Saturday 13 May 2023

Weekend Selections: Team Inittowinit (13th May)

A great day for last weekend's blog which could have been better off I didn't select another donkey, pretty sure the winners will come sooner than later 


I started the ball rolling last weekend with the Karl Burke trained LOCHABAR who ticked a few boxes, was pretty pleased when the money came, in the end Lochabar finished a disappointing fourth at 15/8. 


Prohorseracing was next and went for HARRY'S Hill over at Naas, a pretty comfortable win and turned out a cracking price at 15/2.


Equinefutures not to be out done came up with 100/30 winner TEMESSIAS FOX and to get three winners out of four in our lucky 15.


Racingtictac YACOWLEF who won 7/2, not bad hey that's twice we've hit the bar and twice I've hit my selection a mile over the bar and let us down.


This week's selections:


@Craigsbettingblog


15.10 Ascot 13 May WESTERN (9/1) 5th


Despite my losing run I'm not one to shy away and throw shorties in so I'll be taking on the odds on Appleby newcomer Ocean Runner who cost 625,000  and a half-brother to Ludo's Landing hoping the Blue Point colt fluffs his lines, I'm pretty sure he's good and has an early entry in the Frank Whittle at York next week.


My selection will be the Hannon newcomer WESTERN the 100,000 euro yearling owned by Highclere Thoroughbred Racing. Dam Murhibaany was related to a few nice types including Haatheq. Whatever happens today I'd be keeping the Magna Grecia colt in the notebook.


Does look at tough race but who likes easy races? 



Prohorseracing


4.55 Ascot - Sergeant Tibbs (15/2) 2nd


Caught the eye a number of times in the last half year. Ran extremely well on the All-Weather in his last three runs at the end of 2022 before a break. He's better on turf, though.


He changed yards in the meantime, now trained by John Flint. At Windsor on heavy ground on his stable debut and seasonal reappearance he ran well for 5th place, having been closer to a hot pace early on than the horses that finished ahead of him. 


His next run at Goodwood can be marked up as well. He was probably found out for class, ultimately, but early keenness wasn't any help. He still finished solid enough.


Those last two performances suggest he's in pretty good form. Another 2lb down, a drop in class, an even easier race than at Windsor, he looks handicapped to go close, if all goes well.


He's a tricky character and the lack of pace could be an issue. Nonetheless, he remains still lightly raced on turf, having ran well enough in five of six turf starts, so he could be seriously well-handicapped in this field as soft ground isn't a worry.


Equinefutures


5:45 LING - COME ON JOHN (6/1) 3rd


Is hardly prolific (1/21) but had entered the notebook after a promising run over 1m 2f in February when looking to be ridden to get the trip. Whilst not totally inspiring since then, he’s finished around opposition superior to that he faces today. Having dropped 10 lbs to a mark of 57 since joining current Michael Attwater,  back on the sand and against this line up - this is a real chance to double his career win tally assisted by the more than capable Aidan Keley.


Racingtictac


16.10 LING SWISS PRIDE (100/30) 4th


I can’t believe I am resorting to the AW after literally waiting for months for the return of the turf season, however I as a punter know that it has not really kicked off yet. Seasons are slow and it is wetter and colder than usual. Strange. Good times are to come ( I hope ).

This guy has been on my radar for a while and I am at the edge of the cliff with him ; this is his last chance.


He is knocking on a bit and is now 7 years old but has shown his spirit in his last few starts. He has a valid excuse from last time where he was drawn in 11, only 10 ran but he was still drawn widest of all in 10 : dropped in at rear but still ended up coming very wide turning in,  he finishes to good effect and actually comes back into the picture in the straight. 


He has six wins here and loves it , the last coming in June last year and he runs off the same mark effectively as that here for the first time since that win.


Saying that, he has gone close since off much higher marks since and has run to speed ratings of 65 and 69 here over course and distance back in December. He was 6lb higher then and is now down to this mark of 66. 


William Buick is an eyecatching booking for him and everything adds up to me. He is drawn in three, the hope is that he latches onto something and takes it up turning in. He sure is well handicapped to do so dropped in grade here to 0-68 and it looks a very winnable opportunity to me.


Advised bet: Lucky 15 FINISHED: 5/2/4/3


Thanks for reading and good luck.

 

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