Tuesday 10 August 2021

Tuesday's 2yo Racing Tips (10th August)

A quiet day with a couple of maiden races. 

Value is the keyword for any horse race. Looking at these two races we have very interesting horses but the prices look at slim as Twiggy. 

2:25 Nottingham

I'll be surprised if this isn't the classic two-horse race. Typewriter, trained by Andrew Balding, in the familiar silks of Mrs Fitri Hay, was fancied on debut when very inexperienced. Better was seen second time out when stepping up in distance and contesting a Class 2 race at Goodwood. This daughter of Gleneagles was backed and ran a sterling race to finish fourth, behind impressive stablemate Wilderness Girl. 

This step up in distance should help as a test of stamina looks the key. 

The main opposition could come from James Fanshawe's Euraquilo who was well backed on debut and unlucky to meet trouble in running. There was a lot to like about that effort, potential, although the Goodwood race which Typewriter contested was much stronger. 

Fanshawe's two-year-old does have the added vim of very good stats to make this a battle to the line. 

Conclusion: I like both horses but trying to pick between them isn't easy. If one drifted to each-way odds it would be a good bet. However, that isn't going to happen. 

7:35 Lingfield

This five furlongs is a pretty hot contest with Willoughby Bay who started her career in a Stakes race worth £25,000 to the winner (seems incredible when many Listed races aren't anywhere near that level). This daughter of Profitable is clearly a talented juvenile and will be heading to Lingfield with hopes of victory. 

It's a similar story with Corazon, trained by George Boughey, who could well have won on debut and sure to improve for that debut effort. 

Once again, these two look a good match and I wouldn't like to pick between them. 

Conclusion: In truth, the only bet I could see today is an each-way double with these four horses. It's interesting how they could be viewed as from a statistical approach I would have to go with Euraquilo and Willoughby Bay. However, with just seven horses in the Lingfield race we are betting two places which isn't ideal. Also, when two horses battle for a win it can often mean the second best tires and finishes out of the frame. At the odds, there seems very little point in betting unless one or two drift markedly which may offer some value. 

Author: Jason Coote

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