Showing posts with label Fantasy Keeper. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fantasy Keeper. Show all posts

Sunday, 16 June 2019

Double up for the Saturday Trixie (Plus Reviews And Previews)

Finally, I just can't believe it, we have waited so long for this to come around and am so happy. I don't mean Royal Ascot by the way haha. After seven weeks of trying to get a couple of winners, we finally got a double up in our Saturday Trixie. Yes, you read it right we got two winners. Before I get to the review I will catch up on some trackers that ran over the past few days. 

Bets and Timeform Tracker Reviews

I predicted a riot in one of my earlier posts this week but it was more of a scuffle between two infants on their first day at Nursery. But seriously, John Gosden's 2-year-old Riot ran a decent enough race and will have learned a lot from being out-battled by the eventual winner Shared Belief. The 185,000 Euros Archie Watson colt is a horse you will hear a lot more about this season and as for Riot am sure a win is just around the corner for this nice looking Kingman colt. 

Big City was my next tracker and it brought a much-needed win after going through a spell of seconds and thirds. I thought an early morning price of 11/4 wasn't too bad so 5/1 was even better after this Saeed Bin Suroor colt beat Maysong by three-quarters of a length and confirm the promise he showed on his debut run. 

I also had a bet on King’s View, how many times can I make the same mistake of thinking I am getting a good price when I see a tracker getting backed early on, then take a huge drift later after my bet is already on. I actually got 9/2 and by the time the race came he had drifted to 12/1 and King’s View ended up finishing stone last. I did have another two trackers in the same race Baadirr who ran a nice race to finish second and the third placed Swinley Forest who was 20/1. 

On Friday a different day but the same mistake, Kilham my tracker was getting nibbled at early morning from 11/2 to 4/1, so I jump in again and what happens? The same thing it comes to race time and its drifted to 10/1 and finishes fourth. When will I learn? 

I added a late Saturday tracker and shouldn't have bothered. Historic has an entry for the Group 1 Phoenix Stakes, and I was expecting a big improvement, so I had an each way bet at 9/2 only for Historic to finish fourth 

The Saturday Trixie Review 

Well, we finally got a double up when my selection Know No Limits ran out an easy winner in the 6-furlong sprint at Chester. A plum draw in stall 2 Richard Kingscote bounced her out the gates quick and being a front runner it was the perfect course for her, she ended up winning by 4 -lengths and a great start for the Trixie with a 5/1 winner. 

Sam was looking for his first winner and Fantasy Keeper was always travelling well. The 13/8 favourite always looked like he was doing enough and held on to win by half a length and make it two winners from two. 

It was all down to Aarons selection Loch Ness Monster to make it a great day to remember but the 7/1 chance could never strike a blow and plugged on to finish fifth but a double is an improvement and hopefully, the treble is not far away, watch this space. 

Timeform Early Declaration Alert:

With Reviews 18:10 Windsor 17 Jun 2019: Shammah for the Richard Hannon yard. After a nice debut in a five-furlong sprint at Salisbury last month this Frankel filly surprisingly didn't see out the extra furlong last time out. She will be hoping the drop back down in trip will give her a good chance to get her first win on the board. She had an entry for the Hilary Needler Trophy Fillies Conditions Stakes but didn't run.

18:10 Windsor 17 Jun 2019: Hubert for the Silvester Kirk yard. This Kodiac colt has an entry for the Byerley Stud Peter Walwyn Memorial Novice Stakes at Salisbury but doesn't run. Interesting that the owner Neil Simpson had a nice 2-year-old last season. Irene May won her 2 races last season and was well-supported on her debut so a market check will be needed. 

18:40 Windsor 17 Jun 2019: Raahy outrun his big odds when making his debut at Doncaster at the start of the month, since given an entry for the Class 2 race at Salisbury but doesn't run. Should be in the mix after that debut. 

18:40 Windsor 17 Jun 2019: Ecclesiastical makes her debut for Martyn Meade. Another one who was down to run in the Class 2 Salisbury race but doesn't run. Market check needed on debut. 

Good luck and thanks for reading.

