Monday 3 October 2022

Monday's 2yo Update (3rd October)

Just three races today. 

1:25 Pontefract - 

Not much value with the favourite. Andrew Balding's Fairbanks would be a high stat horse if 9/1 and less sp. Even if in the best betting guide I would be slightly careful as he looked a lumbering horse, if not unfit, and may well appreciate this extra distance. I'd almost be hoping it is outside the betting guide but the stats are the stats and if in the guide would in theory have some hope. 

4:22 Windsor - 

An open looking race which a number of progressive horses who have some hope but need improvement on the cards. My Lion has fair stats although price to chance at best. Ran ok at Yarmouth before tiring in the closing stages. Storyinthesand ran a fair race last time out but needs to improve. Kilmova is interesting for James Fanshawe. Was relatively fancied on debut when 12/1. Slowly into stride needs to improve but could well. Has very good stats if 13/2 and less sp (34%) win and (61%) place. If it had been 10/1 and less sp on debut it would have been exceptionally high stats. I wonder with it being near that on debut if it will add to its chances today. Definitely a horse of interest. Zouzanna hails from Roger Charlton's stable who have most debut winners in October compare to any other month which brings some hope. Has decent stats at 5/1 and less and exceptionally high at 11/4 and less sp. Worth noting if gambled. Angel De Luz ran in a class 3 race and has been given a class 2 entry. Was an outsider on debut and showed little. Boughey does well sto and has decent stats if 13/2 and less sp. May run better but needs to. The betting should help identify strength and weakness. In conclusion, Klimova could have ew claims if prices allow. 

4:57 Windsor - 

There doesn't look much between Therapist and Gentle Whinny. Coackley's charge was pretty keen that day and has claims. Looks the type to hold ew claims if prices allow. Bloomwithgrace is a good-looking filly who ran very well on debut and there could be more to come. Has decent stats if 13/2 and less sp. Pride Of The Pack was short priced last time and disappointed. You'd have to think there is better to come. Not too much value with the major fancies unless drifting to ew prices. Conclusion, not too much value at the head of the markets. A few may have ew claims if prices allow although a few horses have to find improvement and need to progress. 


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