Showing posts with label King's View. Show all posts
Showing posts with label King's View. Show all posts

Sunday, 30 June 2019

Thanks, June! In Profit But Still Things To Learn (Plus Reviews And Previews)

It’s the first year I have ever actually made a note of my bets and from only having fifteen bets in May, I more than doubled that in June. This is a result of having plenty more trackers each day. The good thing about keeping tabs on my bets means I can try to see where I went wrong with my losing bets. I made a profit with my selections in June but I still think I have way too many bets. First time out 2-year-olds seem to be a bit of a downfall for me as Plymouth Rock showed yesterday. I will still note any trackers making their debut but I need to be careful betting on them, if I miss the first time out winner it's just tough. These are my June bets to a one pound stake. Most are 2-year-old trackers which I try to add to each post I write.

JUNE 


13:55 Doncaster  01 Jun 2019: Kuwait Direction  2/10 9/1    EW +0.40 

18:00 Windsor    03 Jun 2019: Eton College      7/13 8/1    EW -1.00 
18:00 Windsor    03 Jun 2019: Gypsy Rocker     10/13 20/1   EW -1.00 
17:15 Kempton    05 Jun 2019: Taste the Nectar 10/12 7/1    EW -1.00 
18:15 Kempton    05 Jun 2019: Tuk Power         8/1 9/2     WB -1.00 
14:00 Beverley   08 Jun 2019: Moon of Love      3/8  9/2    EW -0.05 
19:15 Lingfield  08 Jun 2019: Lexi the One      3/9 18/1    EW +1.30 
15:05 Goodwood   09 Jun 2019: Sir Gordon        2/7 9/2     EW -0.05 
18:15 Windsor    10 Jun 2019: Eton College      3/9 9/4     WB -1.00 
18:15 Windsor    10 Jun 2019: Fantom Force      4/9 7/1     EW -1.00 
13:45 Salisbury  11 Jun 2019: Able Kane         3/9 5/2     WB -1.00 
14:30 Yarmouth   12 Jun 2019: Lincoln Blue      2/9 28/1    EW +2.30 
14:00 Newbury    13 Jun 2019: King’s View      12/12 12/1   EW -1.00 
13:40 Nottingham 13 Jun 2019: Big City          1/6 5/1     WB +5.00 
13:50 York       14 Jun 2019: Kilham            4/8 10/1    EW -1.00 
16:05 York       15 Jun 2019: Historic          4/13 9/2    EW -1.00 
18:40 Windsor    17 Jun 2019: Raahy             2/15 5/2    WB -1.00 
18:10 Windsor    17 Jun 2019: Hubert            3/8 10/1    EW +0.50 
15:05 Ascot      18 Jun 2019: Monoski          17/18 14/1   EW -1.00 
15:05 Ascot      18 Jun 2019: Fort Myers        4/20 16/1   EW +1.10 
14:30 Ascot      19 Jun 2019: Ickworth RR             8/1   EW -1.00 
14:30 Ascot      20 Jun 2019: Sunday Sovereign  8/14 13/8   WB -1.00 
14:30 Ascot      21 Jun 2019: Last Surprise    25/25 6/1    EW -1.00 
14:30 Ascot      22 Jun 2019: Pinatubo          1/14 3/1    WB +3.00 
18:10 Windsor    24 Jun 2019: Bachelor Boy      5/12 100/30 WB -1.00 
18:10 Windsor    24 Jun 2019: Irish Acclaim     3/12 4/1    WB -1.00 
18:05 Newbury    25 Jun 2019: Twice as Likey    1/10 8/1    WB +8.00 
18:35 Newbury    25 Jun 2019: Willa             2/9 14/1    EW +0.90 
18:20 Kempton    26 Jun 2019: Great Ambassador  2/10 11/2   WB -1.00 
14:20 Salisbury  26 Jun 2019: Wightman          6/9 100/30  EW -1.00 
18:25 Leicester  27 Jun 2019: Fred              1/8 8/1     EW +4.80 
18:25 Leicester  27 Jun 2019: Dark Moonlight    7/8 33/1    EW -1.00 
14:45 Doncaster  28 Jun 2019: Go Well Spicy     1/5 7/2     WB +3.50 
15:45 Chester    29 Jun 2019: Lincoln Blue      1/5 7/2     WB +3.50 
14:10 York       29 Jun 2019: Plymouth Rock     6/7 7/2     WB -1.00 
16:30 York       29 Jun 2019: Mubtasimah        1/4 4/5     WB +0.80 
14:40 Newmarket  29 Jun 2019: King’s View       5/6 16/1    EW -1.00


