Monday's 2yo Update (3rd October)

Just three races today. 

1:25 Pontefract - 

Not much value with the favourite. Andrew Balding's Fairbanks would be a high stat horse if 9/1 and less sp. Even if in the best betting guide I would be slightly careful as he looked a lumbering horse, if not unfit, and may well appreciate this extra distance. I'd almost be hoping it is outside the betting guide but the stats are the stats and if in the guide would in theory have some hope. 

4:22 Windsor - 

An open looking race which a number of progressive horses who have some hope but need improvement on the cards. My Lion has fair stats although price to chance at best. Ran ok at Yarmouth before tiring in the closing stages. Storyinthesand ran a fair race last time out but needs to improve. Kilmova is interesting for James Fanshawe. Was relatively fancied on debut when 12/1. Slowly into stride needs to improve but could well. Has very good stats if 13/2 and less sp (34%) win and (61%) place. If it had been 10/1 and less sp on debut it would have been exceptionally high stats. I wonder with it being near that on debut if it will add to its chances today. Definitely a horse of interest. Zouzanna hails from Roger Charlton's stable who have most debut winners in October compare to any other month which brings some hope. Has decent stats at 5/1 and less and exceptionally high at 11/4 and less sp. Worth noting if gambled. Angel De Luz ran in a class 3 race and has been given a class 2 entry. Was an outsider on debut and showed little. Boughey does well sto and has decent stats if 13/2 and less sp. May run better but needs to. The betting should help identify strength and weakness. In conclusion, Klimova could have ew claims if prices allow. 

4:57 Windsor - 

There doesn't look much between Therapist and Gentle Whinny. Coackley's charge was pretty keen that day and has claims. Looks the type to hold ew claims if prices allow. Bloomwithgrace is a good-looking filly who ran very well on debut and there could be more to come. Has decent stats if 13/2 and less sp. Pride Of The Pack was short priced last time and disappointed. You'd have to think there is better to come. Not too much value with the major fancies unless drifting to ew prices. Conclusion, not too much value at the head of the markets. A few may have ew claims if prices allow although a few horses have to find improvement and need to progress. 

Jason

Tuesday's 2yo Racing (6th September)

1:30 Leicester - 

Looks a competitive race. Behind The Scenes defied the odds on debut by winning and that often details a class horse. Time will tell. Vermillion ran well on debut and has fair stats. Five Towns needed the run and has been given a couple of class 2 stakes entries. Has been off a while and stepping up in distance. Has decent stats at 13/2 and less sp. Very few win if double figure odds. Martini Nights ran well on debut and gave the impression this trip will be a positive. Horton hasn't achieved a great deal this year with a number of expensive juveniles. Perhaps this one will run a race. Elegant Charm was a short price on debut and would be a high stat horse if 13/2 and less sp. Very few horses win over 9/1. Chealamy was well backed on debut and and did little. Had a group entry and may bounce back. Has fair stats at 13/2 and less sp. Limited info with this trainer as relatively new and only had two sto winners both around 6/1. Distinguished Lady has changed stables but held in some regard. A complicated race which may be helped by assessing the betting close to the off. 

2:05 Leicester - 

Rage Of Bamby returns after a win and has to defy the penalty. No real value. Daydream Dancer has set a fair level of ability without looking anything special. Beautiful Star was behind Ralph Beckett's runner at Sandown. Was a little keen that day before running on. Would have greater hopes if 13/2 and less but can win at double-figure odds. Royal Design was keen on debut but did little. Once again, very few of this trainers horses win double-figure odds on their second start. Klimova may have claims if 10/1 and less sp. 

2:30 Goodwood - 

Class 2 race. Watching race for me. 

3:15 Leicester - 

John Chard VC sets the standard. Not been seen for a while. Has a fair level of ability and valuable experience. Likely to lead and will be trying to hang on. Kolsai has a class 2 stakes entry. Cost good money and well owned. A decent month for debut winners and fair stats if 5/1 and less sp. Sir Michael Stoute similarly does well this month with debutantes and Falcon Nine has claims if 7/1 and less sp. A very well bred horse and one to consider although Stoute can be a little hit and miss on debut. The stable have done well this year with their juveniles. You Saw Brigadoon has received a class 2 stakes entry and hails from a stable that can win a big odds on debut. A costly purchase from owners Valmont who have done well with their two-year-old this season, many with this stable. Al Wasl Dream was relatively fancied on debut and did little. May be capable of better and would have hopes if priced 7/1 and less sp. A tricky looking race. 

4:10 Goodwood - A class 2 race and one to watch.

Author: Jason Coote