Let's meet the team.
If you are a regular follower of the blog you will know I love 2-year-old racing and will also throw in a few 3-year-olds along the way, definitely not handicaps, I imagine most of my selections will be second timeout, the tough thing is I like to leave my bets as late as possible and make sure they are in a betting guide but as the blog will be updated late night or early morning I'm at a disadvantage against these boys already (getting my excuses in). You will often find me with my finger on the cash out button flapping, I have made a few mistakes cashing out to be honest and will be trying my best to let them ride this season.
Was a bit of a hit and miss punter/gambler until taking things a little more seriously Jan ‘21 and deciding to Tweet my bets to make myself accountable. It Seems to me that plenty are happy to post their bets ‘after time’ but not many have the balls to do it in advance….. understandably……It’s a fair amount of pressure even when you have just a handful of followers 😅 . Fair to say I progressed steadily since and confident I have a sound enough knowledge of flat racing (specialising in 7-10F Handicaps) to give a valid opinion in most races.
I am a horse racing enthusiast with many years experience of the game. I enjoy puzzles and working out. I prefer flat racing but do occasionally have a play at the bigger jump meetings.
I share my bets, firstly to aid me with the discipline required to stick to a process and make it profitable or at least less volatile and secondly to encourage potentially more vulnerable bettors that if they do stick to a process then they can limit the damage associated with the risk of betting.
I always say “find your angles, find your process, stick to it and you can really unearth some value - most importantly, just plainly enjoy the game for what it is”
I am a German horse racing enthusiast, living on the green Island for over a decade already. Horses and racing fascinated me since my childhood as I grew up in the vicinity of the oldest race track of continental Europe.
Even though I enjoy both codes, flat racing is my passion, especially from a betting perspective. My main focus is picking up visual clues through extensive video analysis to identify future bets, in a hope to see something the general punter and the form book have missed. My usual hunting ground are low-grade sprint handicaps where the form book is erratic and visual clues become even more important.
For many years now I have been writing a regular racing blog: I am documenting my betting journey with all the highs and lows. It drives accountability with my selections, but I also hope to share some of the joy, inspiration and knowledge of how to improve as a punter. I also want to show that it's possible to take luck out of the equation and be a profitable punter in the long-term with the right level of dedication, discipline and a clear, consistent process.
Most of the time I get it desperately wrong. The limited times I get it right are enough to make a healthy profit for each of the last six years, thankfully.
The most important thing for me is, though, to enjoy the game for what it is: a wonderful intellectual challenge that provides new puzzles to solve, and a beautiful sport to watch.
We've met the team now let's see the selections:
Equinefutures
8:00 Wolverhampton - 1M 4F (Class 6 HCP)
JOHNNY BOOM won a couple of class 6 races over 9.5F well (late Dec and early Jan). Then stepped up in class he ran very respectably, seemingly caught too far out of his ground, against tougher rivals. Finishing to good effect does not necessarily mean stepping up in trip is a given however, back down to class 6 will give him every chance of getting it. There is competition between a few of the rivals here but they are all of a similar level so it’s down to JB getting the trip; if he does, he should beat each of them.
Johnny Boom 4/1 1st
Racingtictac
19.00 Wolves TONE THE BARONE EW
Smart AW horse on his day with a peak RPR of 111 in this sphere. He has a great record here at Wolves and over the minimum trip with two wins and a close 2nd from four runs.
He has speed to burn and can go with most when the conditions are right. He last won last March in a C3 conditions event over CnD. He had Alligator Alley and Lord Riddiford behind on that occasion.
The last time he ran over this CnD, on his penultimate run he was beaten in the race won by Alligator Alley and was behind 3 of these rivals. He has a 14lb turnaround in the weights with that winner today. A 6lb pull with Bedford Flyer. I think it's fair to say looking at the weights, he has a much better chance on paper today. In fact he has dropped 4lb since that penultimate run as he ran LTO over 6f at Kempton in a decent enough conditions stakes. He was very keen and there is no doubt, though he has won over that trip..most of his wins and best form has come over this minimum trip.
Looks a shrewd move from the trainer, with the drop of 2lb bringing him down to a mark off 99 now. He defied 101 in March also last year, although that was a career best.
It looks as if a hot pace will be on and they are drawn in 1-2-3. Tone is drawn in 5 and if they do go quick that will suit as will settle him hopefully saving something for the final kick. If he can, there is no doubt he has the ability to blow these away at the weights.
Tone The Barone 4/1 1st
Prohorseracing
4.18 Ling: HEALING POWER- This race looks to be set up ideally for the gelding from the #3 draw. He was a bit disappointing - on bare form - the last two runs; however, there are mitigating factors, and this looks an easier race on paper. The fact Healing Power was able to get going again after having been headed and driven toward the inside rail when entering the home straight last time over this course and distance a fortnight ago, suggests he is still in excellent form, ready to win.
Healing Power 7/1 1st (BOG)
He was only half a length beaten by Dulcet Spirit in the end. The filly has a wider draw today and may not get the perfect race as she clearly enjoyed last time out. In contrast to Healing Power, who may get the run of the race from the front in a field with little other pace to compete with. There are no excuses this time. He remains on a fair mark and has run to good speed ratings in the not too distinct past to think he's the one they all have to pass.
GL all!
CraigNewton
Pretty much dire stuff the weekend with 2 and 3-year-old racing, the 2-year-old season can't come quick enough.
15.20 Southwell (12 February)
Early forecast favourite is Scramble who's been knocking on the door but can't quite get her head in front, pretty decent effort last time out when just touched off by the Osbourne outsider Nuthatch, a repeat of that effort should see her go close in this company. The 13,000 gns Rod Milman filly Just A Spark ran well last timeout to finish second to Lady Nagin, was made favourite that day so was definitely fancied to run well, another should be there about. I'm taking a bit of a gamble here going for the George Boughey newcomer CROWN LAND without knowing the betting, all I can say is that any drift over tens would be a negative to me. The Territories filly was purchased for 14,000 gns and owned by Nick Bradley Racing. A half-sister to Beneficiary who won here last season and finished second too. George has a pretty decent record with three-year-old debutants so I'm taking a plunge here and hopefully get an each way price.
Crown Land 14/1 Unp
Thanks for reading and good luck.
Advised bet Lucky 15 (win)
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