Wednesday 3 April 2019

6:45 Kempton (3rd April) Can Just Brilliant finally release his potential?

18.45 Kempton Novice Stakes Class 5 (4 YO Plus) 

Each night I look through the race meetings to see if anything catches my eye, and if nothing does, well I check the next few days meetings, normally the Novice or Maiden races are the ones I check, looking through the Kempton card I noticed what looks to be a nice 4 YO plus Novice Stakes race. 

The betting suggests it’s a three horse race, with the Roger Varian trained Canvassed a warm favourite at the time of writing this, and rightly so after an easy victory on his debut at odds of 11/4, but he does have to shoulder a winning penalty for that victory which makes life a little more difficult. Ocala is another short price runner for the Andrew Balding yard who also looks to have a good chance. 

The next horse is the one that caught my eye, Just Brilliant (pictured)was potentially Peter Chappel-Hyams best 2-year-old back in 2017, who has an excellent pedigree being a half brother to Group 1 Racing Post Trophy winner Marcel and was bought by owner Peter Makin for 150,000 guineas. 

Just Brilliant was entered in the National Stakes(Group 1), Royal Lodge Stakes(Group 2), Dewhurst Stakes(Group 1) and the Vertem Futurity Stakes(Group 1), but for whatever reason he didn’t make the track until October 2017 at Newmarket, making a winning debut under a strong ride from Ryan Moore. 

After a 194-day break he was pitched in at the deep end, the Newmarket Craven Stakes(Group3), a 25/1 shot and ridden by Jamie Spencer he was never involved against some serious rivals and for whatever reason that was his last race, and his promising future career seemed to have come to an abrupt end. 

Am not sure how he will run today, and will also be hindered by top weight but the positive is the great man himself James Doyle hops on board. I will check the market myself to see if he's fancied but even if I don’t bet, I would love to see this one time potentially smart 2-year-old come back to life with a win against a couple of decent rivals. 

Midweek review and preview: 

I mentioned in my Brocklesby review the Mick Channon trained Birkenhead as one to look out for, and he was back out yesterday, just 3 days after finishing a creditable sixth in the Brocklesby, backed into favourite he could never strike a blow against the impressive Archie Watson winner Electric Ladyland

I also mentioned on my twitter feed yesterday the Ralph Beckett trained Fragrant Belle who had a Class 2 entry last season, and although she finished 5/8 after being tapped for toe two furlongs out, she stayed on really strong and will appreciate a longer trip next time out. 

If you looked at my recent trainer profile series on John Gosden you will have seen I mentioned his profitable record with 3-year-old horses running in maiden races in April, his first runner El Misk obliged at unbackable odds of 8/11 on Monday night. 

Looking at the next few days he has Kosciuszko entered to run on Friday or Saturday and could be worth checking out. Thanks for reading and if you want to follow me on twitter just search for @craignewton175.

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