Tuesday 31 August 2021

Betting: Looking for Angles (31st August)

Not only do we want to be a good gambler, but an efficient one.  

Neither is an easy task. 

1:00 Ripon

A seven-horse race. 

How would you make money on this race? You could do any number of bets. 

A straight win. An each-way punt on an outsider (a place paying more than the favourite to win). 

I guess, if you know enough, there is always the best bet in any race. So you make the most of your knowledge, time and money. 

An efficient way of betting. The only answer being the race result (''weighed in''). 

But back to this race at 1:00 at Ripon. 

The greatest aspect of betting on the exchanges is that you have versatility. You can try to correct a mistake (in a rush I've bet on the wrong horse). Lay a bet off if for whatever reason you wish to cash out or even take a loss (rather than fear losing your full stake). Not forgetting that exchange prices, especially when betting on outsiders, are often double or triple the price. Put it this way, I've never seen an outsider shorter than the bookmakers at the off (it's probably happened, but you get the idea). 

I often fear trying to be too clever for my own good. 

It's a weakness. 

At such times the gambling Gods or Devils are looking down and decide they are going to teach anyone who thinks gambling is a walk in the park, that they are really climbing Mount Everest, if not falling from the top, bouncing from rock to rock until a mangled carcass lays in a heap and your only friends are the vultures that pick your bones.

We've all been there. 

Anyway, here's my thought for this race. Ideally, get 11/4 on Lucy Lulu (exchange price, if possible, but looking unlikely, touched 3.55) and because I think she will lead and touch shorter odds in running, lay at even money for a free bet and hope, beyond hope, that Lucy Lulu wins. 

If I'm being far too clever for my own good, we'll soon find out. 

Oh the pain of broken bones. 

Touched odds on in running, but no cigar, finished second. 

Photo: Pixabay free for commercial use and no attribution + Betfair Graph 

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