Showing posts with label Captial Offence. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Captial Offence. Show all posts

Thursday, 22 September 2022

Thursday's 2YO Racing (22nd September)

1:15 Newmarket - 

*A Dublin Lad has decent stats if 5/2 and less and very high if 6/4 and less although price to chance. Has been given a class 2 stakes entry. Garden Route has been given two class 2 stakes entries. A well bred horse. September is a decent month for debut winners. The only downside with Haggas is that he's very hit and miss on debut. In fact his stats are pretty awful. Not really a trainer to be confident about but the entries may give some hope. Expressionless ran well on debut but may have been flattered so one I would rather take on. Hugo Palmer is always interesting sto and has very good ew claims when 13/2 and less sp. His horse got a very slow start that day and ran on to some point but difficult to assess. I always worry a horse starting slowly may do the same again which would be hard work. Have good ew claims (stronger on the place) if 13/2 and less but would need to wait until near the off as outside the best betting guide would be a weakness. Sovereign Spirit would have decent stats if single figure odds. Similarly, Tenerife Sunshine has good stats if 13/2 and less sp. Not the easiest race to assess and you would need to wait until near the off to assess strength and weakness. I can't see much value with the favourites. Palmer's is the most interesting but it ran a funny race on debut and that puts me off and it needs to be in the best betting guide. 

*NR

2:18 Pontefract - 

Kitai looks a quality horse and has plenty of entries. Not done anything wrong in both races and could quite easily been unbeaten, If 1/4 or shorter will be very hard to stop. Al Khaweneej Spirt has a Gimcrack entry and showed pace on debut at a giant price before tiring. Dropping back in distance may help. In ways perhaps an ew bet at fair odds although if the favourite is 1/4 I really do think you will be betting for a place which isn't good news. Capital Offence looks limited. 

3:00 Newmarket - 

Watching race. 

3:28 Ponefract - 

Watching race. 

5:45 Chelmsford - 

Can't see much. 

Author Jason.

Saturday, 30 July 2022

2YO Racing Update (30th July)

Let's look back on last Sunday's post. The Pontefract 2yo maiden stakes was my main interest, I had three trackers but my main hope was that Charlie & Mark Johnston trained Can To Can, the 11/2 on offer last Saturday was too good to resist so I threw my biggest bet so far this season each way on. I was pretty sure of a top three finish and was nice to see support come in. Ben Curtis got Can To Can away quick and over to the rail, the Kodiac filly set a quick pace, I was sure she would tire as push came to shove but Curtis kicked on again, fuck me she wasn't stopping either, I made it sound a bit dramatic but to be honest I never had any doubt as she powered home by five lengths, get in!


Stay Lost my tracker that was supposed to make her debut in America was declared a non runner but one I'll be looking out for as she was backed from 7s to 3s.


Capital Offence was never involved at Ayr, another worth a second chance. My other tracker in the Ayr race Miss New York who managed third at a nice price.


Indestructible another winner but short odds at Windsor. 


Can lightning strike twice? I'm hoping so as I've gone for another Charlie & Mark Johnston runner. 


13.05 Goodwood 30 July 


Tracker Classic looks a nice well-bred Dubawi colt for Richard Hannon who wasn't given a hard time on debut at Newbury, believe me he could be nice and piss this but at odds on I would rather take a chance on getting him beat, racing is a funny old game I've had so many hard luck stories or the wrong end of head bobbers that I know personally anything could happen with 2yos. Loyal Touch is a No Nay Never colt who himself looks a lovely type in I'm sure will be winning soon enough. Related to a few nice ones including the Aiden O'Brien trained Sovereign who won the Irish Derby in 2019, looks the part on paper and was sent off 11/5 on debut at Salisbury last month, was slowly away and towards the back until Frannie Norton got to work on him, the response wasn't straight away but certainly finished the last half furong the best. The race hasn't worked out brilliantly but with Ryan Moore taking over I'm sure improvement will come, around 6s at the minute.


