Showing posts with label Laurens. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Laurens. Show all posts

Tuesday, 18 June 2019

Day 2 - Royal Ascot Daily Trixie 2019 (Wednesday)

Day 1 Royal Ascot

Trixie Review: 

Terrible day 1 to be honest but the show must go on. 

Laurens was Aarons selection and ran her usual honest race but could only finish sixth. Battasha ran a sound race for Sam and ran was placed. My selection was Monoski who I thought had a decent chance especially when backed into 8/1 early on but the rain arrived and Monoski drifted in a matter of minutes to 14/1 and finished second to last after setting a blistering pace. I think he's better than that and interested to see his next run. As for the winner Arizona he was backed in like defeat was out of the question. Threat gave him a serious test and I look forward to them battling out again in the future. 

No time to dwell as we are soon back for day 2 and Aaron took it that serious he even wore his jockey silks to do his write up. 

14:30 Ascot 19 Jun 2019 Queen Mary Stakes 

Craig: Final Song for Saeed Bin Suroor, not much to go on here as she only raced once but what a performance it was, she looked professional and done the job. The third-placed Star Alexanda won by six lengths the other day. ICKWORTH runs for the W McCreery yard and owned by Godolphin. This homebred Shamardal filly has had two runs to date, first was back in March at Dundalk, she didn’t beat much that day but won with plenty in hand. Next up was the First Flier Stakes (Listed Race) at Curragh in May, again not fancied at 8/1 but winning well. She beat the odds on O’Brien colt King Neptune by just over 2-lengths and showed that McCreery has a serious filly on his hands. The rain softened ground shouldn't be a problem as she has already won twice on it before, so she will be my each way selection at around 8/1. Theory Of Time is a homebred Dubawi filly for Charlie Appleby who made quite an impression when making her debut at Windsor last month. The Favourite was smartly away and up with the pace from the off before extending her lead in the final furlong. Am sure there is more to come from this nice looking filly. Flippa The Strippa for the Charlie Hills yard. This Outstrip filly looks to be the bargain of the season so far, purchased by owner Christopher Wright last September for £10,000 she has already paid her fee back when winning the £17,000 National Stakes at Sandown in May. The form looks decent enough with the 91 rated Mark Johnston filly Jm Jackson in second place. Raffle Prize for the Mark Johnston yard. This Godolphin bred Slade Power filly looks to have plenty of speed to burn. Her only two races this season have been over six furlongs. Her second race at Chester seen her start off like a bat out of hell, you would 've thought she would tire but seemed to change legs and drew further clear, the form of that race doesn't look much, but she couldn't have been more impressive. To add to that impressive line up we also have Wards from across the pond. How good are they? Who knows, but he loves to target this race so ignore them at your own peril. 

16:20 Ascot 19 Jun 2019 Duke Of Cambridge Stakes 

 Aaron: Rawdaa is an improving horse who was just beaten a neck by Lah Ti Dar at York in May, before that she was beaten by Agrotera at Kempton who herself won the Sandringham over course and distance at Royal Ascot last year both have a fair shout. The one bringing in the best form is I Can Fly, she was only beaten a neck by Roaring Lion in the QEII here in October prior to that she was a solid 6th in the Lockinge, would be no surprise to see her go very close, However, my selection is going to be the fast improving PRETTY BABY this William Haggis Filly is 5 wins from 7, she still needs to prove that she stays this trip but I fully expect her to so she gets my vote at 8/1.  

17:00 Ascot 19 Jun 2019 Royal Hunt Cup 

Sam: The Royal Hunt Cup is a very tricky handicap where last years winner Settle for Bay lines up again off 6lb higher after coming late win a strong run he won the race quite comfortably but this year's race has a stronger field and the ground seems like it’s going against him. One horse that will love the fact that the rain has come is course specialist RAISING SAND who does well in Ascot handicaps. He ran on well over 7f at this course in its last appearance but should enjoy the step up to 1m and this makes him my selection. New Graduate is an exciting prospect but is up 15lb for its last run and the ground could be an issue. One with an ew chance is Kynren who always runs a true race and should be thereabouts. 

Reviews and Bet Reviews: 

A few trackers to catch up on that I mentioned the last few days. 

Shammah won by 5-lengths. The Frankel colt was very impressive and dropping back to 5-furlongs did the trick. (No Bet) 

Hubert ran a nice debut without threatening the winner, finished third at 10/1. (Each Way Bet)

Raahy could never strike a blow to the Willam Haggas newcomer and finished second. (Win Bet) 

Ecclesiastical was slowly away but finished well in fifth, one to keep an eye out for. (No Bet) 

Timeform Early Declaration Alert: 

13:50 Chelmsford City 20 Jun 2019: Exciting Days 

20:30 Lingfield 20 Jun 2019: Cherokee Mist 

14:10 Ripon 20 Jun 2019: Al Aakif 

6:10 Newmarket 21 June 2019: King's Command 

Thanks for reading and good luck.

Tuesday, 19 February 2019

Karl Burke Horse Trainer Profile Series


Karl Richard Burke is a must  follow trainer.

He's been training horses since 1991 but first started out riding on the flat before switching to the jumps, winning 50 races out of 750 before then turning his talents to training both flat and jump horses. 

His very first winner as a trainer was with a horse called Temporale who won a 2-mile handicap hurdle at Towcester. 

More success followed on the flat with the ultra game Daring Destiny winner of the Ayr Gold cup followed by Group 2 and 3 wins. 

Karl moved stables in 1998 to Haven stables in Newmarket before moving again to his present stables Spigot Lodge in North Yorkshire were he continued to become one of the top trainers with high profile horses such as: Unfortunately, a Cheveley park owned horse, to date has won a Group 1,2 and 3, the highlight being the Group 1 Prix Morny in France in August 2017. 

Laurens (pictured) a punters favourite has also brought Karl more success winning an amazing seven of her 11 races with Group success all over Europe and plenty of prize money for owner Mr John Dance. 

Quiet Reflection another multiple Group 1 winner gave Karl his first Royal Ascot winner taking the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup for owners Ontoawinner, Strecker and Burke. 

Lord Shanakill was a winner of a Group 1 in France and the Group 2 Mill Reef Stakes. 

Libertarian winning the Dante at York made it the first Yorkshire trained Dante winner in over 70 years back in 2013 and also coming second in the Epsom Derby made it an unforgettable year. 

Time to get onto making some money, as I keep saying trainers love banging in winners at certain tracks and I have unearthed a nice profitable course over the past 3 years that Karl likes to send his 2-year-old horses. Carlisle is one of Karl’s favourite tracks and he has a profitable strike rate, so if you followed his 2-year-olds over the last 3 years in maiden or novice races only, it would have given you 12 wins from 31 bets, that’s a 38,7 percent win strike rate and a 256.7 win per cent at starting price with all but one (Riviere Argentine 22/1) winning at 9/1 and under. 

Little Kim being the highlight for me last season as Group Horse gave it a great write up and she won going away at a generous price of 17/2 for stable jockey Ben Curtis before running at a decent level and contesting Group races.

Ellthea being another nice type to win at Carlisle, this time second time out winner at 9/4 with Graham lee riding before going on to win a Group 3 in Ireland and holding her own in some decent races and earning a high of 109 rating back in 2017. 

So we have another profitable trainer at certain tracks so be sure to keep checking your racing calendar to see when Carlisle is on. Good luck all and I will be back with another trainer profile soon.