It’s always worth looking into statistics if you get the time and as it showed in my last post as they proved spot on again when my Mark Johnston fancy RENBAWI who drifted like a leg had fallen off trailed in second to last. Mark Johnson’s record with second time out winning two-year-olds priced over 10s is pretty low so when drifting to 14s was a definite no bet for me. I have to say my newcomer to note didn’t do much at all on debut. The Haggas trained ALTO VOLANTE was backed like defeat was out the question and ended up 8/11 but ran no race at all, could be worth checking out next timeout and may even get a better price after that poor showing.
13:05 Lingfield 02 Dec 2020
Not sure how many 2-year-old races are left this season as my head is up the wall with getting ready for next season but hopefully I can get a much-needed winner before it does end. Hugo Palmer did have a nice winner at Newcastle today called Oz Legend, and he has another nice looking horse here called Ocean Road who I’m sure will be pretty well-supported after a decent debut when second to Noon Star last timeout. The Qatar Racing owned Australia filly should come on plenty but probably be a warm order here. I will be taking a chance on a Roger Varian filly called ZOOMA and hoping she can sneak a place at least. The Exceed and Excel filly cost 50,000 gns at the Tattersalls 2019 October Yearling Sales and has already run twice this season for a team in form. Zooma made her debut in a hot class 2 event at Goodwood back in July when easy to back. The 14/1 shot was actually pulled up soon after when something went amiss. Roger Varian gave her a break, and she was out again at the end of October at Kempton when kept towards the rear before staying on steadily but never threatening the leaders. Nibbled at that day from 13/2 into 11/2 at the off I’m hopeful the extra distance will see her in a better light tomorrow and if priced under 15/2 tomorrow Zooma has decent place claims.
12:35 Lingfield 02 Dec 2020
The early race looks a tough one and a newcomer to note is the Roger Charlton trained WANNABE SAFE who comes from a decent family and is half-sister to the useful Wannabe Yours and Wannabe Loved, I won’t be backing on debut but will have a small each way on what could be a speculative outsider in the name of BLUE ARTEMIS. I could be way of\f the mark here so that’s why I will keep it a small stake. Blue Artemis was a 72,000 gns purchase and trained by James Fanshawe and owned by Fred Archer Racing, I do like it when they team up, and they have had a few winners in the past. The stats don’t really give me much clue here as Fanshawe can win at speculative odds or short. The Showcasing filly was 66/1 on debut and never involved but stranger things have happened but as I say small stake for me here.
Good luck and stay safe.
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