Reviews And Previews (6th April)

I know some people don't follow the market but for me it's a must if you want to keep ahead in this game, especially certain trainers, the stats don't lie. That takes me on nicely to a few trackers I had running this weekend, it looks disappointing but all the well regarded Aidan O'Brien horses I mentioned all drifted and all beat soundly, they will have their day so I'm not worrying to much as I didn't bet on any after watching them drift out in the betting. 

Bets 

As it's early days in the 2-year-old season and still gathering data and watching replays I haven't had one bet on 2yos yet which is very surprising for me as I'm normally trying to unravel these newcomer races. One tracker I did have from last year was the Joseph O'Brien trained Osraige who was well thought of last season. The problem was could I get an each way price, simple answer was no, I hate win bets because I hate losing money. I waited to see what was happening with the O'Brien pair, I could see they had drifted throughout the day, good sign for my filly who I felt quietly confident about, Osraige drifted to 3s, right I'm on a win bet, feeling confident as the fav My Eyes Adore You I thought was weak and Osraige definitely had the beating of her. I was actually out when the race was on and on the train. The race started Osraige going nicely, cruising along, Princess Olly took the lead an outsider, favourite beaten yessss sure Olly will tire cmon, next minute underground we go, shit no signal fuck sake, soon as I got off put the replay on and Princess Olly didn't tire at all and done enough to beat Osraige, bloody Amo Racing can't get away from them, I actually had one of their 3yos Malex the other week so fairs fair. I actually added it on the blog about 30 minutes before the race. ❎ 

Trackers. 

17:30 Kempton 

Landed a nice touch with the Mick Channon trained Ingra Tor a few weeks back, nice Churchill colt this, can he win with a penalty is a different matter against some potential nice types, hope so like. 

1pt EW 16/1 2nd (Rule 4 20p in pound) +1.76pts 

14:30 Leopardstown 

Oooh this could go to a few here but I have one tracker, the Dubawi filly Emily Dickinson, I have noticed Moore is on Thoughts Of June who also looks alright. Emily Dickinson, Above The Curve and Thoughts Of June all met last timeout with Emily a fair way back making late headway under an easy ride(trying to convince myself) . I would feel confident if Moore had chosen her but I'm chancing a small speculative bet here on Emily Dickinson. Just going to mention Star Angel owned by Amo Racing in this race. 

1pt EW 15/2  5th -2pts

15:05 Leopardstown 

A few trackers going against each here so no bet, First Emperor for Donnacha Aidan O'Brien, Newfoundland for Aidan, interesting Moore is on this newcomer and Vega Magnifico for Joseph O'Brien. No bet here but hopefully a decent race. 

Thanks for reading and remember it's early days yet so I'm not going mad.

Irish Guineas Trial Weekend (Review & Previews 1st April)

It's just like history repeating itself! 

Bets: March 29th Let's get this out of the way. My only bet of the day was the well regarded Jessica Harrington runner Paris Lights. I put my bet on the night before when I saw the Siyouni colt's price, 11/2 an absolute steal I thought at the time. Didn't look many in with a chance, so I thought he could make the frame at least. I did have another problem here which was another tracker in the race. This is a big problem for me as I never know if I should split the stake or just go for the one I fancy the most. I weighed them both up, Paris Lights has experience and was well regarded last year, my other tracker also well regarded is Wexford Native for the Jim Bolger yard, first time out around 10s, right an each way on Paris Lights it is then. 

Things started to go wrong in the morning, the Joseph O'Brien favourite pulled out, rule 4 straight off, next Wexford Native backed in, I had a bad feeling here and I was right as Paris Lights missed the break and was nowhere to be seen but Wexford Native was up with the pace and fighting it out with the favourite Sun King, where was Paris Lights, I didn't have clue until he trailed in fifth, meanwhile Wexford laid down the gauntlet to Sun King and stayed on to win by a couple of lengths, c'mon Craig sort your shit out. I did mention Storm Dancer but the boy did well not having a bet after no support whatsoever, just to note my bets will be on craigsbettingblog only now and under the race concerned. The only problem is the horses most of the time have to be in a certain price range so if one drifts I will cash out, this will be added before the race has started. ❎ 

It's Irish Guineas Trial Weekend and the All Weather Championships. It looks like we have some decent races on the card here. I think from a betting prospective I will be leaving alone and just keeping a close eye on a few trackers. 

1st April 

6:10 Southwell 

Trackers. Kinrarra, NR Celestial Star. 

Readers of the blog should know by now now I do love a speculative bet, sometimes they come off sometime they don't, one tracker from last season Is the Mick Channon trained Kinrarra who I backed last timeout at Salisbury in what wasn't a bad race when finishing sixth at a big price, a few winners have come from that race since including the fifth place Micheal Stoute Equal Share who is also by sire Australia. The 30,000 gns purchase is out of dam Miss Lahar also trained by Mick Channon, won twice in her career including a Listed race at Naas in 2013 also finished second in the Cornwallis Stakes at Ascot. A half-sister to Shamlahar who won third time out for Simon Crisford over a mile at Lingfield on her final appearance, I would need to see some support here for me to consider having a bet, I also have Celestial Star here but the Keith Dalgleish Ribchester filly needs to improve dramatically after finishing down the field at Ayr in September. Did cost a few quid at 75,000 gns and an owner and trainer combo I like and bred to do better when stepped up in trip I will be watching the market with both. 

April 2nd 

2:00 Leopardstown 

Trackers. Minister Of War, Samuel Pepys. 

