Showing posts with label Arousing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Arousing. Show all posts

Friday, 18 September 2020

Gosden Hoping To Fire Some Bullets At Newbury (September 19th)


What a great ride jockey Tom Marquand gave Arousing at Yarmouth yesterday, alright it was because I wrote about the William Haggas trained Kodiac filly in my last post that I mention it, but serious Tom is at the top of his game and even though Arousing was slowly away and behind a wall of horses Tom managed to battle his way through and get Arousing up to win nicely. 

My other selection was Elland Road Boy for Kevin Ryan, now I did mention if drifting would be a negative so hopefully anybody who actually bets on my fancies left the Dandy Man colt alone as he took a huge drift to 28/1 at the off. I do add these little pointers for a reason and I know i’m no Hugh Taylor but as part pf my selection process I like to take into account the stats of trainer for instance Kevin Ryan second timeout winners in Novice and Maiden 2-year-old races over 10/1 are very poor, in fact he’s never had a 28/1 winner over the 4-year study, after writing this you just know it’s going to happen ha but on a serious note it’s worth checking these things out if you want to get a better angle on horse racing. Right lecture over, as always Saturdays are very competitive especially first timeout 2-year-olds at Newbury and Newmarket. I did say to myself I wouldn’t bother with these big races but yes I still can’t stop myself so here we go but be warned tough races to be honest. 

13:05 Newbury 19 Sep 2020

MITHRAS could start the day off nicely for trainer John Gosden. Owners Haras De Saint Pair could have a nice one here after an eye-catching debut at Sandown last month. I’m pretty sure the Dubawi colt went into a few notebooks as it looked like a hot little race with the winner finishing third in a Listed race at Doncaster and the second, third, fifth and sixth all winning. Mithras looked a bit clueless in that race but powered home when the penny dropped. Dam Irish Rookie was no slouch herself for Martyn Meade winning her first two races as a 2-year-old including the Montrose fillies Listed Stakes and contesting group races throughout her career. It’s by no means a given that Mithras will win here as Aerion Power also looks a future winner and a few unraced nice looking types in the field but hopefully even though Mithras will be short in the betting he can take a step forward here. 

16:00 Newbury 19 Sep 2020 

The division 2 also looks a nice race and another Gosden runner turns up here this time for owners Mrs J Magnier, Mr M Tabor & Mr D Smith. The Gurkha colt RIFLEMAN is related to plenty of winners including the useful Aloft. John Gosden does pretty well with his first timeout 2-year-olds at Newbury and last year won this race with Cherokee Trail who is owned by the same owners as Rifleman. As always betting could be the key and any big drift would be a big negative. Plenty of unknowns here but hopefully Rifleman can make it a nice day for Mr Gosden at Newbury. 

Other tracker to note: 

13:00 Chelmsford City 20 Sep 2020 

DECISIVE EDGE 

Good luck and stay safe

Wednesday, 16 September 2020

Haggas Hoping For An Arousing Debut At Yarmouth (17th September)

My last selection definitely needed a bit of Fergie time at Kempton the other day. The Andrew Balding trained Florence Street ran a decent race to be honest and looked to be getting the hang of things late on but the first two had flown well by then. Interested to see if she can finally get her head in front next timeout. 

Tracker Wise Judgment ran a promising debut at Beverley today when looking professional, I actually thought she was going to win until the hot favourite came from a mile away to win easily in the end but a promising second on debut. 

Hot favourite Ready To Venture despite being slow away won like a favourite should at Yarmouth today and will be contesting pattern races soon. 

16:10 Yarmouth 17 Sep 2020 

The Sir Michael Stoute trained Ville De Grace looks a worthy favourite here after a winning debut at Kempton back in June. The second that day Glesca Girl ran a decent race next timeout in a class 2 but apart from her it didn't look the strongest race but you can only beat what's in front of you hey. It will be a tough ask with a win penalty, so I will be putting forward a William Haggas' unraced filly called AROUSING and hoping I can get a run for my money at least. Ideally an each way bet but I would be very surprised to get that. The Kodiac filly has a lovely pedigree and is a half-sister to the brilliant One Master who is also trained by William Haggas and owned by Lael Stable. I always keep an eye out for William Haggas 2-year-olds at Yarmouth because he has a pretty good strike rate and hopefully Arousing can add to that but as always debut races can be frustrating at times. 100/30 at the time of writing. 

13:15 Pontefract 17 Sep 2020 

My next one is a bit of a speculative one and hopefully I can get an each way price. ELLAND ROAD BOY is a pretty cheap purchase for Kevin Ryan, the Dandy Man colt was purchased for £26,000 and owned by Mr Roger Peel & Clipper Logistics. Queen Jo Jo was an excellent purchase by the same owner and trainer at the 2018 Craven Breeze Up Sales who has got better with age and this season won the Group 3 Summer Fillies Stakes at York. Another from the same owner and trainer combo is Romantic Vision who won twice last season. Elland Road Boy was easy to back on debut at Chester and finished last of six, hopefully the wind op will bring some improvement and make the frame against the hot favourite Sir Maxi. 11/1 at the time of writing but any drift will be a negative with this Dandy Man colt. 

EYE-CATCHER 

14:50 Sandown 16 Sep 2020

This looked a pretty nice race and the Queens horse Just Fine won well for Sir Michael Stoute but one who was a big price who will be worth keeping an eye out for is the Andrew Balding trained LANDING SYSTEM who was a 40/1 shot today. Landing System was never really involved but kept on steadily and will have learnt a lot from his first taste of the racecourse. Thanks for reading and stay safe.