I Predict A Riot!!!!! Kingman Colt to Make Debut At Sandown (Plus Reviews And Previews)

It’s been a busy few days with work and writing a few posts about the Royal Ascot fillies next week but I wouldn’t have it any other way. I think I could write about 2-year-old racing every day if I had the time. Now that my marathon is over (finished in 3.25 for anybody interested) I am taking some well-earned time off from running and resting my body for a few weeks, this gives me some spare time to research and write my blogs before I hit the road again and get in shape for next year's marathon. 

Reviews and Bet Review

In my post last week I was crying about my luck because every horse seems to be getting placed (yes we all say this I know) but things haven't changed much, especially with my trackers any way. I had two trackers in the same race at Windsor on Monday evening and I backed both to win, first was Eton College, this is the second time I have bet on this Mark Johnston colt and it will be the last. He ran a good race to be honest and finished third in a bunch finish, I would imagine this is his level, and he may pick up a small race soon enough.

Fantom Force trained by Richard Hannon is an interesting one, no confidence behind him in the market (around 7/1 all day), he stayed on into fourth place but never nearer. The two early Class 2 entries he was given, give me some hope that he will strip fitter next time out and could run a decent race if there's market support behind him, time will tell. 

Tuesday was pretty much the same story. I only had one bet in the 13.45 at Salisbury which was Able Kane to win, listening to the commentary it sounded like the commentator was under water, he called Able Kane the winner and then to my frustration (but amusement to a few mates in work after I celebrated like I had won the lottery) Gold Venture was called as the winner. 

I also had a couple of trackers which I didn’t bet on. First was Companion who looked the likely winner entering the final furlong, I must admit I had noticed the market support for the eventual winner Rosadora earlier on in the morning but done nothing about it. The way she quickened up was very impressive and beating what look like a couple of nice fillies, it looks like Ralph Beckett has a nice filly on his hands. 

Clay Regazzoni was the next tracker which I thought was a cert, but in this game there is no such thing. Entered for the Group 2 Railway Stakes at Curragh at the end of the month, I thought it was a formality that this Middleham Park Racing owned colt would win his maiden but the Michael Dodds trained Commanche Falls had other ideas and got up in the final furlong to win by half a length at odds of 14/1. The lofty ambitions seem a world away now but I will be interested to see if the soft ground was to blame for the defeat or Commanche Falls is just a decent horse. Lincoln Blue was another tracker that I had on Wednesday. I didn’t get to post this one and to be honest, I wasn’t even going to bet. I did have a bet on 

Lincoln Blue first time out, but he was well-beaten. It was playing on my mind that I could miss out on a nice priced winner as this Jane Chappel-Hyam colt had been given a Class 2 entry in May so in the end I had a small each way bet at 28/1. Lincoln Blue ended up running a great race and finishing second at 16/1, beaten a neck and sums up my June so far. 

Timeform Early Declaration Alert

14:35 Sandown 14 Jun 2019: Riot runs for the John Gosden yard. This Kingman colt cost 850,000 Euros and is owned by Qatar Racing. Not entered in any significant races as yet so a market check will be needed. John Gosdens 2-year-olds have been pretty disappointing so far with just Light Angel winning out of six runners but I did notice he introduced another Kingman Colt around this time last year, who was it? Of course, it was Calyx. 

13:40 Nottingham 13 Jun 2019: Big City has an entry for the Class 2 Byerley Stud Peter Walwyn Memorial Novice Stakes at Salisbury but runs here. 

14:00 Newbury 13 Jun 2019: King’s View has an entry for the Class 2 Byerley Stud Peter Walwyn Memorial Novice Stakes at Salisbury but runs here. 

14:00 Newbury 13 Jun 2019: Baadirr had an entry for the Class 2 Olympic Glory Conditions Stakes at Newbury but didn’t run. 

