Friday, 30 August 2019

Friday's Thoughts (30th August)

Friday is one of those days when all but one of my 2-year-old trackers are unraced. If I have said this once then I have said it a thousand times that I really don't like betting on debutantes but I will put down my thoughts anyway. 

17:25 Hamilton 30 Aug 2019: 

Trackers: Lawaa, Twin Paradox

Only seven go to post here so a negative already for me. The likely favourite Flylikeaneagle sets the standard here and despite the extra weight should be hard to beat. Lawaa ran in the Class 2 Qater Ebf Stallions Maiden Stakes at Goodwood and disappointed the last timeout. Made a pleasing debut at Epsom on debut in July. Needs to bounce back after that last run. Interesting that newcomer Twin Paradox had an entry for the Convivial Maiden Stakes at York but didn't run. The John Quinn trained Slade Power colt was purchased for 45,000 gns in April this year for Ross Harmon Racing And Partner. Another positive is John Quinn won this race in 2018 with unraced Lisheen Castle. Any market support would be a bonus. 

19:45 Newcastle 30 Aug 2019: 

Tracker: Cape Palace

King Carney looks the best of the horses who have raced so far and could have each-way claims, pity only seven runners go to post. The 145,000 gns Australia Charlie Fellows colt made a promising debut despite being sent off 12/1. Slowly away and clueless he managed to stay on steadily and should have learned a lot from that debut at Haydock. The well-thought-of John Gosden colt Cape Palace looks to be the favourite on debut. The 300,000 gns Golden Horn colt has a lovely pedigree and is entered in the Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes at Newmarket in October. Looking forward to seeing him run. 

15:15 Sandown 30 Aug 2019: 

Trackers: Lord Campari, Palace Pier

A hot Maiden here with all the top yards out in force. We have Kingman, Frankel and Dubawi colts all fighting to come out on top. Anything could win here but I guess the market should sort the men from the boys. I have two trackers of interest here so here we go. 

Lord Campari for the Roger Varian yard. The 350,000 gns Kingman colt is impeccably bred and owned by Sheikh Mohammed Obaid Al Maktoum. Roger Varian thinks very highly of this bay colt and will be winning in the near future. 

Palace Pier is another Kingman colt. Holds a Group 1 Dewhurst entry and is trained by John Gosden and ridden by the main man Frankie Dettori. A 600,000 gns purchase in October as a yearling for owner Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed Al Maktoum. The market will show clues to how wound up he is on debut. 

Discovery Island has no big entries as yet but was beaten on debut by the Royal Lodge entered Sound Of Cannons. The Godolphin homebred Dubawi gelding took adrift in the betting before his debut at Newmarket a couple of weeks ago. That looked like a pretty nice debut to me and Discovery Island looks a strong big type who will improve for that run.

Thanks for reading and good luck.

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