Showing posts with label Outbreak. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Outbreak. Show all posts

Thursday, 2 September 2021

Friday's Horse Racing Info (3rd September)

I had high hopes for a decent day Thursday but it turned out to be a disappointing after a few of my trackers disappointed. 

First off was the James Ferguson trained Viadelamore who I thought was a cert for a place at least at Salisbury. I was excited to see some early support when backed into 8s from 20s but the money faded a bit like Viadelamore’s effort who could only manage fourth. 

My other tracker Outbreak did win nicely in the end and the Dark Angel looks a nice one for Qatar Racing who gave him as a 2-year-old to follow in my blog at the start of the season. 

Persist ran well enough in the next at Salisbury but looked a bit disorganized towards the end of the race when struggling to find a gap, pretty sure Persist will win soon. Kinrarra was disappointing after drifting before the off. 

I expected a bit more from Bantry in Ireland who only managed fourth and New York City will have learned a lot after finishing third. 

16:20 Newcastle 03 Sep 2021 

The Marco Botti trained Tatsumaki looks a nice type after winning first time out at Newmarket last month but has a win penalty here to make life a bit more difficult. I will be taking him on with the Roger Varian trained LEUVEN POWER. The Cotai Glory colt was purchased from Book 1 at the October Yearling Sales for 180,000 gns. He made his debut at Salisbury just over a week ago when easy in the market. Leuven was slowly into stride that day and rode along until staying on again the last furlong. Roger does have a decent record at Newcastle especially when under 15/2 so as long as Leuven doesn’t drift it’s an each way all the way for me, 5/1 at the time of writing. Designer is another tracker here for John Butler after running better than her odds on debut when finishing fourth at 125/1, not one to be taken lightly here. 

15:30 Haydock 03 Sep 2021 

IMPROVISE is another who will hopefully improve after running green on debut at Newmarket. The Michael Bell trained Iffraaj filly was slowly away that day before making ground but couldn’t quite find the gap and then coasted home. I’m pretty sure Improvise is better than that. A full-sister to Eightsome Reel who finished third in a Listed race in 2019 for the same combination Michael Bell and The Queen. The betting should give us some clues, if over 9/2 it would be a negative. 

16:50 Down Royal (NI) 03 Sep 2021 

Yes I know SNAFFLES Is odds on but this Joseph O’Brien colt let me down for a few quid when finishing fifth on debut at Leopardstown last month. I took a good price that day before Snaffles was well-supported. The Churchill colt was outpaced before finishing with plenty left in the tank. Joseph does think a bit of Snaffles and connections will be disappointed if he can’t get involved here. 

Hoping for better luck and thanks for reading as always.

Wednesday, 1 September 2021

Thursday's Horse Racing Info (2nd September)

As far as results go it was another disappointing post last week but again a few of my trackers ran with promise and I won’t be giving up just yet. Awesome Wonder was done by a couple of things at Tipperary, first drawn out wide and then when making her run kept hanging her head to one side giving the jockey no chance. Pretty sure a win will come if she learns to settle better. History put in an improved performance finishing second. Emperor Caradoc kept on without threatening at Carlisle and another that will improve second timeout for trainer Bryan Smart. Ring Of Beara won like an odds on favourite should and my other tracker Bazalgette could have a race in him further down the line, hopefully at a big price. 

16:30 Dundalk (IRE) 02 Sep 2021 

Only seven runners but a race I’m looking forward to. I actually have three trackers here who all make their debut. New York City comes with a big reputation for the all conquering Aidan O’Brien team. The 600,000 gns colt is a full-brother to Invincible Army who was trained by James Tate and had a impressive 2yo season before going onto have an outstanding career winning plenty of big races along the way. Interesting to see how the betting is and if he is fully tuned up for this debut run. Bantry is another well-thought of colt, I have in fact put this Lope De Vega colt up before and was being well-supported until withdrawn. A 42,000 gns purchase and a half-brother to several winners. Trainer John Murphy does rate this colt and I expect whatever he does here he will improve again. Last one is Anatoli who is a well-thought of Acclaim colt. It’s a difficult race for a bet with only two places and the fact my trackers are debutantes. Bantry is interesting and I may have a couple of quid win for interest but not a race to go mad on. 

13:30 Salisbury 02 Sep 2021 

You know you need your head tested when you get involved in a race like this but hey that’s what gambling is all about. Plenty of newcomers from top yards here that could be anything really so It wouldn’t surprise me if we have a few nice ones. I have two trackers here, the first being the likely favourite Outbreak who ran a decent debut at Chelmsford a couple of weeks ago when finishing second, could be any amount of improvement here and if the newcomers are not up to much will take all the beating. My second tracker is interesting so I will be having a small speculative each way on the James Ferguson trained VIADELAMORE who ran a pretty hot race at Newmarket last month. The Invincible Spirit colt will definitely have to improve to beat Outbreak but sometimes as we know the experience of the first run will bring 2yo’s on plenty. Viadelmore was easy to back on debut and up with the pace but couldn’t get involved and faded to eighth that day after running green. Yes it’s a gamble but James does rate Viadelamore so I will take a chance and hope for a place at least. 

Times getting on but two more well-thought of trackers in the 2.00 Salisbury. 

Kinrarra trained by Mick Channon. 
Persist trained by William Haggas. 

Thanks for reading and good luck.

Author: Craig Newton