Twelve horses go to post here and the favourite looks like being the once-raced William Haggas runner Dancin Inthestreet. This bay came second in a minor event at Newmarket at the beginning of the month on heavy ground. That was a perfectly good run by the well-bred Muhaarar filly who sets the standard here and should come on for that experience.
We also have a couple of interesting newcomers who could have a hand in the result too.
The Saeed Bin Suroor Dubawi filly *Dubai Quality makes plenty appeal on paper. The dam enjoyed success on the Polytrack. One negative is drawn out wide on debut so will have to be well-clued up first timeout. Bin Suroor does have a 25% winning strike rate with newcomers here at Lingfield but the last one was Team Meeting back in November 2016.
Another interesting newcomer is the Ed Vaughan trained Coto Donana who has a great pedigree. The Kingman filly is owned by Mr A E Oppenheimer (pictured).
Vaughan has another three horses with owner Anthony Oppenheimer including Little Becky (who won first time out at Kempton in October this year when backed to 11/1).
Ardiente (also won at Kempton on debut in 2018 and went off at 10/1).
Also, Dame Malliot (a debut winner at Wolverhampton at 3/1 in 2018 and now has an official rating of a 109 after winning the Group 2 Prix De Pomone in Deauville).
Interested to see which way Coto Donana goes in the betting here and one for the shortlist. Not sure why Steve Donohoe is not riding as he has ridden the other three horses for Ed.
Another horse with experience is the Clive Cox trained Risk Taker. The Lope De Vega colt cost owners Paul and Clare Rooney 75,000 euros as a yearling and also has a nice pedigree. Well-supported for his debut at Newbury from 10/1 to 17/2 at the off. Risk Taker was smartly away and always up with the pace until tiring in the heavy ground that day. Not sure how good that race was but the drop in trip and well-drawn in stall 2 should see Adam Kirby get Risk Taker in a nice position and try to hold on to the death.
I did mention a Clive Cox and Paul and Clare Rooney horse last week on my Facebook Page called Irish Acclaim who I had an each-way bet on at 22/1 and finished second which was a fine effort considering time away from the track.
Conclusion: Potentially nice newcomers on show plus a couple of decent looking horses make their presence felt. I was looking at just backing Risk Taker each way when I started writing this post but the more I read about Coto Donana the more I like the Kingman filly. The stats look pretty decent but the first day at school could bring all kinds of problems. I will do a split stake on both and hopefully, the first two favourites will disappoint.
Thanks for reading and good luck.
*NR
Nice post.
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