodwood 30 April


I'm hoping it's third time lucky for my 3yo tracker Chef De Partie. The Siyouni colt  still looks green as hell to me after two runs which is a slight worry, I'm pretty sure he is better than his last performance when kept at the back by Hollie Doyle before making late progress. Chef De Partie did hang slightly and Hollie done well to keep him on a straight line in the end but the impressive winner Morghom had well flown and Chef De Partie finished a decent sixth considering the circumstances. Hopefully get an each way price here.


15.55 Thirsk 30 April


Graceland's Girl is back out after an eye-catching debut at Catterick ten days ago. A few big trainers turn up here but I'm hoping David Allan has this Tim Easterby Iffraaj filly in the perfect position to take this maiden. A little far back on debut Graceland's Girl made giant strides to get close to Beluga Gold and was staying on at the death. I'm hoping an each way price is available. 


Thanks for reading. 

Monday, 25 April 2022

Previews & Reviews (April 25 2022)

Quick review of Saturday's post. 


As I mentioned In my last post I had two trackers in the 13.45 at Ripon and in the end I did Honour Your Dreams each way at 5s, some people may not agree that 5s is a each way bet but it works for me. The early favourite was drifting which is always a good sign and Honour Your Dreams was backed into 7/2, I watched the race on the way home in a taxi from shopping, one day I might be able to relax and watch it from my own home, of course the driver was waffling on as they always do while I'm looking at my phone thinking shut up for a minute. Honour Your Dreams broke well today, quick off the mark this time and up with the pace, going well and took it up a furlong to go, despite hanging a bit he bagged the rail, cmon my son but The Twilight Lady come out the pack and won by a short head, nothing lost so it was good to get my stake back. ✅


Newfoundland was the next tracker at Navan, a no bet because who knows what horse will turn up, a good decision as stablemate Arbutus beat Newfoundland on his debut race, say no more.


Previews.


16.30 Ayr 25 April 


Ten 3yos declared here in what looks a formality for the William Haggas trained Post Impressionist after a good second at Nottingham a few weeks ago. Mark Johnston has the Golden Horn colt Dubai Leader who could be nice. I'm going to try a speculative small each way on Celestial Star for Keith Dalgleish who won this race last year with Summa Peto. It's a long shot and a half after finishing eighth last year at this course. The Ribchester filly was up with the pace going well but faded pretty quickly when the going got tough. I mean it wasn't the best run and wouldn't surprise me if she headed to handicaps this season but I'm willing to take a chance she can grab a place here, currently around 33s.



18:45 Naas 25 April


A race I won't be getting involved in but I do have the Aidan O'Brien filly Emily Dickinson as a tracker. I'm sure regular readers know by now that these O'Brien horses could be anything. Emily has had a couple of nice runs to date and I'm hopeful she will put her best foot forward today because I have the Dubawi filly as a outside bet for the Oaks, I mean I need a good performance here to be honest or the slip goes well and truly in the bin. A few nice types in this race including the other O'Brien runner Champagne, currently around 6/4 for Emily Dickinson. 


19.25 Ayr April 26


Breaking Light for the Karl Burke team runs here after finishing second over this course and distance last August, the Dabirsim filly was unfancied on debut but still managed a decent run. Well regarded by Karl Burke last year so interested to see how this 182,000 euro purchase gets on here against the likely favourite Espresso. A possible bet if I can get an each way price which is probably a bit optimistic of me. 


Thanks for reading.