14:00 Newbury 13 Jun 2019: Swinley Forest has an entry for the Class 2 Byerley Stud Peter Walwyn Memorial Novice Stakes at Salisbury but runs here. 

13:50 York 14 Jun 2019: Kilham had an early entry for the Brocklesby but never ran, also a Class 2 at Bath. 

14:45 Chepstow 14 Jun 2019: Dark Moonlight has an entry for the Class 2 Byerley Stud Peter Walwyn Memorial Novice Stakes at Salisbury but runs here. 

Thanks for reading and good luck.

How Mick Channon Loves A Seller (Plus weekend Reviews and Previews)

When it comes to 2-year-old selling stakes races there is only one trainer to look out for. Mick Channon has a great record in these type of races, you only have to look at the Goodwood 15.05 today which he has won the past 3 years, yes my tracker Sir Gordon came out second best in a battle to the line with the David Evans trained Shani but despite a slow start and losing a good few lengths he ran a great race until tiring and getting beat a neck. I had an each way bet so not much damage done. 

Over the past four seasons with 2-year-olds running over 5 furlongs would have given you a 50 percent strike rate from 12 bets and a 1.55.5 percent return at starting price and today was close to making it a perfect 4/4 at Goodwood, so next time you see a selling race and think it’s just a poor race take a look at Mick Channon's horses because there could be money to be made. 

What a battle! Shani comes out on top in the Incubex @Wellchild Selling Stakes, under P J McDonald riding for the David Evans team 👌 pic.twitter.com/0SHnOemylY

— Goodwood Racecourse (@Goodwood_Races) June 9, 2019

Weekend Reviews:

It’s been a case of hitting the bar this weekend for me. I had six trackers running over the weekend and all got placed, I know everybody says it but I think I was unlucky with the three bets I had. First a few thoughts on the trackers I didn’t do. My first thought was that Ottoman Court was disappointing but the front two pulled 10-lengths clear of the field in a 6-furlong race, maybe the Mark Johnston trained Visinari could be useful, we will see. Silver Start ran an average race to finish third but no bet. 

I had two trackers in the same race at Lingfield evening meeting on Saturday, Ocasio Cortez won easily in the end but no bet at the price, now Lexi The One I did have a bet on and boy am glad I didn’t take an early price (no best odds for this race in BetFred), she was 9/2 the night before when I backed her and I had all but given up hope of getting any money back after drifting to 18/1 on the off, slowly away for the third time this season I almost threw my betting slip in the bin until the commentator on the radio to my relief said and from the back Lexi The One gets up for third, phew thank god Sean Davis rode all the way to the line.

Moon Of Love was another hard luck story for me. The Hilary Needler Trophy Fillies' Conditions Stakes is a tough race to win but Cool Silk Partnership do like to win it, Moon Of Love broke smartly looking professional from the off, I would say she was about to take the lead just over a furlong out until being bumped and hitting the rails, it’s a miracle she stayed on her feet never mind get back into the race to finish third place, credit goes to jockey Barry McHugh who never gave up and more place money back for what was an eventful betting weekend. 

Saturday Trixie Review:

No luck again but Aaron popped up with another winner Safe Voyage (5/4), Moon Of Love ran a great race to finish third for me and Sam's selection Stake Aclaim was disappointing. We might try a Trixie each day for Royal Ascot, you never know Sam might get a winner the more we do but don’t hold me to that. 

Timeform Early Declaration Alert 

18:15 Windsor 10 Jun 2019: Fantom Force had two Class 2 entries but didn't run, the last one was the Chester race at the end of May. 

18:15 Windsor 10 Jun 2019: Eton College also had Class 2 entry in the Chester race. 

15:00 Lingfield 11 Jun 2019: Companion had an entry in the Class 2 Hilary Needler at Beverley on Saturday but didn’t run. 

17:50 Thirsk 11 Jun 2019: Clay Regazzoni has a Group 2 Railway Stakes entry. 

Thanks for reading and good luck