Saturday, 15 June 2019

The English Fillies Contenders Royal Ascot 2019 (Plus The Saturday Trixie)

In my earlier posts this week I wrote about the Godolphin and the Irish fillies heading to Royal Ascot this year. Now I think it's time to see what firepower we have to offer because to be honest, we have won the Queen Mary Stakes the last two years and the Albany Stakes in 2018 and won’t be giving up our title without a dam good fight. Here are just a few nice fillies that will be in with a shout of taking home the decent prize money on offer. 

Good Vibes for David Evans brings the solid form to the table. This Due Diligence filly was bought by Paul and Clare Rooney for £35.000, which looks like a bargain at the minute. She's had three runs already this season and won twice, her latest run in the Langleys Solicitors British EBF Marygate Fillies' Stakes at York was her most impressive, she was nibbled at that day from 12/1 to 10/1 and came with a strong late run to beat Mighty Spirit by one and a half lengths. Looks a nice strong type. 

Current RPR 100 (8/1 BO Queen Mary Stakes) 

Flippa The Strippa for the Charlie Hills yard. This Outstrip filly looks to be the bargain of the season so far, purchased by owner Christopher Wright last September for £10,000 she has already paid her fee back when winning the £17,000 National Stakes at Sandown in May. The form looks decent enough with the 91 rated Mark Johnston filly Jm Jackson in second place. 

Current RPR 95 ( 16/1 BO Queen Mary Stakes) 

Raffle Prize for the Mark Johnston yard. This Godolphin bred Slade Power filly looks to have plenty of speed to burn. Her only two races this season have been over six furlongs. Her second race at Chester seen her start off like a bat out of hell, you would 've thought she would tire but seemed to change legs and drew further clear, the form of that race doesn't look much, but she couldn't have been more impressive. 

Current RPR 88 ( 20/1 BO Queen Mary Stakes, 16/1 BO Albany Stakes) 

Daahyeh for the Roger Varian yard. This Bated Breath filly cost £75,000 and couldn't have been more impressive on her debut run. The well-backed 3/1 joint-favourite was held up by David Egan in midfield before putting the race to bed inside the last furlong. The second Raffle Prize went onto win a Class 2 at Chester next time out. Daahyeh looks a nice filly, and I am looking forward to seeing how much she improves in this season. 

Current RPR 85 (20/1 BO Albany Stakes)

LIberty Beach for the John Quinn yard who won the Queen Mary Stakes last year with Signora Cabello. This Cable Bay filly is another bargain at £16,000. Winner of her two races this season, the latest was the Hilary Needler Trophy Fillies' Conditions Stakes at Beverley last week. Not one to be ruled out despite the big price.

Current RPR 84 (25/1 BO Queen Mary Stakes, 20/1 BO Windsor Castle)

These are just a handful of the English fillies on show at Royal Ascot this year. I know there is also a few potentially very good 2-year-olds that I haven't even mentioned here, plus the Ward speed machines from the other side of the pond that won't be coming over here to just make up the numbers. Overall the fillies races look top class this year and I for one can't wait. I will be reviewing my trackers in my next post as time is running out and the bed is calling. 

Tracker: 


16:05 York 15 Jun 2019: Historic for the S Bin Suroor yard. Ran a pleasing debut last month when backed from 10/1 to 6/1 before the off. This Shamardal homebred colt has been given a 6f Keeneland Phoenix Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (2yo) and will hopefully show an improved performance today with that experience under his belt.

The Saturday Trixie: 

Week 3 

Aaron: Loch Ness Monster - 3.15 Sandown, Brings some good early season form into this race, when finishing 3rd over course and distance a couple of runs back, never had much of a chance last time after being hampered early, gets in off bottom weight with Cieren Fallon claiming 7lb lively each way chance , (8/1) 

Sam: 2:35 Sandown - Fantasy Keeper. Drop back in trip might not suit but is the clear form pick in what looks a week handicap. SDS on board again as the pair look to go 1 better than last time out! 15/8 bet365. 

Craig: 14.10 Chester - Know No Limits. With no trackers, this weekend worth betting on it’s a tough call but Know No Limits has a nice draw in stall 2 (Lexi the One is in stall 1 but been slowly away last 3 races). I will be hoping Kingscote can get her out quickly and hang on for dear life. Not a confident selection but I will take 5/1 each way. 

Good luck and thanks for reading.