Profit 13  (1 pound stake) hopefully I have done the maths right here. 


Saturday Review: 

With all the controversy with the Irish Derby yesterday I was glad I kept well away from the Irish racing with my personal bets. My opinion for what it is worth is that you just never know which horse to bet on in Ireland especially with the Aidan O’Brien horses as they all seem to either beat each other or are never fully tuned up first-time out. 

Which brings me on to Plymouth Rock who is part-owned by none other than Michael Tabor, I am still convinced this filly has ability even after a clueless performance yesterday, I did have a small win bet on him myself. First, of my trackers yesterday was Hubert and Homespin in the 1.40 at Windsor. I didn’t know which horse to back and in the end, I didn't bet on either. Homespin won and Hubert came second which was a good result for my trackers but not so good for me, the forecast paid nearly 30 quid. 

I had a small each way bet on King’s View who performed better than his debut run but was out the frame, he could pick up a small race this season. Another tracker I mentioned was Raahy who showed his class and won X Force by 4-lengths with my other tracker Cool Sphere back in third. I mentioned a 3-year-old called Mubtasimah on my Twitter feed yesterday. Trained by William Haggas, she was given a Group 1 entry as a 2-year-old but didn't run. I thought she should be able to easily beat the 75 rated Social Guest and it turned out I was right for once as she quickened up like a good filly to win by an impressive 9-lengths and the 4/5 I got was even more impressive. I look forward to seeing what she can do this season. The Saturday Trixie was awful and that's all I can say. 

Timeform Early Declaration Alert and Preview: 

18:00 Catterick 01 Jul 2019: Mia Diva for John Quinn, yes after Saturdays Plymouth Rock you would think I would be giving John Quinn a miss but the fact that Mia Diva made her debut in a Class 2 conditions race is a sign this filly has ability plus she was nibbled from 20/1 to 16/1 before the off. It was a pleasing debut to be honest and she only tired in the last furlong. The negative is the 74-day lay off, I am guessing there must have been a problem, so I will be keeping a close eye on the market before I bet, plus two winners in the field make it an interesting race. 

15:15 Wolverhampton 01 Jul 2019: Dark Kris 

15:15 Wolverhampton 01 Jul 2019: Cherokee Mist 

14:15 Hamilton 02 Jul 2019: Dragon Command 

18:30 Chepstow 02 Jul 2019: Dramatic Sands 

19:30 Chepstow 02 Jul 2019: Swinley Forest 

Thanks for reading and good luck.

Friday, 28 June 2019

Frankel The Horse That Keeps On Giving (Plus Reviews, Previews And Tips)

Bet Reviews:

As regular readers of the blog will know June was a bit hit-and miss-for me but this week things have thankfully taken a turn for the better. First was Willa who came second at 14/1, even though he was no match for the winner it was a much-improved performance. On Tuesday I backed Twice As Likely to win the 2-year-old Novice Auction Stakes at Newbury. Shane Kelly rode the perfect race to win by just over a length and 8/1 was a lot bigger than I expected. I mentioned a few trackers on social media on Wednesday, first was Today Power for Richard Hannon who I actually thought could have a chance until drifting from 9/2 to 10/1 at the off so was no bet for me. I did have a couple of quid on my other tracker Wightman who was also disappointing. 

