Thursday's Racing Tips (7th October)

Just a quick post to fill a space. 

1:00 Ayr - 

This looks a race where most have been searching for a win. 

I'm always worried about any horse that doesn't win in its first three starts. Beltane has run well and should have a fighting chance here. You may say he needs more than a chance at even money. Monsieur Jumbo ran well last time out and if doing the same may have claims at 11/4. Not a race I will be betting. 

5:30 Chelmsford - 

High Velocity is a good-looking colt who ran well enough on debut. Dropping back to five-furlongs after being put in his place by Light Infantry. Has very good stat but with the original favourite, True Icon, being a non runner it looks a pointless exercise. I say that because Tate's horse in this category (I'm not saying anymore) either win or unplaced. I'd be pretty surprised if this grey colt loses but at relatively short odds there isn't much meat on the bone. 

6:30 Chelmsford - 

An intriguing race where the two favourites look the types to win. Flora Finch is my idea of the winner and probably a fair price to chance. If drifting to the extreme would be a good bet. Rae Guest's Mizzen You ran well on debut at Yarmouth and may well have won if a little more clued up. This grey filly should go well in this banded race although whether she will be good enough to beat the favourite is the gamble. A wide draw doesn't help, especially on a turning course. Even over seven furlong, which gives time, you don't want to be pushed wide because it is big problem. In addition, Guest's two-year-olds on their second start often struggle to win. It is a concern. On the stats, there is more chance of being placed and if drifting to the extreme may make a fair each way bet.

Author: Jason Coote