14.50 Doncaster 03 June
Trackers: Jiwin, Miss Roberts and Oops.
A potentially nice Fillies Maiden here with a bit of everything. Starspangledbanner filly Carla's Way needs support for the Crisford team. Come on Irene for Nigel Tinkler who is related to four time winner Khatwah. The Zoffany filly started slow and pushed along until staying on well. Not sure she will be up to this class but one for another day.
Jiwin for the Gosden team who was sent off 5/2 on debut at Yarmouth on debut, seemed to be going well and a likely winner until Born To Rock absolutely bolted up, the 170 grand breeze-up is likely to be involved here.
Jumeirah Breeze comes from a decent family, To Wafij, No Leaf Clover and Geocentric all 100 plus rated horses, not cheap for trainer Margarson, one problem is he's first time out strike rate is awful but stranger things have happened, one to keep an eye out next timeout.
Miss Roberts gave a significant entry by trainer Ed Walker after finishing second in a nice Newmarket maiden, not particularly fancied that day but kept on, would need to be supported here. Fourth that day was Oops for George Boughey, the 62,000 gns purchase dwelt and in rear until finding her feet a furlong out and stayed on nicely. Not the most exciting pedigree but certainly should come on for that run. Anything over 10s is negative.
Nighteyes for David O'Meara, 150,000 gns purchase. Needs significant support to be involved.
Raknah for Andrew Balding, Blue Point filly cost 88,000 euros, dwelt and stayed on at Newcastle on debut, another who needs support.
Serena Seraph for Hannon. Again the market should be the guide, if drifting a negative.
Star Of Mystery could be decent if pedigree has anything to go by, related to a couple of smart performers trained by Charlie Appleby himself, Mysterious Night and Magical Land both decent sorts. Doesn't have the best record at the course but one I'm looking forward to seeing.
Conclusion:
Jesus' race full of everything here, Jumeirah Breeze has a really nice pedigree at 66s could be a speculative each way. The market will tell the story tomorrow on most of these and Miss Roberts looks a decent sort but I did like the way OOPS was staying on after a slow start, I'd like to see her drift a little then backed.
NR - Oops
16.00 Doncaster TRUE LEGEND 15/8 6th
Racingtictac A horse I have been tracking and not playing at short prices. I would like to claim something from him at some point and think he can continue his progression in search of a quick fire handicap hat trick even upped hugely in grade here from a C5 to a C2. Upped further in trip to 1m6f here, this son of Camelot is due to only carry 8st3lb and the sniper is onboard. I don’t think Sir Mark Prescott is the type to waste time with one who is clearly thriving yet eligible for much easier races off 76. Yet he runs in this C2 so for that reason alone he is worthy of interest here. Yard is firing on all cylinders of late and 6-10 last fortnight, admittedly some at odds on but this guy is related to some smart types and can continue his preogression and nab this valuable prize (comparative again to what he is eligible for) Having watched his race from last time, feel he was in front for sometime and it was steady enough but can improve for a better pace in my opinion, which is likely in a race such as this even over further as he raced keenly and was particularly lit up around the bends there at Salisbury. Looking green under pressure and plenty of scope for improvement goven the experience there. Pulled clear with the runner up there and he has also gone up 4lb.
4.50 Musselburgh - Stay Smart 4/1 2nd Stay Smart could be quite well handicapped today in conditions to suit and a race that looks quite winnable. He showed a clear return to form last time out at Ayr when he raced from the front and also achieved a good speed rating, the best in over 1.5 years. That day he moved quickly forward and led the field at a good pace. He travelled well and found plenty for pressure from 2f out. Ultimately he was only beaten inside the final furlong by two ridden with more restraint. Stay Smart had a tough time since losing his form in early 2022. He changed yards, tumbled down the weights and has been gelded and had a wind operation. He appears to be in good shape now, though, and is dangerous off his current rating. His best performances on speed ratings are mainly over 6 furlongs, but he won over the minimum trip as well, ideally on fast ground and a fast pace to chase over 5f. That should be the case here. The 3lb of Mark Winn are the cherry on the cake.
SAT - 540 DONC – KITAAB 16/5 3rd
I was all set to put up Madame Finella (tracker) for the In It To Win It Team bet having had a scan of the race at 48 hr stage. However, when I saw KITAAB’s run LTO and had a closer look it was an easy switch. I can see why I missed tracking Kitaab as I probably didn’t watch the finish when watching the ‘closing stages’ replay as they are mostly flat out and I would have thought ‘nothing to see here’ and moved on – not best practice as this example shows but, happens when time is at a premium and I’m trying to catch up. That was a C4 5f race and on clicking through, the full paragraph analysis shows that others were paying more attention than me to that run at the time, https://www.racingpost.com/results/80/thirsk/2023-05-20/838336
There’s a nice run at Chester in C4 (7.5f), broke blood vessel NTO, then the recent run at Thirsk following wind surgery. This mark of 65 doesn’t look likely to last and there’s an entry on Tuesday too so could well be a follow up. This could end up being a very short price come the race so apologies if that’s the case but it’ll be interesting to see how it plays out.
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