You may or may not know but as well as getting paid for writing my blog by my friend Jason Coote (@High Class Equine) we also often chat about the day's 2-year-old races when we have time. Thursday he noted an each way treble that he fancied, so I had a little each way Trixie on them, two won and the other Flash Henry who was also my tracker got beat on the line. I still had two more trackers to go on Thursday, the first was Dark Moonlight who wasn't fancied at 33/1 so was a no bet for me. 

Fred was the other who is trained by Mark Johnston and was given a Class 2 entry at York in May (always a good sign) but did not run. Short price on his debut run (another good sign) Fred finished disappointingly last. Fast forward to Thursday when he was steadily backed from 10/1 to 5/1 at the off, the signs were good, I actually thought he got pipped on the line but as the result shows he won by a nose. ''Get in Fred you beauty.'' It is only a small fraction of the 145,000 gns he was bought for but I really hope this son of the mighty Frankel can win a few more times this season. 

I didn't notice another tracker called Go Well Spicy was running until 10 minutes before the Doncaster race she was entered in on Friday, this Mick Channon trained filly won well at 7/2. Interestingly Mick decided to run her at Donny instead of a Listed race at Newmarket on Saturday which made me feel confident of a good run. Another winner which makes my June bets look a bit healthier after a disappointing start to the month. 

Timeform Early Declaration: 

14:40 Newmarket 29 Jun 2019: King’s View was entered in a Class 2 race at Salisbury but didn't run. Huge drift on debut and finished last, market check needed.

18:15 Lingfield 29 Jun 2019: Raahy for George Scott and brings solid form to the table, should be thereabouts. 

18:15 Lingfield 29 Jun 2019: Cool Sphere ran in the Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot, will appreciate drop in Class and another who should be in the mix. 

14:10 York 29 Jun 2019: Plymouth Rock is a newcomer for John Quinn stable, this Starspangledbanner colt was purchased by Tabor, Smith, Magnier and Shanahan for 220,000 gns in April this year. Plymouth Rock has an excellent pedigree and a market check will be needed first time out. 

13:40 Windsor 29 Jun 2019: Hubert and Homespin. 

Note: As with most 2-year-olds I like to check the market before I bet. A quick word to any new readers to the blog, me and a couple of lads off twitter are currently making a selection each week to see who is the best and worst tipster. Aaron was the top tipster for May and it looks like it's between Aaron and me for the bragging rights for June with Sam trailing in last as usual. 

The Saturday Trixie: 

Aaron: 5:20 Curragh - Madhmoon, comes up against Broome and Anthony Van Dyck again from the Derby, where he was beaten half a length in second, all after having a slight stumble down the hill, nice smooth run and he’s the one to beat for me (5/2)(Win) 

Sam: 4:40 Curragh - Monarch of Egypt, ran well on debut over 5f on debut at Naas and Ryan Moore favours him over Fort Myers. Siskin looks a smart sort and win comfortably over C&D last time out but I favour Monarch of Egypt to improve significantly enough to cross the line in front. (13/8)(Win) 

Craig: 2:10 Windsor 29 Jun 2019: Plymouth Rock, reasons for selection above but it’s worth checking the market with this being his first run. (3/1 at time of writing, would hope for slight drift so could do an each way bet) Good luck and as always thanks for reading.

Sunday, 16 June 2019

Double up for the Saturday Trixie (Plus Reviews And Previews)

Finally, I just can't believe it, we have waited so long for this to come around and am so happy. I don't mean Royal Ascot by the way haha. After seven weeks of trying to get a couple of winners, we finally got a double up in our Saturday Trixie. Yes, you read it right we got two winners. Before I get to the review I will catch up on some trackers that ran over the past few days. 