I have two trackers in this both trained by Aidan O'Brien. Minister Of War is the choice of Ryan Moore. The 150,000 gns Churchill colt has a couple of runs under his belt already and came third at Roscommon, had a break since then and should be ready for this step up in trip, next one is the O'Brien newcomer Samuel Pepys who is a full-brother to Year Of Tiger and Southern Cape. Interesting to see if this is just an educational ride here by Wayne Lordan, hopefully a nice type for the future. 

3rd April 

Cork 2:05 Early entries. 

Trackers. Lost, Galleria Borghese, Osraige, Perotan. 

The Aidan O'Brien Frankel filly Lost is one tracker I've been looking forward to seeing this season, I do have a few unraced O'Brien 3yos in the trackers but one thing that's on my mind is that looking at his stable tour on Attheraces he doesn't even mention a few of mine, maybe I'm overthinking but it's definitely made me worry, anyway Lost Is sired by Frankel out of dam Queen Cleopatra who won the Group 3 Irish Guineas Trial at Leopardstown back in 2006 for Aidan, a third place in the Irish Guineas followed in what was a short career for the Kingmambo mare. I hope we see a decent effort today. 

Galleria Borghese another O'Brien filly who could be decent in time. Dam On Ice was unraced, second dam Beltisaals offspring include Kingsbarns who was a decent performer for Aidan. 

Osraige for Joseph O'Brien gives me nightmares as I actually backed the Siyouni filly first time out when she had the race in the bag until swerving left in the final furlong.

Perotan for Aidan again. Churchill filly who is a Half-sister to the Mark Johnston trained Matterhorn. At the time of writing no bets but any change I will update the blog before any of the races above start. 

Thanks for reading.

Osraige 3/1 1pt win 2nd

3yo Raced Horses for 2022

I did start off with well over a hundred three-year-old trackers but looking through them again I’ve got rid of a good few. I have noted a few here that will hopefully get a win or two this year. 

1: CHEF DE PARTIE is by Siyouni and out of Nessina, trained by Roger Charlton and bought for 95,000 gns at the October Yearling Sales out of book 2. The Siyouni colt made a pleasing debut in a class 2 race at Doncaster last september. A couple of winners have come out of the race so I can see Chef De Partie picking up a win sooner rather than later. Hollie Doyle steadied Chef De Partie at the back until making her move around the three furlong marker. I did like the way he was moving until getting squeezed up around the furlong pole before running on again. Chef De Partie is a half-brother to Extra Elusive who is a decent type also trained by Roger Charlton. A step up in trip and the winter behind him should bring out the improvement to kick start his career. 

2: EMILY DICKINSON is by Dubawi and out of Chiquita, trained by Aidan O’Brien. The Irish trainers 2-year-olds are a bigger mystery than Lord Lucan. I mean he has that many who knows what to expect when they turn three but I have a feeling Emily Dickinson is better than her debut at Leopardstown back in October when held up at the back before making some headway to finish tenth of fifthteen, I’m pretty sure we will see a better horse than that position suggests this season. 

3: KINGDOM COME is by Kingman and out of Monami, trained by Clive Cox. The Kingman colt has raced twice already, first time out ran green so I will forget that run but second time out in a big field at Doncaster looked a bit more professional and with luck in running I think he would have been in a better place to challenge. Kingdom Come was settled at the rear by Kirby in the far group, looking back most of the action took place on the near side and Kingdom Come only got involved late on and it was too late by then. A half-brother to the 2020 German Group 1 Oaks winner Miss Yoda. I am looking forward to seeing the 580,000 euro Breeze-Up purchases next run. 

4: MAKKARI is by Galileo and out of Sobetsu, trained by Charlie Appleby. The Galileo filly has an excellent pedigree being out of Sobetsu who was an excellent type for Charlie in her two seasons racing, winning a couple of group races in France as a 3-year-old and coming third in the Fillies Mile at 2. Makkari was easy to back on debut and showed signs of greenness when slow out the stalls for her first race at Kempton last December. The 7/2 shot made up ground and stuck to her task when reaching the cut away, personally I thought she had a lot more in the locker but coasted home. One to keep on the right side of this year. 

5: OSRAIGE is by Siyouni and out of Fork Lightning, trained by Joseph O’Brien. It still gives me nightmares watching the debut of Osraige because I had a bet and was in with a decent chance until Osraige didn’t take too kindly to being whipped and veered left when in with a great chance of winning at Dundalk in November. The 250,000 euro purchase is better than that and can hopefully stay on a straight line when we see her next out.

6: PRINCESSE D'OR is by Frankel and out of Fleche D’or, trained by Charlie Appleby. I really hope this Frankel filly is better than seen on debut at Kempton in November. Costing a whopping 2 million at the October Yearling Sales. The Godolphin filly comes from an excellent family including the great Golden Horn. Princesse D’or was well-supported on debut but ran a stinker, definitely green but didn’t do much to be honest. It’s a gamble but I’m willing to take a chance on her. 

7: TUESDAY is by Galileo and out of Lillie Langtry, trained by Aidan O’Brien. One that went into many notebooks after a decent debut at Curragh back in June. The Galileo filly comes from an excellent family, offspring include Minding, Empress Josephine and Kissed By Angels. A step up in trip will see Tuesday break her maiden and hopefully go onto better things. A few that need to step up after disappointing: 

8: UMAX trained by David Loughnane. 

9: THAKRAH trained by Robert Cowell. 

10: NINJA trained by Aidan O’Brien. Any others I will mention in my blog or on social media before they run. I did mention one the other day on Twitter. I had Stormy Ocean as a 3yo to follow, even though I didn’t have a bet on the shorted priced favourite it was nice to see the Frankel colt win. 

Thanks for reading and stay safe.