Sunday 19 May 2024

Sunday's 2yo Racing Tips: 2:15 Ripon (19th May)

2:15 Ripon - 

6f Hammond Associates Celebrating Yorkshire Wooden Spoon EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Class 4) (2yo)

Going: Good

Runners: 7 

The Wooden Spoon EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes. Firstly, no one, generally, wants the wooden spoon but on this occasion it is worth £5,234. This Class 4 race has a relatively small field with a mix of of form horses and debutantes. 

For additional resources, check out the race here on the Racing Post. 

At the head of the market is George Boughey's Night In Paris who ran over course and distance back in April, when running a creditable second on soft ground to Assertively, who was a beaten favourite [4th] when running under a penalty next time out at Beverley. Night In Paris, a daughter of No Nay Never, was beaten a short head on debut when fancied in the betting. It's worth noting that she was entered to run in the Lily Agnes but withdrawn due to 'unsuitable ground'. This even-money favourite sets a fair level and looks a straightforward filly who is likely to set the pace. I have little doubt she will run a big race but the question with any horse when it comes to price to chance, is she vale? 

Titian Blue is a newcomer for William Haggas racing in the familiar silks of Cheveley Park Stud. This daughter of Blue Point out of a French-raced mare who won on debut and placed at Group class is fancied in the betting. I did note that she had been entered for a Class 2 race which adds to her hopes. Haggas can be very hit and miss with his debutantes although he does have winners early season. The trainer features a 24% strike rate with his juveniles at this course which speaks well. 

Richard Hannon has been a touch quiet with his juveniles this season. Thecoffeepoddotco races in the ownership of Middleham Park Racing and cost 45,000gns at the yearling sales. Hannon is another trainer who can be difficult to get right on debut. In fact, his first-time-out statistics aren't very good at all. However, they have plenty of talent in their stable and it is often about the individual horse. Also, it is worth noting that Hannon has a 31% strike rate with his two-year-olds at this course which is very good.

Beaujolais Nouveau represents Ben Haslam's stable who have very few two-year-olds these days. His father had a few more back in the day. This chestnut filly, a daughter of Twilight, wasn't overly fancied when making he debut in a small field at Pontefract but looked to run with some credit behind the talented Francisco's Piece who just failed to make it two out of two at York when racing under a penalty. I'm always slightly careful with horses running in small races as they can be flattered. However, it is interesting to note that Beaujolais Nouveau was entered to run in the Marygate Listed race at York. True, she would have been a very big price that day. but it does suggest the stable have some hope for her. In fact, if fancied in the betting she may well hold each-way claims. 

Charlie Johnston hasn't been flying in the winners like his father but the stable have a large string of juveniles and should be respected. Substitute, a daughter of Bungle Inthejungle cost 32,000 euros at the yearling sales. May is one of the stables better months for two-year-old winners although most win at shorter than bigger odds. At present, this filly is priced 16/1 so you would imagine support will come if fancied. 

Aye Up Lass hails from Declan Carroll's stable. Zak Wheatley, the 5lb apprentice takes the ride. This filly is owned by The Good Bad Ugly & Deaf. At present, she is one of the outsiders priced 33/1. Generally, the stables debutantes go well when priced 10/1 and less, so you'd be looking for the money to come to give this one serious claims. 

The final runner has raced twice. Harmonia, trained by David Evans, has valuable race experience but may need further improvement to test these today. She is priced 50/1 with bookmakers. 

Conclusion: If you are interested in betting in this maiden race it is worth checking out the free bets at freebetsuk.uk. This doesn't look the easiest of races to assess and the favourite, Night In Paris will take some beating. However, the odds on her are pretty meager and there could well be some opposition. It's a shame this isn't an eight-runner race with the option of betting 3-places each-way. I would be interested in seeing whether Beaujolais Nouveau can go close at double-figure odds and give the Haslam team a rare juvenile winner. Keep an eye on the betting as it may well help. 

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