Bets and Timeform Tracker Reviews

I predicted a riot in one of my earlier posts this week but it was more of a scuffle between two infants on their first day at Nursery. But seriously, John Gosden's 2-year-old Riot ran a decent enough race and will have learned a lot from being out-battled by the eventual winner Shared Belief. The 185,000 Euros Archie Watson colt is a horse you will hear a lot more about this season and as for Riot am sure a win is just around the corner for this nice looking Kingman colt. 

Big City was my next tracker and it brought a much-needed win after going through a spell of seconds and thirds. I thought an early morning price of 11/4 wasn't too bad so 5/1 was even better after this Saeed Bin Suroor colt beat Maysong by three-quarters of a length and confirm the promise he showed on his debut run. 

I also had a bet on King’s View, how many times can I make the same mistake of thinking I am getting a good price when I see a tracker getting backed early on, then take a huge drift later after my bet is already on. I actually got 9/2 and by the time the race came he had drifted to 12/1 and King’s View ended up finishing stone last. I did have another two trackers in the same race Baadirr who ran a nice race to finish second and the third placed Swinley Forest who was 20/1. 

On Friday a different day but the same mistake, Kilham my tracker was getting nibbled at early morning from 11/2 to 4/1, so I jump in again and what happens? The same thing it comes to race time and its drifted to 10/1 and finishes fourth. When will I learn? 

I added a late Saturday tracker and shouldn't have bothered. Historic has an entry for the Group 1 Phoenix Stakes, and I was expecting a big improvement, so I had an each way bet at 9/2 only for Historic to finish fourth 

The Saturday Trixie Review 

Well, we finally got a double up when my selection Know No Limits ran out an easy winner in the 6-furlong sprint at Chester. A plum draw in stall 2 Richard Kingscote bounced her out the gates quick and being a front runner it was the perfect course for her, she ended up winning by 4 -lengths and a great start for the Trixie with a 5/1 winner. 

Sam was looking for his first winner and Fantasy Keeper was always travelling well. The 13/8 favourite always looked like he was doing enough and held on to win by half a length and make it two winners from two. 

It was all down to Aarons selection Loch Ness Monster to make it a great day to remember but the 7/1 chance could never strike a blow and plugged on to finish fifth but a double is an improvement and hopefully, the treble is not far away, watch this space. 

Timeform Early Declaration Alert:

With Reviews 18:10 Windsor 17 Jun 2019: Shammah for the Richard Hannon yard. After a nice debut in a five-furlong sprint at Salisbury last month this Frankel filly surprisingly didn't see out the extra furlong last time out. She will be hoping the drop back down in trip will give her a good chance to get her first win on the board. She had an entry for the Hilary Needler Trophy Fillies Conditions Stakes but didn't run.

18:10 Windsor 17 Jun 2019: Hubert for the Silvester Kirk yard. This Kodiac colt has an entry for the Byerley Stud Peter Walwyn Memorial Novice Stakes at Salisbury but doesn't run. Interesting that the owner Neil Simpson had a nice 2-year-old last season. Irene May won her 2 races last season and was well-supported on her debut so a market check will be needed. 

18:40 Windsor 17 Jun 2019: Raahy outrun his big odds when making his debut at Doncaster at the start of the month, since given an entry for the Class 2 race at Salisbury but doesn't run. Should be in the mix after that debut. 

18:40 Windsor 17 Jun 2019: Ecclesiastical makes her debut for Martyn Meade. Another one who was down to run in the Class 2 Salisbury race but doesn't run. Market check needed on debut. 

Good luck and thanks for reading.

Thursday, 13 June 2019

I Predict A Riot!!!!! Kingman Colt to Make Debut At Sandown (Plus Reviews And Previews)

It’s been a busy few days with work and writing a few posts about the Royal Ascot fillies next week but I wouldn’t have it any other way. I think I could write about 2-year-old racing every day if I had the time. Now that my marathon is over (finished in 3.25 for anybody interested) I am taking some well-earned time off from running and resting my body for a few weeks, this gives me some spare time to research and write my blogs before I hit the road again and get in shape for next year's marathon. 

