I've been in shocking form on here but actually had a few alright bets up this week. Saturday is always hard when it comes to 2yo racing and tomorrow is no different.
15.00 Bath BINT HAVANA GOLD 20/1 4th
Go big or go home I say, well the price of my selection is big not sure about the stake. I've taken 20s about this Richard Hughes filly who has had one run at Newmarket when finishing near the back. Not the most expensive filly at £38,000 owned by Jaber Abdullah. Made her debut in a class 2 at Newmarket, drawn on the far side and up with the pace until winner Persian Dreamer sprinted clear and won easy, Bint coasted home under James Doyle, wasn't a bad race with Dorothy Lawrence coming second in the Margate Stakes. Ideally needs strong support here and that's the worry when putting something up before the race.
Bint Havana Gold 20/1 4th
200 YORK – DREAM HARDER won on his first start for Ian Williams in December and has improved and been consistent since. A good few runs in defeat can be upgraded including last time out when coming from off the pace at Chester (10.5f), when finishing nicely having had a slightly troubled passage. Previously to that at Lingfield, DH entered the tracker when finishing well, from off the pace in a race that again likely suited those to the fore. Having proved himself versatile in terms of track and the 12f trip, the ground remains a potential question however sire stats suggest its fine and he doesn’t look too have exaggerated an action. Together with the fact that the ground doesn’t tend to be allowed to ride overly fast now, I am hopeful all these boxes are ticked. Alice Stevens is a very capable pilot who rode last year's winner for the trainer (who also saddled the third placed runner in 2021). GL GL !! 🤞🍀🤞🍀
Dream Harder 7/1 2nd
15.25 Sandown HARRY MAGNUS 7/2 6th
A son of Harry Angel that I am tracking since he won a 7f handicap at HQ in April. The form of the race has worked out seriously well with numerous subsequent winners in behind.
He won in decisive fashion from the rear and moved like a well handicapped horse when he was asked to go..doing best of those from off the pace. He is only 4 lb higher here and that looks lenient given the form of that victory.
He did disappoint LTO but had a couple of valid excuses, with the drop to 6f against him, he was not the quickest away and took a bump at the start to add insult to injury. Still despite this, he came with a run and was keeping on after initially being outpaced, when he was hampered late on and the jockey had to leave him alone after that.
He moved in the race like a still very well weighted horse off the same mark as today and the step back up to 7f here is very much in his favour.
This is obviously a step up in grade but he looks out of the majority of them, on the right side of the handicapper and has proven it already, if I draw a line through that last time which is feasible.
A number of these have shown they want a piece of the early action and the pace is likely to be hot which will help this one, judging from the aforementioned victory when winning at HQ so should get a good pace to aim at.
He found plenty after just a couple of reminders and he galloped on resolutely all the way to the line displaying a great attitude when it comes to crunch time so should relish this stiff finish.
Buick who was on for the win has jumped ship now onto the current favourite but Ryan Moore is certainly an eye catching booking nonetheless, when riding for the yard he is 25% 10-40 in the last 5 seasons on turf.
I like his chances here and is backable at a fair price of around 11/2 now. I think he ought to be excused last time and he can prove he is a progressive horse going forward particularly in a race like this with numerous questions surrounding the others in my opinion.
HARRY MAGNUS 7/2 6th
4.10 Bath: Lunario 15/2 5th
Lunario was arguably an unfortunate 3rd last time at Lingfield, when beaten in the tightest of finishes in a photo that could have gone either way. On a different day he could have been the winner. Fair arguments can be brought forward for the notion that he was the ‘moral winner’ – if such a thing would exist – and he should be able to make amends here on Saturday.
He meets Gone once again, the winner last time at Lingfield, but on better terms. Because Gone has gone up a couple of pounds, whereas Lunario remains on the same mark. Over 7.5 furlongs at Lingfield last time out I felt the performance warranted an upgrade, though. And if that proves correct, the colt could be well-handicapped.
There he was slightly bumped by a rival as he left the gates. Still somewhat green and raw, he was niggled behind the leading horses, possibly even a bit flat footed, but then made huge progress on the outside once pulled out for a clear view of the final furlong.
Even though he seemed destined to run home and grab the W, he didn’t help his case when hanging badly to the left, as he continued showing greenness.
He steps up in trip, albeit ever so slightly. On pedigree there’s no doubt he’ll stay a mile, in any case.
It’s also worth pointing out that at Lingfield he achieved a 65 speed rating, despite everything that went wrong on the day. Therefore, he must have a massive chance to win, if he runs straight to the line.
LUNARIO 15/2 5TH
Advised bet: Lucky 15
Finishing Positions: 4/2/6/5
Good luck and thanks for reading.
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