Saturday 1 June 2024

Saturday's Thoughts & Reviews (1st June)

It was pretty much a nap it would go tits up after bragging how well I've been doing lately, last week's selections finished unplaced. Siegen actually didn't run too bad finishing fourth in a half decent race and should get his head in front soon enough for Richard Hannon.

Arkhaila Flynn was one of my 3-year-old trackers from last season, as I've been saying they've done pretty well. Flynn was well regarded last season by Jack Channon, very keen on debut and ran well enough in a half decent race, the Windsor last week was very poor and I made the mistake of thinking it would be a formality, I got a decent enough price and was pretty confident, I'm still not sure what happened, dwelt then looked to be travelling well enough, stumbled and game over, disappointed to say the least.

Onto the weekend trackers and fancies.

17.08 Doncaster

Looks like a nice race with a bit of everything. Arabian Dusk at the minute looks like being the favourite for the Crisford team. This month is normally Crisfords best month for fto 2yos so worth keeping in mind. The dam Lady Macduff has produced a few winners and the 525,000 guineas Craven Breeze-up purchase will have a serious chance if fancied in the betting but will be no value whatsoever, anyway who wants to back favourites?


James Hortons Make Love has already attracted some overnight support and is related to George Scotts Piz Nair, a decent Bated Breath filly. James doesn't have too many 2yo fto winners so I'm a bit wary.

Kevin Ryan's filly Alice Fairfax looks half decent on pedigree, any drift a negative for me but looks alright if under 10s.

I do like a couple in this race but it's about what you think is value. Alondra is a tracker for the Charlie Hills yard, ran in a class 2 at Newmarket last month and everything went wrong for the Sergei Prokofiev filly, bumped, hampered and unbalanced then rallied, not sure about how strong the race was but if drifting to a price she'd be the one I'd bet on.

Ripple Effect another tracker who should come on for her debut run at Newmarket, lots of positives, dam Ripples Maid won a few nice races, I mean we are going back a few years like. The form of the debut race looks half decent with a few winners coming out of it. I'd be surprised if the James Ferguson filly is not in with a shout here.

Conclusion: I'd let the betting sort itself out and weed out the weakest links, one thing for sure is these favourites have to be taken on, yes they might win but are never value.

I'm interested to see one of my winning trackers Aramram run in the 540 Doncaster tomorrow, absolutely sluiced up at Nottingham last month when backed from 9/1, wonder if the Hannon Blue Point colt has more improvement in him. I have a few more trackers for Sunday. If I get time I'll write a post.

Thanks for reading.

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