Friday 29 March 2024

Friday Selections Team Inittowinit (29th March)

You have to be Inittowinit so here we are back for another try at smashing the bookies, just four normal punters trying our luck, first thing first it's a bit of fun so anyone following don't be going mad.


13.30 Ling - PARTY ISLAND 9/1 7th 

Should be spot on for this following efforts that can be described as both respectable and encouraging here the last two. 

Not beaten far at either 1m or 1m2f in two well contested races for the grade, the step up here to 1m4f will be in his favour and I imagine this has been the target.

I must admit I almost choked on my dunked digestive when I saw the draw 16 of 16 however, we are in great hands with George Bass piloting as he knows the horse and rides Lingfield supremely well. 

George will have a plan 

Please George 

Tell me you have a plan 🤞🙏🤞🙏🤞🍀 .. 😄. Obviously it’s competitive with many that can be given a chance but hopefully this element along with the wide berth will give us a decent price GL GL !! 

The 2-year-olds have only just started so not much to go on, I'll throw one in anyway.

13.40 Chelmsford ADDICTIVE 6/1 2nd 

Dam Dierama won once over six furlongs in her only season racing. Half brother to the Martyn Meade trained Coming Patch who is 97 rated RPH won fto as a 2yo, then finished second in the Irish Bowl Stakes before changing yards. Decent owner in Edward Ware who had success with group winner Poker Face. Pretty hard picking one out until the market tells a story tomorrow but I'll try a newcomer against a few with experience.

Anthropologist trained by Charlie Johnston. Charlie knows the family well with three siblings, dam Yorkindred who won a few times over a couple of years. All siblings ran well on debut, two winners and one second.

Far Above The Law for Haynes, dam didn't do much, this 20,000 euro colt needs a market check. 

Sunny Time ran in the Brocklesby, normally a good sign but finished stone last so needs a big improvement.

Tanager for Eve Johnson Houghton, related to two time winner Le Farban and needs support.

Paddy's Courage finished sixth in the Brocklesby for Holland, not sure how good that form is yet.

 2.40 Lingfield: SHOOT TO KILL 12/1 9th 

The way the race is likely going to shape, and with his love for the track, Shoot To Kill looks one who may steal this one from the front for Ireland and represents serious value in my mind. 

He moved over to Ado McGuinness in early March and ran with plenty of courage in two subsequent starts, both times catching the eye and clearly proving there's plenty of life in the seven-year-old gelding. 

Shoot To Kill certainly loves it here at Lingfield. He ran some huge performances from 7-10 furlongs at this venue not too long ago. No doubt, his optimum is a mile over this course and distance, though. He won a class 5 Handicap over this CD back in September off 74, running to a 75 speed rating which he franked weeks later over 7 furlongs at the same venue when finishing a strong third. 

That mile win looks better than bare form would suggest, given it was only a class 5. His current mark - 78 - with a 3lb claimer in the saddle, gives him a shout over this course and distance, though. 

He won a class 3 Handicaps in the past here, and ran his three career-best speed ratings at Lingfield, the two highest over a mile. Taking into account that he looks to hit some good form, it's not impossible to think he's able to run to that sort of level again.

The pace should favour those who are ridden forward and it's unlikely to be overly hot. 

Given that, Shoot To Kill should be easily able to overcome the #7 draw and should find himself in prime position as he slings around the final bend.

Last but not least

15.50 Lingfield BOSH 9/2 1st 

The form of his third last time out at Wolves received a boost on the weekend with Knebworth winning. He remains on the same mark here of 90 and that is only 2lb higher than when he won three starts ago at Chelmsford so he is weighted to go well, only giving out late on subsequently over 7f here off this mark too. The winner, third and fourth have won since, including a further subsequent placing at listed level for the winner and Bosh conceded him 8lb there. 

First of all has a nice draw in three which should suit him, in order to get a prominent sit coming into the bend. Last time he had to work pretty hard to get up with the pace from stall 10 and in doing so he covered the equivalent of a length to a length and a quarter more than the two in front of him, despite being on the inside coming to the turn. So in theory he will have less to do as early as he did in that race.

Looks like a strong pace will be on but I don’t think that is a concern given his last win came off a solid pace, tracked the pace in fourth and stayed on well to win so this scenario will definitely suit him given he can track the pace from that handy draw, he is a strong traveller but also gets this trip very well. I would like to think he has every chance of getting competitive here in this.

Advised bet each way lucky 15.

RESULT: 7TH, 2ND (6/1), 9TH, 1ST (9/2) 

Good luck and thanks for reading.

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