Showing posts with label Grain Of Sense. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Grain Of Sense. Show all posts

Thursday, 31 October 2019

Friday's 2-year-old Previews Plus Reviews (1st November)


A quick update on my last post and the few horses I have mentioned on my Facebook page. First up Emaraty Hero was never involved in what looked like a pretty nice race to be fair. I mentioned that former jockey Alan Rutter who actually rides out for John Gosden had nominated the newcomer King Leonidas as his horse to follow, he was spot on with that as the impressive King Leonidas won like a good thing. I had an each-way on Emaraty Hero as King Leonidas was too short at 13/8 but even though I lost it was nice to see King Leonidas win. 

I didn’t bet on the 4/5 shot Sorrel who finished second at Kempton but I did have a small bet on Grain Of Sense who could only manage fourth at Newmarket. This soft going is a nightmare for punters and it would be nice if I could be more disciplined but that doesn’t seem to be happening at the minute. 

The last one in my post was the one Jason and I had been waiting for. Farnham is a really well-thought-of filly for Roger Varian who had a number of significant entries as a 2-year-old but didn’t run. Farnham made her debut in April but wasn’t seen again until last Thursday at Chelmsford. Yes, I know she was the odds on favourite but for me, it was more about seeing if she still had some ability after such a long lay off. Farnham won well and looked to have a bit in hand. The early price of 5/4 looked nice of course after she had won but as I said it was just nice to see her win. 

A few more on my Facebook page I mentioned was Station To Station who on firsthand looked disappointing but I have a feeling we may see a better run next timeout if running in a nursery. I also bet on Tulip Fields and Nicks No Wonder who both got placed. Another one I mentioned on Facebook was the Simon Crisford colt Finely Tuned who was running Wednesday this week. I took an early price of 13/2 and by race time Finely Tuned was 3/1. I almost gave up on my bet until Finely Tuned sprouted wings inside the last furlong and a bit further would have won. I finally got a winner though when Bye Bye Lady won for my eye-catchers priced 3/1. 

Speculative Friday 

12:00 Newmarket 01 Nov 2019: 

Wadi Al Sail is trained by Miss Gay Kelleway who has a few nice 2-year-olds including Global Esteem who ran a great race to finish third at 25/1 on his debut at Leicester last month. Wadi Al Sail might not be up to that standard but I'm willing to take a chance with a small each-way bet if the price is right. The Holy Roman Emperor colt was a cheap 17,000 euro yearling but unsold for 24,000 gns as a 2-year-old. His debut race was in a Class 2 race at Goodwood back in July, a complete outsider at 66/1. Wadi Al Sail was up with the pace for most of the way until meeting difficulty in running and losing all chance and eased down towards the finish. I am not saying he would have won or might not have been even placed but would have been a lot closer to the smart Cobra Eye. Interesting that owner H.E Sherida Al-Kaabi also had Fuwayrit in that race who looks a nice colt himself. Wadi Al Sail was given a significant entry after his debut which is interesting but this would be more of a speculative bet with some potentially nice newcomers from top yards plus a dangerous Aidan O’ Brien colt called Keats. 

12:35 Newmarket 03 Nov 2017: 

Interested to see how the Richard Hannon trained Sky Power runs here. The 450,000 gns yearling had an early entry for the Group 2 Champagne Stakes but didn’t run. The betting will be the clue to the Fastnet Rock colts chances. Richard Hannon won this race in 2017 with Maghaweer. No bet for me on debut but hopefully he runs a nice race. 

16:50 Newcastle 01 Nov 2019: 

It looks like a day of speculative bets for me as Kumasi looks to be another who will start off at a big price. The David O’Meara New Approach colt was purchased by Cheverley Park owners for 130,000 gns as a foal and made his debut in the Class 2 Convivial Stakes at York back in August. Not fancied that day at 33/1 Kumasi looked out of his depth but did show up well until the last furlong when weakening. This looks a lot easier and if he has any ability hopefully the market will support him. A small hopeful each-way bet for me as O’meara doesn’t have too many 2-year-old winners at Newcastle. 

Good luck and thanks for reading.

Wednesday, 23 October 2019

Can Emaraty Be The Hero For Karl Burke (Plus Reviews And Previews)


First off, a pretty shocking day today by anybody’s standard with all three of my fancies disappointing. I expected a lot better from Grand Bazaar who plugged on to finish third without threatening the front pair. Next up was Too Big To Fail who was never going well and soundly beaten in the end. Some promise was shown by my tracker Float who dwelt but kept on towards the finish, which could be interesting next timeout. Last was Streeton who drifted to 8/1 before the off, I knew my fate once this happened. 

A good few 2-year-old races tomorrow so hopefully, I can at least get a run for my money on one. 

13:55 Newmarket 23 Oct 2019.

Emaraty Hero is well-thought-of by trainer Karl Burke. I am confident this 55,000 gns Lope De Vega colt has ability. Karl Burke gave Emaraty Hero two significant early entries in the shape of the Group 2 Royal Lodge Stakes and Saturdays Group 1 Vertem Futurity Trophy Stakes but takes this option. He looked pretty professional on debut when smartly away and knew his job from the off. It was a promising debut despite finishing third he had two nice horses in front of him. Tsar and Glenties both look nice types for the future. Emaraty Hero looks to have the size and scope to improve and will hopefully strip fitter tomorrow and go one better than Newcastle. 

Another worth mentioning is the John Gosden newcomer King Leonidas who former jockey Alan Rutter gave me as his John Gosden horse to follow. He too had an entry on Saturdays Group 1 race but doesn't run. To add to that we have the Richard Hannon newcomer Mafia Power plus a few other potentially nice types. A race not to go mad on but hopefully Emaraty Hero will drift to an each-way price. 

18:40 Kempton 23 Oct 2019 

Sorrel looks likely to go off favourite here and rightly so after an eye-catching debut over this CD last month. The form of that race looks decent and Sorrel was well-supported before the off when backed down from 6s to 7/2. Sorrel should know more this time out and will hopefully get her head in front today. 

15:05 Newmarket 23 Oct 2019 

Despite starting off a big price for debut (33/1) Grain Of Sense made a pretty promising debut despite being ridden for most of it. The Ralph Beckett trained Teofilo colt ran on past beaten horses and looks to need every inch of this one-mile two-furlong race. Princess Bride looks a danger after getting blocked off when making her run at Leicester the last timeout. 

19:00 Chelmsford City 24 Oct 2019

I am not sure I will be betting on Farnham here but I am intrigued to see how this bay 3-year-old filly runs. Roger Varian gave her a host of significant entries as a 2-year-old, but she didn't run all season. Farnham made her debut in April this year at Newbury. The Farhh filly was sent off 13/8 favourite and despite finishing fifth I thought she could have won and was given an easy introduction. I was expecting to see her back out not long after but here we are in October and it’s only her second run of her career. It’s a guessing game whether she still has the ability she had as a 2-year-old but I for one can’t wait to see her run again. 

Good luck and thanks for reading.