Sunday 5 May 2024

Sunday's 2yo Horse Racing (5th May)

If you don't know by now how obsessed I am with 2-year-old horses you'll never know. Despite a few indifferent results with my selections for the Inittowinit weekend bets I'm doing alright so far (kiss of death).

This season is more about value and being a bit more disciplined, that's not to say I'm still not doing stupid bets because a few have slipped through the net and annoyed me.

What am I doing differently this year then? As I said it's all about value and some of these short priced favourites are worth taking on, I mean some are so short on debut you'd have to be insane to back them. We've had 38 2yo races this season so far and 9 favourites have won, yeah trying to find the winner against them is difficult I know but with 10 winners at double figure odds it's fantastic trying to find them. Javee was one for me that I backed at 22s, nice pedigree and decent owner it was well worth a go in a eight runner field with a 2/1 unraced favourite.

Older readers of the blog will know these are not tips just my personal opinion and trackers, I might get a few winners and probably get a few losers but good or bad it will be here.

First thing it's alright identifying my possible bet but the stats have to be right too so more often than not I'll try wait for a nice price and pray my bet is supported, if it drifts out I might get rid with a small loss, now that has gone against me at times when they have still won and drives me mad. A late bet is another I try when the market has settled and sorted itself out but usually the best way for me is to get on when I think it's the right price then as I say pray it's backed.

A few tough races tomorrow.

16.15 Newmarket 

I did say to myself last season no more bets at Newmarket as they are always competitive and the two today are no different, I'm sure we'll get a few winners out of these races so it's worth noting them down. The favourite could be anything for Charlie Appleby and with the pedigree I imagine a very nice horse, no value whatsoever, I was looking at Jakarta for Cole and familiar owner Mrs Fitri Hay. Dam Pink Symphony was very nice for Cole and Hay and has produced a family of winners including Highland Chief, I'm just thinking maybe needs a bit further so a slight doubt. The one I'll be hoping drifts to a bit of value is the Karl Burke trained River Seine, the 100,000 euro Soldiers Call filly has plenty of speed in her pedigree, dam Indian Ink was a class act for Richard Hannon senior back in the day, Burke's filly is related to several winners and if drifting to a price I'll get on and hope shes backed or I'll know the outcome.

River Seine 11/2 2nd

16.50 Newmarket 

Another tough one and again we all know how good Appleby is so I'm not even bothering talking about his, I'm looking to take them on hoping they have a bad day or need the run. 

Tropical Storm for Andrew Balding who has already had a run when looking a bit inexperienced and keen on debut at Newbury last month, easy to back at 17/2 that day. Tropical Storm is related to Purosangue trained by Andrew who is a very nice type winning the Rockingham last year, with the experience under his belt and Murphy on board hopefully he'll be more streetwise today. I'll hold out for a price and hopefully another who needs backing to stand a chance. 

Tropical Storm 6/1 2nd

14.40 Salisbury 

Convo and Fregola (NR) are both trackers.

Convo 5/2 3rd

14.35 Hamilton 

A 3yo tracker has popped up here and I'm not sure what to think about her. Port And Starburd was well-regarded last season by trainer Craig Lidster but has been off the tracker since a promising fourth at Beverley last season. I'll probably watch if I'm honest.

Port And Starburd 33/1 6th

Thanks for reading and always think value, we don't have to bet if the price isn't right.

Author: Craig

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