Friday 10 March 2023

Weekend Selections from the In It To Win It Team (Sat 11th March)

First off I'm really enjoying these weekend posts and hopefully you are too. Regular readers of the blog will know this is not a serious tipping blog, it's just me and my thoughts, to mix it up a few of my friends and I are posting a selection each weekend and seeing how they get on, by all means follow them just gamble safely, that's the important message here.

Quick look at the last selections. Racingtictac started us off with Exalted Angel who was unplaced in a tough Listed race. Next up prohorseracing with Diderot who was staying on and finished third, then my selection and tracker Nogo's Dream, I backed the Richard Hughes gelding the night before at 10s each way and to my surprise he was backed in to 5/2 fav, a nice cash out was dangled but the new me let it ride, away well and in a nice position I was feeling confident as they swung around the last corner with George Rookie and Nogo's Dream going well, also going well was Crimson Angel and got first run, before I knew it the filly was away and despite my selection finishing strongly she couldn't make it and finished second, nice place money but of course a win would have done me nicely. Last up was Equinefutures with Sundayinmay who also finished second, on another day that could have been a great day but at least we got a run for our money after last week's washout. 


15.50 WOLVERHAMPTON (11 March 2023)


A class 4 novice stakes race.

The James Tate Iffraaji colt ran a race full of promise on his debut at Haydock back in June, has been off the track for 276 days, hopefully just to strengthen up for his 3yo campaign. The chestnut was sent off 12/1 that day and for his debut race looked surprisingly professional. Tanking along with the pace for most of the race, Daniel Tudhope got to work on him a couple of furlongs out, I'm convinced Flame Spirit was ready for a battle until hampered and snatched up a furlong out, that put paid to that but I'm sure he had more to give. The winner One World has won again and rated 86, the second Courageous Knight also won and rated 95. A 35,000 gns purchase for Mr Saeed Manana at the 2021 October Yearling Sales. Dam Spirit Of Cuba ran to a decent level for Kevin Prendergast over middle distances. Rossa Ryan takes over here and hopefully any improvement from his first run will see him in the mix here against a few dangerous rivals. I did take 4s but it quickly disappeared.


8:30 CHELMSFORD - (11 March 2023)


Drops in class here and stands out among this line up. On paper these conditions may not seem ideal as wins have previously been over 10f where BC has led/made all. Recently held up and showing up very well with those tactics behind Super Den two runs back, we can forgive LTO at Southwell. We have to take on trust Chelmsford will suit and that connections agree there is an opportunity here to sit behind the pace - if so, BC can take his first win at the mile. New Shepherd has potential to be the fly in the ointment having tentatively entered the tracker having shown some signs of a resurgence recently. A return to previous form shown under David Probert (reunited today) would see him take this - I’ll be saving.

Beautiful Crown was 7s and New Shepherd 12s but both shortened at the minute.


19.00 CHELMSFORD - (11 March 2023)

TOUSSAROK 100/30 2nd

Course winner in the past and is now 3lb below his last winning mark. That came in July at Epsom on the turf but goes well on artificial surfaces and near on matches his turf form on it and is like for like on them both. It looks rather generous that since he was reappearing off a 164 day break LTO, that he has now dropped 2lb from that, this makes him attractive from a handicapping perspective alone. A mark of 79 and his last four wins have come off marks of 82,79,82 and 80. 

LTO on that reappearance he led the field early on quite easily and then he was outpaced when it mattered late on, it’s fair to say he was not given that hard a time late on and the run looked as if it was needed.

Back up to 7f here and there are a couple of others who like to sit prominent but don’t see it as much of an issue as I think he can be quite versatile at this trip. Magical Max perhaps will be the one to lead, I think Fanning is smart enough to know whether to get into a battle or not and I think Bargin Thru may be up there drawn in one but looks more of a galloper to me after last time out. Speed may well still be an asset here and that will benefit TOUSSAROK if he can take a lead and not rush. 

Having said that, he has won at the trip and has gone close numerous times including over C&D as a 2yo so stamina likely not to be an issue if it goes that way. If he has come on for that run then he is weighted to go well here at a reasonable looking early show of 7/1.


8.00 CHELMSFORD - (11th March)  


The 6-year-old gelding is is a course and distance specialist with a 7-3-2 record who caught the eye last time out on comeback run after a small break. He showed excellent early speed, even though was also helped by a low draw, led the field for home by setting a strong pace in the 6 furlongs contest. He tried hard but eventually faded from 1f out.

Five or six furlongs doesn't make too much of a difference to him, but the minimum trip at this track is clearly his preferred course and distance.... He drops in grade as he does in trip, and this will be easier than last time. He has to overcome the #6 draw, though should be able to do so given the pace map for the race.

With that in mind, he could potentially dominate this contest from the front, which will be an advantage over this C & D. He should come on for the recent run, and may be better judged by the fine level of form he ran to in autumn, which is at a different level to the majority of rivals in this field. He ran to solid speed ratings then, and was only a neck beaten off a 65 mark in a better race.


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