Friday 24 May 2024

That Elusive Purple Patch (24th May)

It's been a pretty decent few weeks for me personally. In my last blog post I gave a good mention for tracker Miletus from the Hills yard who went onto win 16/1. I wasn't sure if they'd take the handicap route or go for it as it was Miletus' third run. I backed  Miletus second time out when disappointing so had a doubt in my mind but thought I'd have another go, well the rest is history as Miletus was given a fantastic ride by Rossa Ryan, it does pay for me to keep a few 3yos in the trackers and I'm doing a study on my 3yo trackers that will hopefully weed out a few losers.

Any eagle eyed readers might have noticed another 3yo tracker mentioned in the same blog post called Monkey Island who I've banged on about for a while, it was well supported that day and ended getting pulled out when backed into 10s, fast forward and I spotted him entered for Newbury, I had to rub my eyes when I saw the Brian Meehan gelding open 50s the night before, I couldn't get my money on any quicker anticipating another gamble!

I waited and waited but the gamble never came so I was pretty disappointed the next day when he actually drifted and drifted out to 80s, no chance I thought as the delayed race got underway, watching in my car on my phone as Monkey Island started well leading the pack, I waited for him to get swallowed up but no Harry Davis kept him going, a furlong to go Jesus Christ still leading, cmon you beauty as he pulled out a bit more to win 80/1 fan fucking tactic! Wow they don't come around often I can tell you. What a horse and what a ride, I was absolutely buzzing until I realised I'd put my bets on the night before and didn't get the 80s ha bloody hell but I'll take 50s as I'm not greedy).

Right enough about my winners I have a 3yo tracker tomorrow (they can't all win can they?) 

It's another 3yo who was well regarded last season.

Windsor 18.40 Saturday 25th May

At the time of writing we only have eight runners in this restricted maiden so not sure I'll get a Juicy price for the Jack Channon for the bay gelding Arkhaila Flynn who as I said was very well thought of last season as a 2yo. One thing that always worries me is when a horse is keen and boy Arkhaila was keen when making his debut at Newbury last season, sent off unfancied that day against a few nice types jockey Charles Bishop had his hands full as Arkhaila was pulling his arms out, looked to have every chance a furlong to go but obviously blown up and faded after being so keen from the off. Gelded since and a drop down to six furlongs will hopefully do the trick, really needs to settle otherwise it's probably game over. It's all about the value so the bigger the better, if too short I'll probably leave it because that's one thing I'm concentrating on this year is value, value value.

I've got 2yo trackers coming out my ears at the minute and not enough time to look at them. Hopefully I can get a few minutes and check things out.

One tracker I put up last timeout was the disappointing Siegen for Richard Hannon. The market move looked a good sign on debut but drifted back out towards the off at Bath. I'm looking at giving the Blue Point colt the benefit of the doubt today at Goodwood, it was heavy going at Bath and he wasn't knocked about, if I can get around 10s I'll have a go and hope he can at least put up a decent effort today.

Thanks for reading and good luck.

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