Saturday 1 April 2023

Weekend Selections from Team Inittowinit (1st April)

@Equinefutures 7:00 CHELM - BOLD ACT 1st 100/30


A peach of a race for anyone making their way to the Essex track and not much to choose between Iconic Moment, Brave Emperor, New Definition and Alzahir on the line through Tenjin. I am surprised that the early prices have BOLD ACT in at 9/2 as he could well put them all in their place. Charlie Appleby’s charge has done all asked of him so far and looked one to keep on the right side following his Kempton beating of Relentless Voyager. The trainer will have a fair idea of where he stands with these and whilst Chelmsford is not his most prolific hunting ground, there is a nice prize on offer here. Bold Act followed up the Kempton win beating stablemate One Nation comfortably at Newmarket and One Nation went on to perform admirably in defeat on two occasions in Dubai.


@Racingtictac 


18.30 Chelmsford PRENUP 3RD 100/30


Competitive look to this race on paper but happy enough to go with Prenup who is only 1 lb higher than for her victory LTO.


That was her first start for the trainer and first for 158 days. Very keen early on after jumping awkwardly but keeping on well to beat the subsequent winner from last weekend So Chic. A good performance to win considering also she had to come fairly wide rounding the final bend, she steps up in trip here to 1m which looks the right move after hitting the line strongly having taken the running up a furlong out, even though fresh and rushed up early on.


It looks quite lenient to me that she has only been raised that 1lb and is no doubt in a good place for new trainer Jane Chapple-Hymn who has a profitable record at the course.


Little observation, she ran over the same C&D as Sharvara in that LTO victory and she was 0.8secs quicker and carrying 3lb more. She carried 9st 11lb and conceded 21lb to So Chic who was the only one who came to her when she hit the front. Again she won next time out so the form is solid. 

If she has come on for the run, improvement is likely and another big run looks assured



@prohorseracing


3.00 Doncaster - KING'S LYNN 4/1 8TH


Intriguing contest. A handful could have a proper go in this listed contest, but the ground should be key to narrow down the real contenders. 


King's Lynn is the one I'm siding with at given prices. He looks clearly overpriced, if fit on his seasonal reappearance. 

The fact he ran quite well coming off a break in the past is promising. He's the finished article by now, so if he can run to last season's form, he should have a major say in the outcome of this race.


This is easier than his final assignment in 2022, when well beaten in the Champions Sprint. He competed predominantly in hot water last year, but was highly competitive in lesser grades, including when winning the Grade 2 Temple Stakes.

He runs consistently to a good level on speed ratings; his career-best effort over this Doncaster course and distance that came in the Listed Wentworth Stakes in November 2021 makes him a prime contender today, in theory. 


Possibly the minimum trip is his optimum, but he obviously stays 6 furlongs, no bother, and loves soft ground. With that in mind he seems rather overpriced and overlooked in the betting, although the scenario of a weak pace would count against him, truth told.



CraigNewton


13.50 Doncaster


Valadero 3/1 2ND


Gonna stick with the favourite for Amo Racing who won this last year and won the first 2yo race in Ireland. Doddie's Impact could have each way claims and worth keeping an eye on the market for Indication Call.


Advised bet: Lucky 15


Thanks for reading and good luck.


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