It's the start of the Craven meeting and we have a beauty of a 2yo fillies novice race here to get stuck into, as you could see by my last attempt at predicting the winner these early newcomer races are not my cup of tea but I will have another go at trying to get a place at least!
1: Bojink
Trained by George Boughey who ran Paddy Brunty on Saturday at Thirsk who finished down the field, also ran Coraje last month who finished third on debut. Decent trainer who can prepare one first timeout. Dam Tahoo was a decent performer for Karl Burke and owners Nick Bradley Racing 19, won first timeout as a 2yo over five furlongs and another three times in a short career.
Bojink is a full-sister to Galileo Glass who was trained by Joseph Parr, won over six furlongs and again over a mile. The Nick Bradley owned filly has the services of William Buick. The previously trained George Boughey Forca Brasi colt won at Newmarket first timeout last season.
Craig's key stat: William Buick has a 50 percent win strike rate over five furlongs when riding for George Boughey.
2: Cloud Flyer
Trained by George Boughey and owned by Mr O. Oulton. A 20,000 gns foal and 18,000 gns yearling picked up at the Somerville Sales. Dam never did much for trainer Brian Meehan before moving to America. Nothing exciting from the offspring to date.
3: Dreaming Princess
David Loughnans first 2yo of the season. Owners Amo Racing. David and owners Amo have worked well together in the past with 2yos, Fearless Angel won first timeout last July (11/4) and Go Bears Go who again won first timeout this time at Ascot in May (6/1). Dam Lisiere won twice in her career over six furlongs (good/soft ground). The 13 yo has produced 3 winners out of four offspring, none first time out or over the minimum distance. A 60,000 gns purchase.
4: Family Ties
Trainer David O'Meara has already had a 2yo winner with Star Of Lady M and runs Expert Eye filly Family Ties here for familiar owners Clipper Logistics who have combined to have a few nice 2yos over the years including Leodis Dream, Forced Entry, Love Interest and Midheaven. Dam Savannah's Dream was a nice 2yo for David O'Meara back in 2016, third on debut at Ripon then ran an unbelievable race to finish second in the Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot when a 100/1 shot. Family Ties is a half-sister to the Kevin Ryan and Clipper Logistics owned Ballet Steps who won first timeout as a 2yo last season at Beverly when made 5/4 favourite for his debut. Nice looking type who has won again this season.
Craig's key stat: Over a six year period David's has a 27 percent win strike rate in April with his 2yos.
5: Flying Barty
The Starspangledbanner filly is trained by Kevin Ryan and owned by Chasemorefarm & Seymour Bloodstock. A half-sister to Boonie who was owned by Seymour Bloodstock and won first timeout at Beverly last season and went on to finish third in the Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot. Dam Dice Game was unraced.
6: Lost Angel
A 150,000 gns purchase at the October Yearling Sales out of book 2 for the Clive Cox team. The Dark Angel filly is owned by Atlantic Equine. A full-sister to San Andreas who won over six furlongs as a 2yo on his second run for Joseph O'Brien in 2018 and has now won over £63.000 in prize money, also a sister to Maggie's Angel who won first timeout over five furlongs for Richard Fahey and finished second in the Hilary Needler Trophy. Dam Last Bid was a decent filly for Tim Easterby winning three times as a 2yo.
Craig's key stat: Clive Cox has a fifty percent win strike rate with his first timeout 2yos in April over a six year period.
7: Lucy Lightfoot
Trained by Stuart Williams and was purchased for £20,000 as a yearling. Could it be significant that Stuart Williams and the owners of Lucy Lightfoot introduced Desert Dreamer in this race last season who won at 25/1? Desert Dreamer went on to have an excellent season running in pattern races for most of the season. The Oasis Dream filly definitely deserves a win after being placed in multiple pattern races. Lucy Lightfoot is a half-sister to two winners, Cloak And Dagger and Rue Bonaparte.
8: Powerdress
Richard Hannon unleashes a 130,000 gns yearling here owned by Mr Martin Hughes who had part owned a few nice types with Richard including Gisburn who won second timeout last season at Newbury and System who won a Listed race here last season. A half-sister to Danielsflyer, a nice type for Michael Dods.
Craig's key stat: Richard Hannon has a 3 percent win strike rate at Newmarket with his first timeout 2yos over a six year period.
9: Radio Goo Goo
David Evans trained 50,000 gns Havana Grey yearling. A half-sister to Ben Haslem trained Millionaire Waltz who won five times over further. Dam Radio Gaga won first timeout as a 2yo over six furlongs for trainer Ed McMahon back in 2011.
10: Yahsat
Karl Burkes first 2yo of the season. The Dandy Man filly cost 70,000 gns as a yearling and is owned by Mr Saeed Bin Mohammed Al Qassimi. Yahsat is a full-sister to the William Haggas trained Royal Address who took a few runs to get going then rattled off a hatrick of wins, the last a Listed race in France, since moved yard. Yahsat is also a half-sister to the Richard Fahey trained Straits Of Moyle, another who needed the experience before getting his head in front.
I will update this tomorrow closer to race time.
Thanks for reading and good luck.
Cheers Craig.
ReplyDeleteGone with Lost Angel, 9/2.
ReplyDeleteGood luck Tony, I was looking at the Boughey horse but been hammered
DeleteHad a look at this and am with FLYING BARTY who has the joint best breeding profile against the last 10 winners, maturity advantage (foaled 18th February - only Radio Goo Goo was foaled earlier), trainer does well with 2 y o's as does Starspangledbanner (13% W-R for his 2 yo progeny). Historically mid to high draw is where you want to be in general and stall 6 looks just peachy in that respect. Currently 15/2 on Betfair for buttons - might wait to tomorrow to see if it drifts in the face of support for BOJINK and FAMILY TIES who are 'blueing up' on Oddschecker as I write. Good luck if you play.
ReplyDeleteAppreciate your comments and very interesting, ye I liked Bojink but been backed off the boards, I'm with you on Family Ties, I will let the betting settle tomorrow Peter
DeleteHad a small each way on Lucy Lightfoot only because stable won last year, if Family Ties gets backed it would be interesting
ReplyDelete2yo newcomers can make you look clueless at times but cracking race
ReplyDeletePlenty of winners in there I reckon esp. 1st 4. Thought Lost Angel ran a cracker as he was bumped towards the back end of the race but wasn't put off and ran on again to finish 3rd. Drifted to an ew price too, although I was on win only. Great race. Hannon trikes again.
DeleteTwo bets in 2yo races this season for me - both times chinned by one of Hannons!
DeleteC'est la vie but he seems to have his juveniles well-forward at this early stage of the season
Yes really good race even though I was miles out, I thought Goo Goo ran well for Evans and yes Hannon out the blocks quick
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