15.55 Goodwood


Zero Carbon owes me nothing after rattling up a hatrick of wins on his last start, steps up again here. 



15.05 Galway


Two trackers here, first is the Aidan O'Brien hotpot Hiawatha who finished second on debut and looks a nice one for the future. 


Agathon for Joseph O'Brien and is by dam Arya Tara who was also trained by Joseph O'Brien winning a Listed race back in 2014 ridden by Agathon's owner Ana O'Brien. A half-brother to the Joseph O'Brien trained Agartha who is a smart filly and won the Group 3 Silver Flash Stakes last year then second in the Guineas trial before finishing fifth in the Irish Guineas.

Nice race and a couple I'm looking forward to seeing here.


Few more trackers:


Newmarket 13.20:

Canadiansmokeshow trained by S Woods

Luckin Brew trained by R Beckett.


Thirsk 14.06

Jamie Bond trained by Bryan Smart.

Eternal Class trained by Karl Burke.



Newmarket 15.55

Immortal Beauty for Richard Hannon.


Thanks for reading and good luck.


Author: Craig Newton

Sunday, 24 July 2022

Sunday's 2yo Racing Update (24th July)

I couldn't believe the price of tracker
Syndicated when the Balding 2yo drifted to 11/2 in the 14.30 at Ascot on Friday, the evidence stacked up for a good run, made favourite for debut, a Group 2 Gimcrack entry but the early drift from 11/4 worried me, ever the optimistic I  had an each way at 11/2 and was feeling better as the Dubawi colt was backed into 7/2. That was as good as it got as my money went down the pan as quick as my optimistic mood as he trailed in sixth, not sure what's gone on there. Other tracker Never Just A Dream was made favourite and came eighth, another puzzler. The two others I mentioned finished first and second which is no consolation whatsoever.


Two trackers in the 14.30 finished first and second but short prices, nice to see Clochette win albeit a short price.


Last one was Archie Watson trained Manitou who I managed each way at 4s, ran a decent race to finish third but never getting close to the first two at Newmarket.


Few trackers over the next few days.


13.45 Pontefract 24 July 


Trackers Poppy Carrew, Your Spirit both need to improve. Another tracker is Can To Can for the Charlie & Mark Johnston team. A 75,000 gns purchase from the October Yearling Sales who is out of dam Ridge Ranger the speedy Summer Stakes Group 3 winner for trainer Eric Alston, had an official rating of 109. Can To Can made her debut in a pretty decent race at York with the winner The Platinum Queen finishing midfield in the Queen Mary, the York race did have a bit of substance about it and Can To Can was prominent and showed decent pace until weakening the final furlong, considering how free she ran I think it was a decent effort. I've had an each way at 11/2, any drift would be a negative. Quick note, as I sometimes stop and start when writing these posts the price changes and I've noticed Can To Can is 5/2 now, not a price I would get involved with but I'm happy with my 11/2 at the minute.


21.29 Saratoga 24 July 


Yep you saw that right Saratoga. Just noticed that Stay Lost has come up in the trackers, I don't follow American racing so haven't a clue if this Joseph O'Brien trained filly stands a chance or not here. Dam Darci's Dream finished second in the New Zealand 1000 Guineas back in 2014. Pretty sure Joseph wouldn't be taken his chance here if she didn't stand a chance at least 


13.00 Ayr 25 July 


.A couple of interesting trackers here, first is the unraced Edward Bethell colt Capital Offence who is well regarded. My other one is Miss New York for trainer David Loughnane, the Good Magic filly was up with the pace at Newmarket until weakening, looked a decent race so I expect an improvement second timeout. 


18:30 Windsor 25 May 


Trainer O'Callaghan brought one over here last week and won and he brings tracker Indestructible over to Windsor Monday. The well regarded Kodiac colt could be a class above here but no bet at the price. I do have Manuha who could also be nice after running in a nice debut race here at Windsor. 


A quick note that I'm taking a break from social media for a while, all the doom and gloom and big egos are annoying me. Anybody wants to get in touch it's craignewton175@gmail.com.


Thanks for reading.