Reviews and Bet Review

In my post last week I was crying about my luck because every horse seems to be getting placed (yes we all say this I know) but things haven't changed much, especially with my trackers any way. I had two trackers in the same race at Windsor on Monday evening and I backed both to win, first was Eton College, this is the second time I have bet on this Mark Johnston colt and it will be the last. He ran a good race to be honest and finished third in a bunch finish, I would imagine this is his level, and he may pick up a small race soon enough.

Fantom Force trained by Richard Hannon is an interesting one, no confidence behind him in the market (around 7/1 all day), he stayed on into fourth place but never nearer. The two early Class 2 entries he was given, give me some hope that he will strip fitter next time out and could run a decent race if there's market support behind him, time will tell. 

Tuesday was pretty much the same story. I only had one bet in the 13.45 at Salisbury which was Able Kane to win, listening to the commentary it sounded like the commentator was under water, he called Able Kane the winner and then to my frustration (but amusement to a few mates in work after I celebrated like I had won the lottery) Gold Venture was called as the winner. 

I also had a couple of trackers which I didn’t bet on. First was Companion who looked the likely winner entering the final furlong, I must admit I had noticed the market support for the eventual winner Rosadora earlier on in the morning but done nothing about it. The way she quickened up was very impressive and beating what look like a couple of nice fillies, it looks like Ralph Beckett has a nice filly on his hands. 

Clay Regazzoni was the next tracker which I thought was a cert, but in this game there is no such thing. Entered for the Group 2 Railway Stakes at Curragh at the end of the month, I thought it was a formality that this Middleham Park Racing owned colt would win his maiden but the Michael Dodds trained Commanche Falls had other ideas and got up in the final furlong to win by half a length at odds of 14/1. The lofty ambitions seem a world away now but I will be interested to see if the soft ground was to blame for the defeat or Commanche Falls is just a decent horse. Lincoln Blue was another tracker that I had on Wednesday. I didn’t get to post this one and to be honest, I wasn’t even going to bet. I did have a bet on 

Lincoln Blue first time out, but he was well-beaten. It was playing on my mind that I could miss out on a nice priced winner as this Jane Chappel-Hyam colt had been given a Class 2 entry in May so in the end I had a small each way bet at 28/1. Lincoln Blue ended up running a great race and finishing second at 16/1, beaten a neck and sums up my June so far. 

Timeform Early Declaration Alert

14:35 Sandown 14 Jun 2019: Riot runs for the John Gosden yard. This Kingman colt cost 850,000 Euros and is owned by Qatar Racing. Not entered in any significant races as yet so a market check will be needed. John Gosdens 2-year-olds have been pretty disappointing so far with just Light Angel winning out of six runners but I did notice he introduced another Kingman Colt around this time last year, who was it? Of course, it was Calyx. 

13:40 Nottingham 13 Jun 2019: Big City has an entry for the Class 2 Byerley Stud Peter Walwyn Memorial Novice Stakes at Salisbury but runs here. 

14:00 Newbury 13 Jun 2019: King’s View has an entry for the Class 2 Byerley Stud Peter Walwyn Memorial Novice Stakes at Salisbury but runs here. 

14:00 Newbury 13 Jun 2019: Baadirr had an entry for the Class 2 Olympic Glory Conditions Stakes at Newbury but didn’t run. 

14:00 Newbury 13 Jun 2019: Swinley Forest has an entry for the Class 2 Byerley Stud Peter Walwyn Memorial Novice Stakes at Salisbury but runs here. 

13:50 York 14 Jun 2019: Kilham had an early entry for the Brocklesby but never ran, also a Class 2 at Bath. 

14:45 Chepstow 14 Jun 2019: Dark Moonlight has an entry for the Class 2 Byerley Stud Peter Walwyn Memorial Novice Stakes at Salisbury but runs here. 

Thanks for reading and good luck.